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Consumer Defensive - Education & Training Services - NYSE - CN
$ 9.84
4.13 %
$ 6.02 B
Market Cap
82.0
P/E
EARNINGS CALL TRANSCRIPT
EARNINGS CALL TRANSCRIPT 2018 - Q4
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Executives

Echo Yan - IR Rong Luo - CFO.

Analysts

Mark Li - Citibank Thomas Chong - Credit Suisse Natalie Wu - CICC Sheng Zhong - Morgan Stanley Edwin Chen - UBS.

Operator

Ladies and gentlemen, thank you for standing by, and welcome to TAL Education Group’s Fourth Quarter and Fiscal Year 2018 Earnings Conference Call. At this time, all participants are in a listen-only mode. We will be taking questions at the later stage of the call.

[Operator Instructions] Now, I’d like to hand the conference over to your host for today, Ms. Echo Yan. Over to you, ma’am..

Echo Yan

Thank you, operator. Thank you all for joining us today for TAL Education Group's fourth fiscal quarter and full year 2018 earnings conference call. The earnings release was distributed earlier today and you may find a copy on the company IR website or through the newswires. During this call, you will hear from Chief Financial Officer, Mr. Rong Luo.

Following his prepared remarks, Mr. Luo will be available to answer your questions. Before we continue, please note that the discussions today will contain forward-looking statements made under the Safe Harbor provisions of the U.S. Private Securities Litigation Reform Act of 1995.

Forward-looking statements are subject to risks and uncertainties that may cause actual results to differ materially from our current expectations. Potential risks and uncertainties include, but are not limited to, those outlined in the public filings with the SEC.

For more information about these risks and uncertainties, please refer to our filings with the SEC. Also, our earnings release in this call includes discussions of certain non-GAAP financial measures. Please refer to our earnings release, which contains a reconciliation of the non-GAAP measures to the most directly comparable GAAP measures.

I would like now to turn the call over to Mr. Rong Luo. Rong, please..

Rong Luo

Thank you, Echo. Good evening and good morning to you all. Thank you for joining us today on this earnings call. Our first quarter revenue growth was driven by stable demand in all cities and a rapid growth of our online courses. Revenue growth in the fourth quarter was 59.4% in US dollar terms to $504.1 million.

Student enrolment increased by 95.7% year-over-year, mostly driven by the growth in online enrolments. GAAP income from operations increased by 54% to $66.9 million in the first quarter.

With the solid set of [ph] fourth quarter results, we accomplished our fiscal year of robust operational and financial performance, even as we continue to invest in the network expansion and new education initiatives for future growth.

Our revenue growth in the full fiscal year 2018 was supported by higher than average enrolments and supported by the well-paced expansion of small class room capacity in our spreading geography network. I will now turn the call over to Echo Yan, our new IR Director who has just joined our team this month.

Echo will give you an update on our operational progress in the fourth quarter and briefly review the full fiscal year results. After that, I would like to give you some update on our outlook, any investment plans in the fiscal year 2019.

Echo please?.

Echo Yan

The robust revenue growth in the first quarter was from all business lines in all cities. Let me review the business by segment. Small Class which consists of Xueersi Peiyou Small Class, Firstleap, Mobby and some educational programs and services accounted for 82% of total net revenue compared to 83.6% in the fourth quarter last year.

Peiyou Small Class, which remains our core business, represented 73% of total revenue, compared to 75.9% in the same year ago period. This lower revenue contribution from the Small Class was mainly due to the effective growth of online course business.

Net revenue from Peiyou Small Class was up by 55.4% in US dollar terms, while enrolment increased by 72.4%. This number reflects the ongoing healthy growth in Peiyou offline classes.

As mentioned in the previous quarter, Peiyou offline students have started taking supplementary online courses on Xueersi Peiyou Online, which are tailor-made to their individuals. And by now, we have enrolled this out in major cities we covered.

Xueersi Peiyou Small Class revenue from top five cities Beijing, Shanghai, Guangzhou, Shenzhen, Nanjing grew by 53% year over year. Revenue generated from cities other than top five cities grew by approximately 59%.

