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Financial Services - Banks - Regional - NYSE - US
$ 24.56
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$ 23.8 B
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10.19
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EARNINGS CALL TRANSCRIPT
EARNINGS CALL TRANSCRIPT 2015 - Q2
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Executives

List Underwood - Investor Relations Grayson Hall - Chief Executive Officer David Turner - Chief Financial Officer John Turner - Head, Corporate Banking Group Barb Godin - Chief Credit Officer.

Analysts

John Pancari - Evercore ISI Stephen Scouten - Sandler O’Neill Eric Wasserstrom - Guggenheim Securities Matt O’Connor - Deutsche Bank Sameer Gokhale - Janney Montgomery Scott Erika Najarian - Bank of America Ken Usdin - Jefferies Geoffrey Elliott - Autonomous Research Matt Burnell - Wells Fargo Gerard Cassidy - RBC Vivek Juneja - JPMorgan David Eads - UBS.

Operator

Good morning and welcome to the Regions Financial Corporation’s Quarterly Earnings Call. My name is Paula and I will be your operator for today’s call. [Operator Instructions] I will now turn the call over to Mr. List Underwood to begin..

List Underwood

Thank you, operator and good morning everyone. We appreciate your participation on our call today. Our presenters this morning are Grayson Hall, our Chief Executive Officer and David Turner, our Chief Financial Officer. Other members of management are present as well and available to answer questions as appropriate.

Also, as part of our earnings call, we will be referencing a slide presentation that is available under the Investor Relations section of regions.com.

Finally, let me remind you that in this call and potentially in the Q&A that follows, we may make forward-looking statements, which reflect our current views with respect to future events and financial performance. For further details, please reference our forward-looking statement that is located in the appendix section of the presentation.

Grayson?.

Grayson Hall

commercial banking, corporate banking and real estate banking. Within real estate, real estate corporate banking and our REIT business growth was particularly strong.

Commercial and corporate growth reflects the strength of our business model as local bankers’ partner with industry and product specialists, particularly in Regions Business Capital, government institutional banking, healthcare and restaurant banking to grow our loan portfolio.

We also had a strong quarter in consumer lending with growth in every loan category. Of note, the home equity portfolio balances increased for the first time in more than 6 years. Also, new point-of-sale loan product offerings drove additional growth in consumer lending.

Further, we continued to diversify non-interest income as most categories achieved growth in second quarter demonstrating that Regions360 and our investments are beginning to pay off.

Adjusted non-interest revenue increased 7% from the previous quarter, reflecting growth in mortgage, capital markets and card and ATM fees in addition to deposit-related service charges. We continued to refine our retail network strategy as we identified certain parcels of undeveloped land that have been purchased for future branch expansion.

We no longer intend to build on these sites, which resulted in additional expense in the second quarter. At the same time, our occupancy expenses declined due in part to branch consolidations executed in prior periods. This quarter also included some legal and regulatory-related matters that impacted earnings.

First, we recorded a charge related to a contingent legal and regulatory item for previously disclosed matters. And second, we received an insurance recovery related to the settlement of a previously disclosed class action lawsuit. During the quarter, asset quality was stable to improving.

Net charge-offs, non-performing loans, troubled debt restructurings all declined. The provision for loan losses increased and exceeded net charge-offs. This increase was primarily attributable to loan growth and reflects the results of the recently completed Shared National Credit exam.

We are continuing to monitor our energy portfolio and have experienced some downward risk rating migration. If oil prices remain at low levels for an extended period of time, additional migration is likely. We are however staying engaged with our customers and taking necessary actions as appropriate.

Before I turn it over to David, let me mention that we are extremely proud that we were the recipient of two prestigious honors this quarter. First, we were recognized by the Reputation Institute and the American Banker Magazine as having the highest reputation with our customers among U.S. banks.

And second, we were honored by Gallup as one of the Best Places to Work. These honors provided strong evidence that our focus on building a culture based on our core values is resonating with our associates and with our customers. We are also focused on delivering strong financial results and equally important is how we obtain these results.

The principle is central to fulfilling our mission of creating share value for our customers, associates, communities and shareholders. With that, I will now turn it over to David who will cover the details for the second quarter..

David Turner Senior EVice President & Chief Financial Officer

Thank you and good morning everyone. I will take you through the second quarter details and then wrap up with our expectations for the remainder of 2015. Loan balances totaled $80 billion at the end of the second quarter, up $1.9 billion or 2% from the previous quarter. Year-to-date, loans have increased $2.8 billion, or 4%.

Business lending achieved solid growth as balances in this portfolio totaled $51 billion at the end of the quarter, an increase of 3%. Linked quarter production was strong, increasing 29%. Commercial and industrial loans grew $1.7 billion, or 5%. And as Grayson noted, all three businesses within business lending experienced growth.

Also, line utilization increased 97 basis points and commitments increased 3%. Consumer lending also had a strong quarter. Loans in this portfolio totaled $30 billion, an increase of 2% and production increased 24% linked quarter. Mortgage loan balances increased $171 million and production increased 26% linked quarter.

Indirect lending for vehicles increased 2% as production increased 12% and other indirect lending increased $111 million linked quarter and was driven by new partnership that focuses primarily on home improvement retailers.

Now, looking at the credit card portfolio, balances increased 3% from the previous quarter and our penetration rate now stands at 16.4%, an increase of 80 basis points from last year. And finally, total home equity balances increased $45 million from the previous quarter as new production outpaced portfolio runoff in the second quarter.

Let’s take a look at deposits. Supported by our multi-channel platform, average deposit balances totaled $97 billion, an increase of $1.3 billion during the second quarter. Deposit costs remained near historical low levels at 11 basis points, while total funding costs were 25 basis points in the quarter. And let’s look how this impacted our results.

Net interest income on a fully taxable basis was $839 million, an increase of 1% from the previous quarter. Driving this increase was an additional day in the quarter, higher loan balances and a decrease in the cost of wholesale borrowings.

