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Real Estate - REIT - Office - NYSE - US
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EARNINGS CALL TRANSCRIPT
EARNINGS CALL TRANSCRIPT 2023 - Q1
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Operator

Thank you all for joining. I would like to welcome you to the Hudson Pacific Properties First Quarter 2023 Earnings Conference Call. My name is Brica, and I'll be your operator for today's call. At this time, all participants are in a listen-only mode and you will have an opportunity to ask a question after the presentation.

[Operator Instructions] Thank you. I would now like to turn the conference over to Laura Campbell to begin. So, Laura, you may begin..

Laura Campbell Executive Vice President of Investor Relations & Marketing

Good morning everyone. Thanks for joining us. With me on the call today are Victor Coleman, CEO and Chairman; Mark Lammas, President; Harout Diramerian, CFO; and Art Suazo, EVP of Leasing. Yesterday, we filed our earnings release and supplemental on an 8-K with the SEC, and both are now available on our website.

An audio webcast of this call will be available for replay on our website. Some of the information we'll share today on the call is forward-looking in nature. Please reference our earnings release and supplemental for statements regarding forward-looking information as well as the reconciliation of non-GAAP financial measures used on this call.

Today, Victor will discuss macro conditions in relation to our business. Mark will provide detail on our office leasing, and Harout will review our financial results and 2023 outlook. Thereafter, we'll be happy to take your questions.

Victor?.

Victor Coleman Chairman & Chief Executive Officer

Good morning everyone and welcome to our first quarter call. In the first few months of the year, macroeconomic challenges have persisted, exacerbating uncertainty and putting downward pressure on office market fundamentals. We will touch on how this is impacting our leasing activity in a moment.

Recently, however, we've seen much more of big tech return-to-work announcements, bringing employees back to office multiple days a week, citing performance, and efficiency concerns. These include Amazon, Oracle, Redfin, Lyft, and DocuSign to name a few. Castle Data and Transit Ridership also show improvement across our markets.

With the return to office unfolding slower than many expected, we remain cautiously optimistic that these announcements and related trends will translate into increased physical occupancy and improved tenant demand at our assets.

Important indicators continue to support the notion that the Bay Area and Seattle remain epicenters for talent and capital networks that drive the tech industry. For example, the first quarter venture capital investments was in line with historic 10-year average, with the Bay Area continuing to receive the bulk of these funds.

The early 2020s brought a wave of funding accelerated by COVID-related macro forces with a minimal office leasing. Beyond AI, which is currently driving approximately 600,000 square feet of requirements in the city of San Francisco alone, other sectors like cybersecurity, defense, and energy remain compelling areas for growth.

While it will take time for this to positively contribute to our leasing efforts, it reaffirms our view that our office properties are located in compelling growth markets. Turning to our studios. Last week, the Writers Guild of America elected to strike, leading to a halt in the domestic film and TV production.

And unlike prior strikes where production ramped up in advance, this was instead a significant slowdown in filming through the first quarter. We suspect this is primarily the result of streaming companies more robust existing content pipeline, although the austerity measures as well may have played a role. For example, in the L.A.

market overall, the first quarter filming and TV shoot days declined approximately 30% compared to the same period last year. This initial slowdown impacted independent studios and service providers such as ours, first, as major studios consolidated productions on site. With the strike underway, productions at all studios have now been disrupted.

This slowdown was a precursor to what we will experience during the strike in the past, with the overall economic impact to be felt much more broadly. In 2007 and 2008, the writers' strike, which lasted 14 weeks, cost the California economy $2.1 billion or $2.8 billion in today's dollars.

There have been seven such strikes since the 1950s, ranging from two to 22 weeks, with the average being 14 weeks.

Whether brief or protracted, the strike will impact the entire studio business, albeit less for our Sunset Studio assets, where nearly 70% of our state's square footage is under multiyear leases with guaranteed minimums for service revenue.

Lack of visibility around the strike's duration led us to suspend our 2023 FFO outlook and related studio assumptions while we're still providing assumptions related to our 2023 office outlook. Harout is going to discuss this further on the call.