These other cities accounted for 40% of the Peiyou Small Class business, almost unchanged from last quarter and Q4 last year, which reflects the well spread growth in the various tiers of cities in our network. The revenue growth across all cities was driven by incremental ramp up of enrolments for our earlier classroom expansion.

As indicated last quarter, for winter term, we offered Chinese classes in 14 cities and English classes in 20 cities. We are pleased to note that enrolments growth of Chinese and English classes have been split up as we further rolled out these courses.

We will continue to expand our number of subjects offered in more cities and to diversify our course offerings. Our one-on-one business had a solid fourth quarter and achieved year-over-year revenue growth of 40.6% in US dollars.

One-on-one, including the overseas consulting business, accounted for 9% of total revenue compared to 10.6% in the fourth quarter fiscal 2017. Turning to our capacity expansion, as planned, we added a net of 15 learning centers, opening 24 new learning centers and closing down 9 learning centers.

During this quarter, we added 284 Peiyou Small Class classrooms on top of the 2089 we have added in first nine months last fiscal year.

We added most of Small Class classrooms in [indiscernible] Fuzhou, Jinan, Qingdao, Changsha, Wuxi [indiscernible] renovations and the necessary air conditioning, those class rooms will gradually come into use and later, which normal utilization approximately by the summer terms. Meanwhile, we continue to expand into new city at pace.

In the fourth quarter, we entered four new cities, [indiscernible]. During the quarter, we added a net of 12 small class learning centers, three Firstleap small class learning centers and one Mobby center. We closed a net of one one-on-one learning center as cutoff our standard performance review.

By the end of February, we had 594 learning centers in 42 cities across China, of which 426 were Peiyou small class, 9 were Mobby small class, 63 were Firstleap small class and 96 were one-on-one.

Looking into Q1 of fiscal 2019, we will maintain well-paced capacity expansion with an estimated additional of 15 to 20 Peiyou small class learning centers. Moving now to our online business, fourth quarter revenue from xueersi.com grew by 158.6% in US dollars year-over-year, while online course enrolments grew by 127.2% year over year.

The growth momentum of online continues to be very strong due to the success of live broadcasting. Online contributed 8% of total revenues this quarter, compared to 5% in the same year ago period. As the first mover and leading player in going live online on xueersi.com, we are very confident about the long term opportunities of live broadcasting.

Finally, other revenues are mostly from online advertising business. It represented 1% of the total revenue versus 0.6% in the same period of last fiscal year 2017. Now, I’d like to brief recap full fiscal 2018. Net revenue grew by 64.4% in the fiscal year 2018, reflecting strong market demand for our services.

Growth was driven by an 89.3% enrolment increase and supported by well-paced expansion of small class classroom capacity in our widening geographical network.

For the whole year of fiscal 2018, we increased the number of small class classrooms by 2373, a healthy overall capacity increase of 30% year over year compared to fiscal year 2017 capacity expansion. We entered 12 new cities in the year to reach a total of 42 cities. We made strong progress in course diversification as we had planned.

Enrolment growth for English and the Chinese courses had outpaced the enrolment growth for our core maths and science courses. Core maths and science still account for the majority of the revenue. We are seeing increased revenue contribution from other subjects.

Non-GAAP operating margin in fiscal 2018 was 14.9%, a modest decline from 16.4% in fiscal year 2017. Due to our increased investment on online business development and partly offset by continued margin recovery of our offline small class business and improvement of the capacity fulfillment in the second half of the year.

All in all, in fiscal 2018, we managed to deliver growth based on expansion and technology based innovation, while striking a strategic balance between current and future growth opportunities. Let me now go through some other key financial points for the fourth quarter of fiscal year 2018.

In the quarter, small class ASP decreased by 9.9% in USD terms year over year. The decrease was mainly caused by significant enrolment contribution from Peiyou online of which the price is much lower than Peiyou offline classes. Meanwhile, ASP of Peiyou normal offline small classes increased by low single digits percent.

