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EARNINGS CALL TRANSCRIPT
EARNINGS CALL TRANSCRIPT 2017 - Q1
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Executives

Matthew E. Garth - SVP, Finance and Treasury and CFO Douglas T. Dietrich - CEO Gary L. Castagna – Group President, Performance Materials and Construction Technologies Andrew M. Jones – VP and MD, Energy Services Rand Mendez – SVP and MD, PCC Jonathan J. Hastings - SVP, Corporate Development Brett Argirakis - VP and MD, Minteq International.

Analysts

Daniel Moore - CJS Securities Rosemarie Morbelli - Gabelli & Company Silke Kueck - JP Morgan.

Operator

Welcome to the Q1 2017 Minerals Technologies Inc Earnings Conference. Today's call is being recorded. At this time I would like to turn the conference over to Mr. Matthew Garth, Chief Financial Officer of Mineral Technologies. Please go ahead, sir..

Matthew E. Garth

Thank you and good morning everyone and welcome to our first quarter 2017 earnings conference call. Again I am Matt Garth and I am extremely excited to serve as MTI CFO and be a part of the highly energized and capable team we have at the company.

For today's call Chief Executive Officer, Doug Dietrich will provide an overview of our results, key drivers, and strategies and I will follow with a more detailed update on our financial performance. I need to remind you that beginning on page 13 of our 2016 10-K. we list the various risk factors and conditions that may affect our future results.

And I will also point out the Safe Harbor disclaimer on slide 2 here. Statements related to future performance by members of our team are subject to these limitations, cautionary remarks and conditions. Now I will turn the call over to Doug. .

Douglas T. Dietrich Chairman & Chief Executive Officer

Thanks Matt, good morning everyone. Now let's start today hitting some of the highlights for the first quarter and then go through the operating performance of our minerals and services businesses. I will then take you through some of the organizational changes I recently made, targeted at increasing MTI's growth trajectory.

We had a solid first quarter, posting earnings of $1.07 per share which was a 5% improvement over last year. Sales were similar to last year. However, with two fewer days in the quarter, our underlying sales were up 1% driven by the performance materials segment where sales grew by 6%.

Our growth in China continues on a strong pace with sales up 22% over last year; and as we announced earlier this week, we continued with our PCC expansion in Asia by signing a contract with Asia Pulp and Paper to add 165,000 tons of PCC capacity at their Perawang, Indonesia location.

The agreement encompasses building a new 125,000 ton satellite as well as expanding our current satellite located there since 1997 by an additional 40,000 tons. This is our fifth satellite with APP and we look forward to extending our relationship with them even further in the future.

We did have a challenging start to the year with weather conditions affecting sales and operating costs at many of our plants in the U.S. and Europe. However, a strong sales and operating performance in March led each of the business segments to double-digit operating margins for the quarter.

We generated $64 million in operating income, a record for the first quarter and our consolidated operating margin improved to 15.7%, which is a 7% improvement over last year and the highest margin percentage for our first quarter in the company's history.

We overcame the challenges at the beginning of the quarter to once again improve productivity by 8% over last year as we maintained our focus on removing waste from our processes.

We're driving operational excellence deeper into the company and our employees remain engaged in continuous improvement activities, a number of Kaizen events which are structured problem solving forum are up almost 40% so far this year, and the number of employee suggestions are up almost 20%.

Our safety performance continues to track toward world class levels with the number of recordable and last workday injuries dropping by 30% over this time last year.

Earlier in the quarter, we realigned two of our business segments and combined the construction technologies business into performance materials and also began to further develop our organization in China.

Much more on this later, but in short, these actions will create better alignment, improved communications, and speed decision making all with the ultimate objective of accelerating revenue growth. We also continued our focus on reducing debt with a $20 million principal payment made in the quarter.

This slide shows our quarterly earnings trend, and as you can see earnings were strong at $1.07 per share, up as I said 5% over last year. It is a strong start to the year and puts us on a track for continued earnings growth this year. This chart shows our quarterly operating income and margin over the past several years.

I think it's important to note that over this period we've not only integrated a large acquisition, but since 2015 we've also navigated some challenging end-market conditions. The MTI team has successfully managed these challenges, and as a result, the company has continued on a profitability improvement track.