These studio-related union strikes are both temporary and relatively infrequent and we believe underlying fundamentals for content production and thus for the studio business overall remains solid.

Even if spend on high-quality original content moderates in the coming years in pursuit of profitability, current estimates indicate it will be at least on par with last year's following a period of ramp-up post-strike.

In these uncertain times, we stay focused on what we can control, executing on leasing, prudently allocating capital, reducing corporate expenses, proactively working on asset sales and further fortifying our balance sheet.

We continue to live in upfront capital spend for market-ready suites, common area and base-building improvements until we have certainty around demand. We're currently evaluating potential disposition of six distinct assets, including a land parcel.

We've also recently received Board approval to reduce our dividend by 40% to 50%, with the precise amount to be finalized at our Board meeting later this month. This will bring our dividend policy in line with other capital preservation efforts.

However, even without the dividend reduction, we have a path to address all our maturities through year-end 2025, which Harout will also discuss later in this call. With that, I'm going to turn it over to Mark..

Mark Lammas President & Treasurer

Thanks Victor. Our 344,000 square feet of first quarter leasing activity reflects tenant's continued slow decision-making, which notably decelerated amid recession concerns in the third and fourth quarter of last year. Our in-service office portfolio lease percentage was 88.7% compared to 89.7% at the end of last year.

Note, this quarter, we've added 10900-10950 Washington to our future development pipeline. It is the only residential conversion we're considering at this point and we're actively working through entitlements to build approximately 500 units.

Thus, the decline in lease percentage was mostly attributable to small to midsize expirations at our Peninsula and Silicon Valley assets. At the same time, the preponderance of our first quarter leasing activity also resulted from small sub-5,000 square foot tenants in those markets.

Our GAAP and cash rents fell approximately 3% and 5%, respectively, with a decline mostly driven by a significantly below-market 20,000 square-foot short-term renewal. Our tenant improvements were in line with the trailing 12 months per square foot average but look higher on an annual basis due to shorter weighted average lease term.

Trailing 12-month net effective rents are nearly 6% higher than last year and in line with pre-pandemic, that is first quarter 2020 trailing 12-month net effective rents. The average weighted lease term of 42 months reflects the impact of three larger short-term renewals.

For new deals alone, our weighted average lease term was 67 months, which is typical given an average size of 4,000 square feet. Trailing 12-month weighted average lease term is approximately 9% higher than last year and in line with our pre-pandemic trailing 12-month weighted average lease term.

We still have activity on both of our 2023 large block expirations, including 60% coverage on blocks space at 1455 Market. But given the broader dynamics in the mid-market neighborhood, we expect that backfill will take time.

We also remain in discussions around a potential renewal with our full building tenant at Met Park North, even as we proactively market that space. In total, we currently have 47% coverage on our remaining 2023 expirations, with an average tenant size of roughly 11,000 square feet.

Our leasing pipeline, which includes deals and leases, LOIs or proposals, has increased, up 11% to 2 million square feet since it dipped in the third quarter of last year. The average deal size within our pipeline is 13,000 square feet, above the 8,000 square feet on average for its signed deals over the last five years.

The weighted average lease term of deals currently within our pipeline is more closely aligned with our five-year average of 82 months. Separately, tours at our assets are at the highest level since first quarter 2017.

In slowing in the third quarter last year, the number of our tourists has increased more than 30%, largely driven by activity at our Silicon Valley assets.

First quarter tourists represent over 1.8 million square feet of requirements, up 130% since third quarter last year, in part driven by an increase in average requirement size from 8,000 to 14,000 square feet.

While it remains unclear how quickly these trends will translate into signed leases, historically, we've seen a clear correlation between an uptick in tour activity and new deals. And now I'll turn the call over to Harout..

Harout Diramerian Chief Financial Officer

1918 Eighth, Element L.A. and Sunset Glenoaks, the first two of which enjoy a high credit single-tenant occupancy, with the remaining lease terms into 2030. Sunset Glenoaks will be a fully operational state-of-the-art studio campus before its 2025 maturity.

Our fourth and final 2025 maturity consists of $259 million private placement loan scheduled to mature in December 2025. While we are more than two and a half years away from that maturity, we are focused on ensuring that we have capital availability to address the loan ahead of its repayment. Turning to our outlook.

