image
Technology - Hardware, Equipment & Parts - NYSE - US
$ 46.49
-0.599 %
$ 39.8 B
Market Cap
244.68
P/E
EARNINGS CALL TRANSCRIPT
EARNINGS CALL TRANSCRIPT 2015 - Q1
image
Executives

Ann H. S. Nicholson - Division Vice President, Investor Relations James B. Flaws - Vice Chairman & Chief Financial Officer Wendell P. Weeks - Chairman, President & Chief Executive Officer.

Analysts

Rod B. Hall - JPMorgan Securities LLC Mark Sue - RBC Capital Markets LLC Amitabh Passi - UBS Securities LLC Brian J. White - Cantor Fitzgerald Securities Joseph Wolf - Barclays Capital, Inc. Ehud A. Gelblum - Citigroup Global Markets, Inc. (Broker) Avi Silver - CLSA Americas LLC Patrick M. Newton - Stifel, Nicolaus & Co., Inc. Steven B.

Fox - Cross Research LLC Simona K. Jankowski - Goldman Sachs & Co..

Operator

Ladies and gentlemen, thank you for standing by. Welcome to the Corning Incorporated Quarter One 2015 Earnings Results. It's my pleasure to turn the call over to Ann Nicholson, Division Vice President of Investor Relations. Please go ahead..

Ann H. S. Nicholson - Division Vice President, Investor Relations

Thank you, John, and good morning. Welcome to Corning's first quarter conference call. With me today is Wendell Weeks, Chairman and Chief Executive Officer; and Jim Flaws, Vice Chairman and Chief Financial Officer.

Before we begin our formal comments, I'd like to remind you that today's remarks contain forward-looking statements that fall within the meaning of the Private Securities Litigation Reform Act of 1995. These remarks involve a number of risks, uncertainties and other factors that could cause actual results to differ materially.

These factors are detailed in the company's financial reports. You should also note that this presentation contains a number of non-GAAP measures. A reconciliation can be found on our website. Now I'll turn the call over to Jim..

James B. Flaws - Vice Chairman & Chief Financial Officer

TRM, Samsung fiber and cable, and iBwave. In Environmental, we expect continued strength in the end market in Q2 and for our sales volume to be consistent with a strong Q2 of 2014. However, year-over-year Q2 sales are expected to be down mid single digits due to the impact of the weaker euro.

We've made significant improvements to our cost and capability position in Environmental, and we expect to maintain these operational efficiencies in Q2. So now turning to Specialty Materials, we expect another quarter of double-digit volume growth of Gorilla Glass versus last year.

Offsetting this growth is continued weakness in our Advanced Optics business driven by continued softness at our semiconductor customers and a weak euro. So we expect total sales in the segment to be down mid single digits versus last year.

Now, we expect to win more models with Gorilla Glass 4 during the quarter and are on track for another year of volume growth for this business. Expect the market for cover glass to be up mid teens in volume terms, driven by smartphones and touch-enabled notebooks.

We are expecting fewer tablets to be sold this year, which does impact our Gorilla Glass business. But this is mitigated by larger smartphone screen sizes and new handheld devices, including some with Gorilla on the back and continued share gains at Chinese OEM's.

In Life Sciences, we expect sales to be down slightly with last year's second quarter, driven by the weaker euro. Continuing in the rest of our Q2 forecast, we expect Q2 equity earnings from Dow Corning to be approximately $60 million. This is up from Q1 in last year, driven by operational performance of Silicones business.

Versus last year, sales for silicones are consistent and sales for polysilicon are down. We expect gross margin to be approximately 45%, up 1 percentage point over last year, driven mainly by the additional volume in Optical Communications and improved Gorilla Glass margins.

SG&A and R&D spending will be 13% and 8% of sales respectively and consistent with 2014. Other income/other expense is expected to be a net expense of approximately $40 million. Our effective tax rate for the full year of 2015 is expected to be approximately 18%.

So in summary, we're coming off a strong quarter and that momentum is expected to deliver growth again this quarter. That concludes my opening comments.

Ann?.

Ann H. S. Nicholson - Division Vice President, Investor Relations

Thank you, Jim. I will open the lines for questions.

John?.

Operator

Certainly. [Operation Instructions] And first on the line of a Rod Hall with JPMorgan. Please go ahead..

Rod B. Hall - JPMorgan Securities LLC

Yeah. Good morning, guys. Thanks for taking my question. Jim, I guess I wanted to dig into the euro exposure a little bit more. I mean, we've got some pretty good regional disclosure from you guys, but I guess I had two questions for you.