For perspective, we've attained and largely maintained double-digit margins in each of our businesses, and as I mentioned earlier, this quarter was a record first quarter for the company.

As you look at our two minerals businesses, Specialty Minerals and Performance Materials, sales were approximately the same as last year, however, adjusted for foreign exchange and fewer days in the quarter, underlying sales improved 3%.

The chart on the lower right delineates the product lines contained in this segment and the relative size from a revenue standpoint. We saw strong growth in metal casting with sales improving 11% over last year driven by China where sales grew 46%.

This growth is derived from our continued penetration of the Chinese foundry market as we demonstrate the value of our pre-mixed blended sand systems for customers. The penetration strategy is also taking hold in India, the second largest foundry market globally where sales have almost doubled from last year albeit from a smaller base.

We also continued our PCC growth in China where sales increased 9% over last year and the new PCC contract we just signed with APP will add 165,000 tons of capacity in Asia which is a 12% increase of our current installed base in the region.

This capacity should come online late in the second quarter of next year and provide continued PCC growth in 2018. Operating income was slightly lower than last year but up 2% on a same day basis with increased profits in the performance materials segment offset by reduced profits in specialty minerals.

Performance Materials had a strong quarter with profits driven by higher metal casting and bulk chromite sales and the Specialty Mineral segment was impacted by the paper machine and mill shut downs in North America that occurred at the beginning of last year. Our Western U.S.

mining and processing plants in both segments faced challenging weather conditions early in the quarter as heavy rains and some extremely cold conditions impacted our mining operations slowing things considerably.

Heavy rains in California also slowed deliveries of our water proofing products to construction projects, but despite this, the businesses rebounded with a strong performance in March, and margins for the quarter remain solid at around 17%. We also made progress with new products and technologies this quarter.

We see growing interest in our NewYield Technologies. We recently launched our lightweight cat litter formulation in China. The marketing of our environmental solutions portfolio of products in China is going well.

We recently met with several potential customers, partners, and government regulatory bodies to further their understanding of the potential of our technologies. Elsewhere, we are launching a new dry laundry ingredient made at one of our plants in England and each of these new technologies and products will drive future revenue growth for MTI.

Let's take a look at our Services Businesses, Refractories, and Energy Services where overall sales were lower by 6% compared to last year.

This is due primarily to the exit of our onshore services of Coiled Tubing pipeline in nitrogen within the Energy Services segment back in the second quarter of 2016 and refractory sales were similar to last year, steel mill operating rates stable and at similar levels to 2016.

These two segments performed well this quarter improving combined margins over last year. Operating income for the combined businesses increased 47% and the margins improved 58% to 12.6% of sales.

Energy Services achieved and has maintained the targeted operating margin we set for it during the restructuring last year and Refractories continues to perform well by improving productivity and lowering costs. We're not seeing any meaningful overall improvement in oil and gas markets.

We are seeing some increase in well testing activity and are making progress with the deployment of our new filtration technologies. In addition steel markets have stabilized and more recently improved slightly in the U.S., an environment in which our refractory business can thrive.

Both of these businesses are now well positioned for future income growth as the rent market demand improves. I mentioned on our last call that one of my main areas of focus coming into this position was to accelerate our revenue growth. I also outlined for you some of the areas that I felt needed to change to achieve this.

Over the past 90 days I spent a large portion of my time traveling around the world, meeting with and listening to our employees to gain a better understanding of the challenges they are facing and to gain a better sense of areas where we can make improvements to become better aligned both internally and with customers.

I also spent time clearly communicating our vision and strategy and ensuring that our employees understand how they can contribute to that vision. Through these conversations I gained insight into a number of areas that can be improved.

Ways to improve communications, increase speed in decision making, and better support our businesses in the regions closer to our customers all of which in time will lead to stronger revenue growth. Subsequent to these trips we've made a number of changes designed to address these issues.

First, to create better alignment I reorganized the Construction Technologies and Performance Materials businesses into one operating segment. We placed leaders with profit and loss responsibility over the new product lines to create the focus necessary to drive our new product offerings and better serve customer needs.

This reorganization was also done to better leverage the manufacturing platform that supports these product lines, improve play cost, leverage manufacturing talent, accelerate the deployment of operational excellence, and speed the manufacturing deployment of our new product technologies.