We are continuing to provide several 2023 assumptions, including those most closely associated with our office portfolio to provide continued visibility. However, due to the high level of uncertainty around the duration of the writers' strike, we will not be providing a 2023 FFO outlook or studio-related assumptions at this time.

Please note that we provided an office same-store cash NOI projection rather than our customary combined office and studio estimate in light of the writers' strike and uncertainty. As always, our 2023 outlook excludes the impact of any opportunistic or not previously announced acquisitions, dispositions, financings, and capital markets activity.

Now, we'll be happy to take your questions.

Operator?.

Operator

Thank you. [Operator Instructions] The first question we have comes from Alexander Goldfarb of Piper Sandler..

Alexander Goldfarb

Yes. Hi, good morning out there. So, two questions. First, Harout, on the guidance, the FFO suspension, is that solely due to the studios? Or were there some other changes in the core office? The reason I ask is the same-store cash NOI guidance range came down, as did the joint venture FFO contribution..

Harout Diramerian Chief Financial Officer

Good morning Alex. thank you for the question. It's a good question. So, it is 100% due to the studio operations.

The same-store NOI guidance, I don't know if you can tell us when we disclosed if it went down quarter-over-quarter, primarily because the previous guidance provided had a combination of studio and office, whereas the guidance provided at this time is only office.

So, while, yes, there's a decrease quarter-over-quarter, but you can't tell from the previous disclosure that came down. But to answer your question, it did come down about 50 basis points for the office NOI, and that's not why that guidance was suspended.

It's all due to the studio and then the drop in the JV share of FFO is again related to the studio, all of it. So, office's first quarter was in line with our expectations. And while it's not blowing up and doing amazing, but it is consistent with our expectations..

Alexander Goldfarb

Okay. And then the second question is on cost cutting. You guys laid out some planned asset dispositions, land disposition, certainly cutting the dividend.

From a platform perspective, what are some of the costs that you guys could -- do you think that you could reduce out to also improve the overall cash flow generation of Hudson?.

Mark Lammas President & Treasurer

I mean you've covered the sort of the gamut there on where our focus is today. We continue to monitor other discretionary spend and look for ways to make reductions where we can. But I think the main impactful items are the items you listed, perhaps starting with kind of dividend at the top of the list..

Harout Diramerian Chief Financial Officer

In addition, I mean we originally provided in our guidance last quarter and obviously playing in the current quarter, which is a reduction of our G&A, you see the quarter-to-quarter decrease in terms of Q1 versus Q1 and the guidance provided is consistent with that..

Victor Coleman Chairman & Chief Executive Officer

Lastly, Alex, as you probably heard in the prepared remarks, I mean we have looked at assets.

And some of the assets that are not in the disposition line, but other assets that we would have had some capital expenditures allocated towards them, we've held off because of maybe some lack of leasing activity or confidence in that and focus our energy on the ones that we see are more imminent to lease up.

So, there's a combination of things between what Harout and Mark said and then, obviously, the dispositions of some assets..

Alexander Goldfarb

Okay. Thank you, Victor..

Victor Coleman Chairman & Chief Executive Officer

You got it Alex..

Operator

We now have Michael Griffin of Citi..

Nick Joseph

Thanks. It's actually Nick Joseph here with Michael. Just on the studio platform, obviously, recognize kind of we're moving the guidance, the uncertainty on the timing.

But as you look back to history and maybe 2007-2008, does it create pent-up demand when it ends or is it really more just kind of lost revenue as the strike is underway?.

Victor Coleman Chairman & Chief Executive Officer

Hey Nick, that's a great question. I'll tell you, listen, you were around in the last strike, and you heard our prepared remarks, we don't unfortunately have a seat at the table currently to sort of give an eye as to what is going on. We have a very sophisticated Board, of which three are very involved in the entertainment business.

So, we're getting some firsthand information of how negotiations are going. But that being said, I would attend this too specific to your question more correlated to COVID. When COVID hit us, production stopped. And yes, there was writing, but all production had stopped for a period of time.