One is by segment, are you able to let us know what the euro revenue exposure is, so that we can mark-to-market over time if the exchange rates continue to fluctuate? And then secondly, or alternatively, I guess, could you also let us know what the effective euro change was that you're using to calculate these euro impacts in the revenues that you called out to us?.

James B. Flaws - Vice Chairman & Chief Financial Officer

I think we can give you some help on that, Rod. I'm not prepared to do it on the phone call, but I'm sure we can work with Ann and give you some help on that..

Rod B. Hall - JPMorgan Securities LLC

Okay.

And then the other thing I wanted to ask you, Jim, was on – just on 4K elasticity, I know I keep asking this question every quarter, but what are you guys absorbing on price elasticity and where do you think we are on pricing right now? I know that you've thought that pricing will continue to come down pretty significantly through the year, but just wonder if you could give us a little bit of an update on that..

James B. Flaws - Vice Chairman & Chief Financial Officer

I don't have a lot of new information on 4K pricing. I mean, we did see good promotions during the period of time at – obviously at Christmas and for Super Bowl, but we continue to feel that the pricing is coming down. And a lot of set makers have just announced their new models.

You've probably been seeing a lot of announcements, and they'll be available at retail starting late May, I believe. We continue to believe it's approaching the level that will drive demand there. We talked before about hitting the 1.5 comparison to a good quality regular high-def set. We think we're making progress on that.

I think you know that we've been feeling that 2016 is going to be the breakthrough year for ultra-high def. We think 2015 will be a good year. There are some people who think we're being a little conservative on that, and then we'll find out in the back half of the year..

Wendell P. Weeks - Chairman, President & Chief Executive Officer

I think one thing I'd add for you, Rod, too is really intriguing what's happening, is that on top of the 2K/4K, now we're seeing the introduction of a higher-end version with quantum dot technology, which they look terrific, by the way, and once again helps make OLED TV a more distant future possibility.

But what I think to your question that offers up is you have now a new entry at the highest end, and they'll also carry pure ultra underneath, which ought to give them some good flex on being able to have ultra get closer and closer to standard def – standard high def..

Rod B. Hall - JPMorgan Securities LLC

Great. Great. Thanks, Wendell..

Operator

Our next question's from Mark Sue with RBC Capital Markets. Please go ahead..

Mark Sue - RBC Capital Markets LLC

Thank you. And good morning.

Gentlemen, if I look at the sequential growth in Display, are we starting to see some diminishing marginal utility for larger TVs? How long can we see this upgrade cycle for larger TVs before we see the 4K cycle start later this year? And as it relates to pricing, the price decline is definitely less than you had expected with this current supply-demand balance and rational behavior likely to continue, can pricing actually go up or maybe not go down?.

James B. Flaws - Vice Chairman & Chief Financial Officer

I'll let Wendell take the price question..

Wendell P. Weeks - Chairman, President & Chief Executive Officer

Thank you..

James B. Flaws - Vice Chairman & Chief Financial Officer

Obviously, in our dreams pricing goes up, but the first step is for it to continue to diminish. And we've been delighted, as I said in the call, to have this happen four quarters in a row. So we think we've got good momentum there. In terms of large sizes, we don't see a change statement coming in the continued growth of large-sized televisions.

In fact every year for the last three years, we've, midyear, raised our size estimates, and that's continuing in the first couple months of retail that we've had and we have so far this year, it's continuing to grow.

So we don't think we've come to the end of that cycle on standard high def, and clearly, ultra-high def will make it be even better, because those are sold in larger sizes, primarily, and also look much better in larger size..

Wendell P. Weeks - Chairman, President & Chief Executive Officer

And on price, as you heard Jim comment in his opening comments, we have a number of elements aligning that are helping us reduce the level of price decline quarter over quarter, and we really like the trend. And we expect those factors to continue to be in place. However, at this time, we're not anticipating being able to raise prices.

That would be a fabulous problem to have in total. However, what we are looking very closely at is in the move to ultra-thin televisions and ultra-thin glass, there may be the opportunity there for us to introduce that product, there's a price premium. We're doing that currently.

Whether or not that can sustain will really depend on both our competitors' capabilities and their mindset..

Mark Sue - RBC Capital Markets LLC

That's helpful. And Wendell, can I ask a broader question? You have balance across business segments, four out of the five growing. Some of the business segments are at various life cycles, Display mature and generating cash, Optical seeing a resurgence in growth.

