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EARNINGS CALL TRANSCRIPT
EARNINGS CALL TRANSCRIPT 2017 - Q3
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Executives

Jeffrey Jacobson - Xerox Corp. William F. Osbourn - Xerox Corp. Jennifer Horsley - Xerox Corp..

Analysts

Shannon S. Cross - Cross Research LLC Ananda Baruah - Loop Capital Markets LLC Paul Coster - JPMorgan Securities LLC Kathryn Lynn Huberty - Morgan Stanley & Co. LLC Steven Milunovich - UBS Securities LLC Matthew Cabral - Goldman Sachs & Co. LLC Mark Moskowitz - Barclays Capital, Inc. Jim Suva - Citigroup Global Markets, Inc..

Operator

Good morning, and welcome to the Xerox Corporation Third Quarter 2017 Earnings Release Conference call hosted by Jeff Jacobson, Chief Executive Officer. He is joined by Bill Osbourn, Chief Financial Officer. During this call, Xerox executives will refer to slides that are available on the web at www.xerox.com/investor.

At the request of Xerox Corporation, today's conference call is being recorded. Other recording and/or rebroadcasting of this call are prohibited without the expressed permission of Xerox. After the presentation, there will be a question-and-answer session.

During this conference call, Xerox executives will make comments that contain forward-looking statements which, by their nature, address matters that are in the future and are uncertain. Actual future financial results may be materially different than those expressed herein. At this time, I would like to turn the meeting over to Mr. Jacobson. Mr.

Jacobson, you may begin.

Jeffrey Jacobson - Xerox Corp.

Good morning, and welcome to Xerox's third quarter 2017 earnings conference call. During today's call, we will provide an update on the quarter as well as our expectations for full year 2017. Overall, we delivered a solid quarter.

Revenue decline improved sequentially and earnings expanded year-over-year, with margins and cash flow both in line with our expectations. We still have work to do, but we're making headway on our strategy. We're gaining traction in our rollout of our ConnectKey products, as September was our strongest month in the quarter.

We also saw improvement in our Managed Document Services results. Both of these factors will help us pivot more over time to our strategic growth areas. Let me walk you through an overview of our third quarter financial results.

Third quarter GAAP EPS from continuing operations was $0.67 and adjusted EPS was $0.89, up 6% from the same quarter a year ago. Adjusted EPS excludes $0.22 per share of after-tax costs related to the amortization of intangibles, restructuring and related cost as well as certain retirement related cost.

Revenue of $2.5 billion was down 5% year over year or 5.9% on a constant currency basis. We are starting to see new equipment flowing through as we gain momentum into the fourth quarter and 2018. Post sale revenue was 79% of total revenue and declined 3.9% or 4.8% in constant currency.

We expect stable post sale revenue coming over time as equipment revenue improves and placements grow. Adjusted operating margin was 12.2%, down 40 basis points year-over-year and in line with our expectations.

Strategic Transformation benefits largely offset transaction currency and lower equity income, putting us on track to achieve our full year margin objective of 12.5% to 13.5%. Operating cash flow from continuing operations included $671 million in pension contributions. Bill will go into more detail on cash flow.

Overall, we have made great progress this year optimizing our balance sheet, which will support both a strong cash flow in the future as well as our investment-grade credit profile. It's also important to note that excluding pension contributions, operating cash flow increased $44 million year-over-year, so good operating performance.

And finally, we ended the quarter with a healthy cash balance of $1.8 billion, which includes the $475 million used in October for the early redemption of the 2018 senior notes. So overall, solid results that position us for continued improvement in Q4 and into 2018.

Throughout the quarter, customer and partner feedback continued to be overwhelmingly positive, whether it's about our wide array of Managed Document Services, our industry-leading Graphic Communications Solutions or our new line of smart, secure ConnectKey enabled workplace assistants.

This positive feedback translated into increasing ConnectKey orders in September from single A4 devices going into an SMB to large MPS contracts at the world's biggest enterprises.

All 29 of our new ConnectKey office products are now available and shipping to customers around the globe, and with sales momentum building as we expected, entering the last quarter of the year. Here are just a few quick examples.

A world leader in the pharmaceutical industry renewed and expanded a multiyear Managed Document Services contract across 76 countries, adding more than 2,200 of our new A3 and A4 ConnectKey printers.