And then it also -- when it came back and there is a downtime to ramp up, but when it came back, it came back better than anybody expected. And we are assuming that the same example will occur here. There will be enough of a pipeline demand, and every major studio has come out to date and said they are not adjusting their budgets for content spend.

So, that would lend us to believe that it's going to come back aggressively. If it's going to come back, in your direct question correlated to year-end 2023, I don't know how they can produce all that content when they're losing time. But it will flow into seasonality of first quarter, which typically is the case.

First quarter is always a seasonal time lower and then it dips back up in the second quarter. I think you're going to see some seasonality on the positive side late this year and then early next as well..

Nick Joseph

Thanks.

And then just on guidance, would your intention be to resume full year guidance once the strike ends and you get more clarity? Or would you even wait a little longer than that to see kind of the pickup as things resume?.

Victor Coleman Chairman & Chief Executive Officer

Well, as soon as we have knowledge of the strike, and then indicative knowledge of activity is when we will resume guidance. But yes, when the strike is over, we should see a correlation to the amount of activity on the studio business in general, and that's when we will reinstate guidance. That's the intent..

Nick Joseph

Thank you very much..

Operator

Your next question comes from Nick Yulico from Scotiabank..

Nick Yulico

Thanks. So, first question, I guess, is on the studios, is there any way to give us any rough feel for how this could work from a -- maybe like every month there is a strike and how it's going to impact your business? I realize I think second quarter and third quarter is where you have more seasonal benefit from the studio business.

Just trying to see if there's any parameters we can think about..

Mark Lammas President & Treasurer

If we thought we could give you too much specifics, Nick, we obviously wouldn't have pulled guidance. But you can look to our NOI detailed page of the supplemental to give you at least a sense of what the underlying expenses look like on a quarterly basis and kind of what low revenues look like on a quarterly basis.

We can't really give you much more to go by than that at this point because we don't know what revenues could look like even in a strike scenario on and what inroads perhaps we can make on expenses, depending on how long the strike goes for..

Victor Coleman Chairman & Chief Executive Officer

And Nick, listen, this is -- the strike is a week old. We have access to our facilities. We have access to all of our product, all of our comms, all of our transport, and we are looking at alternative sources of revenue.

This is new to the usage of those revenue, but we will look to live events, and we're going to look to short-term production or various different venue hostings and the likes of that. So, there will be some revenue. We just don't know idea what it's going to be, but the sales team is out there.

And that being said, as I said earlier in the last question, we're looking at expense reduction throughout the entire studio business. So, the combination of that will sort of come out over the next couple of months if this last that long..

Nick Yulico

Okay, fair enough. Second question just has to do with the covenants in the credit facility.

Have you guys done a stress test on that in regards to a certain period of the strike and then also factoring in some of the new move that you have this year if you don't backfill those? Just your confidence in being as we roll forward through the year, are you guys still being okay with your covenants in your credit facility?.

Harout Diramerian Chief Financial Officer

It's a good question. So, we periodically or regularly look at our covenants and project out at least a year, sometimes two depending on circumstances. And in this case, we feel, barring anything bizarre happening, even with a three-month strike, we are completely in line with our covenants..

Nick Yulico

Okay. Thank you.

You said assuming something like a three-month strike, do you feel like you're still good within your covenants?.

Harout Diramerian Chief Financial Officer

Yes, and even going further out, we're in line with those covenants..

Nick Yulico

Okay, great. Thanks. I guess just one last question, if I could. Victor, the Board addressed the dividend. I guess I'm wondering if there's another step that the Board is going to consider to address, meaning that at some point you make more crystallized -- a certain level of asset sales to raise liquidity to address future debt maturities.

Just wondering what the thoughts are on that. Thanks..

Victor Coleman Chairman & Chief Executive Officer

Yes. Nick, thanks. On that specific asset, I think we laid out pretty concisely that between now and the end of 2024, we don't have anything major coming due. And then considering 2025, we only have one piece of debt.

Given just the liquidity that we currently have with dividend savings, that effectively can be taken care of on a dollar-for-dollar basis. The rest of it is asset level.