Zhikang one-on-one ASP in US dollar terms increased by 21.4% due to the gradual price increase in the previous quarters and the following exchange rate effects. Online course ASP decreased by 21% in US dollar terms in the fourth quarter mainly due to the promotion activities.

Cost of revenue increased by 56% to $246.7 million from $158.1 million in the same quarter one year ago. The increase in cost of revenue was mainly due to an increase in teacher compensation and the rental costs.

Non-GAAP cost of revenue, which included share based compensation expenses, increased by 56% to $246.6 million from $158 million in the same year ago period. In the fourth fiscal quarter, gross profit was $257.4 million, up by 62.7 year over year from $158.2 million in the same year ago period.

Gross margin for the fourth quarter was 51.1% as compared to 50% for the same period of last year. Operating income increased by 54% to $66.9 million. Non-GAAP operating income increased by 47.7% year over year to $79.5 million.

Other income was $3.2 million for the fourth quarter of fiscal year 2018 compared to other expense of $52,700 [ph] in the fourth quarter of fiscal year 2017. Income tax expense was $8.7 million in the fourth quarter of fiscal year 2018 compared to $8.9 million same year ago period.

Basic and diluted net income per ADS were $0.13 and $0.12 respectively in the fourth quarter of fiscal year 2018. Non-GAAP basic and non-GAAP diluted net income per ADS were $0.15 and $0.14 respectively.

For the balance sheet, as of February 28, 2018, we had a total of $1498.9 million in cash, cash equivalents and short term investments, compared to $699.7 million as of February 28, 2017. Capital expenditures for the fourth fiscal quarter were $30.8 million, representing an increase of $8.4 million from $22.4 million in the same year ago period.

The increase was mainly due to leasehold improvements and the purchase of several computers, software system and added hardware for the accompanying teaching facilities and the mobile network research and developments.

As of February 28, 2018, the company’s deferred revenue balance was $842.3 million compared to $518.9 million as of February 28, 2017, representing an increase of approximately 62.3%.

Deferred revenue primarily consisted of the tuition collected in advance for spring semester of small classes, as well as the deferred revenue related to other businesses. Now, I will hand the call back to Mr.

Luo to discuss our strategic goals for the fiscal 2019, including our investment priorities and provide a business outlook for the next quarter. Rong please..

Rong Luo

Thank you, Echo. I would like to give you our outlook and priorities for fiscal year 2019. In the coming year, we expect to maintain healthy growth in Peiyou small class and other offline tutoring services and further expand our learning center networks at pace.

Given the capacity fulfilment improvements we have achieved in the past few quarters, we expect to see improved operating efficiencies in fiscal 2019 in our core offline small class business compared to fiscal 2018.

Online business development and winning more market share of our online tutoring market is and will be our strategic focus in the coming years. In fiscal 2019, we will continue to invest in technology, operating models, marketing and personnel for online market share gains, so that we can turn opportunity in to our business.

While this strategy may be margin dilutive in the short term, I would believe now is the time to capitalize on our first mover competitive advantages as the online market is taking off.

TAL’s mission is to promote education progress through sensing the technology and we remain committed to exploring the possibilities of technology based educational reform.

This year, we will further develop our learning management system and data to personalize the learning experience, making more fun and effective with the same top quality tutoring that TAL is known for. We will continue to ramp pilots in the AI other cutting edge areas of educational technology to create innovative ways to better serve our customers.

Also, we will further upgrade our xueersi cloud based learning platform and manage the increase in services demands on the platform.

And last but not least, we’re determined to expand our online reach across a wider spectrum of the Chinese market, both by penetrating deeper into the lower tier cities, where our brain is less well known and in sub areas of the top tier cities. We believe these efforts altogether will help us widening our competitive edge in education market.

Let me now move to the outlook for the next quarter. Based on our current estimates, total net revenues for the first quarter of fiscal year 2019 is expected to be between $508.6 million and $550 million, representing an increase of 58% to 60% on a year over year basis. This estimate reflects our current estimations which is subject to change.

That concludes my prepared remarks. Operator, we’re now ready to take questions..