Any inclination to think about separating business units or potentially splitting out segments, considering the different business segments that you have?.

Wendell P. Weeks - Chairman, President & Chief Executive Officer

Well, the way we think about our portfolio is that to continue to be in our portfolio, you have to do three things as a business unit. First, you have to be able to beat your competition. In other words, you have to grow sales and earnings faster than all your competition in your industry and overall.

That's a very harsh metric, right? That's very hard to do. All of our segments are doing it. Second, that as a segment, you have to have a set of assets that can potentially help other segments. Or three, you have to have a market access point that we can use the assets from our other segments or the corporation to create entirely new businesses.

So a great example of that would be our Environmental business. So Environmental is basically an automotive-driven business. We have significant assets, which is of course our R&D, as well as significant glass assets that we use to make LCD and Gorilla.

What we're using that position in in Environmental to do and those strong customer relationships is to introduce Gorilla Glass to the automotive segment and be able to do it through the front end that we have in that segment. And we have a number of those examples.

So we're seeing a lot of that interaction with Glass, with Environmental, with Specialty of course, and in Opto as well, with being able to take into consumer electronics some of our Opto capabilities.

Life Sciences is the one where we have yet to prove that we can bring a significant new innovation to fundamentally turn that business into a stronger grower that makes use of our R&D investment. We anticipate to be able to answer that question shortly. If the answer ends up being no, then that's a candidate.

But we think the answer is going to end up being yes..

Mark Sue - RBC Capital Markets LLC

That's helpful..

Wendell P. Weeks - Chairman, President & Chief Executive Officer

Was that helpful or was that too much?.

Mark Sue - RBC Capital Markets LLC

That's helpful. That's never enough..

Wendell P. Weeks - Chairman, President & Chief Executive Officer

All right..

Mark Sue - RBC Capital Markets LLC

Thank you..

Operator

And next we'll go to Amitabh Passi with UBS. Please go ahead..

Amitabh Passi - UBS Securities LLC

Hi, guys. Good morning. Jim, I guess my first question for you is just on the Display segment. Seems like the first calendar quarter, volumes came in maybe slightly below expectations, down 5% sequentially.

And then also the fact that inventories are now at 18.5 weeks, I mean they seem to be up quite a bit from 3Q 2014 at 15.5 weeks, and I think even last year you were around 17 weeks in 1Q and 16.5 weeks in 2Q. So just wanted to understand the inventory trends in the supply chain..

James B. Flaws - Vice Chairman & Chief Financial Officer

Well, I think the volume sequentially was in line with what we were thinking about. So I don't think it was something that was different from what we expected. Inventory is something we're very alert to. The last few years, the peak that we have – we see in the supply chain has been about 18.5 weeks.

The fact that we're at that at the end of Q1 as opposed to the end of Q2 is something we're very alert to. But we are still within what we regard as a healthy range on inventory..

Amitabh Passi - UBS Securities LLC

Okay. And then just a quick follow-up, your gross margin appears to be trending about 100 bps higher than last year.

I mean is that trend you expect to sustain through the rest of the year?.

James B. Flaws - Vice Chairman & Chief Financial Officer

Yeah. We feel quite good about our gross margin trends. As you know, I often answer this by saying it depends somewhat on the mix of our businesses. But in four of our five segments, gross margin percent is going up in each one of them. And so the absolute balance of them has an impact, because obviously some segments had a lower gross margin.

For example, Optical is lower. But we're improving gross margins in almost all of our businesses; especially delighted by the performance in Gorilla. So I would say it's sustainable as long as the markets remain at the level of volume we're seeing today..

Amitabh Passi - UBS Securities LLC

Okay. Excellent. I'll jump back in queue. Thank you..

Operator

And we'll go to Brian White with Cantor Fitzgerald. Please go ahead..

Brian J. White - Cantor Fitzgerald Securities

Hey, Jim, I'm wondering if you could just take us around the world and highlight what you're seeing in the TV market in terms of Europe, Asia and U.S. And maybe just compare – PC markets softened, so I'd be curious on what's happening in the TV market. Thanks..

James B. Flaws - Vice Chairman & Chief Financial Officer

We don't have a tremendous amount of detail yet. I don't have full March results, unfortunately. But we've seen very good demand in North America. China, when you combine the first two months of the year, because remember the movement of the lunar holiday was January last year and this year it was in February has been good, large sizes have been good.

The place where we're expecting some weakness at retail is around the comparisons on the World Cup last year, which will affect Europe and Latin America primarily.