So, I hope that we sort of alleviated that thought process that has been sort of hovering over Hudson for the last several months that other than asset-related debt, which are high-quality, single-tenant assets, that we don't have any aspects of debt that we're concerned about replacing through end of 2025.

That being said, I think the Board has looked at this as a one-time cut.

And given where we feel that the evaluation of what will transpire with some of the leasing that we project and hopefully the recovery of the entertainment business in a shorter form based on the strike being resolved, we should be in great shape to continue to grow going forward..

Nick Yulico

Okay. Thanks Victor..

Operator

Your next question comes from Dylan Burzinski of Green Street..

Dylan Burzinski

Hi guys. Thanks for taking my question. Just curious if you can kind of give you overview of sort of the San Francisco market in general today. Recently, we've seen several retailers announced that they're going to be closing stores.

So, just curious, how you guys see the recovery there playing back and maybe if it seems they're a little bit worse on the ground today versus where we were, call it, three to six months ago?.

Victor Coleman Chairman & Chief Executive Officer

Yes, I mean I'll jump in a little bit, and then Art can sort of take the precedent. I mean you're obviously seeing what's on the ground on the retail side. I think it is really a tale of two ends of the city, right? I mean if you're looking at our assets at Rincon or at Ferry, the activity is fairly robust.

We don't have any vacancy coming due to speak of, and what we're seeing is a lot of interest or a lot of inquiries and interest if we did have vacancy on high-quality assets. And that, I think, is evident throughout the whole city, on that end of the city for high-quality assets. As you move towards the Tenderloin, you are seeing some impact here.

I will say that the announcements of some of the retailers are not surprising, given the safety and security concerns and crime. I do know this city is looking to fulfill an obligation on somewhat similar to a focused plan that the mayor's office is trying to revive downtown San Francisco in the mid-market areas and the specific sets areas.

I think that, that process and plan is being laid out and the intent is to sort of spend $25-plus million in the police departments and expanding the street response teams and the likes of that, which will hopefully turn the city into a positive avenue and get out of what we're currently in today.

On a highlight, which is limited in San Francisco right now, Dylan, I'm sure you're hearing about the demand for AI. And the demand for AI is what we've seen and what our people on the ground in the Valley, in the city have seen is really only in the city right now.

And it's somewhere around 600,000 square feet of inquiries, and one tenant is already signed, and it looks like there's another six tenants in the marketplace looking for space. So, that could boost some form of a next-step recovery or at least a step recovery for San Francisco that we are keeping an eye on and evaluating..

Art Suazo Executive Vice President of Leasing

Yes, that's definitely bolstered the demand in the market. As Victor said, up about 600,000 square feet, which is now -- brings the demand up to about 3.5 million square feet. People forget that the gross leasing has remained north of 1 million square feet a quarter, and so we're battling the headwinds of net absorption.

But relative to our portfolio, we've got -- in addition to the coverage we have on Block that's about 270,000 square feet, we have 150,000 square feet of action on our vacancy out there. So, we are seeing that demand of that segment out looking -- taking the figure off the pause button and looking to transact. So, it's definitely a positive sign..

Dylan Burzinski

That's very helpful commentary guys. Appreciate that. Maybe just one more, if I could. You guys mentioned having -- or going to market with six assets. Maybe if you can just talk about sort of the profile of these assets, the geographies, that would be helpful. Thanks..

Victor Coleman Chairman & Chief Executive Officer

Yes, one asset we have currently today is in negotiations on contracts. Three assets we have offers on. And two assets we are getting offers on, on Friday. The assets are all in California, I don't want to talk specifics around which asset, but one is a land -- partial land; and the other three, active office buildings.

Sorry, five active office buildings. I don't know why I said three..

Dylan Burzinski

Okay.

And maybe -- I mean the office building, is that single tenant, long wall, value-add type? Or any additional detail there?.

Victor Coleman Chairman & Chief Executive Officer

Yes, I think of the two of them are single tenants and the other three are multi-tenant assets..

Dylan Burzinski

Awesome. Appreciate it. Thanks.

Victor Coleman Chairman & Chief Executive Officer

Thanks..

Operator

We now have John Kim of BMO Capital Markets..