A channel partner in Italy secured an MPS contract with a leading chemical company, replacing 400 competitive printers with 300 of our new AltaLink and VersaLink devices. And in Switzerland, a leading professional services firm signed an MPS deal that includes 130 AltaLink and VersaLink devices.

Applications are a clear competitive differentiator for our new ConnectKey workplace assistants, and we reached a meaningful apps milestone during the quarter. There are more than 0.5 million ConnectKey apps now installed on Xerox devices globally, marking a 66% increase since the product launches at the end of March.

That is 200,000 additional apps have been installed on our new AltaLink and VersaLink MSPs since their introductions. This is significant, as the large majority of these apps ship with our new devices. So, it's another key indicator of that brisk customer adoption rate.

Finally, ConnectKey is the only print solution containing the power of industry-leading McAfee security protection; McAfee whitelisting technology, which constantly monitors and automatically protects against malware attacks, comes embedded in all Xerox AltaLink products.

We've chosen to partner with best-of-breed companies like McAfee instead of building our own capabilities. As almost all of our customers already use McAfee, they feel more comfortable that McAfee solutions are embedded in our platform.

We're also squarely focused on the growth opportunities in the attractive high-end digital color part of the market, where Xerox has been a leader for more than a decade now. At the largest U.S.

graphic communications tradeshow, PRINT 17 in Chicago in September, our industry-leading innovation was behind multiple product introductions, including MUST SEE 'EMS award winners, the Trivor 2400 High Fusion Inkjet Press and the iGen 5 Press with White Dry Ink.

And sales were brisk with deals for the iGen, the Brenva HD Production, Rialto 900 Inkjet Presses as well as the new Versant 180 and 3100 Presses. Our third MUST SEE 'EMS award winner at the show was the Xerox Specialty Imaging, a fraud-deterrent technology that helps protect sensitive printed data.

In September, we also announced a reseller agreement for Xerox to market and sell the Fujifilm J Press 720S, a sheetfed inkjet press in the U.S. and Canada. This further expands our inkjet portfolio with the addition of a wider format press. I'll turn the call over to our CFO, Bill Osbourn, to cover our financial results in more detail.

Bill?.

William F. Osbourn - Xerox Corp.

relatively flat year-over-year pre-tax profit; working capital, which was a modest higher use of cash year-over-year, reflecting the new product buildup and also a modest inventory increase due to the hurricanes; and financing assets being a greater source of cash as a result of lower equipment sales in recent quarters as well as lower financing penetration.

Investing cash flows were a use of $4 million, with CapEx spend of $23 million largely offset by proceeds from the Grenoble sale of approximately $20 million.

Cash from financing was $908 million and included proceeds from the $1 billion September senior note issuance, of which $500 million went toward the previously mentioned incremental pension contribution, and $475 million was used in October for an early redemption of a portion of our 2018 senior note.

Financing cash flows also included $68 million in dividends, common and preferred. Before I go to the capital structure slide, I would like to spend a few minutes on updates we're making to our operating cash flow guidance. There are several moving pieces to cash flow that I would like to walk through in terms of their impact to our guidance.

To begin, underlying operating cash flow is running above expectations, as just discussed, giving us confidence to raise cash flow guidance by $100 million. More than offsetting this increase is a reduction from the incremental $500 million contribution to domestic pension plans that was funded with debt, as we announced in September.

Lastly, we are announcing that we will be eliminating the majority of our accounts receivable sales or factoring programs which will have an approximate negative $350 million impact to cash flow in Q4.

As background, we have had in place since 2009 accounts receivable sales programs where we sell short-term trade receivables, generally with payment due dates of less than 60 days. This has had a nominal impact on cash flows in recent years, as the largest benefit comes on the program startup. We no longer have a need for this working capital tool.

And as a part of our Strategic Transformation program to simplify the business and reduce costs, we are eliminating the majority of these programs. This will give us annual savings of approximately $10 million that does result in the one-time timing impact to cash flow that I just discussed.

2017 has been a year of optimizing our balance sheet, and I view this as another positive step in improving our capital management that will benefit the business going forward.

The net impact of these three changes is that we now expect cash flow from operations to be in the range of negative $50 million to positive $150 million for the full year 2017.

This update to operating cash flow has essentially no impact on our available cash for capital allocation, as we always had an unallocated element of opportunistic spend in our guidance.

