Kevin Mansell - Kohl's Corp. Bruce H. Besanko - Kohl's Corp..
Mark R. Altschwager - Robert W. Baird & Co., Inc. Lorraine Hutchinson - Bank of America Merrill Lynch Paul Lejuez - Citi Robert Drbul - Guggenheim Securities LLC Paul Trussell - Deutsche Bank Securities, Inc. Michael Binetti - UBS Securities LLC Courtney Willson - Cowen & Co. LLC Matthew Robert Boss - JPMorgan Securities LLC Erinn E.
Murphy - Piper Jaffray & Co. Chuck Grom - Gordon Haskett Research Advisors.
Ladies and gentlemen, thanks for standing by. Welcome to the Kohl's Second Quarter 2017 Earnings Release Conference Call. Certain statements made on this call including projected financial results are forward-looking statements within the meaning of the Private Securities Litigation Reform Act of 1995.
Kohl's intends forward-looking terminology such as believes, expects, may, will, should, anticipates, plans or similar expressions to identify forward-looking statements. Such statements are subject to certain risks and uncertainties which could cause Kohl's actual results to differ materially from those projected in such forward-looking statements.
Such risks and uncertainties include, but are not limited to, those that are described in Item 1A in Kohl's most recent Annual Report on Form 10-K and as may be supplemented from time to time in Kohl's other filings with the SEC, all of which are expressly incorporated herein by reference.
Also, please note that replays of this recording will not be updated so if you are listening after August 10, 2017, it is possible that the information discussed is no longer current. At this time, all participants are in a listen only mode later we will conduct a question-and-answer session. As a reminder, today's conference is being recorded.
I would now like to turn the conference over our host, Mr. Kevin Mansell, Chairman and CEO and President of Kohl's Department Stores. Please go ahead..
Good morning. Thank you for joining us today. With me on the call is our Chief Financial Officer, Bruce Besanko, who will start the call by reviewing our key financial results.
Bruce?.
Thank you, Kevin. Before I discuss our financial results, I'd like to say how excited I am to be at Kohl's working with Kevin and the rest of the leadership team. I've only been at Kohl's a few weeks and I'm already impressed by the caliber, the talent and leadership across the organization.
I'll share more of my thoughts on the company in future calls. Turning to our financial results, as we shared in our press release this morning, comp sales decreased 40 basis points for the quarter, a significant improvement over recent trends. The comp improvement was driven by transactions both in our stores and online.
Though still negative for the quarter, transactions improved significantly over previous quarters and even more encouraging, were positive for the month of July. Average transaction value increased for the quarter driven by strong increase in average unit retail which was partially offset by a decrease in units per transaction.
From a line of business perspective, all the businesses reported improvement and several generated positive comps for the quarter. Our footwear business was especially strong and was driven by athletic shoes. Home and men's also comped positive. Accessories had the most significant improvement in trend for the quarter, though still slightly negative.
Our children and women's business remained challenging. Kevin will provide more details on our sales results in a few minutes. Geographically, performance was generally consistent across all regions. The West and Southeast were the strongest. The Midwest was consistent with the company.
The Mid-Atlantic, Northeast and South-Central regions were modestly below the company average. Now, moving down the P&L. Our gross margin rate decreased 6 basis points for the quarter. Margin increases which resulted from continued inventory management and improved markdown levels were more than offset by shipping costs.
SG&A decreased $3 million for the quarter to $983 million. As a percentage of sales, SG&A deleveraged 12 basis points. Our marketing and credit businesses both leveraged for the quarter. Marketing spend reflected continued efficiencies in our non-customer facing spend.
Our credit business reported both higher revenues on the receivables portfolio and lower operating expenses. Store expenses were managed in line with the decrease in sales, and distribution, IT and corporate costs were also well-managed but didn't leverage on the lower sales.
Depreciation expense was $243 million for the quarter, up $9 million over last year's second quarter. The increase was driven by higher IT depreciation. Interest expense decreased $3 million for the quarter. Most of the decrease was due to lower interest on capitalized leases as the store portfolio matures.
Our income tax rate was 37.4% for the quarter, a decrease of approximately 10 basis points from last year. For the quarter, net income was $208 million. Diluted earnings per share were $1.24. Now transitioning to the balance sheet. We ended the quarter with $552 million of cash and cash equivalents, a decrease of $148 million.