I'd say the one place that we might be seeing slight weakness is Europe so far this year, and that's a slight disappointment to us, but clearly the economies over there have seen some turbulence. So good in the United States, good in China through the lunar holiday, weak in Europe and average size continuing to grow..

Brian J. White - Cantor Fitzgerald Securities

And, Jim, just on the Gorilla Glass, I just want to be clear, you're targeting what volume growth? I heard a 15% number.

Is that for Gorilla or the market or both?.

James B. Flaws - Vice Chairman & Chief Financial Officer

That was for the market. We didn't give out a number for our own growth. As you know, it somewhat depends on the launch of models and also what the supply chain is doing. But we are expecting the market to grow in the mid double digits. We expect the markets' use of our glass to be higher than that, as we're gaining share.

And we are obviously growing nicely with larger sizes. But our absolute number will be, in the end, dependent on what the ending inventory is in the supply chain. And that will be dependent on what people's outlooks are as they head into the next year..

Wendell P. Weeks - Chairman, President & Chief Executive Officer

And if I could build on that a little. So when we talk about the market growth, what we're really talking about is sort of the sell-in to the retail piece from our big OEM brands. And as Jim laid out, as the market growth outlook, that's the level we're looking at..

Brian J. White - Cantor Fitzgerald Securities

Got it. Thank you..

Wendell P. Weeks - Chairman, President & Chief Executive Officer

If you take a look at that same level on Gorilla, we would expect Gorilla to grow faster, because we're building on an already very strong position. We're actually gaining ground both on the high end and the low end. And then what Jim's talking about that then depends on launches.

Now, as you step back to how much glass we ship in any given quarter, that gets impacted by how our brand customers decide to build their supply chains. There is one thing they never want to do, which is run out of glass at the beginning of their launches. So you can get big supply chain builds, and then you can get correction.

So that makes that little hard to call in any given year in total where our shipments end up being. However, what we know is as long as our end market position continues to grow and continues to be strong, that's just a question of what quarter we get the demand in. So that's the real sort of heartbeat that we look at for demand..

Brian J. White - Cantor Fitzgerald Securities

Great. Thank you..

Operator

And we'll go to Joseph Wolf with Barclays. Please go ahead..

Joseph Wolf - Barclays Capital, Inc.

Thank you. I wanted to just follow up briefly on the inventory.

If you could give us a little bit more granularity? Is there are a percentage breakdown or a way we could look at the difference between inventory geared towards the television market and inventory geared towards the IT panel market?.

James B. Flaws - Vice Chairman & Chief Financial Officer

I do not have that level of granularity. I can tell you where the inventory is high is at the set assembly level. It's not at retail. It's not at panel makers. But I do not have the granularity on the television versus IT..

Joseph Wolf - Barclays Capital, Inc.

Okay. And then I guess there've been a couple of announcements, including the OLED lighting development with the Willow Glass.

I'm wondering, is there any volumes we can start to think of over there, and how that impacts your overall supply-demand in glass, volumes and margins?.

Wendell P. Weeks - Chairman, President & Chief Executive Officer

So on Willow Glass, we have now a number of significant near-term opportunities, and that we would hope are going to turn into significant revenues in the near future.

It's too early to sort of spike the ball, but we are now working on three or four significant opportunities that have the opportunity to take Willow from being a commercially available product to a product that we start to make some good revenues on. So we're right at the beginning of that. More to come. More to come..

Joseph Wolf - Barclays Capital, Inc.

Okay. And then just finally, you mentioned this just briefly about the advances at the low end of the market in Gorilla Glass in China.

Could you talk about how that market is developing? How the strategy is developing for Corning and where you're seeing the most success?.

Wendell P. Weeks - Chairman, President & Chief Executive Officer

Well, there are two areas for the low end that we tend to look at are in Chinese OEMs, the Chinese brands, as well as touch on notebook. And in both of those areas, we're seeing growing share for us. Part of it has to do with changes in our strategy. Part of it has to do with some excellent execution by our people on the ground.

Also, part of it has to do with – in the competition in China, what we're seeing is the emergence of players who want to use the highest quality components, and that is also helping us.

So I'd like to attribute it all to changes in our strategy and better execution, and that's part of the story, but also part of the story is that the Chinese brands are trying to lift themselves up to world-class levels of quality and performance, and we're one of their first stops on that journey..

Joseph Wolf - Barclays Capital, Inc.

Excellent. Thank you..

Operator

Our next question is from Ehud Gelblum with Citigroup. Please go ahead..