Second, to increase speed of execution we're further developing and enhancing our organization in China. By this I mean we're streamlining our corporate and resource unit structures in the country and creating more local leadership and focus on our product lines and customers.

This will greatly enhance support and speed decision making directly in the region where before much of this came from the U.S. Our technology lead team is also setting targets to double the speed of innovation and product development across the company. Third, more of my time will be spent focusing on both organic and inorganic growth avenues.

To this end I will be spending more of my time with customers and working on acquisitions. As we've spoken about before acquisitions are a significant part of our growth strategy and we're currently actively engaged on a number of fronts primarily focused on minerals based companies where we can leverage our technological expertise.

The companies we're focusing on are both within our core end markets in minerals plus the new minerals that will increase our presence in consumer products, environmental, and agriculture markets. We've built a solid capability to identify, transact, and integrate companies, one that we intend to exercise going forward.

With a solid performance to start 2017 I also thought it important that you know MTI has not changed its knitting [ph]. We continue to focus on creating shareholder value through our high performing disciplined operating culture and through these recent changes on accelerating revenue growth.

Now I will turn it over to Matt Garth to get you deeper into our financial performance for the quarter, Matt. .

Matthew E. Garth

Thanks Doug. This morning I will review our first quarter results, the performance of our four segments, and also provide you with our outlook for the second quarter. We delivered solid financial results in the first quarter with the earnings per share of $1.07 which was 5% higher than last year.

Our reported earnings were $0.97 per share due to approximately $6 million of charges associated with refinancing our floating rate debt and integration costs. Note that roughly half of these charges were non-cash. Consolidated sales were $405 million which was 1% lower than the prior year.

However, foreign exchange lowered sales by $1.7 million and there were two fewer days in the first quarter as compared to last year. Excluding these factors, underlying sales were 1% higher.

Operating income increased 6% over last year to $63.5 million with operating margins improving 7% to 15.7% which as Doug highlighted is a record for the first quarter. This result was driven primarily by reduced operating expenses, lower SG&A, and an 8% increase in productivity across the business.

Our effective tax rate in the quarter excluding special items was 24%. We expect that our full year effective tax rate will be around 25% barring any changes made by the U.S. government to the domestic tax structure. Cash flow for the quarter was $16 million.

As a reminder the first quarter is typically the lowest cash flow quarter of the year due to a number of onetime cash outflows such as tax and compensation payments.

This year we were also impacted by the debt modification cost mentioned earlier and the timing of receivables which when collected in the second quarter should significantly improve cash flow. In addition we expect 2017 to be another year of strong cash generation.

As highlighted on the operating income bridge, our Services Businesses, Refractories, and Energy Services delivered strong operating increases on a year-over-year basis. In our minerals businesses, a strong performance in Performance Materials profitability was offset by lower income in specialty minerals.

Let's review the specialty minerals segment first. Specialty mineral sales decreased 6% from last year due to several North American paper mill closures that occurred in 2016. This impact was partially offset by 9% increase in China sales due to the ramp up of the some paper satellite.

As you recall this 100,000 ton satellite began ramping up in the third quarter of last year and we expect to achieve full production in0 the second quarter of this year. Also given that the North American paper mill closures took place in the first half of 2016, global PCC volume and revenue growth should return in the second half of this year.

Our ground calcium carbonates and specialty PCC product lines grew 4% and 2% respectively offsetting lower -- sales in the quarter. GCC sales increased due to stronger construction markets particularly in roofing, floor tile, and wall products at all of our facilities. Specialty PCC sales grew on higher ceilings and adhesives used in the U.S.

and European automotive, construction, and consumer markets. Operating income decreased to $24.4 million due to the lower PCC North America sales levels and higher operating cost and process minerals due to the impact we had from weather.

Productivity improvements of 11% across all product lines offset the adverse conditions and drove margins to 16.7%. Looking to the second quarter we expect paper PCC operating income to be slightly lower than the first quarter.

This is due to normal annual maintenance outages taken by our customers in North America which typically occur in the second quarter partially offset by increased volumes in China. In Performance Minerals we expect an increase in operating income as a second quarter is typically the strongest seasonal period for this business.