This was partially offset by the continued low rate environment and modest compression of spreads in the loan book. The net interest margin was primarily affected by pressure on asset yields, resulting in a 2 basis point margin decline to 3.16%.

Total non-interest income increased $120 million, which included $90 million related to insurance proceeds received in the second quarter related to a previously disclosed matter we accrued for in the fourth quarter of 2014. And this matter settled during the second quarter.

Excluding this item, adjusted non-interest income was robust, increasing 7%, reflecting our investment in and commitment to diversifying and growing fee-based revenues. Mortgage had a solid quarter as income increased 15%. Loan production volume and market valuation of mortgage servicing rights also improved.

Capital markets was a significant contributor with a $7 million quarter-over-quarter increase in fees.

This was primarily related to the placement of permanent financing for real estate customers, an increase in broker dealer revenue associated with corporate fixed income underwriting and the successful completion of our first M&A advisory engagement.

Card and ATM fees increased 6% as a result of increased debit and credit card usage as customer spending increased 7% and transactions increased 9% over the prior quarter. Commercial credit fee income increased from the previous quarter due to the reclassification from net interest income.

This lowered net interest income by $3 million, and the future run rate of commercial credit free income should be approximately $20 million. And finally, service charges increased 4%. Now let’s move on to expenses, total reported expenses in the second quarter were $934 million, which included two charges totaling $75 million.

First, as Grayson mentioned, we transferred some properties originally purchased for future branch sites to held for sale and incurred a $27 million write-down. Second, professional legal expenses totaled $71 million. However, this included $48 million net accrual for contingent legal and regulatory items for previously disclosed matters.

Importantly, based on current information, we expect the estimate of recently possible contingent losses to decrease by a significant amount. Salaries and benefits increased 4% from the previous quarter. Annual merit increases impacted expenses along with an increase in incentive compensation.

This increase is partially due to unusually low incentives in the first quarter as well as additional incentives tied to revenue growth. Outside services increased $9 million, partially related to fees paid in connection with revenue generation as well as increases in our other costs associated with risk management activities.

However, due to the nature of these expenses, we believe there are opportunities for improvement going forward. Deposit administrative fees declined from the first quarter primarily due to refunds from prior periods and the expected run rate for this line item is in the low $20 million range.

Our adjusted efficiency ratio was 64.5% in the quarter, an improvement of 40 basis points from the prior period, as we continue to make investments in talent and technology for future revenue growth and long-term efficiencies.

Our effective tax rate for the second quarter was 30.1%, which included a benefit of $7 million related to the conclusion of state and federal tax examinations. Excluding this benefit, our income tax rate would have been 31.8%.

And moving on to asset quality, total net charge-offs declined $8 million and represented 23 basis points of average loans, an improvement of five basis points. The provision for loan losses was $63 million, exceeding net charge-offs by $17 million.

And as Grayson mentioned, this increase was primarily attributable to loan growth and reflects the results of the recently completed Shared National Credit exam. Our allowance for loan losses was 1.39% at the end of the second quarter, down one basis point from the end of the first quarter.

Total commercial and investor real estate criticized and classified loans increased $126 million or 5% from the prior quarter. However, they remain relatively flat as a percentage of total loans. The increase was driven by some weakening in large within the energy and other portfolios.

Compared to the prior quarter, troubled debt restructurings or TDRs declined 7% and our non-performing notes decreased 6% linked quarter. And at quarter end, our loan loss allowance for non-performing loans or coverage ratio was 149%.

And given where we are in the credit cycle, the large dollar commercial credits in our portfolio and fluctuating commodity prices, volatility and certain credit metrics can be expected. Let’s move on to capital and liquidity. During the quarter, we repurchased $172 million or 17 million shares of common stock and declared dividends of $80 million.

During the quarter, we returned 94% of earnings back to shareholders. And under the Basel III provisions, we maintained industry-leading capital levels as the Tier 1 ratio was estimated at 12% and common equity Tier 1 was estimated at 11.2%. On a fully phased-in basis, common equity Tier 1 was estimated at 11%.

Liquidity at both the bank and holding company remains solid with a low loan-to-deposit ratio of 83%. And regarding the liquidity coverage ratio, Regions remains well positioned to be fully compliant with the January 2016 implementation deadline.

It is important to note that no major balance sheet initiatives are expected in order for us to be compliant. So let me give you a brief review of the expectations for the remainder of 2015. We continue to expect total loan growth in the 4% to 6% range on a point-to-point basis.

However, if current momentum continues, we should skew towards the higher end of that range. Regarding deposits, we continue to expect full year average deposit growth in the 1% to 2% range. And with respect to margin, our expectations for the year are essentially unchanged and we look for margin to remain relatively stable over the balance of 2015.

However, we anticipate net interest income growth under our baseline expectations for loan growth and an increase in interest rates later in the year. Finally, we expect to continue to benefit from revenue initiatives, while at the same time, prudently managing our expenses and we remain committed to generating positive operating leverage over time.

The second quarter was evidence of our continued momentum in 2015 and we remain focused on executing our financial priorities of diversifying revenue, generating positive operating leverage and effectively deploying our capital. With that, we thank you for your time and attention this morning.

And I will turn it back over to List for instructions on the Q&A portion of the call..

List Underwood

Thank you, David. We are ready to begin the Q&A session of our call. In order to accommodate as many participants as possible this morning, I would like to ask each caller to please limit your self to one primary question and one related follow-up question. Now let’s open up the line for questions, operator..

Operator

[Operator Instructions] Your first question comes from the line of John Pancari of Evercore ISI..

Grayson Hall

Good morning John..

John Pancari

Good morning.

Question on the margin again, Dave thanks for the guidance there – for your expectations for relatively stable, just – how would you define that, is that give or take a couple of basis points and if so is it fair to assume just given this rate environment, that we continue to see some modest degradation, maybe a couple of bps a quarter or so, until we get the Fed really move in?.