Ehud A. Gelblum - Citigroup Global Markets, Inc. (Broker)

Thanks, guys. I appreciate it. A couple of things. First of all, Jim, a couple of clarifications on some larger questions. Just making sure on the P&L, you didn't give a core R&D number. I'm assuming that was equal to the GAAP R&D number of $189 million. I just wanted to confirm that.

And if you can also give us a sense as to how large the acquisitions -TRM, Samsung, et cetera, were this quarter. Just so we have a – kind of peg the model, that would be helpful. On Gorilla, is my larger question. Certainly doing very well on the volume side.

Can you give us a sense in terms of pricing? Last year obviously this time, there was a big price step down. Can you give us some sort of sense as to what the pricing did this quarter? And you mentioned that the margin in Advanced Optics is much lower than in Gorilla.

Can you give us a sense, is it half of the margin in Gorilla? Is it a third? Some way that we can kind of correlate between the two, because the two seem to be going in opposite directions right now. Thanks..

James B. Flaws - Vice Chairman & Chief Financial Officer

So on the latter question, I think Optical in the Specialty Materials margin – gross margins are about half. In terms of Optical, TRM, we're not giving out exact numbers, but for the quarter, organic growth was greater than half of our increase. So that will help you at least get a line on it. I think R&D at core, I think we – it is the same..

Ann H. S. Nicholson - Division Vice President, Investor Relations

The same..

Wendell P. Weeks - Chairman, President & Chief Executive Officer

Same..

James B. Flaws - Vice Chairman & Chief Financial Officer

And then, Wendell, do you want to talk about Gorilla pricing?.

Wendell P. Weeks - Chairman, President & Chief Executive Officer

Sure. Of course in terms of year over year, we're lapping the decreases from last year. So those are going to be embedded. As we with think right now about Gorilla price, and then I'll switch to margin, what we're seeing is more and more moderation.

Part of that is helped by the fact that we've introduced Gorilla Glass 4 as a price-premium product to Gorilla Glass 3, and Gorilla Glass 4's take-up has been outstanding. People really want it, and they're willing to pay up for it.

So Gorilla Glass 4 compared to Gorilla Glass 3 is a margin enhancer for us overall, even though it cost us a little bit more, the pricing is more than overcoming that increase in cost. That, put together with our continued improvements in productivity and efficiency is what creates the type of net income up that you saw in this quarter.

So we continue to be feeling quite positively about Gorilla gross margin enhancement as we work our way through this year..

Ehud A. Gelblum - Citigroup Global Markets, Inc. (Broker)

Great.

When Phire comes into play, you announced it earlier this year, do you expect that to come in later this year or next year? And does that sort of eat in a little bit to Gorilla? Should we look at Phire and Gorilla combined? And when Phire comes in, does it have its own manufacturing issues that we'll have to deal with at that point, lower gross margin until that manufacturing cycle proves in? Or when Phire comes in, will it come in at the new Gorilla margins that you're creating now?.

Wendell P. Weeks - Chairman, President & Chief Executive Officer

So great questions. First, on Phire, let's do timing. Phire is still relatively early in its creation cycle. And there are some products that would have the potential to launch this year in smaller volume. That would be our desire, to allow us to work through exactly the manufacturing question that you raised.

However, we're getting very strong pull on Phire. So it could be that we will get at least requests to go earlier than what we would like. How to close the delta between desire and reality is one of life's great problems. So we're still in the midst of trying to figure that one out.

Now, as far as business model goes, it is our intent that we will make more money when we introduce Phire as opposed to less money. Now, how that plays out on gross margin percent versus do we get other types of income flows from this will all depend on the business models that we ultimately set up with our customers.

Like I said, this is still a product that is in its elementary school time. So we don't exactly have the business model agreed to with our customers. What we do have is a strong desire expressed for what the product does. So more to come. I'm sorry I don't have a little more right now.

Maybe ask me again next time I'm online, and I should be able to have more information for you, sir..

Ehud A. Gelblum - Citigroup Global Markets, Inc. (Broker)

I will. I appreciate it. If I could sneak one last in about the price declines in Q2 that, Jim, you're saying are going to be better than Q1. What is that based on? Is it based on a move to larger screen sizes where you naturally charge more because the glass is thicker? Or are there some other dynamics giving you the confidence? Thank you..

James B. Flaws - Vice Chairman & Chief Financial Officer

It's based on the fact that we've closed almost all of our Q2 pricing, so we know we're going to have it..