Overall for this segment we expect second quarter operating income to increase by approximately 10% from the first quarter. Now let's turn to our Performance Materials segment. As Doug mentioned we recently announced the reorganization of our Performance Materials and Construction Technologies businesses into one operating segment.

Sales in this segment increased to 6% over last year. Sales and metal casting increased to 11% principally due to a 46% increase in China sales. Basic mineral sales increased 67% due primarily to higher bulk sales of chromite.

These increases were partially offset by lower fabricator sales in China and lower environmental products and building material sales due to wet weather conditions during the start of several large projects in the Western United States. Operating income increased to 28.8 million due to strong metal casting and increased bulk chromite sales.

However, challenging operating conditions in the Western United States contributed to lower mining rates, lower production volume, and higher energy costs which we partially offset through productivity.

Looking to the second quarter we expect continued growth in metal casting particularly in China, improved fabric care sales as we begin production of a new dry laundry additive late in the second quarter and seasonally stronger sales in the construction markets boosting our environmental and building material products.

However these increases will be partially offset by lower bulk chromite sales. Overall for this segment we expect operating income to increase approximately 5% to 10% sequentially depending on the level of chromite sales which are more uncertain today given the volatility in pricing and demand. Now move to Energy Services.

Sales decreased year-over-year by 28% largely due to the previously mentioned exit of certain onshore service lines in the second quarter of 2016. Operating income was $2 million compared with $700,000 last year and represented 10.7% of sales as compared with 2.7% in the prior year.

We are achieving the restructuring savings and target operating margin we expected based on the swift actions we took in 2016 to adjust the cost structure of this business. We believe now that this business is right size to meet both current and improving market conditions.

Looking to the second quarter, we expect operating income to be in line with the first quarter as improved well test activity in our Gulf of Mexico operations will be offset by lower filtration sales. Now let's move to the Refractory segment. In Refractories sales increased to $70.2 million up 1% compared to the first quarter of 2016.

Higher volumes of refractories products and increased equipment sales were partially offset by lower sales in metallurgical products. As you are aware steel mill utilization rates and global steel production levels are key indicators for this business. Both indicators have improved in the first quarter. Steel utilization rates in the U.S.

averaged 73.4% in the quarter versus 71.2% in Q1 last year and global steel production is up 6% over the prior year. Operating income increased 33% to $9.2 million and was 13.1% of sales compared with 10% sales last year. Operating margins improved due to higher equipment sales, cost and expense control, and productivity improvements of 11%.

Looking to the second quarter we expect that global steel markets remain stable and operating income to improve by $1 million. Now to view our balance sheet, this chart shows our principal debt payments and associated net leverage ratio for the past 11 quarters.

Over this period we made a total of $500 million in debt principal payments and have reduced our net leverage from 4.5 times to 2.5 times currently. We expect to continue this pace of debt repayment and are still projecting to be at two times net leverage by the end of this year.

In the quarter we refinanced $788 million of our variable rate debt achieving a 75 basis point reduction and currently our total liquidity including our revolver and cash on hand stands at $370 million. So now let me summarize what we're seeing for the second quarter.

In Specialty Minerals we expect paper PCC operating income to be slightly lower than the first quarter as our customers take their normal annual maintenance outages. Performance Minerals will benefit from the seasonal uptick in demand.

And overall for this segment we expect second quarter operating income to be up $2 million to $3 million sequentially. In Performance Materials we see continued strong performance in the metal casting product line particularly in China and a stronger seasonal period in the construction markets.

Lower bulk chromite sales have partially offset these increases. Overall we expect operating income to be up $2 million to $3 million sequentially depending on the level of chromite sales. For Energy Services we expect second quarter operating income to be similar to the first quarter while maintaining our targeted margins.

And lastly in Refractories we expect operating income to be $1 million higher than the first quarter based on stable steel market conditions globally. In total we expect a seasonally strong quarter and MTI earnings to be between $1.20 to $1.25 per share. And now let's move to the Q&A. Operator we are ready for a question when you are..

Operator

[Operator Instructions]. And our first question will come from Daniel Moore with CJS Securities. Please go ahead, sir. .

Daniel Moore

Good morning Doug, good morning Matt and a quick hello to [indiscernible].

