image
Utilities - Regulated Electric - NYSE - US
$ 46.65
1.66 %
$ 4.92 B
Market Cap
13.93
P/E
EARNINGS CALL TRANSCRIPT
EARNINGS CALL TRANSCRIPT 2021 - Q1
image
Operator

Good morning, everyone and welcome to Portland General Electric Company’s First Quarter 2021 Earnings Results Conference Call. Today is Friday, April 30, 2021. This call is being recorded. For opening remarks, I will turn the conference call over to Portland General Electric’s Senior Director and Investor Relations, Mr. Jardon Jaramillo.

Please go ahead, sir..

Jardon Jaramillo

Thank you,. Good morning, everyone. I am pleased that you are able to join us today. Before we begin this morning, I would like to remind you that we have prepared a presentation to supplement our discussion, which we will be referencing throughout the call. The slides are available on our website at investors.portlandgeneral.com. .

Maria Pope President, Chief Executive Officer & Director

Thank you, Jardon and thank you all for joining us today. Our financial results this quarter were strong. We reported net income of 96 million or $1.07 per share compared to net income of $81 million or $0.91 per share in the first quarter of last year.

In light of the strong quarter and positive outlook, we're reaffirming our 2021 earnings guidance of $2.55 to $2.70 per share, as well as our long term earnings and dividend growth rates. Jim will cover first quarter results in more detail, provide regulatory and capital updates as well as discuss the outlook for the rest of the year.

This quarter again presented significant weather driven operational challenges. And I'm proud of how our teams came together responding to the most severe ice, wind, and snow storms in our history, improving our operations and achieving important customer focused results.

In February, we restored over 750,000 customer outages, as nearly half of our customers were without power, many of whom experienced multiple outages over more than two and a half week period.

I want to recognize the hard work of our co-workers, mutual aid crews, and assistance from as far away as Southern California, Utah, Montana to Alberta, British Columbia, all of whom, in the midst of a pandemic went above and beyond to restore power quickly and most importantly, safely.

Even as we speak, crews continue to repair equipment and clear downed trees as damage is still extensive. As of March 31. The cost of the February storm were $87 million, which Jim will discuss in detail.

The recent storms and wildfires last fall on top of the pandemic with so many people living, working and learning remotely underscore the importance of our ongoing system hardening and reinvestment programs combined with the deployment of digital capabilities, AI and smart grid technologies..

Jim Ajello

Thanks, Maria. I too was impressed with the efforts of our teams across the company to restore power safely to customers during the February storms.

As we turn to economic conditions, it's clear that we're beginning to see recovery take hold approximately 40% of Oregonians have had at least one vaccine shot and as of mid April K to 12 public schools reopened for in person education, either hybrid or full time.

As of March 2021 the unemployment rate in PGE service territory was 5.7% compared to a 14% peak in April 2020. In the first quarter, Oregon saw accelerated job growth, and as of March had recovered over half of the jobs lost last spring.

Harder head segments, such as leisure and hospitality have posted the noteworthy gains after experiencing a second wave of job losses in late 2020. While there are green shoots of recovery, we appreciate that many of our customers are still facing challenges and we embrace our role as an essential service provider and partner to Oregon communities.

Turning to Slide 5, I'll cover our financial performance. As Maria said, we reported $1.07 per share compared to $0.91 per share in the first quarter of 2020. First, we saw a $0.06 increase in total revenue. This is composed of $0.04 due to higher loads which increased 1.2% year-over-year, weather adjusted in a $0.02 positive impact from weather.

Additionally, there was $0.02 from the earnings power associated with the Wheatridge renewable energy facility, which was placed in service in the fourth quarter of 2020. Next, a $0.03 decrease in net variable power costs driven by lower hydro wind production in 2021.

While our wind production exceeded our expectations it was still less than the unusually high levels of production experienced in 2020.

A 0.07 decrease was associated with higher operating and maintenance administrative expense which consists of $0.05 of favorable fixed plant O&M, primarily due to lower maintenance expense that are generation facilities.

This was offset by $0.12 of unfavorable administrative expenses which included $0.03 of higher employee benefit expenses, $0.03 of higher legal and professional expense and $0.03 from the timing of bad debt recognition under our COVID deferral and $0.03 from other items.

A $0.05 increase was associated with lower depreciation and amortization expense largely as a result of asset retirements, which were partially offset by capital addition. There was a $0.04 increase in other income primarily attributed to market returns on the non qualified benefit trust.

There was an $0.11 increase from lower tax expense, primarily driven by a onetime recognition of a benefit from a local flow through tax..