We are also modestly adjusting our 2017 capital allocation to reduce expectations for CapEx by $50 million, as we are running under our full year target, with the shifting of some IT projects to be more pay-as-you-go operating expenses versus CapEx.

At the same time, we are increasing our M&A target by $50 million, raising it to approximately $150 million. We have spent $76 million year-to-date and are targeting to close a couple more tuck-in deals before year-end. Factoring in all these movements, we continue to anticipate ending the year with a cash balance of over $1 billion.

I feel good about the progress we have made this year in strengthening our capital structure and we plan to provide during our Q4 earnings call in January our capital allocation plans for 2018. Before I turn it back to Jeff, I will quickly touch on our capital structure. We ended Q3 with $6 billion of debt.

Within that, financing debt remained largely consistent at $3.6 billion quarter-over-quarter; however core debt increased by $1 billion to $2.4 billion, reflecting the $500 million debt we took on to fund the pension and $475 million we used in October for the early redemption of a portion of the 2018 notes, replacing debt with a coupon of 6.35% with 3.625% coupon debt.

The replacement of pension liability with core debt is largely leverage neutral. So overall for the year, we have improved leverage driven by the $300 million debt reduction we did earlier this year. And we will continue to manage our debt balance leverage position to maintain our investment-grade profile.

So to summarize, we continue to make progress on our objectives and are on track to deliver on our full-year expectations. With that, I will hand it back to Jeff..

Jeffrey Jacobson - Xerox Corp.

Thank you, Bill. Let me wrap up the presentation with a few closing remarks. Our third quarter results reflect continued progress on key performance measures and put us on track to meet our full year objectives. Revenue trends are beginning to improve; however, we are still in the early phase in our strategy to turn the revenue trajectory.

Our Strategic Transformation program is a critical enabler to supporting both revenue improvement and margin expansion, and I'm pleased with the strides we have made with opportunities still in front of us.

And finally, I cannot overemphasize the importance of the work we have done on the capital structure front and the key actions we have taken, including paying down debt, putting more toward the pension and ending accounts receivable sales programs, which will make us an even more financially secure and strong company for the future.

We'll now open up the line for questions.

Jennifer?.

Jennifer Horsley - Xerox Corp.

Thanks, Jeff. Before we get to your questions for Jeff and Bill, I will again point out that we have a number of supplemental slides at the end of our deck which provide more financial detail to support today's presentation and complement our prepared remarks.

During Q&A, I would ask participants to limit follow-on and multi-part questions so we can get to everyone. At the end of our Q&A session, I'll turn it back to Jeff for a few closing comments. Operator, please open the line for questions now..

Operator

Thank you. Our first comes from the line of Shannon Cross with Cross Research. Your line is now open..

Shannon S. Cross - Cross Research LLC

Thank you very much. I have two questions. The first one is, given all of the movements on cash flow, can you give us an idea of sort of how you're thinking about 2018? I know you're not going to give specifics.

But if we think about what the one-timers were this year versus what we will see next year, the fact that you sort of raised your operational cash flow guidance and reduced your CapEx for this year, just how should we think about the trajectory of cash flow for next year? And then I have a follow-up. Thank you..

William F. Osbourn - Xerox Corp.

Hey, Shannon. It's Bill Osborne. Good morning. Hey, good question. So a few things. You're right, we're not going to give detailed guidance on 2018, but a few things to think about in light of what we've done this year.

First of all, the factoring, just as I said in the prepared comments, are the ceasing of the sales of short-term receivables is a one-time timing issue. It is historically a pull-forward of short-term – cash related short-term receivables of 30 to 60 days. When you start up a program, it has a favorable impact back in 2009.

This hasn't had much of an impact in recent years, plus or minus. But now that we're ceasing a majority of it, it will have that $350 million approximate negative impact this year. It will have no impact to run rate cash flow for next year. As far as other things to think about when you're looking towards next year.

If you recall, we originally had talked about pension contributions over a two-year period being at the $800 million range; $350 million this year, $450 million next year. The incremental pension contribution we made this year with the debt that we issued in September brings down those future contribution levels to more normalized levels.

Not to give an exact amount, but historically in the $200 million range, whereas I think before most people were modeling $450 million, $500 million for next year. But the thought is for it to be a more constant, stable number in the future in the $200 million range.