The decrease is the result of lower sales and increased capital expenditures. Inventory per store decreased 2% and units per store decreased 3%, consistent with our expectations for a low to mid single-digit decrease for the year. Our AP to inventory ratio increased 55 basis points to 35.6%, driven by lower inventory receipts.
Now moving on to capital management. Year-to-date capital expenditures were $399 million, $59 million higher than last year. The increase was due to higher technology spending and to spending on our fifth e-commerce fulfillment center which opened recently.
We repurchased 2.4 million shares of our stock during the quarter, bringing our year-to-date total to 6.3 million shares. Weighted average diluted shares for the quarter were 168 million and as of quarter-end we had 169 million shares outstanding. On Wednesday, our board declared a quarterly cash dividend of $0.55 per share.
The dividend is payable on September 20 to shareholders of record at the close of business on September 6. And with that, I'll turn the call back to Kevin who will provide additional details on our results for the quarter and an update on our key initiatives.
Kevin?.
driving traffic and operational excellence. While much of what we have shared has been around the driving traffic priority, we've also made very good progress on our priority around operational excellence.
As you know, over the last few years, our expense rate has risen, driven by hourly wage and benefit increases, the impact of our long-term technology investments and the growth of digital demand as a percent of our total business. That has led to lower levels of income over the same period.
While we remain even more committed to our goal of achieving best-in-class as an omnichannel retailer, those headwinds continue to be present looking forward. As a result, we've clearly seen the need to identify ways to work faster and smarter, and the organization has embraced that goal.
We now believe that we can capture over $250 million of SG&A savings from our current annualized rate over the next three years, which will offset many of these headwinds. As you've seen in the improvement this year in our SG&A performance, we're beginning to get some traction on some of those efforts already.
And with that, we'll be happy to take some of your questions..
Your first question comes from the line of Mark Altschwager from Robert W. Baird. Please go ahead..
Great. Good morning. Congrats on the solid quarter, and, Bruce, welcome. Wanted to start out and just confirm on the comp. You mentioned transactions were positive in July. Were total comps also positive in July? I think you've been seeing a nice lift in average transaction value in recent quarters, so I'm just curious if that's beginning to subside.
And any other puts and takes there? Thanks..
Well, I'm actually looking at that right now. It's pretty much flat for the July period. I think you know, Mark, that we've tried to consistently message that the key thing we think that has to change – and I know you are in agreement on this – for us to achieve better results is to improve traffic.
And so we probably have a bigger spotlight on traffic movement and transactions increasing than we even do in our overall sales results because we know that's sort of the leading indicator that people are visiting our stores more often. We've had a lot of success on the conversion side in our stores.
And so if we can get more people into the stores, we're pretty confident that'll lead to sales increases. Thanks..
Thanks. And maybe following up on gross margin as well; down slightly in the quarter but it was the toughest comparison of the year.
So I guess as the comparisons get a little bit easier and these various inventory and speed initiatives ramp, do you have more confidence that results could potentially come in at the high-end of the range provided?.
Well, we haven't updated any of our guidance from the beginning of the year. I think at the beginning of the year, we telegraphed that we expect that most of the margin improvement to occur early, particularly in the first quarter. But certainly you're right.
The improvement on our merchandise margin, which is margin prior to the impact of shipping and fulfillment on our margin, improved and we did do better. And certainly, you're right that we are seeing the results of all of our initiatives on fulfillment positively impacting our shipping and fulfillment costs.
So our gross margin I think we feel like is moving in the right direction but we definitely haven't updated in any of the guidance, which assumed I think a modest increase for the year; most of it coming in the first quarter..
That's helpful, thanks. And best of luck..
Thanks..
Your next question comes from the line of Lorraine Hutchinson from Bank of America. Please go ahead..
Thank you. Good morning.
The AUR increase in the quarter, was that 100% driven by lower clearance sales? Or were there any other factors that drove that?.
I think it's a mix. I mean, clearance definitely had obviously an impact on it. As you know AUR is sort of an outcome of a bunch of different variables like the mix of our business, the percent of the business we do online, versus brick-and-mortar, where that business comes from a regular price and clearance perspective.
Clearance helped our average unit retail improve for sure, but there's been a pretty consistent pattern of improved average unit retail results that are a factor of the mix that I just talked about.
And of course it goes without saying, the factor of national brands growing in penetration, right? I mean national brands have a higher average unit retail. National brands in our Active and Wellness business have a particularly higher average unit retail.