Operator

[Operator Instructions] Our first question comes from the line of Mark Li from Citibank..

Mark Li

Hi, management. Congratulations on the very strong results. I have two questions.

I want to know number one is what is our plan for capacity expansion for the upcoming quarter or for the upcoming financial year, any color would be appreciated? And also, I want to know what is the update in our recently launched VIPX [ph], like the online operation or our investment in data?.

Rong Luo

Thank you, Mark. The first question about capacity. Let me recap a little bit what we have done in the past few years. I think the year fiscal 2017, we increased our capacity by more than 80% and last year, fiscal year of 17 Q4 and Q1 of fiscal year 2018, we continued to increase around 1500 customers per quarter, which is a lot.

And in the second quarter, we decided to control a little bit. So the second quarter, we only increased the customer numbers by around 480 to 490. In Q3, we further controlled pace and in last year Q3, we only added I think it’s around 68 classrooms for Q3. And Q4, we believe that the right timing for us to, we have to adjust our pace already.

So Q4, we continue to increase a little bit in classroom numbers, which is 284. So for the whole year of fiscal 2018, we increased our capacity by around 30%. And looking forward to next year, again, our goal is to manage healthy growth.

So we’ll come back to the right range, which is around 30% to 50% in the coming five years and that’s more similar to what we did this year. In Q1, by the end of today, we have added around 15 to 20 learning centers. We probably, we can see a little bit more in the coming May, because which is prepared for the summer term.

So in general, we will maintain a healthy pace to adding more capacities and which were in line with, we do a lot of efforts to increase the classroom fulfilment range to try to leverage the classrooms we have added in the past few quarters.

Even this quarter, fulfilment expense is compared to this, the quarter this year, and the quarter last year, which would still have some space. We can improve. And so which is in general, which we will control a little bit in the pace of capacity expansions and make sure our company is still in very healthy range.

And second question about the VIPX, actually VIPX is only branding improvement. We changed the name. We have offered the services before. We called it before and now we pick the cost in this new offering as we use more and more the teachers from US. So we decided to change the name a little bit.

But, which is still quite healthy from what we invested in that, because the VIPX, even today, they will mainly focus on our current students. So, we will try to provide some services, highly related to our offline courses and to our current students, while data is completely in the much bigger space.

So we believe, these two companies can have a lot of synergies and can share a lot of things in common, because the market is huge, not only apps. And so in general, we believe we could leverage all the things we have today to make things a little bit different than today..

Operator

The next question comes from the line of Thomas Chong from Credit Suisse..

Thomas Chong

Thanks for taking my questions. My question is about the revenue growth and margin expectation for FY19.

Can management provide some more color about the growth in each segment as well the margin pull forward for offline and online?.

Rong Luo

Thank you, Thomas. This is a very good question and looking forward to the fiscal ’19, the coming year, actually, our principle, our strategy is very clear. In the first place, for the small class and one-on-one business, our key strategy is to maintain the healthy and stable growth.

So especially for the small class, we wish you will come back to the range around 30% to 50% top line perspective. And because, past few quarters, we added a lot of classrooms, we have hired a lot of teachers, now, we put them into use gradually. So we probably can see, we can see some good news coming from margin perspective.

And for the whole year, we are committed to increase the efficiencies of the small class and one-on-one business and we’re going to see some margin improvements over there, which is also quite clear in Q1.

But at the same time, online, I think the coming one or two years is the very critical time for the online and we may come, it’s a huge market, considering we have around 150 million students. So our goal for online is to have more market share. Last year, our online revenue growth is more than 160%.

This year, we continue to, we wish we can remain the very rapid growth and healthily. So we will continue to invest in some areas in online to make sure we can get more market share. The first place is, we will continue to invest in technology and research, including content, including new systems and new technologies.

In the past few years, we have done a lot of things, for example, learning management systems that come with automations and we have launched the xueersi cloud. And but all of this compared to the traditional tutorings in the past is a huge improvement, but compared to the ideal stage, as we are still in the very beginning sections.