As far as CapEx, our CapEx is primarily related to IT-type spend, and we've been seeing more and more as we go to cloud-based solutions that it's ending up being more OpEx-related IT than CapEx historically. I would still think we'd be in the CapEx range, $100 million, $150 million.

M&A type deals we target, tuck-in type deals, especially in the GIS arena. And we've said that could be anywhere, $100 million, $200 million in a given year depending on the number of deals you're doing there. So those are sort of big picture type items with respect to cash to think about future years.

But we'll be more explicit obviously in the January earnings call..

Shannon S. Cross - Cross Research LLC

Okay, great. And then can you talk about – I don't know, maybe Jeff, talk a bit about what's going on in terms of operating margin. It was a bit light this quarter. You mentioned on the SG&A side some pressure from higher compensation and things like that.

How do we think about SG&A? And how do we think about the cost benefit rolling through so that you can be back in that range that you guided to for full year? Thank you..

Jeffrey Jacobson - Xerox Corp.

Yeah, so if you look at it, Shannon, as you know, we were 12.2% for the quarter and we're 12.3% for year-to-date. So our full-year guidance is 12.5% to 13.5%,so really within the expectations that we thought we would be. If we think about it, we had 60 basis points of currency headwinds. We had a little lower equity income on a year-over-year basis.

The productivity came in where we certainly thought it would be and it offset our normal revenue declines. So we're really well on track for where we expect to be for our 12.5% to 13.5% guidance..

William F. Osbourn - Xerox Corp.

Yeah, I'd agree with everything Jeff says. Just to remind you, Q4 is seasonally the highest quarter of the year from an adjusted operating margin perspective. And based upon quarter-end September 30 rates, we do expect a moderating impact of transaction currency in the fourth quarter versus what we saw in Q3..

Jennifer Horsley - Xerox Corp.

Great. Thanks, Shannon. Operator, next question..

Operator

Our next question comes from the line of Ananda Baruah of Loop Capital. Your line is now open..

Ananda Baruah - Loop Capital Markets LLC

Hey, guys. Good morning.

Can you hear me okay?.

Jeffrey Jacobson - Xerox Corp.

Yeah. Hi, Ananda. We can hear you fine. Thank you..

Ananda Baruah - Loop Capital Markets LLC

55)..

Jeffrey Jacobson - Xerox Corp.

Yeah, sure, Ananda. So, yeah, let me try and cover it in a broad sense and give you the details so that everybody can have an overview of where we are. And again, I'd say, we're right on pace with where we thought.

So if I were to look at the second half of last year from an equipment revenue standpoint as well as the first three quarters of this year, we've been down at 10% constant currency consistently awaiting for the portfolio to come out.

So, as you know or I believe you know, the lower end of the A4 products or our entry products came out in the first quarter of this year. And what you're seeing is you're seeing the benefits of that in the installs. So our color installs were up 23%; black-and-white installs were up 26%.

But that really benefited the most our developing markets where we're really mixing down into the lower end of entry. So our developing markets actually had growth. If you then think about the May-June timeframe or later in the second quarter is when we brought out all 17 of our A3 products.

So we started to see some benefit from that and improvement to a decline of 8.5% in our mid-range products. And the benefits came, Ananda, I would say really in the shorter sales cycles. We'll start seeing more and more of that in the longer sales cycles, especially in the larger enterprise public sector, et cetera.

But I would say even there as we indicated last quarter, our 180-day new business pipeline was up significantly and that's now migrated to continue to be up in our 90-day new business pipeline, which we said all along would benefit us in Q4.

So we certainly expect overall to see our strongest equipment sale revenue in the Q4 as well as our strongest and significant improvement in signings in Q4. And we take some confidence in that based upon what we've seen in September and what we see in our direct backlog.

With regard to the higher-end A4 products or the higher value, if I can call it that, A4 products, those came out more in Q3 with the final coming out in September. So we'll start seeing the benefit of that as well. So we've known all along that Q4 is where we need to start showing the significant improvement.

We have confidence in that based upon what we we're seeing in the backlog, based upon what we're seeing in the pipeline, and based upon what we saw in September where we improved the decline in our equipment by more than half of what our normal run rate has been..

Ananda Baruah - Loop Capital Markets LLC

And that's really helpful. And just a clarification on that.