Ehud A. Gelblum - Citigroup Global Markets, Inc. (Broker)

Right.

But what was that based on, – was that – that allowed you to do that?.

James B. Flaws - Vice Chairman & Chief Financial Officer

It's not based on generation size anymore. So it's based on just what we've concluded with our customers compared to what Q1 pricing was..

Ehud A. Gelblum - Citigroup Global Markets, Inc. (Broker)

I appreciate the time. Thanks, guys..

Operator

Our next question is from Avi Silver with CLSA..

Avi Silver - CLSA Americas LLC

Yes. Hi. Thank you. A couple of questions on Display. So first of all, Jim, at what rate did you hedge the remaining 20% of volumes? Is it also at JPY 99 compared to the core for 2016? And then on Display pricing, the press release says that the volume grew high teens year on year. If I were to assume 18%, that would imply a 4% ASP decline.

I think on the call you said it was down slightly. In that case, ASP would have been more than the 2% to 3% decline. So I just want to understand whether the ASP – not like-for-like pricing was within the 2% to 3% band in the March quarter, or was it maybe slightly below that band? And then I have a follow-up..

James B. Flaws - Vice Chairman & Chief Financial Officer

So we don't give you out specific price numbers. I can tell you that the price declines in quarter one were less than the price declines in quarter four. So we're not going to give exact numbers. What we're focused on is the trend. The only thing have you to keep remembering when you look at our total numbers is the thick-to-thin conversion.

Remember, that's why I talked in the script about my – the heartbeat when you take that out. Remember we do give more of a lower price on thin to our customers, so as they go from a higher percent on thick to a higher percent on thin, it makes our price declines look greater.

But remember from a cost point of view, that's a benefit to us and also gives us more ability to sell more glass. So just by doing it on the total business, you sometimes get a misleading answer. But the heartbeat is definitely going down when you take out that thinness difference.

Was there another question?.

Avi Silver - CLSA Americas LLC

Well, just on the hedge, the remaining 20% that you hedged on 2016, was that also at JPY 99? And then I have a follow-up..

James B. Flaws - Vice Chairman & Chief Financial Officer

No. It was slightly higher than JPY 99, but we're not giving out the exact number. We're going to continue to report the core at JPY 99, and then in GAAP, you'll see the difference between the actual hedges and the core rate. But we did – we think we did quite well..

Avi Silver - CLSA Americas LLC

Okay. Great. And then a follow-up question for Wendell, it's kind of a longer term question on TVs.

Can you talk about the potential for experiences to – on TVs to improve? So, you're making a replacement cycle argument on the aging installed base, but the flip side of that is consumers are spending more time staring at smaller screens and less time staring at larger screens anecdotally.

So I'm wondering whether there's something on the Software services side that you see over the next couple years that can change experience and ultimately stimulate long-term demand for LCD TV. Thank you..

Wendell P. Weeks - Chairman, President & Chief Executive Officer

I think that's a great question, and it's something that I've worked on with other opinion leaders and innovators in the space a lot. I'd say that we see really, really encouraging work exactly in the area that you are discussing.

And I think that the key blocker to bringing some of this to market is that access to the living room, and some way to integrate the physical devices like the TVs as well as your small screens with the software capability to be able to start to do some really interesting things, especially on cloud-based services, to really enhance the experience a lot.

And we're starting to see really strong progress and really new entrants to that space that you see the beginning of when you see these additions of the boxes or the sticks or things like that to your physical device. That is the foot in the door that's going to create, I think, better experiences going forward.

Because the one thing the small screen can't do is allow us to have a shared experience, which is really important to just human behavior. And the best innovations I'm seeing in this space on software end-use are all about that piece. It's not just about making a bigger screen. It's not just about having a more dramatic experience.

It's about how do I enhance the shared nature of that larger screen. And there's some encouraging things happening, but you need to see some business models really slide into place before it happens..

Avi Silver - CLSA Americas LLC

Got it. Thank you very much..

Operator

Our next question is from Patrick Newton with Stifel. Please go ahead..

Patrick M. Newton - Stifel, Nicolaus & Co., Inc.

Yeah. Thank you. Good morning, Jim and Wendell. First, a clarification.

Wendell, I think when you were talking about the low end of cover glass, especially in China, did I understand you correctly that recent share gains were more a function of the market coming to you? Or has Corning shifted its strategy or product portfolio to better address the low end of the market?.

Wendell P. Weeks - Chairman, President & Chief Executive Officer

Great. Thank you for the details. And then I guess, Jim, you talked about supply-demand in the LCD market for Corning with your capacity running at near full utilization and some idle capacity.