So, in the coming years, we continue to invest in, for example, AI technologies, not only in the facial, but also in the speech, in the writing and even more how we can develop some more self-attached learning platform and products to the students, because we will have huge market over there, a lot of geographies, different level of maturity in education and different level of the results that they have.

So online, the new technologies, the only way we can increase our efficiency and be more scalable in the future, if we want to manage and get more market share.

And I will show one example is, as the whole group, not only for the online, but including small class, one on one, for the whole group, today, we had over 4000 people focused on content development, product development, IT personnel and our target is, coming to the five years, we increased this team number from 4000 to 10,000, so which is the pace we need to invest.

Only through the investment in technology, only through the new system, new platform, that’s the only way for us to show scalable and to power more students from the much bigger geographic channel.

Secondly, not only, besides the technologies, we also need to do that investment in marketing and in offline, being small, is only to do too much on marketing because the parents can see themselves and they can feel our outcomes directly, but online is a little bit different, especially when we come to the lower tiered cities, xueersi, now that, we’ve always seen in tier 1 and tier 2 cities and secondly is even today, not only for us, even for all the tutoring players in this market, we didn’t figure out a most effective, or maybe most correct way or channel to touch the all students across more than 35 premises in China.

So, we need to invest in online marketing and offline marketing, but most of it will be online marketing.

We need to touch and pilot different channels under a way, series control on our strategy and our team who is doing online marketing and all of this is, they’re learning so fast, they are making a lot of progress, but firstly speaking, our marketing for us is now, is kind of new tool, so we definitely, we will face some time in this, make sure the team can adapt to the worries of the steep learning curve to make sure we can leverage all the investments [Technical Difficulty] very important time, we need to penetrate, we need to give our offers to the younger students.

When they get used to our offer, and they will stay with us for a much longer time.

And so in general, I think in a much expected Q1, which will be okay, almost flat and for the full year, depending on the progress in the second quarter in summer promotion time, but I as a CFO, I would like to remind you guys to be more conservative in the margin studies, maybe in some cases, we will decline the margin a little bit, but this range will now be bigger than what we experienced in the fiscal year 2018.

In the fiscal year 2018, we declined our op margin by around 1.5 points, so fiscal 19, we will narrow that and we want to give you a kind of conservative case to and in the first place and we will update you in the second quarter, in the second quarter earning call, when we come in to the real time of summer promotions, which is more data, but in today’s strategy, I wish I could maybe breakthrough some online, and we’re gradually and we’re prepared to decline margin a little bit to accelerate our top line in courses online..

Operator

The next question comes from the line of Natalie Wu from CICC..

Natalie Wu

You mentioned a couple of quarters ago that online business margin would be 5% to 10% higher than offline because of the teachers and rental savings in longer term.

But given all the investment plans for R&D, et cetera as well as all that private money prices in to the field recently, just curious if management would still maintain a longer term margin target for online at current point? And also, would be great if you can also share with us your thoughts and plans on TAL’s globalization? Thank you..

Rong Luo

Thank you, Natalie. In the first place, let me clarify. We never said online could be 5% to 10% margin better than offline. We never say that. I think we said that before is for the fiscal year 2018, online margin will be around 5% to 10% and final number of online margin this year actually is higher than that.

And when we talk about online’s long term margin change, I think the first question we need to answer is what is our strategy position in our online.

And this will only choose online as one of the segment, as one of the complementary services, should offline and then we probably will only need to maintain maybe a fairly flat revenue growth, for example, it will be 80% or 90%, which is a little bit fast than offline. And in that case, I think we would still have more than 10% margins.

And same as where we were last year. And but that’s why I mentioned just not.

When we, it is a huge market, purely offline learning centers can only penetrate [indiscernible] which has to be conservative, grow a little bit faster, which is good enough and save some money, increase the margin, which will make the margin lose, okay, on maybe a little bit better in the one or two years’ time, but if we pull a business in five or 10 years’ time, we’re missing the whole future.

The second thing is, even today, we have our margin more than 10%, but compared to the huge market space, we want to penetrate, we need to invest more in the marketing dollar perspective in RMB perspective, in the teacher assistance perspective, to build out capabilities to penetrate more spaces and more geographies and more people.