Where in that – just for our benefit – does the mid-production, light-production units like the Versant, which I think you guys were enthusiastic about, the Brenva, like that, where do they fall in that?.

Jeffrey Jacobson - Xerox Corp.

Yeah, so that would be in the high-end. So you saw the installs down 2% and you saw the high-end revenues down about 12%. The Versant did very well. So actually Versant did extremely well and the inkjet did extremely well.

We had a tough year-over-year compare if you look at things like color press and iGen, because remember we were comparing against drupa last year which is the every-four-year trade show. So we expect to see improvement there in Q4..

Ananda Baruah - Loop Capital Markets LLC

Thank you. And then just a quick second one is. Can you just give us some sense of where the cost savings – how you've chosen to use the cost savings year-to-date? That's it for me. Thanks..

William F. Osbourn - Xerox Corp.

Yeah. So from a cost savings perspective, really I group it into three buckets when I think about it. First of all, just to follow-on what Jeff was saying about the new A4s at the higher end coming available in Q3, fully available.

As everyone knows, there's a razor blade model on the A4.So we've had the lower end ones available since pretty much the beginning of the year. The higher-end A4s came out in Q3.We expect to be selling those in greater quantities. And to the extent we do that, there are upfront losses upon sale.

Typically that are made up – more than made up and profitable over the life of the equipment. So that's one area of investment that we expect to continue pushing an increase even into Q4. Second area, deals with IT infrastructure investments. And some specific examples, I said the spend is tending to be more OpEx than CapEx.

And just due to the nature of the type of IT solutions we're doing. But first of all your channel partner business is an area of focus. It's a strategic growth area, and we're building up our back-office business platforms to support that business. Also our service delivery, we're looking – we're building up a next-generation service delivery platform.

And then there's just other general IT infrastructure, whether it's with respect to supply chain, data analytics, et cetera. All those types of items support the business today and going forward we believe in the future.

And then finally the third bucket that I view as far as just the type of investments really goes to the direct selling, are the selling costs, both from a direct sales force perspective.

We've been increasing the number of direct sales people during the year, and plan to continue on doing that, and also the support of our channel partners and recruiting those channel partners are also – there's a cost to that that we believe will benefit the future..

Jennifer Horsley - Xerox Corp.

Great. Thanks, Ananda.

Operator, next question?.

Ananda Baruah - Loop Capital Markets LLC

Great, thanks..

Jennifer Horsley - Xerox Corp.

Thanks..

Operator

Our next question comes from the line of Paul Coster of JPMorgan. Your line is now open..

Paul Coster - JPMorgan Securities LLC

Yeah. Thanks for taking my questions. Two please with a sort of longer-term perspective to them. The first one is on the MDS – in the MDS segment, I think you said about 25% revenue now is coming from the midmarket. What can that share be over the course of time? And how do you get there? And then on R&D.

Your R&D is still one of the biggest in the industry focused on printers. It feels like you've kind of been through a big product cycle. What's next? Are you going to start doing what some of your competitors are doing and move into adjacencies? Or is it just more of what we've seen to date? Some kind of breakdown of the R&D would be useful.

Thank you..

Jeffrey Jacobson - Xerox Corp.

Yeah. Sure. Paul. Let me try and address that for you. So, first, from an MDS standpoint, we were very pleased that we improved from the decline of 3.9% last quarter to the growth of 1.2% this quarter. As we indicated last time, there was an aberration in the equipment sales where we were down 24% in MDS.

That improved significantly with still more room to improvement. The post sale and MDS did grow, so we were pleased to see that, and our channel Managed Document Services was up about 12%. So good double-digit growth, stronger than the market there, actually twice as strong as the market there.

As Bill indicated, the actions were taken there between the new products, our new multi-brand resellers, and the SMB expansion, in addition to the new logo hunters, and we brought in about 30 in North America.

And we're not just adding feet-on-the-street in our own direct world, but our resellers are also adding feet-on-the-street, and we're helping support them in doing that. So we're making good progress there, and the SMB part of the Management Document Services is obviously a big part of our strategic growth areas.

With regard to research and development, we're trending at about 4% of our revenue in research and development. That's been pretty stable. We've put a lot of time – we look at research and development in terms of capital, and everything needs a good return on investment.

So to your point about where we will be pivoting, I don't think there's any question. One of the things that we're very excited about now that we're 10 months into the separation is having Palo Alto Research Center back 100% dedicated to us.