Wanted to talk about PCC first, obviously nice to see the new satellite and the expansion, just talk about your confidence around pipeline and the potential for signing additional new contracts between now and yearend, and China specifically it has been some time you know talk about the challenges and the opportunities there a little bit?.

Douglas T. Dietrich Chairman & Chief Executive Officer

Sure, thanks Dan. Yeah we have, let's talk about the opportunity in China in particular. That opportunity hasn’t changed. We see penetration, potential PCC penetration in that market evolving similar to how it has in North America and Europe. That opportunity, the opportunity there for MTI to double its PCC production from our current rate.

So it has been a while in China. Some challenges but as we mentioned on the last call, we've got a lot of increasing activity not just in satellites and PCC filler but across our technologies, FulFill, NewYield, and some packaging.

So, got a lot of activities, our confidence is high that this is not the first satellite this year that we will be signing up, last satellite that we will be signing this year. .

Daniel Moore

Very helpful and then in terms of environmental products, talk about maybe your outlook there specifically for that end market for Q2 and the rest of the year?.

Douglas T. Dietrich Chairman & Chief Executive Officer

Yeah, we are still working on projects. We've highlighted a couple of calls ago our Resistex product line. We've been moving this product line into higher margin, higher tech products that address coal ash and red mud landfills.

We've got a number of projects around the world, but a lot of the highlight has been what I mentioned in my comments in terms of some of the work we're doing in China around the government relations and marketing with partners explaining the technology and really taking hold.

Actually, I am going to let Jon Hastings, who had some recent activity, he can give you an update on some of the activities that we've recently had in China around our environmental portfolio.

Jon?.

Jonathan J. Hastings Senior Vice President of Strategy and M&A

Thanks Doug. A couple of comments, I'll start with the GCLs, you know, we've made some pretty strong progress in working with a variety of groups. Just two weeks ago, I was in China and we attended the China U.S.

Investment Cooperation Conference, it was held in Guangdong and during that conference we signed an MOU with one of China's leading environmental remediation companies, and we plan to work together on pilot projects designed to prove out the utility of the technology.

In several applications riverbed remediation works we're exploring what we can do with both red mud and also coal ash.

And during that conference, there was a great opportunity to meet with individually with some of the senior national and provincial government officials, and we were garnering their support not only for the projects but also working together with the government bodies to craft industry standards and regulations that all continue promoting some of the top end technologies of which we are one of the major providers.

We also have been working with our teams to continue developing relationships in the industries both for red mud and also coal ash, and you'll see more of that come to fruition as we continue to proceed. .

Douglas T. Dietrich Chairman & Chief Executive Officer

Daniel, the other thing I'll add is that I know you're probably referring to the first quarter, we had a couple of projects delayed due to wet weather but our outlook for this longer-term as John just mentioned is very positive.

One of the changes that I highlighted that I made in combining the segments is we've put a general manager with direct profit and loss responsibility over environmental products, that's new. We had something over building, construction, and drilling before.

Now, we have three general managers with P&L direct responsibility and that's going to drive a lot more speed, product development, and customer contact. The other thing we've done is we've made some changes in China with these same products, more local leadership on top of environmental and building products in China.

That tied with some of our government marketing, those things making decisions more closely to our customers in China is going to speed things up significantly. So we have a very positive outlook for environmental products going forward. .

Daniel Moore

Got it, very helpful and maybe one more if I could Doug.

You mentioned a number of events and suggestions are up, and I know this is more sort of qualitative but any changes that you've instituted since you took over, is it more just a function of the MTI culture sort of permeating AMCOL over a longer period of time?.

Douglas T. Dietrich Chairman & Chief Executive Officer

No, I think it's not even as much about permeating AMCOL. I think that integration is complete, we have just tremendous engagement from all employees across the company.

As a matter of fact, I think the number of suggestions per employee, the highest number of suggestions per employee comes from our Performance Materials Group which is our former AMCOL business. So that engagement is at a very high level. To your first question, I mentioned that MTI is not changing its knitting.

We're the same company, we focus on discipline, focus on operating, but I am making a few tweaks. I am making a few tweaks to take some of that energy and some of that the way we do business operationally and steer that toward higher performance in terms of revenue growth. Those are the tweaks that I'm making.