Could you help us understand the relative size of the idle capacity perhaps compared to a year ago, or to when you brought SCP in-house? Or perhaps asked in a different way, in what timeframe should we expect LCD-related CapEx to increase from the current maintenance levels?.

James B. Flaws - Vice Chairman & Chief Financial Officer

And so you said CapEx down next year, and then should we think of 2017 as potentially a year of increased LCD CapEx?.

James B. Flaws - Vice Chairman & Chief Financial Officer

Great. Thank you for taking my questions..

Operator

And next we'll go to Steven Fox with Cross Research. Please go ahead..

Steven B. Fox - Cross Research LLC

Thanks. Good morning. Just one question from me, one more on Gorilla Glass. I think you said in the press release that your volumes were up about 20%. And if I look back at the 10-K, you guys were up 23% in Gorilla Glass for all of last year. So my understanding is this year's Q1 was an easier comp, and the comps get harder as the year goes on.

Can you just sort of talk about how those year-over-year growth rates could compare to Q1 going forward? And whether there's any cannibalization we have to think about in sort of your good, better, best product strategy for the year? Thanks a lot..

James B. Flaws - Vice Chairman & Chief Financial Officer

Good, better, best..

Wendell P. Weeks - Chairman, President & Chief Executive Officer

So, let me start on it, and then Jim will try to pick up some numbers to help. So I think first we've got to establish which level are we at. So in sort of sell-in, what our brands sell into retail, that tends to have a seasonal cycle to it that carries through the smartphone market and to their launches.

And that we expect to have strong growth in for the market and to have strong or even stronger Gorilla growth into that market. Then, Steven, we go down to the what our shipments are level in any given quarter.

For that, it gets much harder to predict because now we're at the beginning end of a pretty large supply chain, and the behavior we see out of our big brands is they will build a lot in a quarter. We had some of that happen late last year for an undisclosed customer, building a lot for a launch.

And they want to make sure they've got enough glass to be able to make the phones or tablets that they want. When they do that, we can have shipments that are much higher than the sell-in level.

Vice versa, what we can also have is that as we get into a cycle where they will do a correction and reduce that in any given quarter, I think that we can anticipate that to continue and that will impact our performance on any given quarter and any given year over year for our shipment level.

But in the end, it doesn't matter so much, do we get it in one quarter or the next quarter.

As long as the sell-in continues to be strong and our position continues to strengthen there, all we're really talking about is whether we get it in the next couple quarters or the couple quarters after that, assuming we continue to win other platforms as they turn over.

Does that make sense?.

Steven B. Fox - Cross Research LLC

Yeah. It does.

And then within that context, though, Wendell, would we expect cannibalization or are you able to shift down enough Gorilla Glass street volume into some of these other markets that it wouldn't be noticeable to us?.

Wendell P. Weeks - Chairman, President & Chief Executive Officer

So we're not seeing a lot of cannibalization right now. We're seeing the sort of two-product strategy that we have done to be basically in the direction of switching the GG 4. But what we're saying to our customers is, hey, if you want a real price competitive product or closer in price competitive product, then here is GG 3.

And if you want the superior performance of GG 4, this is the price you choose. And we're having customers actually choose a mix. But for now at least, the penetration rate of GG 4 is higher than what we expected. We originally expected it to only flow in on their highest end, and they stay with GG 3 on some of their lower end.

Right now, and this could change, right now, we're seeing a shift towards GG4. And then, of course, Fire when that comes is going to add yet another layer of complication to this. But overall, I think it's all good..

Steven B. Fox - Cross Research LLC

Yeah. That makes sense. Thank you very much..

Wendell P. Weeks - Chairman, President & Chief Executive Officer

Jim, did you have anything to add?.

James B. Flaws - Vice Chairman & Chief Financial Officer

No. Just a reminder. We did say our volume growth was up 20% in quarter one; year-over-year, it's going to be up in the mid-teens is what our guidance is. But when you look at consumption of our glass going into sell-in, the percent is very similar in each quarter..

Steven B. Fox - Cross Research LLC

Great. Thanks..

Ann H. S. Nicholson - Division Vice President, Investor Relations

Great, thanks. So we've got time for one more question, John..

Operator

And that will be from Simona Jankowski with Goldman Sachs. Please go ahead..

Simona K. Jankowski - Goldman Sachs & Co.