For six years or seven years prior to that it was predominantly dedicated to our business process outsourcing firm, which was spun off. And now that's 100% back to us. So yes, we will be pivoting into things with more in inkjet, more in printed electronics, more in the Internet of Things, certainly more in the packaging.

Now those investments will take a little longer time, obviously, because commercialization cycles are longer.

But when we look at our business, our strategy all along was to say what we call Phase 1, be very strong on strategic transformation, make this business as productive as it can be, as cost-efficient as it can be, take some of that to the bottom line, take some of it to invest in the future. Phase 2 is exactly where we're at now.

All these 29 new products coming out, and now let's begin to show the change in that revenue trajectory. Phase 3, we'll be pivoting to some of those things that I think you were just referring to, what can be the second and third leg in the Xerox stool going forward..

Paul Coster - JPMorgan Securities LLC

Okay. Thank you..

Jennifer Horsley - Xerox Corp.

Great. Thanks, Paul. Operator, next question..

Operator

Thank you. Our next question comes from the line of Katy Huberty of Morgan Stanley. Your line is now open..

Kathryn Lynn Huberty - Morgan Stanley & Co. LLC

Thank you. Good morning..

Jennifer Horsley - Xerox Corp.

Good morning..

Jeffrey Jacobson - Xerox Corp.

Good morning..

Kathryn Lynn Huberty - Morgan Stanley & Co. LLC

First, just a quick clarification. The strength that you saw in September, was that just the ConnectKey products? Or was that across the equipment portfolio? And then can you comment on whether that order strength continued into October? And then I have a follow-up..

Jeffrey Jacobson - Xerox Corp.

Yeah, so. Yeah, we'll stay on Q3 I think is best, Katy. So it was in our 29 new products. And it was in also what I'll call the high end of inkjet and it was Versant. So we certainly saw it there with the new products that we brought out, both in the high end as well as in the 29 new products.

As I said, the reason we have confidence is because of what we've seen with September. We actually had signings growth in North America. So we're starting to see some of the benefits of that. We're starting to see our pipeline build with our new logo hunters.

And the products are just being very well received by our channel partners as well, especially with the app. So everything in terms of the detailed reviews Bill and I do with the team gives us the confidence that Q4 will show significant improvement in our equipment sales revenue line as well as in our total revenue line..

Kathryn Lynn Huberty - Morgan Stanley & Co. LLC

Okay.

And then just as a follow up, how are you thinking about the weaker dollar? Is there an updated view as to the currency impact to EPS in 2017? And then does that become a tailwind? Does currency become a tailwind in 2018? And would you expect to flow that through to the bottom line? Or do you take that upside and potentially reinvest it? Thanks..

William F. Osbourn - Xerox Corp.

Yes, Katy, it's Bill. A couple things. I'll talk a little bit about Q4. Don't want to go too much into 2018 guidance yet. But as far as you look at quarter-end rates, we do expect moderation of the transaction currency impacting Q4 based upon quarter-end rates.

And also from a revenues perspective, translation perspective, Q3 was the first quarter in 13 quarters that we actually had a favorable impact from currency, about 1 percentage point. And we're expecting that to improve into Q4 based upon quarter-end rates. So, yes, we are expecting a moderating impact or improvement with respect to currency.

We look at -one of the things we factor into all the things, pluses and minuses, is that how much we invest into the company and how much we let go – drop to the bottom line.

So can't really give you a specific answer on that component, but certainly it's one of the factors that we look at as far as incremental investment versus allowing it to drop to the bottom line. And 2018, we'll see where rates are at the end of the year, and we'll clearly have a view and comment on that in the January earnings call..

Kathryn Lynn Huberty - Morgan Stanley & Co. LLC

Thank you..

Jennifer Horsley - Xerox Corp.

Great. Thank you, Katy..

Jeffrey Jacobson - Xerox Corp.

Thank you, Katy..

Jennifer Horsley - Xerox Corp.

Operator, next question..

Operator

Our next question comes from the line of Steve Milunovich of UBS. Your line is now open..

Steven Milunovich - UBS Securities LLC

Great. Thank you. First of all, I want to talk about the M&A and the channel.

Can you talk a bit about what you've seen in the dealer space in terms of valuations? Are you seeing competition from other dealers or private equity? And is consolidation in the dealer channel likely to affect industry dynamics in terms of either pricing pressure or the nature of contracts?.