So we're not changing the company from that standpoint. .

Daniel Moore

Very helpful, appreciate it. .

Operator

Our next question will come from Rosemarie Morbelli with Gabelli & Company. Please go ahead. .

Rosemarie Morbelli

Thank you, good morning everyone and congratulations. Hey Doug, following up on the tweaking that you are doing at the moment looking at the next three years, I am seeing top line growth between let's say 2.5% and 3%.

So, how much of an improvement on top line do you see going forward and how long before you get -- we can see -- start seeing the results of what you are doing now?.

Douglas T. Dietrich Chairman & Chief Executive Officer

Well, I think we have a number of opportunities. I'll say it and I think I've said it before that MTI is not opportunity challenged.

We've got a number of new products, our new product pipeline, we have about $800 million worth of potential revenue in that pipeline, we've got opportunities to grow in markets around the world, we just talked about environmental products.

Our portfolio of products has tremendous opportunity of growth in Asia and China particularly and we're working on that.

So we have a number of opportunities, the tweaks I'm making are to speed that along to begin to be able to make decisions and engage with customers in a much deeper level in those regions and not provide so much support from the United States in terms of making those decisions, we can go faster.

I think the changes that I've made I think that you'll see some of that fruit bearing this year. I think though some of these things are a bit longer term in terms of production, operating capabilities, manufacturing capabilities those things will take time as we pull those products out of our pipeline and get them through manufacturing.

So I think you'll see some changes this year but I think this is more things that will happen next year.

Also ii want to mention so you don't forget that I mentioned in my comments that another growth avenue for the company is acquisitions and so there's a great opportunity set for us in terms of acquisitions and then there's I just mentioned the organic opportunities.

So I'd like to get the growth moved into the high single-digits but I think it's going to take a little bit of time to get us there with some of the changes I just made. .

Rosemarie Morbelli

And funneling up on your comment regarding M&A, what is the likelihood of us seeing an acquisition between now and the end of 2017, are you comfortable with that something could happen?.

Douglas T. Dietrich Chairman & Chief Executive Officer

I guess I'm going to shy away from giving you a prediction for this year Rosemarie. These are the tough to predict in terms of timing. You know what I can tell you is that we've got a lot of engagement and we've got a nice healthy pipeline of potential opportunities.

One thing that the AMCOL acquisition did bring us is a much broader set of opportunities than we were with the legacy and shared businesses. So, I mention we're still looking at minerals companies where we can leverage our technology.

But we like opportunities where we have a lot of exposure today in consumer products, in the agriculture, in environmental markets and I think those provide us nice platforms to grow the company. So I have a lot of confidence but I just shy away from giving a prediction for the year. .

Rosemarie Morbelli

And then lastly if I may, you leverage essentially for the AMCOL acquisition and obviously you have been very successful in deleveraging, could we see the net leverage going back up to 4.5 time over a few years?.

Douglas T. Dietrich Chairman & Chief Executive Officer

It depends on the acquisition, I think AMCOL was unique. I think the company has shown that it's able to lever up and manage that type of debt load but it really would depend on what we saw with the acquisition. We felt that the MTI and AMCOL combination was highly synergistic.

We had a good confidence around being able to attain those synergies and so therefore we were comfortable being able to manage that type of cash, that type of debt level. So, we have the capability of managing it. I think the type of targets that are in our pipeline right now are probably more in the 50 million to 400 million than the $1 billion type.

So we wouldn't need to go to that type of leverage. But certainly we have the capability of dealing with it. .

Rosemarie Morbelli

Thank you and good luck and Rick we miss you, if you are on the call. .

Douglas T. Dietrich Chairman & Chief Executive Officer

Appreciate that Rosemarie. .

Operator

[Operator Instructions]. And we will take our next question from Silke Kueck with JP Morgan. Please go ahead. .

Silke Kueck

Hi, good morning. It is Silke [ph].

Hi, I was wondering whether you can explain these accounts receivable issues in the quarter, start with latest to higher portion of the sales coming -- from offshore now coming to China, and I was wondering whether you had a free cash flow target either for the second quarter or for the year?.