Hi. Thank you. I just had a clarification first and then a couple of questions. On the clarification, I think you maintained your full year demand expectation, but data points in PCs have been a little weaker in Q1. I was just curious if you factor that in and if you see an offset on the TV side or something else..

James B. Flaws - Vice Chairman & Chief Financial Officer

So we did factor it in, but television size has been a little bit better. And also for us, as customers make our product, they're using a little bit more glass per end device, which helps us out their own efficiencies, particularly as they make ultra-high def.

So we did factor in the lower IT into our forecast but other factors allowed us to maintain it..

Simona K. Jankowski - Goldman Sachs & Co.

And then two longer term questions. One of them is we're seeing a bit of a shift of panel demand into China.

Can you just comment on how you expect that transition to affect Corning, especially with some of your competitors moving some of their manufacturing base to China? And then the second question is if you can update us on the Iris opportunity into year-end and in particular if there are any TVs at this point that you've been designed in to beyond those announced at CES? And just maybe if you can guesstimate what percent of high-end volumes you think will be able to adopt Iris..

James B. Flaws - Vice Chairman & Chief Financial Officer

So I'll start with China and then let Wendell chime in. Just a reminder, you're seeing our competitors make announcements, we are already on the ground with glass melting in China and have the capability of supplying from that as well as shipping in from Taiwan and Korea. So we think we're well positioned to meet the demand from new China facilities.

Anything you want to add to that, Wendell?.

Wendell P. Weeks - Chairman, President & Chief Executive Officer

Well I'd just build on Jim's answer of earlier too, in our Gen 8.5 and below platform, our existing platforms, we feel really good about where we stand for the amount of capacity we have. We may add finishing lines here and there in China, as you point out. But those tend not to have a big build to it.

I think that the only regional play that is worth, as always, keeping an eye on is do we see any significant new generations come in China.

And if that were to happen, we would of course be anybody's first port of call on the very large size pieces, and we'd have to work our way through to find, do we have an advantaged way to do that that would be good for our shareholders. Now, to Iris, I think you portrayed it very well. This is a high-end ultra-thin to start as a business.

It's still, once again, very early days for this product. We're engaged across all the brands. There is interest in using glass in that function of a light-guide plate, but it is still too early to call penetration. And then how does the battle play out between glass and the two alternative materials that we're battling against.

They have different pros and cons but we're just in the middle of that fight, actually in the beginning steps of that fight, so it's too early to call at what round we win at..

Simona K. Jankowski - Goldman Sachs & Co.

Great. Thank you..

Ann H. S. Nicholson - Division Vice President, Investor Relations

Jim?.

James B. Flaws - Vice Chairman & Chief Financial Officer

Thanks, Ann. Just a couple of investor announcements. First of all, our annual shareholder meeting is this Thursday and investors can listen to Wendell's speech on the Web. In addition, we will be hosting investors in Corning, New York on May 7, and I promise no snow. And then we'll be at the JPMorgan Conference in Boston on May 19.

Quick summary of the call. We entered 2015 with great momentum. Over the last couple quarters, the heartbeat of price declines in our LCD business have been trending favorably, and we do expect this to continue.

Our Optical Communications quarter one results were outstanding and they are on track to deliver double-digit sales and earnings growth this year. The end market for Gorilla Glass, Environmental Technologies is growing and expect will continue to grow with those markets.

And finally, we're returning to cash to shareholders at a crisp pace with our share repurchases. We feel really good about our terrific first quarter results and are confident we can deliver another year of earnings per share growth in 2015.

Ann?.

Ann H. S. Nicholson - Division Vice President, Investor Relations

Thank you, Jim, and thank you all for joining us today. A playback of the call is available at 11:00 a.m. Eastern and will run until 5:00 p.m. Eastern on Tuesday, May 12. To listen, dial 800-475-6701. The access code is 357164. The audio cast is available on our website during that time as well. John, that concludes our call. Please disconnect all lines..

ALL TRANSCRIPTS
2024 Q-3 Q-2 Q-1
2023 Q-4 Q-3 Q-2 Q-1
2022 Q-4 Q-3 Q-2 Q-1
2021 Q-4 Q-3 Q-2 Q-1
2020 Q-4 Q-3 Q-2 Q-1
2019 Q-4 Q-3 Q-2 Q-1
2018 Q-4 Q-3 Q-2 Q-1
2017 Q-4 Q-3 Q-2 Q-1
2016 Q-4 Q-3 Q-2 Q-1
2015 Q-4 Q-3 Q-2 Q-1
2014 Q-4 Q-3 Q-2 Q-1