Operator

Thank you, sir. We have our first question from the line of Insoo Kim from Goldman Sachs. your line is now open..

Insoo Kim

Thank you. Good morning Maria. First question on just the great performance in the quarter and setting up for the rest of the year.

Could you just run through maybe the FLV items like the tax benefit this quarter some point for some increased L&M and how much of that you had already anticipated? How much do you think maybe above the plan just more detail there?.

Jim Ajello

Yes. Thanks Insoo. So the tax benefit, the $0.11 I mentioned here on the earnings walk bridge is really $0.09 associated with a local pass through tax. That's a onetime adjustment. So of course that wasn't in the plan as we go forward here. So and the rest of it, call it a couple of cents miscellaneous items on the tax side.

So that is really the tax side of a local pass through tax that should have been booked earlier and overtime. Very simple..

Insoo Kim

Okay. Got it. And if that's the case, does that mean just based on when you were giving the original 2021 guidance, all else equal, I know you're $0.09 of it is it's more one time but you're trending towards that upper half..

Jim Ajello

I wouldn't necessarily say that at this point in time. So we're really not altering guidance for the balance of the year. But this particular item wasn't included in the guidance that we offered earlier in February or today for that matter..

Insoo Kim

Understood. And one more for me I did see in the 10-Q that I think the futures trading commission has an investigation to the August trading incident. I'm just not familiar with the process with that agency and what typical range of outcomes result from something like this.

But I don't know if there's anything I can shed in terms of what we could expect over the next coming months?.

Jim Ajello

Really nothing to shed in the way of predictions. These are very early days in the process like that. I would say it's not unexpected in matters such as this. Of course, we're going to fully collaborate with any review that's done by the agencies. And I will tell you were fully disclosed on the matter.

So in terms of the trading matter from last year and obviously the board concluded its special review on the issue..

Insoo Kim

Got it. Thank you so much..

Jim Ajello

You're welcome..

Operator

Thank you. Our next question is from the line of Julien Smith from Bank of America. Please go ahead..

Julien Smith

Hey good morning team. Thank you for the time and opportunity. If I can kick this off, just on the rate case timing super quickly here.

You just said you don't necessarily know when or if still but I presume that the positive results in the first quarter drive delayed some of the timing here or how are you thinking about this in terms of the latest updates on factors if at all..

Jim Ajello

Julien it's Jim. How are you? So I would say to you that we're continuing to look at it literally all the time. We're constantly examining our cost structure, how we're managing through it, we're looking at community impacts. COVID is still with us, of course.

But we're managing well I think through the period of time and if we can be sure to manage and provide good customer care and pricing that gives us a little more opportunity to delay the filing..

Julien Smith

Excellent. Okay. And then if I can, I think also in the 10-Q there is some discussion around this, I think it's called the green future impact program. But that seems like it might have some incremental opportunity. Can you talk about that relative to plan here and how you think about that against other generation needs..

Jim Ajello

Yes. It's pretty early on. We've just received the order. It's an incremental 200 megawatts you probably have noticed. And there is an opportunity for us to provide more green power which is in great demand in our region and territory. But at this point in time I couldn't be very specific about how we're going to roll that out.

We're still examining our options on that one. But we've got the largest volunteer renewable energy program in the U.S. still this will add to that opportunity but the details we don't quite have yet..

Maria Pope President, Chief Executive Officer & Director

Julian it’s really important that we're able to serve customers with the clean energy that they want whether that is small municipal customers. Jim just noted our voluntary renewable program, which is largely a residential and small commercial program but we also to our largest customers they're increasingly wanting 100% green energy.

And it's important that we're able to deliver that to them..

Julien Smith

Right, then maybe to clarify this, on this program, your ownership opportunity or perspective ownership opportunity?.

Maria Pope President, Chief Executive Officer & Director

Yes. I mean that's a possibility but it all depends on what's competitive and what's the best thing for customers..

Jim Ajello

yes. You will have noticed the prior, Julian, you probably noticed the prior announced a transaction with 17 C&I customers earlier a number of months ago. So I would just leave it as such that this could be a buy/build opportunity. We're not sure yet..

Julien Smith

Got it. excellent. And then if I can squeeze it since I know that you in particular we're at some Senator and this Wyden tax bill certainly is novel in terms of how we would sort of rewrite the renewable tax code.

I'm curious if you have any perspective to add to that certainly early days all together on tax reform and the subject of renewable tax reform is something that we haven't really broached meaningfully yet. So any thoughts on that I know, for instance, it includes a nuclear PTC.

There is a few other pieces there that certainly are novel to the industry..