Douglas T. Dietrich Chairman & Chief Executive Officer

Silke for settlement we given explanation and that comments on AR. It really is, I think what we are highlighting is it's more of a timing issue. We had a very strong March in terms of sales and those receivables will come through in the second quarter. So the build is temporary but it did impact at least some of the cash in the first quarter.

So the first quarter is a typically a low quarter. We have a lot of onetime payments that come out but kind of exacerbating this quarter was the debt refinancing and the really strong March we saw. What we do see is that cash flow rebounding significantly so that will see the first half being on average the same if not better than last year.

And then for the full year we look at another very strong cash flow year. Right now CAPEX we are anticipating to be maybe a little bit higher than last year given where we are with new satellite build, so probably around $70 million to $75 million and that should put us in a very strong free cash flow similar to last year position. .

Silke Kueck

What do you think the D&A will be this year and what was it in the quarter?.

Matthew E. Garth

D&A in the quarter was 12 million -- I am sorry, $22 million, sort of probably be around 90 million, below $90 million this year. .

Silke Kueck

What is the pressure on the Refractory business, is this that I think you had very good sales in the fourth as well, is that a sign that you are like winning new business or -- and where is it coming from, where is this new equipment being installed?.

Douglas T. Dietrich Chairman & Chief Executive Officer

We do typically we have a higher fourth quarter, we take a lot of orders and build the units through the year and we sell them in the fourth. Actually last year our second quarter was a really strong quarter.

I think it's coming from a bit of pent up demand that's been absent from the previous couple of years but let me let Brett Argirakis, he is running that business give you a little more color on what he sees in the equipment. .

Brett Argirakis Group President of Engineered Solutions

Hi Silke, as Doug pointed out usually our sales for equipment are pretty heavily loaded in the fourth quarter. This year we're pretty successful in Q1. Q2 also looks healthy. And those sales are coming from more so our fixed installed laser units.

These units are used in both the steel making vessel and the steel ladles and we're also pretty heavy on its global sales but Japan has been quite strong in Q4 and this year. But it is spread out quite a bit and we are winning a lot of these bids throughout the world. So it's been a pretty successful business for us. .

Silke Kueck

Yes, that is helpful. Thank you.

And my last question is on your raw material costs, there are energy costs, magnesium cost, limestone cost, so I was wondering what your raw material cost -- what do you see in the quarter and how do things look like going forward?.

Douglas T. Dietrich Chairman & Chief Executive Officer

In general raw materials have increased slightly. Let me give you two categories; one would be energy. It's starting to trend up in terms of year-over-year cost, unit cost specifically in the quarter with a lot of wet weather and drying clay and unplugging shoots and things that happen in our Western processing plants.

We're using a lot of -- we use a lot of energy so it was an impact specifically from a consumption standpoint in the quarter but unit costs are starting to rise a bit in terms of natural gas and some oil and propane.

The other area that's been benefited over the past couple of years in magnesium oxide which we used to make our refractory products, you probably read a little bit about what's going on in China, where the government is shutting down a number of kilns that actually make that, burn magnesia and that's taking a lot of capacity out in China and so there's been some pressure on upward movement in our magnesium oxide costs.

That said as you know we've developed a pretty diverse base of NGO [ph] suppliers around the world and you know we leverage that to manage that cost. But those are two areas that I'm seeing. Clay costs and our ore costs are largely internal.

And we manage those costs and actually we've had some significant improvements in our claim mining and [indiscernible] and ground calcium carbonate mining over the past several years. That's a lot of where this productivity that we're showing you is coming from, a large portion of it.

So those are two areas I can give you, the raw materials are probably inching upward..

Silke Kueck

Thanks very much, I will get back in the queue. .

Operator

[Operator Instructions]. And we will now take a follow-up from Daniel Moore with CJS Securities. Please go ahead. .

Daniel Moore

Little housekeeping but Matt post the refi how should we think about the book level of interest expense including any amortization on a quarterly basis going forward?.

Douglas T. Dietrich Chairman & Chief Executive Officer

So far in the quarter interest expense was about, got it right here, let's see, interest in the quarter was about $12 million. Going forward we would expect the savings from the 75 basis point production would benefit us a little bit but you have to keep in mind what happens to LIBOR rates.