David Turner Senior EVice President & Chief Financial Officer

So John, you are right. We have tried to maintain the definition of relatively stable throughout this last year or so as one to two points either side of where we are right now.

And so when we say that that’s what we are looking for the remainder of the year, obviously if we get rates turning on us a little bit and we have the loan growth send the message on the NII growth that we expect to have. And we should see margin move in that direction. But right now, our call is relatively stable for the remainder of the year..

John Pancari

Okay, alright. And then separately on the expense side, I know you had initially given some efficiency ratio expectations and you are talking about the low-60s by the end of ‘15 and I am wondering how you feel about that at this point and then also, high-50s or so in ‘16, I am wondering if that is still something that you view as achievable..

David Turner Senior EVice President & Chief Financial Officer

Yes. We have continued to target being in the lower-60s. To get into the 50s, we do need to have a rate increase for that. Clearly, we need two things to happen, revenue increases and continued focus on expense management to get our efficiency ratio down. And we had a 40 basis point improvement in the quarter.

And I think with our internal focus on expense management and continuing to make investments in the right areas to grow our revenue, things are working out. We are moving in that direction. So, to get into the lower 60s will require us to continue on the path that we are on right now..

John Pancari

Okay.

And on that, the low 60s, you don’t need higher rates, any kind of rate hike to get to that though?.

David Turner Senior EVice President & Chief Financial Officer

We – like I said, we have forecasted to have rate increase this year and that is in our discussion and conclusion on improvement from here of our efficiency ratio..

John Pancari

Okay. Alright, thanks David..

Operator

Your next question comes from the line of Stephen Scouten of Sandler O’Neill..

Stephen Scouten

Yes, hi. Thanks guys.

I was wondering if you could give us some more color around your existing SNC portfolio, what the overall size of that portfolio is and kind of what concerns you might have coming off that SNC exam?.

Grayson Hall

Okay. If you will, I will ask Barb Godin, our Chief Credit Officer, to make a few comments on that and John Turner, Head of Corporate Banking Group. The two of them can provide color on that..

Barb Godin

The overall size of our outstanding SNC portfolio is roughly in the $16 billion range. But as it relates to the results of the SNC exam so that cannot be disclosed, that is confidential supervisory information. So, I would not say much more about that. But we are comfortable with the book in terms of the credit quality that we see in that book.

It’s very well rated. I will turn it over to John Turner to make a few more comments..

John Turner President, Chief Executive Officer & Chairman

Yes. Just in general terms, the SNC book represents a little less than 45% of our total commitments within corporate banking group. We do think it’s an important part of our business. It’s a business that we have grown some clearly over the last two or three years. And it’s a business we think that will provide us significant revenue opportunities.

As we talk about shifting the mix of revenue within the company, one of our key focuses is to grow our corporate banking to grow our capabilities to serve those customers that we are now interacting with in a more significant level as part of the Shared National Credit portfolio.

So, we view it as being very strategic and giving us an opportunity to grow significant relationships with customers who can drive NRR..

Stephen Scouten

Okay.

And then maybe one other question here, just in regards to other opportunities for capital deployment, what are you guys thinking about from an M&A perspective at this point in time? Are there any increased conversations or increased desire on you all’s part to get something done in that regard, especially given BB&T the approval of their Susquehanna deal? Does that give you any greater level of confidence or move up the timeline for potential M&A for you guys?.

David Turner Senior EVice President & Chief Financial Officer

Well, I think the first and foremost, we are focused on organic growth. We are focused on executing our business strategies and trying to build a better bank and have a better team. We are closely monitoring all M&A activity. We are preparing ourselves in the eventuality that opportunities present themselves.

We think that some of the activities in the M&A spaces of late have been constructive. We think that’s helpful as we sort of prepare our long-term strategies. That being said, at this juncture, our efforts are predominantly around preparation if opportunities present themselves, but our primary focus is growing organically..

Stephen Scouten

Okay, thanks guys. I appreciate taking my questions..

Operator

Your next question comes from the line of Eric Wasserstrom of Guggenheim Securities..

Eric Wasserstrom

Thanks very much..

Grayson Hall

Good morning, Eric..

Eric Wasserstrom

Hi, good morning. Just a couple of questions on credit quality, you were very clear on the dynamics about what led to this quarter’s provision. But as I look at the relationship of the reserve to loans, it seems to be stabilizing at around the 1.4% level, whereas some peers have continued to take it down closer to 1.25%.

And I am just wondering what you sort of view as adequate going forward if there isn’t any incremental migration in the SNC portfolio?.

David Turner Senior EVice President & Chief Financial Officer

So, it’s David. We don’t have any particular percentage that we aim for. We let the model run. There is obviously some judgment at the end of the day, but a lot of it is model-driven. When you have 23 basis points worth of charge-offs and that can continue – if that continues over time, you should see a migration down to some point.

I will tell you the loan growth we have had have been larger commercial credits. We tried to give you some color on the volatility that you can expect when you have larger credits and one of them trends negatively. We have – we feel good about the reserve. We feel good about our overall credit quality and trends and our non-performer is coming down.

And – but we also have loan growth that we have to provide for. When you mix all that together, if we can continue to see a reduction in non-performers and a reduction in charge-offs, you would expect the coverage to come down, but we need to see that on a quarter-by-quarter basis and let our model run..

Grayson Hall

No, it’s got to be – we are committed to a very data-driven process and we are letting the data drive that number. We are – as David said, we are not targeting a particular ratio. But instead, we are targeting a process where we evaluate the credit quality of our portfolio and let the data drive that decision..

Barb Godin

However, I don’t think it will go back to the old days of the goal of 1%. There will be a new floor established at some point, but it will not go back we don’t believe to those pre-recession levels..

Eric Wasserstrom

Great, thanks. That’s very clear.