So those are all kind of tailwinds for us from an average unit retail performance which basically circles us back to the original challenge for us, and it's what we're pursuing so aggressively which is to change the trend in traffic.
Because if we can change the trend in traffic into our stores, then all those benefits that I just touched on become incremental and build on the traffic level..
And then the headwinds that offset some of the lower clearance selling on gross margin, would you characterize that as an acceleration in online penetration? Or was that more national brand focused?.
The headwinds on average unit retail you mean?.
On gross margin. So obviously....
Well, I mean, fundamentally, the difference between merchandise margin, which increased, and gross margin which didn't, was simply a function of an accelerated rate of growth in our digital business.
And as you know, the main factor there, it was a little bit of a mix factor for sure, but the main factor there is that there are shipping and fulfillment costs that come into play that are a headwind for us.
I think more and more as I just alluded to with Mark, more and more we're getting more confidence that we can manage our merchandise margin up as a function of a lot of different things, and that will offset the impact of that headwind on shipping and fulfillment.
And then secondarily, I think more and more we're gaining confidence that the strategy to amplify the role and relevancy of the store by leveraging the store inventory and using technology to drive fulfillment from our stores is helping that as well..
Can I just add on to that, too Kevin. Lorraine, this is Bruce.
The cost of shipping, that delta between the merch margin and the gross margin that Kevin was talking about, that cost of shipping was this quarter, and continues to be in line with sort of the 20 basis points to 30 basis points the company has discussed in the past, so it's that omnichannel component that's in the cost of shipping..
Thank you. And then one last quick one.
You've commented on NIKE performance in some prior quarters, can you give us an update on that just with the Under Armour pads now in the store for the full quarter?.
It's been great.
Obviously that was a point of attention for us because introducing an amazing brand like Under Armour into our Active business doesn't help if all it does is move sales around from some other brand, but as I alluded to, NIKE, and in fact adidas, another really important brand in Active and Wellness, both had positive sales increases in the second quarter in the face of a massive Under Armour extension, and it lifted our overall sales in Active, in apparel and footwear up by I think in the range of like 14%.
So, really positive, extremely positive..
Great. Thank you..
Your next question comes from the line of Paul Lejuez from Citi. Please go ahead..
Hey, guys. Paul Lejuez. Kevin, you spoke about transactions turning positive in July.
Was that at the store level specifically? Or are you talking about overall, including e-com, and whatever your answer is there, is it coming more from your customer shopping more? Or are you getting the new customer into the store? And then separate for Bruce, just curious if in your short time there, if there's anything you're seeing within the organization that you'd describe as low hanging fruit in terms of just the way to do things cheaper, faster, smarter, any thoughts there? Thanks..
The transaction number – this is Kevin, Paul. You get your name butchered every time I feel bad for you..
All good..
On the transaction side, we provide transaction data based on the total business, and so that increase in July is a reflection of both the combination of the brick-and-mortar and the digital business together, though they improved across the board.
In terms of where that came from, is it more from existing customer visits or more from new customer visits? It's a combination of both. Some of the news in terms of identification of new customers, frankly, is extremely encouraging.
I hesitate to share some of that detail with you right now because it's relatively early, and as you know, we've introduced a big new brand in the spring season that we think has helped that. But I think what we're seeing in the data is that new customers are a more meaningful part of the overall change in trend.
And so while it's encouraging, I think we'll let that go for a quarter or two and then we'll probably be in a position where we could share some more detail on that.
Bruce?.
Hi, Paul. Good to speak with you. It's been a long while. So in terms of my perspective, I would say that the company has done a very good job managing margin and managing expenses over time. And as Kevin said, we're targeting $250 million of expense reductions which we believe will offset some of the headwinds the company's been facing.
So it's probably a little too early for me to say more than that, but maybe I'll add just a little bit of color in terms of what I'm seeing at Kohl's and part of the reason why I joined, which may be helpful. First of all, I'm delighted to be here.
While retail has been a challenging sector and the department store sector has been particularly challenging, Kohl's in my view is well-positioned for the future. We have a great strategy. I think we have the right focus in terms of operational excellence and driving traffic.
The company has got a great set of assets including a terrific management team with a really deep bench. I think the store base very strong, 90% are off-mall. There's 80% that are within 15 miles of folks in the U.S. So it's a very strong store base. We're going to continue to invest in it.