And the shortening investment for which would cost us some, maybe few quarters to cut together, but if we put them in sort of five years’ time in much longer landscape, we believe that’s the right strategy for the company to go. So we are a company who try to drive the growth target to provide more offerings to all the students.

Today, our offering is more. I think the price of offering for the whole year is around RMB4000 to RMB5000. But in an ideal case, we need to have much, maybe diversified product portfolios, not only $1000, but also $100, even maybe several hundred RMBs products.

So we need to continue to leverage the platform to leverage and continue to improve our products to provide the kind of appropriate products to different level of the customers all over the country. So, again, as management, we believe we are, education company, we are not only driven by margin, we’re not only driven by profit.

We also have some responsibilities to have more people, have more students, especially the students who are not in top cities, but they still wait to have the opportunities to receive the best course to children. So even the online, maybe in the future, we have the prosperity, we could have much higher margin in offline.

We, as a company will never pursue the too high margins. All of this kind of margins are approached and we can get, we will use them to develop more diversified products. We will use them to invest in our IT and technology to make sure we can move things forward.

And we will continue to commit to our mission as one allocation source and technology to try to leverage what we have, to try to build out a new generation and a new format of learning in the future. So for online in general is, we want to get more market share, we wish we could achieve the top end of our revenue growth in online.

We don’t have any intention to pursue a much higher margins in online than offline and we only ask for the reasonable margins, but we can cover more people, we can have more students.

The second question is about globalization, right?.

Natalie Wu

And also quickly to clarify, do you mean that the longer term in stable business, your online business will be still the same versus offline currently?.

Rong Luo

You mean the margin of online will be the same as margin offline in the much longer term..

Natalie Wu

Yes. That is right..

Rong Luo

I have no idea. Firstly, I have no idea. What I can say is we only ask for reasonable margins for online, but the target is to leverage the online to get more market share. If some good news happen, we will be very good to see that, but today, I don’t have any plan to say the online margin need to be the same as offline margins..

Natalie Wu

So about the globalization?.

Rong Luo

About the globalization, I think looking backwards, in the China’s education industry, we don’t see any companies being globalized that much, even our counterparties, opposite to the street.

And but we believe when China is getting more and more power and wait us long for the payers in education side, we have the possibility to explore some opportunities obviously.

For example, we are seeing like the UK has used Shanghai’s maths text books to teach their kids and also see more and more countries come to China to learn, what’s the best way to teach maths and other subjects. So we are pleased maybe that there is some possibility for us to serve the students not only in China, but also overseas.

But at the same time, that is not easy and first place, we don’t have a team readily over here and in the past our team is focused on the, learn maths and Chinese, English speaking employees are for our company is still a very small percentage. And we don’t have any experience before to acquire some foreign countries directly.

So we don’t have kind of the team ready today. So, even if we want to be more globalized, we want to do more international business, but we need to be very cautious and step by step approach.

So two to three years ago, we started to do some investments in foreign countries including US, Israel and India and we have invested some projects over there, which is minority stake. And this year, we continue to look for some opportunities in these countries.

And with more experience we get from the past projects, today, we are a little bit more confident on this, but again, we still in the very early stage, which is very important priority, but we will run all of this new initiatives in a step by step approach to be very cautious about that..

Operator

The next question comes from the line of Sheng Zhong from Morgan Stanley..

Sheng Zhong

I have two questions. One is a follow-up of the margin related with online business. So they are a couple of detailed questions, sorry. So I see the SG&A cost was as a percentage of revenue was, have a year on year decline. Actually, this is after many years G&A increase. So I guess this is also about our online business, the leverage level.

Please confirm or correct me if I’m wrong. So related with this, I’m just curious how should we see the channel of G&A cost with the growing size of our online business? And related with this, what’s and also our effective tax rate was very low this quarter.

Is it also partly because of the online business lower tax rate and can you also give some color on the current teacher to student ratio of our online business or in other way is on average, in one online classes, one teacher, the class size of the online classes on average now and what’s t retention rate of our current online segment? And the second question is you mentioned that we do, we have the subject expansion.