And just one quick follow-up obviously an outstanding quarter on the brokerage and investment banking line item, how do you suggest we think about sort of the sustainable run-rate of revenues in those business lines going forward?.

Grayson Hall

Well, there is really – I think in a lot of ways, it’s very important quarter for us. We really saw growth across – more broadly across our markets and more broadly across products. We have been making a number of investments in parts of our business that grow non-interest revenue.

We have really started to see the traction that those businesses are able to gain in this market. We believe that their contributions will continue to increase. And when you look at the growth across the company, it’s very encouraging, just starting to be reflected into the numbers, but very promising as we look forward.

And David, do you want to chime in a little more over?.

David Turner Senior EVice President & Chief Financial Officer

Yes, we were encouraged with – as Grayson mentioned, we have made investments in people. We got our first M&A transaction. We are looking at growing that space. We have made an investment in the Fannie Mae DUS license not quite a year ago. That’s paying off for us. So, these investments that we have made, we feel good about the continued improvement.

There was nothing in revenue that causes us to believe there was a one-time issue there in terms of favorability that won’t repeat. We are looking to continue to grow that. The pace of which depends on the businesses that we can execute. So, we are very encouraged by that in our NRR growth and how broad it was..

Eric Wasserstrom

Great, thanks very much..

Operator

Your next question comes from the line of Matt O’Connor of Deutsche Bank..

Grayson Hall

Good morning, Matt..

Matt O’Connor

Good morning.

Can you guys provide the premium amortization within the bond book this quarter and maybe how that compares to previous periods?.

David Turner Senior EVice President & Chief Financial Officer

So, we are at $41 million this past quarter, Matt. It was about $2 million different than previous quarter..

Matt O’Connor

$2 million lower, I would assume?.

David Turner Senior EVice President & Chief Financial Officer

That’s right..

Matt O’Connor

Okay.

And then just I mean looking forward, does that drop more significantly if the backup in rates holds here?.

David Turner Senior EVice President & Chief Financial Officer

I think we are showing a relatively stable kind of a moderation of that premium amortization from here..

Matt O’Connor

Okay. And just I mean in terms of why that would be, is it just – there are some banks out there where it’s really sensitive quarter-to-quarter and I think yours incorporates both the rate outlook and the actual prepayment.

So, is it just a little bit of a smoother impact than maybe some other banks?.

David Turner Senior EVice President & Chief Financial Officer

Yes, I think others can have a different method of amortization. Ours are fairly – should be fairly resilient, like I said from here. We used to have our premium amortization was a much bigger impact to us, but our total premiums that exist in the book is down.

We also have more 15-year product, so it’s a little less impactful to us than perhaps some others..

Matt O’Connor

Okay.

And then just separately the deposit service charges, obviously nice bounce linked quarter there, probably on seasonality, but as you think about you implementing some of the changes you have talked about, I think it’s the high to low and some other, just provide an update of that, the magnitude and the timing and if there has been any change versus what you thought maybe six months ago?.

David Turner Senior EVice President & Chief Financial Officer

So, our service charge – that was seasonality that you saw, if you compare it year-over-year, the main difference between the prior year had already advanced product in there that you know we are out of that product now. We have continued to investigate changing of our posting order. We still are committed to that effect on us.

When we implement, being the $10 million to $15 million range, we expect to implement that towards the latter part of the year, so we haven’t changed our timing from our last call. But you should see that go in the latter part of this year. So there will be some impact in ‘15..

Grayson Hall

Additionally, Matt, we have seen steady growth in consumer checking accounts since the first of the year. And so as we continue to grow accounts and that gives us an opportunity to continue to grow that line item, so pretty encouraging news in that regard..

Matt O’Connor

Okay, thank you very much. Thanks for taking my questions..

Operator

Your next question comes from the line of Sameer Gokhale of Janney Montgomery Scott..

Grayson Hall

Good morning, Sameer..

Sameer Gokhale

Hi, good morning. Thanks for taking my questions.

Just on the last question you got, the follow-up on that, to clarify I think that you have switched or switching to a chronological format for posting order, is that right or are you doing high to low I thought – I just want to clarify that?.

Grayson Hall

Chronological..

Sameer Gokhale

Okay..

Grayson Hall

And to the extent possible, I think chronological in the purest sense is not possible, but chronological to the degree the transactions allow us to do that..

Sameer Gokhale

Yes – no, I understand. There seems to be a lot of complexity and lack of clarity around exactly what the final rules will be. But just to kind of further flesh that out, I was curious as to your adoption of the chronological order, because in talking to other banks, it seems like many of them have not yet done anything.

They are waiting for the final rules to come out.

And if and when the final – when the final rules come out, if they are different from what you kind of implemented, then would you need to change that again, so I am just trying to get a sense for the thought process there and kind of going ahead with the chronological process – the chronological order?.

Grayson Hall

Yes. Sameer I mean as we think through it, we are absolutely focused on trying to serve our customers in the way that we believe to be appropriate, and we think there is a growing perception on the part of customers that some type of chronological based posting is a more appropriate way to go.

We are in close communication with the regulatory authorities about faults on process, faults on posting and we appreciate that that may change on us. We believe we are building the process that we are almost all of our transactions will be time order posted. That being said, because of the complexity of posting, you never quite get the perfection.

But we believe this is the right thing to do, and so we are pressing ahead with it. As David said, right now our project plans would have us completing that this year. And so we are on schedule to do that. And if changes occur in subsequent quarters, we will make changes as they are deemed necessary and appropriate.

But I think we waited long enough and we feel like that it’s the right time from a purely from a customer standpoint that we need to do this.

It’s got – obviously any change can have a mixed reaction on the part of the customers and we just want to be careful that our customers – we communicate well and we are transparent and we do this not only to do the right thing, but do it the right way and so we are trying to do that..

Sameer Gokhale

Okay.