We're making a significant investment in our omnichannel experience to be, as Kevin mentioned, best-in-class omnichannel player. We have a strong, healthy credit card portfolio, which is another key asset and competitive strength. We have a great mix of national brands, private brands, exclusive brands.
And so, there's this very significant focus by the company's leadership team on customers and I think that's a particular strength. And then, just finally, we've got a really strong balance sheet. Wes and the management team here including Jill Timm have done a great job setting a capital structure that supports the company's strategy.
So, over time, I'll figure out where there may be additional opportunities but as I said, I couldn't be more delighted than to be here. And I think the progress the company is making in terms of the operational excellence under Jill's leadership has been terrific..
Thanks a lot. Good luck, guys..
Your next question comes from the line of Bob Drbul from Guggenheim. Please go ahead..
Hi, guys. Good morning.
On the Active pad, with the Under Armour – and you said, Kevin – leading sales, have you increased your expectations for Under Armour for the full year contribution? And I was just wondering if you might have any update around the expectations to what that could do to help the comp in terms of the top line for this year? And the second question that I have is around the marketing and advertising with competitive store closures.
Do you have an estimate on the actual dollar opportunity that you see as you pursue this marketing and this type of approach in the back half of the year?.
Thanks, Bob. On the Under Armour business, the short answer is yes. By default, if I am saying to you that we exceeded our plan in the first quarter with Under Armour and we exceeded that plan in the second quarter with Under Armour, we are going to exceed the original plan that we had for the year.
In addition, we've worked with them and they've been very responsive and very flexible and supportive of opening up our ability to accelerate the rate of growth into the fall and the holiday season with product and delivery.
So my sense is that the positive impact from Under Armour on our Active and Wellness initiative is only going to continue, and there's a possibility of course that it could grow. More importantly to me, on the Active and Wellness pad, certainly equally as important is that it has really turned into a big positive for the business.
And so I'm as excited about the fact that we were able to introduce a massive new brand like that and still get a sales increase with the biggest brand that we have in the entire store, which is NIKE, and to me, that is what's most exciting. On the marketing thing as it relates to the competitive closures, no, we wouldn't share that kind of detail.
I think we'd be getting into a lot of proprietary information. As you can imagine, it's market-based, so we'd be going down a slippery slope. But I would just say to you there's no question it is incrementally positive.
I mean, there's no question in my mind that as we activate a targeted effort, it is going to be a positive tailwind for us in sales and I'm looking forward to that as we enter the back-to-school season..
Great.
And then, Kevin, on the Active and Wellness pad, is that gross margin accretive in total, or is it still sort of national brands versus private brands in terms of the mix – the adverse mix on national brands?.
I mean, generally on a rate basis, as you know, private – our proprietary brand assortment delivers a higher merchandise margin rate. But as you also know, that has never been a focus of this company.
Our focus has always been about putting the best foot forward with the customer on product, and the brands that we have in the Active business are what people want more of, and so we're going to give them more of that. And we think that will lead to driving more traffic and driving more sales. It's all about dollars, it's not about rate.
So certainly, the national brands deliver a little bit lower rate than private brands..
Great. Thanks very much..
Thanks, Bob..
Your next question comes from the line of Paul Trussell from Deutsche Bank. Please go ahead..
Good morning. It's been over a year since we had the 15 store closings that took place in the second quarter I believe last year.
I just wanted a little bit more details on the analysis done in terms of sales that moved online or moved to other stores, what you were able to recapture, and just any other thoughts around maybe future door closings or how you're thinking about long-term store count? And also back to the prior conversation around SG&A, just maybe more specifically on the second half, how we should think about the rate of growth for expenses relative to what we saw in the first half? Thank you..
Thanks, Paul. I can probably take a stab at the first part, and Bruce can probably add some information on the second part relative to the SG&A. On the store closure analysis, as we indicated at the end of last year, there were some pretty consistent findings through that period of closure.
And generally, what I would say is that the retention of sales from closed stores by other Kohl's stores in the same trade area have continued around the same rate, which is around 30% or so.
Of course, they range, but generally around 30%; that there is an impact on a market when you have fewer stores in it and share of mine is therefore decreased, and as a result, those areas where we've closed stores, the rate of growth in our omnichannel business has been a little less and that was a finding early on, and it continues to be so.
Everything that we've learned from that store closure pilot has been that reinforcing the importance of a great physical footprint. And we've said over and over again, and we have seen nothing that doesn't support this. In fact, I think the thesis is growing stronger.