Can you give some breakdown of our current subject percentage and also the student’s grades percentage? So primary student and middle school percentage?.

Rong Luo

The first one for G&A percentage of revenue, the G&A mainly is because we hired the IT person, product managers on and the development people over here. As far as the G&A percentage costs, if you still remember two to three years ago, actually, we had a lot, because that’s the timing to build a team.

So we have a lot of people from BAT to come and join our team to do our products. And so at that time, G&A is declining. And all of this, especially at that time, we focus a lot on our business. So when the product is system is almost ready there and considering our top line still grow by 60%, so even we continue to invest to hire more people.

But the G&A percent we expect, it looks okay. And for our key investments actually, we will – coming to the sales and marketing and because especially for online, the most important investment, the biggest investment in online may be in marketing perspective. And so that’s the very important and we also run in some promotions in online.

For example, one pilot has for RMB50. So all of this, so we probably can see that and that will impact our cost line and our sales and marketing. And for the ETR, which is around 80% this year, and that’s because, that has worried lead hole related to the online, because the online today is only 8% of my revenue.

That’s because we have some legal entities who is eligible to enjoying the rates treatment based on the law. And so, this is normal tax planning and last year, we had one entity, which is of the go policy. And now we have new entities who comes and joins the policies which is fully compliant with the law in government. So, that’s the two reasons.

And we foresee this year, effective tax rate will be a little bit similar to last year. And the cost side of the online actually, that’s because online actually, we don’t have physical classrooms, so the class size actually is the virtue.

So for example, you have 5000 students come to rest of the one class, we’re virtually dividing them by two maybe 100 or maybe 90 virtual classes and the teacher system, online for this to first detail, the learning process.

So today, we have seen actually, our teacher can cover more and more students and at the same time, with the improvements of the new technologies and we foresee, we will continue to improve one teacher can cover more students at the same time, even in online environments in the future.

The retention rate for online, which is also quite good and prerecorded contents, which is two to three years ago, the retention of pre-recording content is quite low, I think is around 30% to 35%. And now, majority of my online business to live already. So the live retention rate is much higher and in some cases, even similar level to our offline.

So we continue to foresee the higher retention coming from live will contribute to our, both the top line and the margins in the much longer term.

And your second specific question about the subject split, the grade split, what I can say is, even today, maths still is more than half of our business, but we are very good to see, by the end of the day, we have offered the Chinese class in around 13 cities, the English class by around 20 cities.

So the percentage of the Chinese and English is quickly ramping higher. The revenue growth of Chinese and English is much faster than maths. And in the grade level, today, still, more than half is still coming from the primary school students.

Which is also I think, you probably need to benchmark to the demographics of Chinese population data and actually we’re seeing is more and more students coming from primary school. And so, we’re also seeing in some new places we have to enter, we also starting from primary school, so still more than half coming from the primary school.

So when a student, they came to our class, when they are very young, they would stay with us much longer term, which is very beneficial to our business. And so, that’s kind of the general information and strategy and good level for information..

Operator

We have the next question from the line of Edwin Chen from UBS..

Edwin Chen

Just, you kept mentioning online as a top priority now and does the, I was wondering between online and the dual teacher, if online is now first priority, does that mean that the dual teacher will be lesser focused and the rollout of dual teacher may slow down.

And two is, just whether online is targeting on the same customer groups as offline small classes or in a way, is there any cannibalization between online and offline small classes, given that online margin and ASP are much lower than offline.

And three is, probably just a thought, online is growing fast and now is revenue size is already big enough, why not just considering spinoff of online business, so that the method of tail will focus on the margins of offline, that’s a concern.

Online and online itself can enjoy a better valuation, I do believe probably now is hit in overall, so just three questions. Thank you..

Rong Luo

Okay. Yeah. Thanks for the questions. The first one, the online and dual teacher models. I think that past three years, I talk about a lot of things about dual teacher models.