And then just a quick one if I may, I know you did talk about the home equity loans growing for the first time in a long time, I don’t know if you had mentioned what the reason for that is and if you could give us a sense for what those proceeds are used – being used for, are they being used up to pay down consumer credit cards or something else, that would be helpful? Thank you..

Grayson Hall

Well, I mean – we have been – we a few years ago we were predominantly an equity line of credit, is the product that we went to market with. I think that as you saw quite a while back, we introduced amortizing home equity loan that has proved very attractive to our customer base.

What we have seen is in this quarter when you consolidate the net of home equity lines and home equity loans, you are seeing customers did – you are seeing that pivot point where on that basis for the first time in 6 years, we have started to grow that portfolio, that’s the combination of the runoff of the equity line portfolio has slowed, and the increase in the home equity loan has increased substantially to accommodate that.

I would say anecdotally, most of the home equity loans we are making are for sort of a smaller dollar home refinance. Also home repairs and to a less degree and last on that list would be debt consolidation. Strong FICO score probably averaging close to 7, 7.78, LTV around 60%, so good product going on and I think serving our customers well..

Sameer Gokhale

That’s great. Thanks Grayson..

Operator

Your next question comes from the line of Erika Najarian of Bank of America..

Erika Najarian

Hi, good morning. I just had one follow-up question on credit. Barb, it looks like the way I am reading the charge-off breakdown, in C&I this quarter and in owner occupied CRE last quarter, the single basis point loss rate implies to me that there could be recoveries in those two categories.

And I guess, the question here as we think about provisioning and reserving going forward, is it 23 basis points to 28 basis points charge-off range that we saw in the past two quarters sustainable or given potentially outsized recoveries, should we look to the range prior to those two quarters of between 35 basis points to 40 basis points?.

Barb Godin

Yes. Erika, recoveries actually do play a role in what we saw this past quarter, but it also played a role in prior quarters.

The one thing I would caution on it, I think recoveries is, a lot of the loans that we charged off those are recoveries that we have already received as our charge-offs have come down and this was an opportunity for recoveries going forward.

The 23 points of loss that we are pretty pleased about this quarter is great, but we do believe again that that’s probably close to the bottom of where we are going to be. We might get another point to two out of it. But again, we will probably move somewhere between that 25 basis points to 35 basis point range as we think forward..

Erika Najarian

And as my – the second question to that is, how long do you think from a credit standpoint, we could stay in that 25 basis points to 35 basis point range and I guess a better way to ask that is, do you see anything near-term that could move you outside of that band?.

Barb Godin

Yes. The only thing I could see near-term at all is something that we can’t see. What – from everything that we see that’s in front of us, we feel comfortable that we will stay in that band. But again, you never know if you have some other factors that happens in the economy that will create an issue for us, and we will disclose at that time..

Erika Najarian

Got it, that’s helpful. Thank you..

Operator

Your next question comes from the line of Ken Usdin of Jefferies..

Grayson Hall

Good morning, Ken..

Ken Usdin

Thanks. Good morning, Grayson. I was wondering if I guess a question on expenses in an absolute sense.

So David, you talked about having a little room in some areas to improve, but then you talked about also the kind of normalization of that deposit administrative line, so what are the puts and takes about – in future expense growth and how much of that kind of continued investment burden, do you still bear from here?.

David Turner Senior EVice President & Chief Financial Officer

Well, I wouldn’t categorize investment as a burden. Some of that is good. Investments we are making to grow our revenue generators is a good expense. We will do that all day long and expect a return for those type of investments. I will tell you, though as we think about managing our expense base, again we got to look at salaries and benefits.

I can see furniture and fixtures in our outside services, so those four categories.

And in that, we can tighten up a little bit in terms of some of the investments we have had to make over time to deal with regulatory environment that we are facing in this banking industry things that are related to risk management, capital planning and those kinds of things that in compliance and audit. All those over time will rationalize.

And you should see some opportunities for us there. Also, as you know we have done branch consolidations in the past. That’s brought down salaries and benefits. It’s brought down furniture and fixtures. It’s brought down occupancy expense.

And while we don’t have any current plans for branch consolidations, we are continuing to look at our branch footprint as part of our retail network strategy to ensure that channel is optimized that we will make investments where appropriate and we’ll tighten up other areas that – other branches where the revenue generation isn’t strong enough for us.

And then lastly, I will tell you we have a number of Six Sigma initiatives underway in our company. Firstly, every department has an obligation to look at how they can become more efficient. We haven’t had a named expense initiative as you know, but internally, we have an intense focus on expense management.

And so there is not an expense that is off the radar screen, but the areas we will move the meter of those four, five areas I mentioned..

Ken Usdin

And I – sorry, go ahead, Grayson..

Grayson Hall

No, I just add to what David said, I think we are absolutely committed to rigorous expense management across the company. You can never be as good as you want to be in that regard. We continue to challenge ourselves internally that are we being good expense managers? In this environment, it’s a critical skill.

But we also are more than willing to make prudent investments that allow us to grow prudently. And so we will continue to do that. We think those have been smart decisions. They certainly are paying off. And to David’s point, we will do that every day.

And we have done that in terms of recruiting new bankers on to our team making investments in our current team to allow us to grow more appropriately, but prudently.

And so as part of – if you look at, if you backup and look at our efficiency ratio and you look at it both expense and revenue side, we have done much better on the expense side than we have on the revenue side. And we are trying to take a very balanced approach to expense management, a thoughtful approach that gets us where we want to be.

And to David’s point, we are trying to make incremental improvement every quarter to get down to that lower 60% efficiency ratio, but it’s going to require work on both sides of that formula..

Ken Usdin

Yes, I understood.

And just as a quick follow-up on that, though working on it and is it the type of stuff that I know you don’t have a program or a number, but as you think about the things you can work on, is it more just about monitoring the rate of growth or do you think you would have the ability to actually at some point get the expense base back down?.