Certainly, probably smaller stores, certainly, as I alluded to, we are testing Your Store, which is a concept to what does the store look like in the future both operationally and from a customer experience standpoint, they're going to look different. But I don't see store closures has a meaningful impact anywhere in the near future.
That doesn't mean there won't be individual stores, just like always, who will look at the financial performance of and make a conclusion to make a change. But, in general, we feel great about the portfolio we have. We're opening new stores this fall but they are very different than the stores we've opened in the past.
So, I feel good about that for sure. You should not expect to hear anything about store closures this year..
I would just add to your comment too, Kevin, on the stores which is this company, like you would expect, goes through economic analyses in terms of our store performance and we make the right judgments based on cash flows. And so, the company will continue to prune its portfolio over time, but we've got a really strong store base at this point.
And then, I know you had a question in terms of the SG&A, so let me just make a couple of comments. One is don't forget that this year is one of those anomalies in which our company will have a 53rd week.
I'd refer you, Paul, back to the original outlook that folks gave at the beginning of the year just to kind of refresh on the impacts of the 53rd week, which will obviously have an impact on SG&A. In terms of – let me just make a comment on the second quarter and then I'll move on to the second half, which is where your question is.
So we had a good second quarter. As we said in the prepared remarks, we had $3 million less than the prior year though. On a rate basis, we deleveraged by about 12 basis points.
I think this whole story goes to the fact that the company has done a great job in terms of managing costs over time and is starting – in the second quarter, it's showing some of that effort.
I would just then – in terms of the second half, I think we should begin to start seeing some of the impact from this work on operational excellence that Kevin has talked about and that I know Jill had mentioned in our prior call.
So we're going to do things differently, and I think that will result in greater efficiencies, more productivity and so on. And so, we have the entire organization focused on the operational excellence, and so I think we're probably maybe three quarters of the way through an initial review of all these costs.
And so on an annualized basis, I think we're comfortable that we could achieve expense savings of over $250 million over the next three years, some of which may begin to appear in the second half..
Thank you for that color. Very quick follow up on earlier comments about July. Just wanted to ask more specifically about the early read on back-to-school.
Any discussion around what you've seen or what your expectations are or how you're positioned in this back-to-school selling season and how you're faring in those particular categories?.
Early reads on back-to-school are good. Some categories were outstanding; some were okay. That's always the case early in the season. It's a long season because it goes for us from essentially mid-July through just past Labor Day.
From a category perspective, you kind of know this already, of course, but Active category is really an important category at back-to-school and we're particularly performing well there. I mentioned Levi's is a particularly strong performer again in the second quarter. So, I think that's an indication of how we feel about our denim business overall.
We've got some improvements coming in some of the businesses that have been more of a laggard business, like children's. So it's certainly early, Paul, but I'm positive..
Thanks. Good luck..
Thanks..
Your next question comes from the line of Michael Binetti from UBS. Please go ahead..
Hey, guys. Good morning. Thanks for taking my question. Could you help me reconcile a few things here? As I look through the components you gave us to think about the comps, the traffic was positive in July but lower in the quarter. And then I think you said the average transaction value was positive in the quarter.
It seems like the back half there is that ATV went negative in July, despite – you know you mentioned lower clearance levels, better inventory, higher national brand penetration.
Was there something specific related to ATV in July that's been the negative that we should think about?.
I mean the short answer is no..
Okay..
And one of the things I try to avoid is to obsess over individual metrics and individual periods because, of course, we look at these metrics not just on a monthly, quarterly basis; we look at them literally on a daily basis. And they can get you to really wrong conclusions.
The fundamental message I'm giving is the improvement in our sales trend was driven entirely by an improvement in traffic. And I think we believe that's going to continue. And so that – you can look at all these other numbers monthly, weekly, forward-looking, backward looking but it's about traffic. And so we've got to get traffic positive.
We do that, there's a lot of good things coming..
And the reason we made the comment about July being positive was, just to that point, to emphasize the fact that we've seen a trend shift from earlier in the year, and so the sequential improvement for the quarter was great and the improvement in July was particularly noteworthy..
That's a good point. Let me ask two quick follow-ups, July, so as our look at positive transactions in July, you said it improved. I don't know if that base line is from first quarter.