Maria Pope President, Chief Executive Officer & Director

Great. Well, thank you Julian. And yes, what Senator Wyden is trying to do is really rationalize and modernize a lot of the tax incentives that go to our industry and the energy industry in total and really focus those on clean energies on new technologies. His bill is unique in a couple of ways. First it's technology neutral.

So all technologies is to the extent that they reduce carbon are on the table. The other is as it does not pick winners and losers. So there's some fixes for the normalization issues that utilities have faced in the past, creating a much more level playing field and allowing for acceleration of a clean energy future. It includes transmission.

It includes transportation sector and it does not include nuclear at this point in time although there's a lot of discussion taking place around that, as you know, 20% of the energy generated in the country is nuclear and that's an important source of clean energy as we move forward if we're going to hit the aggressive 2030 and then 2035 goals as laid out by the administration..

Julien Smith

Got it. Thanks guys. I'll pass it on from here. All the best..

Maria Pope President, Chief Executive Officer & Director

Thank you. .

Operator

Thank you. Our next question is from Anthony Crowdell from Mizuho. Please go ahead..

Anthony Crowdell

Hey, good morning. Hopefully just two quick ones. One is any contribution this quarter from the PKM mechanism? I apologize if you guys went over that already..

Maria Pope President, Chief Executive Officer & Director

So in general when we look at the PKM, we look at how it whether it's over or under versus our baseline is calculated on a full year basis and this year, in the quarter, we were about $13 million under the baseline. However, it's just really too early days. As you probably have noted the West is having an overall drought.

Our hydro conditions remain pretty good in the Pacific Northwest right now. So the biggest mover of power prices from a hydro perspective is the Columbia River Basin measured at the Dallas, which is right about 89$ - 90%. But we are, I think it's just too early to call for the year..

Anthony Crowdell

Okay, great. And then if I could follow up on Insoo's question. I think it was an $0.11 benefits tax rate this quarter. Jim went over the details between them and I think $0.09 of the $0.11 was more of a one time in nature.

How does that correspond to also the rise in guidance meaning are you using the tax benefit maybe it's an opportunity to maybe pull forward guidance for some wildfire risk.

I know you had the storms, but also maybe pulling forward and doing some interim wildfire risk to give you some headroom later in the year or maybe in 2022?.

Maria Pope President, Chief Executive Officer & Director

Yes. No. As Jim noted, we've not changed our guidance and we're not picking any side of the ranges of our guidance. Again, it's just too earlier in the year. We did increase our O&M costs as Jim outlined. And we had the one time issue literally from the accounting adjustment we had on it and it's a relatively small tax on it. It just was overtime..

Jim Ajello

Yes. Anthony, I just want to point out that there is really no necessary connection between that tax item recognition and the O&M increase. All it has to do primarily with the storm and the 8 is prepares better for outage and other uses of technology on the grid. So apple and an orange, I would say..

Maria Pope President, Chief Executive Officer & Director

Yes. I would say overall we are investing in reliability particularly as we look at significant weather events potentially fires and others, making sure we are best prepared as possible..

Anthony Crowdell

Great. And then just lastly also into addresses on the investigation with the SEC and then also in the Q. I think there's several lawsuits that have been filed relating to the trading incident last year.

Just because I'm not familiar with the process is an investigation something you could settle, like you meet with the SEC and you settle or that's not how an investigation works?.

Jim Ajello

We're entirely unsure of the direction this will go. As I said, it's very early days and so I wouldn't want to speculate on the outcome of that. There's just no way to predict the outcome. So I'll just leave it at that..

Anthony Crowdell

Great. Thanks for taking my questions..

Jim Ajello

You're welcome. .

Operator

Thank you. Our next question is from Brian Russo from Sidoti. Please go ahead..

Brian Russo

Hi, good morning..

Maria Pope President, Chief Executive Officer & Director

Good morning. .

Brian Russo

So just to follow up on the PCAM, as you mentioned, you’re $13 million below as of March of this year. I think the commentary in the Q is that you expect to be below the baseline for the full year of 2021.

But it's basically just extrapolating what's recorded as of the first quarter or is it kind of projecting for the remainder of the year based on hydro conditions and power prices, etc and then does your guidance assume a zero PCAM balances?.

Maria Pope President, Chief Executive Officer & Director

Yes. Our guidance has a little bit of a balance as we noted in the Q below the baseline. This time last year we were $20 million below the baseline. And you'll look at the prior year we were actually above the baseline in 2019. I just, it's just too early days to tell we're going to very interesting energy markets in the Pacific Northwest.

The market prices are clearly higher than anyone would have expected this time last year or even a couple of months ago. And I think we just have a good solid balance of the year to work through and I don't think we'd want to call it until we are clearly past the third quarter time period..