Grayson Hall

Well, let me – it’s not to make it more complicated than it is, we clearly have been making investments in risk management and we have been making investments in bankers and growth opportunities that we see. We tried to self fund a great deal of that expense and have process improvement in a number of our back offices.

We have tried to do that process improvement in a lot of our support offices such as legal and in vendor management, but we also have tried to rationalize our channels.

And in particular, the branch channel has been, we think, pretty aggressive in rationalizing channels and trying to make them as efficient as we can without reducing our effectiveness for the customer. And so it – while we don’t have a branded program, rest assured, we got lots of internal programs..

David Turner Senior EVice President & Chief Financial Officer

Yes. And Ken, we were down in expenses four years in a row. We didn’t commit to having expenses in ‘15 lower than ‘14, because we knew we want to make investments in the revenue generators and some are still coming on board, so that generated the revenue. We think that’s the right kind of spend for us.

Can we get down to the expense level that we had in ‘14 at some point? It just depends on the investments we make going forward.

I think the first order of business is to watch the spend, so that the rate of growth is the most appropriate rate of growth and then we can look at how efficient can we get over time with the use of things like Six Sigma and so forth..

Ken Usdin

Understood. Thank you..

Operator

Your next question comes from the line of Geoffrey Elliott of Autonomous Research..

Grayson Hall

Good morning, Geoffrey..

Geoffrey Elliott

Good morning.

How are you?.

Grayson Hall

Well..

Geoffrey Elliott

Question on the energy portfolio, I was interested to see that was kind of down a couple of percent over the quarter, which is lower than the pace of decline that we have seen at some of the other banks.

So, I am curious is that a deliberate strategy on your part? Are you trying to pursue more of a stick with the customer keep providing credit strategy than you think some of the other banks might be or do you think that could just be differences in structural portfolios?.

John Turner President, Chief Executive Officer & Chairman

Geoffrey, this is John Turner. First of all, we say we are committed to sticking with our customers on where that makes sense.

And I think as you think about what we are doing today, we are approaching our evaluation business on an ongoing basis with a healthy skepticism, but staying very close to our customers so that we understand what’s going on their businesses.

When you look at the reduction in commitments, primarily occurred in the E&P space, where as a result of borrowing base re-determinations, we reduced commitments by a little over $320 million, or on average, about 16%. We also had a number of our customers access the capital markets.

And in fact, over the last seven months, I guess they have raised over $7 billion in the capital markets that used those funds to both to add additional liquidity to potentially make investments, to reduce their leverage, and so that certainly had an impact as well. And we think our clients are doing all the right things.

And so as a result, we have a – we are cautiously confident about the performance of the book. When I say doing the right things, our customers have reacted quickly to market conditions. They have reduced their expenses, reduced their CapEx. They are raising liquidity and reducing leverage where appropriate.

And as a consequence, I think we will continue to see some reduction in the business until the market turns and reinvestment occurs..

Grayson Hall

And John, if you would speak for a minute about customer selectivity and limited number of things in our book?.

John Turner President, Chief Executive Officer & Chairman

Yes, I think just another aspect of the way we think about the risk in the book is as I said this before, we have really a small number of larger names, we think colossal activity has been one of the hallmarks of our energy book. These are customers that we have known for a long time.

Most of them, at least of any size, are very recognizable in the industry. Management teams are very experienced. As I mentioned, good access to capital markets and liquidity and we think that they are doing all the right things. We have spent a lot of time internally reviewing the portfolio.

I mentioned that we have a quarterly review process for our oilfield services book. We have now looked at internally over 91% of our oilfield services exposure within the last four months. We also have done borrowing base re-determinations on all, but one of our E&P relationship, so 98% plus or minus, of that book.

And then our energy portfolio has been subject to a number of external reviews, including the SNC exam, where we think 67% of our total energy book was reviewed as part of the SNC exam. That’s about 89% of the E&P portfolio and over 55% – or about 55% of oilfield services.

So, a lot of eyes on our energy portfolio and we think a lot of transparency given the fact that there are smaller number of larger exposures, which is a good thing. On the downside, there is some single name risk associated with deterioration. But all-in-all, I think we feel like we have a pretty good handle on the exposure in the energy portfolio..

Geoffrey Elliott

And to follow-up, the increase in the right exposure, what happened there over the quarter?.

Grayson Hall

We had some reclassifications as we can’t continue to look for indirect exposures that are in some way impacted by the energy business. So as an example, we pulled in some of our investor real estate portfolio, where we have income-producing properties that are leased to third parties which happen to be in the energy space.

And so as we capture that as an indirect exposure, that had an impact on outstandings, as example..

Geoffrey Elliott

Thank you..

Operator

Your next question comes from the line of Matt Burnell of Wells Fargo..

Grayson Hall

Matt good morning..

Matt Burnell

Good morning. Thanks for taking my questions. David maybe a question for you, you mentioned branch reduction.

And obviously that’s been a positive story for you, all down about 3% year-over-year with them, somewhat more positive momentum in the last couple of quarters, but also looking at the transaction services only line, that’s been pretty stable, I guess I am curious how you all are thinking about the product delivery capability over the next couple of years as you think about rationalizing branches, full service branches, should we begin to see the full service branches continue to come down, but at the same time the transaction services presumably smaller, less costly branches, rise?.

Grayson Hall

Well, you asked the question to David, but if you don’t mind, I will answer it. I think it is we have said about a number of our businesses around the company, we tend to be very data driven. And we think it’s important to make sure we understand the data and what’s going on in all of our channels.

And branches, in particular, we are doing a lot from an experimentation and an innovation perspective with new branch formats, less people, more technology. We also are experimenting with a number of innovative designs around drive-throughs and our capabilities of our ATMs and all sat locations.

All are being said, we still – when you look at the markets we operate in and the customers that we serve, and we serve almost 4 million customers across 16 states, they all have different needs. And when you look at our customer base, still 59% of our customers will visit one of our branches in the next 30 days.