It sounds like it's positive year-over-year, but as you break down – to help us get out of the detail of just July, how sustainable do you think that is? Should we think about this as the work that you've done to drive traffic in your stores can stabilize in a slightly positive territory on a year-over-year basis going forward? And then separately, I just wanted to ask on the $250 million in cost saves, you said a couple times that it will offset some of the headwinds.
Can I interpret that as meaning less deleverage going forward but still a deleverage path or how to think about what the $250 million means in the context of actual dollar growth? Thanks..
On both of those, again, without getting into the weeds on traffic – and I probably belabored this point in our prepared remarks – but as I said, driving traffic is the single biggest priority for the entire company. And so, do we believe that the things we are doing are making an impact on that? Yes.
We can point to actual results, as Bruce just alluded to, that back that up. We haven't changed our guidance for the year. We have assumptions that were built-in at the beginning of the year that, of course, aspirationally we want to exceed. We'd love to do that, and we think the way we're going to exceed it is through this traffic metric.
So optimism is here for sure. We can point to specifics to back up that optimism, but nothing has changed.
On the headwinds thing, we haven't provided guidance beyond this year, and so to get into, hey, does that savings on an annualized run rate offset all of the headwinds, most of the headwinds, some of the headwinds, we're not prepared to talk about that.
I think the main message, Michael – and I think it's a really important message for investors is – investors have challenged us to say, hey, we understand the difficulty in the sector that you operate in, and you seem to be doing a good job managing through that and there are a lot of good things coming, but at the end of the day over the last few years your net income has fallen.
It's fallen because you haven't been able to find a way to offset these increasing expenses.
We're going to put a stake in the ground in saying, okay, we have a way to offset these increasing expenses, and we'll provide more color on that as we go forward and when we get to the point where we're going to provide future guidance, we'll definitely give you more detail around the specifics..
Just to build on what you said, Kevin, totally on board. We're going to continue to invest in the business to drive traffic and to drive sales. One of the investments will be in our people. In order to stay competitive with the industry, we're going to continue to make investments in technology and our omnichannel experience.
We're going to continue to make investments to deliver value to our customers in terms of marketing and other things. So this is the right process, and we believe that this process in terms of operational excellence will make us stronger and it will indeed help in terms of the cost structure going forward..
Thanks a lot, guys..
Thanks..
Your next question comes from the line of Oliver Chen from Cowen & Company. Please go ahead..
Hi. This is Courtney Willson on for Oliver today. Thanks for taking our question. Just on your women's business, can you provide more detail on your progress here? Which parts of the business you're most pleased with? And then where you're most focused on improvements in the back half? Thanks..
Sure. There was progress obviously in the women's business. It probably goes without saying that the most significant, solid part of the business is the Active business. They shared in the growth in Active just like the men's and children's areas did in apparel and like footwear did, so I would see that continuing to go into the fall season for sure.
The softer part of the business in women's has been the Sportswear business, both contemporary and classic sportswear, and that's not news. I don't think – that's not a news flash for anybody.
That has been driven by an underperformance in our proprietary brand portfolio because proprietary brands over-penetrate in the women's apparel area more so than anywhere else in the store, and as we've had more disappointing results in proprietary brands, naturally that has impacted that business a little more disproportionately.
I would point you to the comments we made around our speed initiative. That's our solution to that. We're seeing traction on that for sure in the second quarter. Our private brand performance led in terms of improving on the trendline basis and women's was a critical part of that.
And so I think embracing the speed initiative on sourcing is the solution to changing the trendline in private brands, and private brands is the pathway for us to change the trendline in women's apparel. So that's how we're looking at the fall..
And, Kevin, you've got – between you and Michelle, you've put a new leader in charge of the women's business about six months ago and I think I had a chance to spend a few minutes with them the other night and I think he's got a lot of enthusiasm behind those initiatives..
Yes, for sure..
Great. Thanks for the details..
Thank you..
Your next question comes from the line of Matthew Boss from JPMorgan. Please go ahead..
Thanks. Just looking at your balance sheet. So sales have declined I think around $600 million since 2012 but inventory is still actually up a degree, I think, about $50 million over that period.
I guess, how much room do you see to continue to cut inventory levels in the stores? And then just any concentration as we think by category where you really think that you still have the most meat?.
I'm going to answer that – this is Kevin – just because I don't think Bruce is in a position to be able to talk about this as well. We're looking at inventory management in the exact same way as we're looking at our operational excellence initiative on the expense side, and that is sustainable, consistent, long-term reduction.