So even today, if you go into see all the new cities we enter, starting from three quarters ago, they are dual teacher model cities and we continue to increase and then the new capacity, new classroom, we have added, more and more percentage are going to dual teacher models.

Dual teacher model is a very important model for small class to increase their coverage or reach to a much bigger space and which is also very important. Sometimes, as the company is very difficult to say who is number one priority, who is number two, because small class and online are running their own plans.

So their authorities to decided where they are going. So the dual teacher model is also very important, but compared to online, the dual teacher model is much more stable and mature.

All we need to do is continue to add more classrooms and give them around 12 months for one class room or for one learning center to be breakeven and get them enough time for the parents and teachers to get used to this new format and wait to follow the growth pattern exactly as the same as what we experienced in offline.

So, for dual teacher model, our key is to do the, as tuitions stable. And secondly about the, so that doesn’t mean, I will slow down or have a less focus or dual teachers. No. What I want to say, they will focus on their own executions and will contribute to the meaningful contributions maybe in the coming few quarters.

Secondly, customer cannibalizations. In the first place actually, today, even we have more than 570 plus, still we only cover a very small percentages of the students in this marketing.

Even in Beijing, which is, we’re running the business here much longer and we have more than 70 learning centers in Beijing, but we still only cover around 5% to 10% of students. Looking around, for example a sub area of Beijing, we only have 2 to 3 learning centers. So we still have a lot of widespace markets.

We are offline and our dual teacher cannot penetrate. Secondly, even today, we are penetrating around 42 cities, but more so still around tier 2 cities. And much bigger space, much bigger teacher, we probably can see, we have 150 million students. So online is a very good offering, will be very exciting for us to penetrate today.

And based on the information and the data we have today, we don’t see a huge number or maybe a meaningful number of students, our online enrollments are coming from offline. We don’t see that.

So we see more and more synergies actually is, we see online become a worry, be complementary to the offline, which can help us to penetrate the spaces in the geographies where we don’t have any presence before. So personally and we still believe the online is very good and we don’t see any kind of cannibalizations to our offline business.

And sometimes I don’t want to use for offline is because in small cost today, where we just have a lot of new systems, IPS, live, ITS, ICS are there and we have built out a lot of online and offline learning circles in our small class business. So they still have classrooms, but they’re not traditional offline.

They’re kind of upgraded level, the new type of blending learning in our classrooms. So sometimes, the lending of online and offline sometimes is maybe too general. And online will target the area of cities and much lower tiered cities. Well, the products will be a little bit different. Pricing will also be different.

So we believe all our business will be kind of very good complementary services to the whole group. And question about why now the split of online, I guess you probably learn from our counterparties.

What I can say, here, our whole management, we don’t play any kind of different market evaluation game and online is our very important initiative in growth studies. If we don’t do online, our offline and the small class offline business will never change will never evolve as fast as what they see today.

If we go back to see, five years ago, when we first did try the online and we also built the [indiscernible] has reenergized the xueersi online school and in center of them to convert from a prerecorded content to live.

And the success will have achieved in the xueersi online school have also given a lot of kind of good news or maybe pressures to the offline business to the small class, so which has led to a lot of new changes and new improvements in technology and content for the small class business. So all of this business are being integrated as one.

So we only have one player. We don’t have too many different segments.

And all the learnings and all the experience we get from online will also benchmark, will also be beneficial, the benefit to the small class business and the common development advantages we have achieved in the small class business has also contributed to the online, which has saved a lot of costs over there. So we don’t have separate hands.

We are only one. Secondly is, we are also very cautious about the, your 1970 mechanisms to our managers and to our people. So we don’t wait to see two different departments that have two different incentive schemes.

So we wish everyone can share the same vision, everyone can share the same task and we’re only, all of us can share the company’s increase in common. So everyone is working towards to the same goal, we have much bigger part than before.

So today, in the future, we don’t have any plan to split the one or two pieces of business, we are running our company as a whole. Thank you..

Operator

Thank you. Ladies and gentlemen, that does conclude our conference for today. Thank you all for your participation. You may all disconnect your lines now. Thank you..

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