So we still have a lot of customer traffic. In fact, we got a lot of branches that are operating at over capacity levels. And so we’ve introduced a number of digital capabilities. Deposit – smartphone deposit capture, remote deposit capture for our small business and corporate customers.

We tried to use innovation to try to take more transactions out of our branches that allows us to be more efficient, but also dedicate more resource to sales and service. And so we have been introducing technology into our ATMs. Roughly 75% of our ATMs today have the ability to take a deposit through image technology.

If you look at how efficient we have got, almost 21% of the deposits are company – are coming through the digital channel as opposed to coming through one of our branch offices. So making good progress, but we are letting the data drive the number.

So when we see a bench that is – that transaction volumes and customer accounts in a particular branch is – drives that decision so that we don’t do that anecdotally, but we do it with a lot of data and data analytics. And so we will continue to do that. I do think customers are showing a preference for additional channels, but it varies per market.

And a lot of our markets are still very, very branch dependent and so we pay attention to that..

Matt Burnell

Okay, that’s helpful color.

And David, maybe I can direct this one to you, specifically on the earning assets, you saw about an $860 million decline, 29% decline in other interest earning assets which I presume is mostly cash at the Fed, how does that number trend in your current outlook for margin through the rest of the year?.

David Turner Senior EVice President & Chief Financial Officer

Yes. You are exactly right, so we put the excess cash to work, so that pushed in terms of the loan growth. We should see some growth in earning assets that will come with deposit growth picking up.

And now the question is where will that be deployed in the securities book, cash at the Fed or in loan growth and we feel good about our loan growth, gave you a little bit of good guidance in terms of what we thought we will do, skewing towards the upper end of our previously announced range. So we expect that to pick up slightly..

Matt Burnell

Thank you..

Operator

Your next question comes from the line of Gerard Cassidy of RBC..

Grayson Hall

Good morning Gerard..

Gerard Cassidy

Good morning. Thank you.

A couple of questions, one could you guys just go over the Shared National Credit outstandings, I didn’t hear it clearly and I think the transcript may have gotten a number of incorrect…?.

Grayson Hall

Barb, could you speak to that..

Barb Godin

Yes, I will speak to it. In fact, it’s $18 billion roughly in outstandings that we have for the Shared National Credit..

Gerard Cassidy

Okay. And because the transcript I think said 50 is – I assume the transcript is incorrect then..

Barb Godin

You’re correct. .

Gerard Cassidy

Okay, thank you for clarifying that. Coming back to your loan portfolio, at one point you guys were de-risking the portfolio by allowing the commercial real estate balances to come down. And I believe that ended some time ago, but there is still shrinking.

And maybe can you give us some color what’s going on in the commercial real estate investor as well as on owner-occupied commercial estate mortgage portfolios?.

John Turner President, Chief Executive Officer & Chairman

Yes. This is John Turner. First let me start with owner-occupied real estate. We are continuing to see that book run off a bit. I don’t think that’s much reflective of the fact that we are just not seeing middle market sort of lower end to middle market in our business banking, small business customers invest in expanding their businesses.

So the volume of activity that we see is down. That portfolio amortizes every month and so we are continuing to see some run off, although the run off is slowing a bit and we expect that to trend to actually turn in the future. As it relates to investor real estate, we did de-risk the book.

We have remade our business model, built it around professional real estate bankers working closely with real estate developers, again real focused on client selectivity. It’s a business we want to grow, but it’s heavily construction-oriented today, and we would like to see a shift more to have a better balance between construction and term lending.

We are very committed to managing that book in a very disciplined and thoughtful way, applying our concentration limit methodology to make sure that we don’t have too much exposure to any product type or any particular market, diversity is really important to us as we think about managing that business going forward.

So I think you can expect to see it grow sort of as the economy grows, would be our plan, kind of the 2% to 4% range, but not much faster than that as we seek to manage that risk prudently and shift again the mix from construction to more term....

Gerard Cassidy

And then just as a follow-up, Grayson you gave us some good color on the branches and your digital channel and the activity you are getting through the digital channel. And it’s certainly a topic of debate in the industry today about the retail branch model.

I – with your 1,500 or so branches can you guys give us some color on the profitability, how many of those are meeting your return on equity or internal rate of return hurdles, how many are not profitable, so give us a flavor?.

Grayson Hall

Yes. We would certainly – we calculate that data. We calculate that data on a real frequent basis. And we got different hurdles that we try to monitor to make sure each of our offices are meeting our hurdles. And where we are at today is roughly 98%, 99% of our branch offices are providing a positive direct contribution to our earnings.

That being said, do they all hurdle over internal rate of return requirements for branches are we have to look at each individual branch and see whether that branch is predominantly servicing transactions or are they going accounts, are they growing balances both deposits and loans. Then we take all that into consideration.

And we take into consideration the markets they operate in before we make that consolidation decision. Quite frankly, we are seeing tremendous growth in digital channels, but the growth in digital channels is faster than the reduction of activity in our branches. A lot of digital activity is new activity. It’s additional activity.

But we are seeing patterns in our branches change and we make movements, take decisions based off those behavioral changes. But I will go back to my earlier comment, when it comes to the branch, our decision can’t be anecdotal.

It has to be based off the absolute numerics of that branch and it has to be in the best interest of the community that we operate in. Our engagement in our communities and our commitment to the communities we operate in is very, very important to us and so all of that has to be considered when we look at branches..

David Turner Senior EVice President & Chief Financial Officer

Gerard, I’ll add to that. One thing we have consolidated little over 20% of our branch count since the crisis. We stay focused on it. And one of the things we need to – we have to think through is even those that don’t give us the return we would like is we have to look at what the next alternative is if we don’t have that branch.

Because anytime we consolidate a branch, we lose revenue. Now, the goal is to lose more expense from the revenue that we just lost and that’s why you have seen the consolidation to be in a very measured pace. We will continue to look at that.