And the way we get there is on a multi-part platform. Our speed initiative and our sourcing strategy is going to allow us to deliver product more often and closer to need.
The strategies we have in place to hyper localize our assortments make us better at presenting relevant merchandise on a store-by-store basis and not presenting things people don't want. Our standard-to-small store strategy has been incredibly successful.
I think we've alluded to you in the past, Matt, that standard-to-small store strategy where we've taken 300-plus stores which are standard in size and created footprints inside the store on a physical basis, on a fixture basis, and inventory basis that are much smaller has resulted in somewhere in the range of 10% less inventory and essentially no change to sales.
So that's made us more profitable.
So as I look out forward, our focus is just on the sustainable and consistent reduction, and I wanted to make sure I pointed out in the prepared remarks, we came into the quarter with less inventory in units and dollars, we came out of the quarter with less inventory in units and dollars, and I see that continuing going forward..
Great. And then just a follow-up to circle back to expenses. So on the $250 million in SG&A savings you outlined, it actually lines up with trough levels five years ago as a percent of sales. So it makes sense.
But is the primary takeaway here that it will really help to offset some of your sales-driving initiatives and may not actually show up as aggregate bottom line SG&A dollar reduction? Am I thinking about that right?.
Well, obviously, a lot depends on what the revenue line is, right. There are some of our expenses that are variable, and so if sales start to improve, there are variable expenses that move along with it. Store payroll is the obvious one you always know.
But, yes, I think you're kind of generally thinking about it the right way, which is we're saying to ourselves, okay, "Look, we haven't been successful at driving sales yet. Yes, there's a lot of optimism. Yes, we can point to all the green shoots.
Yes, there's improvement in the second quarter." But it's fair for investors to say to us you haven't done it yet on the sales line.
Therefore, what we should do is ensure that while we remain committed to the longer-term future as an omnichannel retailer and that requires us to make these investments around technology, around average hourly wage and benefit, and obviously continue to ship and fulfill more of our customers' needs online, we have to find a way to offset all those increased expenses.
And that's basically what we're saying is we believe we can do that. And I think you are thinking about it the right way. Yes, in a perfect world, we'll actually be able to reduce the expenses.
And trust me, that's where we're focused on, but I think what we are saying today is for the first time that we believe we have a pathway to offset those things..
Great. Best of luck..
Thanks..
Your next question comes from the line of Erinn Murphy from Piper Jaffray. Please go ahead..
Great. Thanks. Good morning. You referenced, Kevin, I think in your prepared remarks about some assortment improvements planned on the athletic pad in the second half.
Could you just elaborate on that? And then on the footwear strength, obviously led by athletic, could you just speak to also how the fashion footwear, the nonathletic performed during the quarter? Thanks..
Sure. I mean overall in the assortment improvement, what I'm suggesting is that the trend line that we've had in active apparel and footwear which began some time ago, we had planned and have activated more offering as we move into the back-to-school holiday period just broadly. So our pads for Active and Wellness have increased in size.
Michelle is also developing a secondary plan, which outsizes our active apparel even further, and we are going to experiment with how high is up on that. And then uniquely, I would say more to Under Armour, we entered the Under Armour partnership with certain expectations, and they were very aggressive.
I think we alluded to the fact that it was going to be the biggest brand launch we've ever had and it was. But we've realized and they've realized that there's actually more opportunity.
And so I think some of the responses to the original and initial reaction by customers are incorporated into our fall and holiday, and so we're lifting, particularly in some areas like footwear, where we think we've got big opportunity.
On the footwear business itself, to be totally honest with you, Erinn, I can have Bruce get back to you on the specifics. There's no question athletic drove the footwear increase, but I do think there is some substantial progress on sort of at leisure or active casual with certain brands that are pretty promising.
One of the brands I know early in the first quarter that didn't perform as well was Skechers. And Skechers I think had by far the biggest improvement in the second quarter in terms of performance, but I don't want to get – I'm not comfortable with all the detail on that, but we can definitely get back to you on that..
Got it. Thank you. And then if I can just speak to the accessory category, you talked about that being the most significant improvement quarter-on-quarter. What categories within accessories did you see kind of glide that path toward better results? Thanks..
Well, one of the categories that had in particular a big change in trend was jewelry, particularly fine jewelry. We had a super-successful Mother's Day event. We had consistent performance throughout the second quarter in jewelry. And I think you know that in prior quarters jewelry was definitely a big drag on our overall accessory business.