So just on the reduction alone with expected $6 million annual savings but LIBOR rates are going to eat into that especially as they've been rising. So a more equal go forward rate would probably be in the 10 to 11 range. .

Daniel Moore

Got it, helpful, thanks again. .

Operator

And we will also take a follow-up question from Rosemarie Morbelli with Gabelli & Company. Please go ahead. .

Rosemarie Morbelli

Thank you.

I was wondering if you could talk about what is behind the decline in part, is it a question of comparison or is it something else?.

Douglas T. Dietrich Chairman & Chief Executive Officer

No, I think there is a -- bit of it has been some of the weather. We are impacted by some shipments and rail cars and difficulties in the quarter, that's a piece of it. We have had a little bit lower consumer product sales in the quarter. We sold talc into a number of different food and farm applications and those were lower in the quarter as well.

But nothing significant. We've seen our sales strengthened through March and that's continued into April. So we see that rebounding in the second quarter. .

Rosemarie Morbelli

Okay, and then lastly on the energy side, you were talking about 20 million quarterly not the ongoing rate into the oil and gas market big step, you are slightly lower, I was just wondering if it is just rounding error or there are some specific factors with first quarter to be below whatever your trend line is anticipated to be?.

Douglas T. Dietrich Chairman & Chief Executive Officer

You know, when we restructured this business we restructured around a set of revenue that we thought sustainable globally and that revenue just to remind you is largely almost 100% offshore with the exception of our onshore business in Saudi Arabia.

We modeled that at the time to be $100 million or thereabouts and so we wanted to make sure we generated a 10% margin. We set up the business to generate 10% margin annually over the sales. It has come down a little bit since then.

There has been -- the offshore market has been a little bit -- has been behind the onshore market from a rebound standpoint. But I give you one statistic that we're not putting overly optimism out there but our well testing business put up its highest first quarter since 2014 in terms of sales. We were up 78% on a year-over-year basis.

Now we're not -- that generally leads to some higher filtration business. We haven't seen that yet, so we're not predicting any type of major rebound in our offshore markets but that's a good sign. And so we think that we will be growing back up into that $100 million range.

And as I mentioned, this business when we set it up we left the people, the locations, and the positions around the world, and capital equipment in place to generate another $100 million in revenue. So there's a headroom, another 100 million in this without having to add a lot of fixed cost.

And the contributions of these product lines are pretty high. So when it happens and what happens this will generate some higher profitability, higher profits in Energy Services. .

Rosemarie Morbelli

And the filtration usually follows the well testing by a quarter, six months gap, any idea?.

Douglas T. Dietrich Chairman & Chief Executive Officer

Let me give it to Andrew Jones who is going to give you a little bit more color on how this works offshore. .

Andrew M. Jones

Sure, Rosemarie, hi. Just to look at both well testing and filtration, filtration is tied directly to infrastructural projects meaning new platforms offshore. So very much tied to the price of oil, getting above $60 a barrel whereas our well testing work is very much tied to the rig count offshore.

So in that case they are a little bit different but generally it is about a six month gap that we see between pull through from filtration and well testing services. So hope that helps to decouple for you the market there between the rig count and the infrastructural projects that today are not happening because of the price of oil.

So we still see pressure on the filtration market. .

Douglas T. Dietrich Chairman & Chief Executive Officer

Let me add one thing to that Rosemarie, it doesn't require well test to get filtration. Those are the -- they are coupled that's why we've kept these two together. We do have some new technologies, we have an expertise in kind of deciphering and understanding and helping customers with their produced water issues.

We have some technologies that we're taking offshore and to some of our floating production vessels that can tackle some challenging water conditions and that's been -- that leads to both filtration service work but also capital sales work which is part of their filtration business. So they are -- they can be separate but one can lead to the other.

But typically as you get well test activity as Andy mentioned, that will lead to higher filtration sales six months down the road. .

Rosemarie Morbelli

Thank you, it was very helpful..

Operator

[Operator Instructions]. And it does appear we have no further telephone questions at this time. I'd like to turn the conference back over to Mr. Garth for any additional or closing remarks. .

Matthew E. Garth

Thank you very much for joining our conference call and I will talk to you again next quarter. Thank you very much. .

Operator

This concludes today's call. Thank you for your participation, you may now disconnect..

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