Brian Russo

Okay, understood. So and then also just a follow up the $0.03 decline or headwind on net variable power cost is basically the delta of the $20 million below in first quarter ‘20 that you mentioned, versus the $13 million below that you are in this first quarter. Yes. Okay..

Maria Pope President, Chief Executive Officer & Director

Exactly. One of the things I think is really important to point out last year was in 2020 a remarkably good wind year. We had good hydro, but we had significantly above average wind conditions. It was a terrific wind year..

Brian Russo

And then on the RFP, you mentioned you hope to finalize the independent auditor process sometime in 2022 and then start the RFP.

Any idea on timing first half of 2022 or second half of 2022?.

Jim Ajello

Yes. It's hard to tell exactly. But I would say by the end of the first half we'll be relatively set to go there. But the main driver here is to get capacity in service by 2024. So everything will be sort of solved from that end point and go backwards.

So whether we're one month or one quarter and 2022 is another issue but we're really all about getting it in service by 2024..

Maria Pope President, Chief Executive Officer & Director

One thing I would note in our past processes is the independent evaluator discussions and selection processes, criteria has been particularly time consuming as we work through it with parties and everyone involved. So I would expect unless something changes for this to take longer than many states, many other states probably..

Brian Russo

Understood. And then lastly, Portland General is clearly a leader in electrification, in decarbonisation and made a number of announcements including the truck battery, charging stations a couple of weeks ago with Daimler.

Just wondering when might this materialize into investment scenario that gets layered into CapEx that you're able to earn a return of and on future investments?.

Maria Pope President, Chief Executive Officer & Director

Yes. That's a great question and it's one we're asking ourselves as well. The investment categories come in a couple of different buckets.

The first one is just in terms of charging stations themselves and just the ability to charge whether that's in the right away whether that is a residential whether that is industrial, commercial, whatever but next is really what I call the infrastructure, and in particular, what we call the make ready.

So all the cabling that leads to those charging stations that also includes upgrades to substation so in many instances there's a twofold as it enhances reliability and upgrades aging infrastructure to accommodate more charging.

And then I think third is really energy usage but really flexible energy usage so that we're able to charge batteries or maybe even in the future vehicle, the grid that optimizes more renewable energy allowing us to not only charge when the sun is shining and the wind is blowing, but when prices are at their lowest.

So we really see the opportunities here as very synergistic with our regular utility operations and enhancing reliability and the grid performance overall. So we look forward to the day when there is that much more volume as much as anyone does..

Brian Russo

Okay, great. Thank you very much..

Maria Pope President, Chief Executive Officer & Director

Thank you..

Operator

Thank you. The next is from Sophie Karp from KeyBanc. Your line is now open..

Sophie Karp

Hi, good morning.

How are you?.

Maria Pope President, Chief Executive Officer & Director

Good morning..

Sophie Karp

So couple of questions here, maybe, first on how you’re thinking about the timing of the GRC in the context of also having to ask for the storm recovery. And maybe along those lines, if you could comment on what kind of mechanisms you envision maybe you could you do something like securitization for the storm costs or is it just going to be rates.

How should we think about this?.

Jim Ajello

Thanks Sophie. It's Jim. So we're laying out the strategy right now. So we don't have it quite done to talk about today. But obviously we have a number of deferrals. So the wildfire existing, COVID existing, this new deferral that we've applied for on the recent storm is there and then the possibility of a rate case.

So we'll collaborate with our regulators to determine whether or not we bring those all together or we talk about those deferrals on a separate track. One clarification we don't have the opportunity to do a securitization. But I believe we'll talk to the regulators, of course, about how we amortize these deferrals over some period of time.

It could very well be wrapped up in the rate case as well. So the options are open and they're subject to conversations with the regulators which haven't happened yet. I would say..

Sophie Karp

Got it. Thank you for the color here. And then on the RFP process. So I think I heard correctly that you expect to bid the benchmark resource into that.

Is that accurate? And if so, can you give us any color on what kind of resource could that be and sizing of that?.

Jim Ajello

Yes. So out of, so it'll be about 150 megawatts. It'll be a non-emitting resource may include batteries as well. And so at this point in time we're focused on picking the independent evaluator that's just kicked off. As Maria just said it could take many months to accomplish that. And so in the meantime we're evaluating what our options are for the RFP.

We will bid a benchmark resource into that campaign..

Sophie Karp

Got it. Thank you.

And lastly from me, maybe on the wildfires, like you've correctly pointed out the West is still in the state of drought this year and is there anything that you're doing maybe differently this year ahead of the wildfire season given the experiences from 2020 to preemptively mitigate some of the potential damages that may ensue?.