So that was actually a big change in trend. Fashion accessories I think were strong as well, but if I had to call out one thing, accessories was essentially the worst-performing business we had in the store in the first quarter, and it had the biggest improvement by far in trend in the second quarter.
And if I had to call one single thing, it was the fine jewelry business change..
Thank you..
Can I just jump in on the footwear question, I'll just answer that now. The kids did well. It was a good comp. Men's did fine. And then juniors, we missed on juniors. That was a challenging area..
Got it..
Thanks..
Your next question comes from the line of Charles Grom from Gordon Haskett. Please go ahead..
Hey. Good morning, Kevin and Bruce. You spoke to Under Armour being a massive initiative, massive expansion.
Could you qualify the comp growth for us here in the second quarter?.
We don't provide specific detail of the impact of individual brands. I do think, Chuck, at the beginning of the year we sort of indicated that we thought it had the potential to lift sales in the like 0.75% range on a comp basis. It's exceeded its plan a little bit in the first four or five months.
So if anything, you might say it's probably helped a little bit more than that. But I think that's kind of a good general number. When we get to the end of the year and we're able to look back at the entire year, we will probably be able to give you some more color on that..
Okay, great.
And when we think about the national brand offering into 2018 and even in 2019, what parts of the floor do you see the biggest opportunities to increase your national brand presence?.
one, of course, we're working hard on that, so there's nothing I can share specifically around it. But I would say generally, to be honest, Michelle's probably primary focus is we have some really powerful national brands currently in the portfolio that she sees as having big opportunity, and a lot of them are around this active and wellness space.
And I'm not just talking about active apparel and footwear, but wellness throughout the whole store. Many of those brands are national brands, naturally, whether they're in the soft home area or they're in our accessory area or they're in the core active apparel and footwear area.
We need more national brands for sure in our core apparel areas, and so that's our focus. We're definitely pursuing them in a big way. And we're pointing out in most cases that the reaction that we've had to the Under Armour launch has been spectacular, and I think that's an indication for others as to what the possibility is.
And that combined with the fact that I think we're one of the few companies who has a well-articulated strategy to continue to have a massive physical footprint; in fact, perhaps expand it to those smaller stores, is a really good selling proposition for brands..
Great. And then just to dovetail off that, one of your non-direct competitors down in Bentonville has been on a pretty big acquisition spree of late, acquiring a number of customer-facing e-commerce brands.
And given the strength of your balance sheet, I'm wondering if that's something you would look to explore to try to get younger and the Millennial shopper?.
Yes, I mean, all options are on the table, of course. We've I think tried to be specific in terms of how we approach our capital structure. The most important thing for us, the most important thing is to plow back investment into our existing business.
And that's both into the physical part of our business, but as we've talked about a lot, the digital part of our business. So that's the number-one priority. Number-two priority, of course, is to maintain and hopefully increase shareholder return through a strong dividend program.
And as you know and I think Bruce alluded to, we continue to buy back shares because we think that's an appropriate utilization of funds. If we identify investments outside the company that we think can accelerate our effort to drive traffic into our existing stores that would certainly be something we would be interested in..
Okay, great. And just last question.
Could you just elaborate a little bit more on the smart cart initiative? What's the associated discount with that, and has that rolled out across the entire chain at this point in time?.
No, it's going to roll out in the third quarter. Just as we did with the Your Price initiative, we'll roll it out first on desktop in order to track the results effectively.
I think the plan, without being able to get into all the specifics, I think the plan is to test various offers and ideas to see what response gets the best reaction from customers and proceed accordingly. But I think based on past, this is going to work. No question about it. This is going to be a very successful strategy.
And the only reason we're rolling it out in the way we are is that we've learned over time, walk before you run, learn how customers react, and find the right sweet spot as to what is the exchange that we're going to make with the customer to entice them to consider that trip to the store as opposed to us incurring the expense of fulfilling it to their home.
And we'll learn that through the period, and then I would expect that we'll roll it out across all platforms, and we'll roll it out with a more consistent application. But I'm really excited about this initiative because we're kind of back to where we started. What's the number one thing we want to do? Drive traffic to our stores.
We have this growing digital business, but a lot of it is growing by us shipping to customers, or sometimes of course we're fulfilling that from the store to ship to customers, but it's going to their homes. We need more of those customers who choose to come into the stores, and that's why I'm excited about this..
Great. Thanks, and good luck..
Thanks..
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