John Kim

Thank you. Good morning. I wanted to ask about the amount of the dividend cut being -- when you compare that versus the studio NOI, which was about 13% of total NOI in the fourth quarter, and this strike may last about a quarter.

So, why did you cut it or decided to cut it to 40% to 50%?.

Mark Lammas President & Treasurer

Yes, it's really not correlated to the studios at all. I mean we plan our dividend for the long-term. And the studio -- the strike is a temporary event. If you look historically, we've had return of capital, somewhere a bit north of 30%. Last year, we had return on capital north of 50%.

On kind of on a run rate basis, that is to say without trying to handicap gains or losses on sale of assets, our view is that 2023 from a P&L point of view can accommodate 50%. We've obviously monitored what the implied yield of the dividend is, and a 50% cut is still a sizable yield.

And the -- we're looking for ways to retain our lowest cost of capital. And so all of those considerations factored into the decision around the 50% cut, but the studio performance really has nothing to do with that..

John Kim

And what would be your priority as far as the use of proceeds?.

Mark Lammas President & Treasurer

Yes, deleverage of the balance sheet and liquidity..

John Kim

Okay.

On the studio NOI, can I just ask, with the strike happening now, what percentage of your rental revenue goes to zero, and also the same question on service and other? And on the OpEx side, how much of the expenses are fixed versus variable?.

Mark Lammas President & Treasurer

You can -- I'd point you back to the NOI detail. You can see in the same-store NOI -- studio same-store NOI detail how well the legacy brick-and-mortar held up, right? That's the 35 stages, Sunset Gower, Bronson and Las Palmas.

We mentioned in our prepared remarks that roughly 70% of the stage is there, which are what largely drive the revenue there are under long multiyear agreements that have guarantees on ancillary revenue and it shows up in how well those studios held up.

There'll be a bit of impact from the strike because not all the stages there, like roughly 30% of the stages there are not in our multiyear agreements. So, it will be a little bit of impact. And then you can see how the non-same store, which is Quixote, Zio Star Waggons, Quixote, how they performed in the lead up to an anticipated strike.

So, I encourage you to look at that details..

John Kim

Thanks for the color..

Operator

Thank you. We now have Blaine Heck of Wells Fargo..

Blaine Heck

Great. Thanks. Good morning out there. Victor, we've heard a lot of optimism around the return to office for some of the tech tenants that were most consistent on hybrid or remote work in the midst of the pandemic.

Have there been any kind of tangible signs yet that maybe they're rethinking some of the sublease space they put on the market or given back too much space in your markets? Has their headcount actually grew throughout the pandemic? Or is it may be too early to tell if that's going to happen?.

Victor Coleman Chairman & Chief Executive Officer

Yes, that's -- so Blaine, the answer is yes. I don't want to get into the details, but they're specific to our portfolio. There is a single tenant that has come back to us now and said that they're interested in revisiting this current space that they had indicated that they were either going to sublease or leave.

On the sort of general market conditions, I do know that just recently in Seattle and Bellevue, the same circumstance occurred with -- not with our portfolio, but with another portfolio of assets that a couple of tenants have come out and said that they want to retain their current space and evaluate how the space will lay out.

And so we sort of assume that was going to happen. As you've seen, there has been a massive push back today. Weyerhaeuser was another tenant that came back out and said they are demanding other tenants coming back. And the list of tenants I gave you is on top of where Amazon started last month. So, you're seeing a movement.

It, though, is still, Blaine, disturbing for our quality portfolio that this is really a -- has become really a West Coast issue and not a rest of the country issue. And so it's sort of a little underwhelming that most of the West Coast companies have not made decisions to either expand space, but maybe just maintain their current platform.

But we anticipate that to take a little more time, and we're optimistic that it's going to -- as I said earlier, quality assets will prevail first, and so we're seeing that in our portfolio..

Blaine Heck

Okay, great. That's helpful. And then just back on the studio space.

Can you talk about whether you expect to see less willingness to sign longer-term leases on studio space as a result of the tougher environment and even potentially as a result of the threat now, reality of the strike and maybe a reversion to the show by show or season by season leasing that used to be a lot more prevalent?.