And while we don’t have any identified as of right now, you should expect us to continue to rationalize our whole retail footprint over time..

Grayson Hall

But I think an important point to make is that today we are seeing a higher level of sales growth in our physical points of presence. In fact, our branches – our sales in the second quarter – new account sales in the second quarter is the highest we have seen in four years, so very good performance out of branches this quarter..

Gerard Cassidy

Grayson and David, thank you..

Grayson Hall

Thank you..

Operator

Your next question comes from the line of Vivek Juneja of JPMorgan..

Grayson Hall

Good morning..

Vivek Juneja

Hi, thanks for taking my questions. A couple of questions.

Firstly, Barb, on your Shared National Credits of $18 billion, how much are you the lead on?.

Barb Godin

We are the lead on – I don’t have the dollars at my fingertips, but it is roughly 100 credits..

Vivek Juneja

100 credits..

Barb Godin

Out of a book of approximately 1,300..

Vivek Juneja

Okay, okay, great. And then secondly, maybe just for Grayson and David, let me turn back to the efficiency ratio question, when I look at your efficiency ratio calculation, I add back the deposit administrative fee refund that you got.

Your core efficiency ratio is essentially flat with last quarter at roughly 65%, which is up almost 180 basis points from a year ago. And I know you are talking about it coming down into the low 60s. How much of that decline given that there is a lot of expense pressure, which you have touched on an investment that you are doing.

So, how much of the decline that you are expecting are you factoring in from Fed rate hike benefit? I mean, going from 65 to low 60s, David or Grayson, how much do you expect to come from there?.

David Turner Senior EVice President & Chief Financial Officer

Yes, we don’t have it broken out in terms of just related to the rate hike. What I will tell you is that the main driver of our efficiency ratio is growing our revenue appropriately.

We do have the expense measures that we are looking at in that revenue growth is expecting those investments that we have made thus far to continue to generate the revenue growth and we are seeing that. We saw that this quarter with 7% NIR growth, but we have people we hired just an example our financial consultants were up to 200.

We’ve just got our 200th one, I think this week, but it takes time for those new folks to generate the revenue that we expect. It’s about eight or nine months. So, we carry the expense load until the revenue comes. And so part of our getting into that lower 60s is rate, part of it is continued execution from the people that are here.

And then from the expense side, as I mentioned earlier in the call, continuing to look at the support groups, whether it be again finance, HR, risk management, credit teams, all that infrastructure that we look at we continue to work to rationalize that to use technology to help us deliver our products and services cheaper to our customer base.

So, all of that has to work together to get our efficiency ratio down into the lower 60s. We really want to get to the higher 50s. That does take a rate hike to get where we are in a normal rate environment. So that will take some time to get there..

Vivek Juneja

Okay, thank you..

Operator

Your final question comes from the line of David Eads of UBS..

Grayson Hall

Good morning, Dave..

David Eads

Hello. Thanks for taking the call. Just I guess a couple of questions on the loan growth, maybe on indirect auto we have seen some talk about the CFPB and dealer markups on those loans.

I am curious what you guys do when it comes to dealer discretion on pricing? And then I guess more broadly, what you think that those moves could mean for competition across the industry?.

David Turner Senior EVice President & Chief Financial Officer

Well, we have seen obviously a change in some of our competitors in terms of dealer markups. Today, we give 200 basis points discretion, which is a little lower than the average peer. The average peer has been to 300. They lowered down to 250. So, we are a little lower than peers. We have seen some go to flats.

The industry really is looking, along with the captives, which have just come into the fold for the CFPB to really give the – those of us that operate with the rules of the game are. And what I will tell you is we will adapt and overcome. We just want to know what they are. We will figure out how to make money in whatever environment it is.

So, right now, I think there is a measured pace as to whether or not we go to flats or whether or not we go from 200 to 100 or some other basis. But I think that if you looked at our business, half of it only has 100 basis points of discretion in it. So, we are positioned well to adapt to whatever the rules are.

We just need some finalization to come from the regulatory side..

Grayson Hall

And I will just add to what David said. We have done a number of things strategically to try to position ourselves better for what David has outlined as an industry that’s under change. And we are trying to measure that change, interpret that change. So, we have done some experimentation and some innovation around pricing.

We have experimented with substantially reduced markups. We have experimented with something much lower than our standard.

We have worked with our dealers and strategically we have reduced the number of dealers we do business with to make sure that we have got large dealer groups that we have got confidence in the way they run the risk management part of their business. And we will continue to make changes as the market changes.

Today, though the commercial banks are only about a third of that marketplace and so commercial banks are responding to it, it’s still been a good market for us, but been very selective in who we do business with and what kind of business we will place on the books..

David Eads

Great. That’s some good color. And then I think you guys broke out this other consumer indirect category this quarter.

And I am just kind of curious, you talked about that being partnerships with primarily home improvement retailers, is that kind of going to have the characteristics of a home equity loan or a card loan and kind of what you are looking to do with that business?.

Grayson Hall

At its core, it’s basically indirect lending through point of sale. And we have partnered with people who provide the front-end origination of those loans at retailers. And so we – it’s just an alternative source.

As you see, there is a lot of change in the consumer lending space, a lot of digital offerings in the market, but there is also a lot of offerings that are taking place at point of purchase, if you will, and home improvement is a big issue for a lot of our customers and what they want to get that financing when they walk into the home improvement store.

And so we have partnered to try to capture some of that. And so we are trying to be innovative in consumer lending and this is just an example where we have had some good progress in that regard..

David Eads

Great, thanks..

Operator

This concludes the question-and-answer session of today’s conference. I will now turn the floor back over for closing remarks..

Grayson Hall

Well, listen, thank you for your questions. We very much appreciate your questions, appreciate your participation, your interest in Regions. And we look forward to speaking with you again next quarter. Thank you..

Operator

Thank you. This concludes today’s conference call. You may now disconnect..

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