Maria Pope President, Chief Executive Officer & Director

Sure. Thank you. As you know we've been thinking about preparing and learning from our utility peers from California, Arizona, Colorado and actually also those from Australia in terms of wildfire mitigation, the detection of wildfires and then how we handle them should that occur in our service territory.

Right now we're doing a tremendous amount of vegetation management. We're also working in collaborating with our community partners at the very local level and overall enhancing our preparedness.

It's really around continuous improvement and we learned a lot from the wildfire season last September and continue all of the work that we have been doing over the last number of years..

Sophie Karp

Thank you. That’s helpful, thank you..

Operator

Thank you. Our next question is from Travis Miller from Morningstar. Your line is now open..

Travis Miller

Good morning. Thank you..

Maria Pope President, Chief Executive Officer & Director

Good morning..

Travis Miller

Just a real quick one on the dividends. Confirming this is the with the you had this quarter, this is the typical cadence that you expect to get back to going forward all else equal. Is that that just want to confirm that..

Jim Ajello

That's right, Travis. The board adopted a increase 5.5%, $0.09 a share $1.63 to $1.72 and that would put us on our cadence, our regular cadence..

Travis Miller

Okay. Great. And then you got my EV question that I was going to ask, but let me ask a little follow on to that as you talk about these different areas I understand that the infrastructure as you characterize it in terms of the 123, then infrastructure part would be kind of your thing.

What's your long term strategy in terms for lack of a better word, outsourcing, the charging the energy management parts, the in home energy management, all of that stuff? Obviously, we've seen a lot of companies come out with services like that and with plans to grow like that.

What's your long term strategy in terms of owning that energy service part whether it's the charging stations or the actual usage?.

Maria Pope President, Chief Executive Officer & Director

That's a great question and actually, if you go on to our website, you can see a marketplace where you can buy thermostats with ETO Energy Trust of Oregon credits and participate in a distributed energy program through Portland General.

We're building out an integrated operation center which will enhance our capabilities of managing a bi-directional grid. And we remain very focused on serving customers. As an example, we have distributed energy resource test beds where we're actually interacting with customers on their cell phone.

They can opt in to energy events and reduce their energy usage during critical peak times and shave off almost 10% on their bills during those months. And so for us, there's a tremendous amount of opportunity. We're also partnering with number of technology partners.

We don't expect to do at all and many companies have terrific technologies that will enhance the capabilities of reliably managing the grid as we go forward..

Travis Miller

Okay.

And then if we think about just in terms of accounting and cash flow, would you think about that as kind of a recoverable O&M such that over time we would see O&M go up but then kind of EV related charges would flow through regulatory rates?.

Maria Pope President, Chief Executive Officer & Director

Yes. We would expect that the work that we're doing is all within the utility. It's to enhance customer's experience, particularly as customers expectations change quite dramatically. And all of those actions really contribute to a more reliable grid.

We have used our distributed energy system, our standby generation system which is quite significant several times during critical peak times to shave off those peaks creating less stress on the overall reliability of the system and enhancing our resource adequacy. So we expect to only continue.

We see all of these things as synergistic and most importantly as we add more renewable variable resources they're not just synergistic, they're essential to maintaining reliability of the system and serving customers with the clean and affordable energy they want..

Travis Miller

Okay, great. I appreciate it. Thanks..

Maria Pope President, Chief Executive Officer & Director

Thank you..

Operator

Thank you. I'm showing no further questions at this time. I would now like to turn the conference back to Miss Maria Pope..

Maria Pope President, Chief Executive Officer & Director

Thank you very much. We appreciate your questions and interest and joining us for today's call. We invite you to follow up as well as to join us after the second quarter in July. Thank you very much. Bye-bye..

Operator

Ladies and gentlemen this concludes today's conference. Thank you for your participation and have a wonderful day. You may all disconnect. Have a great day..

ALL TRANSCRIPTS
2024 Q-3 Q-2 Q-1
2023 Q-4 Q-3 Q-2 Q-1
2022 Q-4 Q-3 Q-2 Q-1
2021 Q-4 Q-3 Q-2 Q-1
2020 Q-4 Q-3 Q-2 Q-1
2019 Q-4 Q-3 Q-2 Q-1
2018 Q-4 Q-3 Q-2 Q-1
2017 Q-4 Q-3 Q-2 Q-1
2016 Q-4 Q-3 Q-2 Q-1
2015 Q-4 Q-3 Q-2 Q-1
2014 Q-4 Q-3 Q-2 Q-1