Victor Coleman Chairman & Chief Executive Officer

I'm going to have Jeff answer that..

Jeff Stotland

Hey Blaine, this is Jeff. Yes, I think the way the industry generally works is it's fundamentally predicated on that show-by-show model that you're referring to. To a lesser extent, there obviously are long-term leases.

But most of the stages and most of the inventory is really going on a show-by-show basis, meaning when a show gets green lit, they get all the services, including a stage. But long-term leasing, it's a big benefit to our portfolio in Sunset.

But as we expand the business and we scale fundamentally, you do get into the show-by-show model, which is kind of how the industry works. So, it's just the nature of the industry that I don't think there's going to necessarily be less demand from studios going forward for long-term leasing.

It's just a -- it's a smaller subset of the overall demand for stages..

Blaine Heck

Got it. Thanks guys..

Operator

Thank you. [Operator Instructions] And our next question comes from Ronald Kamdem of Morgan Stanley..

Ronald Kamdem

Hey. Just a couple of quick ones from me. Just going back to the leasing pipeline, which I think you talked about, I think, close to 2 million feet, if I got that number correct.

But if I compare that to some of the expiring leases and commenced leases, can you just put it all together? And where are you thinking occupancy ends the year at? What are sort of the right ZIP codes on the occupancy at the end of 2023?.

Mark Lammas President & Treasurer

Yes, déjà vu. We finished the quarter at 88.7% leased. We've got two sizable expiration, 60% coverage on the block space, in discussions on the other expiration with Amazon towards the end of the year. Our success on both of those can make a material difference, obviously. Pipelines, really healthy, pacing on deals if and as slower than we'd like.

And so I think it's -- where we end up at the end of the year in terms of occupancy or lease percentages predicated on how quickly we get deals done, how successful we are on those backfills or renewals that I mentioned, and we'll have to leave it at that..

Ronald Kamdem

Understood. If I could just pivot to the balance sheet. If I -- you ended the quarter at 8.5% debt-to-EBITDA. I see in the supplement.

So, when you put it all together in the asset sales, maybe can you talk about potentially how much dollars can you get out of that? And then the dividend cut, what's the potential for bringing that down this year?.

Mark Lammas President & Treasurer

Well, yes, I mean it will go down. I mean you're seeing an aberration, in large part driven off of the impact of the slowdown at the studios. And so we finished last quarter prior at like 7.4% debt-to-EBITDA, had a slowdown in this quarter. Don't know exactly how quickly that will resolve itself.

Once it normalizes, that component of the portfolio will contribute EBITDA, and we will continue to make inroads on debt repayments in connection with asset sales. So, the goal remains to get back into the 6s and mid-6s or lower if we can. And as soon as the studio business resumes, I think you'll see that trend continue..

Ronald Kamdem

Great. If I could just sneak one in on One Westside. Any sort of early indications of what the rate LTVs could be on that? Thanks..

Mark Lammas President & Treasurer

Well, yes, I mean we -- right now, the loan kind of fully funded is at a touch over $400 million. You could run your own numbers. But that conservatively should be 50-ish or maybe less than 50% on any reasonable range of values. And we've got indicative indications from our -- from third-party brokers that we could readily refinance that level..

Ronald Kamdem

Great.

And on the interest rate?.

Mark Lammas President & Treasurer

Yes. Sorry, I didn't hear that. Yes, I mean, again, it will depend on kind of where indices move between now and end of 2024. But our view is today, it would be a fixture mid-six type of rate, all in..

Ronald Kamdem

Great. Helpful. Thanks so much..

Operator

Thank you. I'd like to hand back to Victor for any final remarks..

Victor Coleman Chairman & Chief Executive Officer

Thank you so much for participating in our quarterly call. And as always, I want to call out the Hudson Pacific team for all their hard work and dedication in these challenging times. Have a good day..

Operator

Thank you. I can confirm this does conclude today's call. Please have a lovely day and you may now disconnect..

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2017 Q-4 Q-3 Q-2 Q-1
2016 Q-4 Q-3 Q-2 Q-1
2015 Q-4 Q-3 Q-2 Q-1
2014 Q-4 Q-3 Q-2 Q-1