Jeffrey Jacobson - Xerox Corp.

Yeah. So, Steve, how are you? This is Jeff. Yeah, so we've seen some consolidation or some resellers being acquired in Europe. And as you're probably aware, that certainly has been one of our strategies in the North American market with our Global Imaging channel. So we've done a few this year.

It's part of our strategy as we go forward and as we look at M&A and our overall capital allocation strategy. As we go forward, it will probably continue as part of it. We also believe very much in some of the M&A.

If we do – when we do it, we certainly want it to benefit the total business, and that could be an igniter from a technology standpoint as just being a channel acquisition. So – but channel acquisition is definitely part of our strategy. It's been very successful with Global Imaging.

And what we are seeing is certainly the multi-brand resellers that we have that are – we're now bringing on and we've brought on about 45 so far, equally split between North America and international.

They've been very excited about our new products because they're really looking at these as workplace assistants, coherency between our A3 and A4, mobility, benchmark security, cloud enablement. And then they're really leveraging the apps, which is what they like as well..

Steven Milunovich - UBS Securities LLC

Thanks. And then I just wanted to check in on the large enterprise space. It's fairly saturated with declining pages.

Is there much risk that those customers shift over time to lower-cost A4?.

Jeffrey Jacobson - Xerox Corp.

Well, the industry to a large extent is moving to A4. But what we find there, that would actually benefit us to some extent because the vast majority of our business in the enterprise is now Managed Document Services.

And when we didn't have as competitive an A4 as we do now, it caused us to put in more A3 when we were architecting the solution and therefore that would hurt our margins to some extent. So some of these deals that you are now seeing us win is very significant for us because we're able to put in more A4 devices, which is actually a benefit.

Where you're starting to see some of the industry go down, it's more in the desktop printers, and we tend not to play there as much which is also a benefit for us and perhaps not as much to others..

Steven Milunovich - UBS Securities LLC

Thank you..

Jennifer Horsley - Xerox Corp.

Great. Thanks, Steve..

Jeffrey Jacobson - Xerox Corp.

Thank you..

Jennifer Horsley - Xerox Corp.

Operator, next question?.

Operator

Our next question comes from the line of Matt Cabral of Goldman Sachs. Your line is now open..

Matthew Cabral - Goldman Sachs & Co. LLC

Yeah, thank you. I wanted to circle back to the earlier discussion on the operating margins. I guess, looking at the implied Q4 guidance, if I assume an improving revenue performance to get to down mid single-digits, it still implies margins are flat to down year-over-year even to get to the high-end of the range.

So I guess with that in mind, why wouldn't you start to see some better leverage given the revenue declines are improving and front-loaded restructuring that you had to start off the year?.

Jeffrey Jacobson - Xerox Corp.

Yeah. I don't think I want to get that specific within the range of 12.5% to 13.5%, Matt.

But we've done our modeling and our expectations for Q4 and based upon – as everyone knows, Q4 is seasonally our best quarter of the year for revenue perspective, from an ESR perspective in particular and from total revenues and based upon what we expect to happen from a transaction currency perspective that we're very comfortable with the 12.5% to 13.5% operating margin range..

Matthew Cabral - Goldman Sachs & Co. LLC

Got it. And then Bill, as a quick follow-up, in the past you've talked about just potential that you see within working capital.

Could you just give us an update on where you stand with some of those initiatives and if possible maybe quantify the size of the opportunity that you see over time?.

William F. Osbourn - Xerox Corp.

Yeah. So working capital, it is an area of great emphasis for the management and for the company. Inventory, receivables, aside from the ceasing of the AR receivables program, still managing receivables on an ongoing basis. Inventory, we're going through a period of time where we're transitioning product lines from the old to the new.

It has some impact but we expect to work through that by the end of the year. So there's clearly opportunity there. We don't want to size the exact, but it's an area that we clearly believe we'll be able to work on..

Matthew Cabral - Goldman Sachs & Co. LLC

Thank you..

Jennifer Horsley - Xerox Corp.

Thanks, Matt.

Operator, next question please?.

Operator

Our next question comes from the line of Mark Moskowitz of Barclays. Your line is now open..

Mark Moskowitz - Barclays Capital, Inc.

Thank you. Good morning. Two questions if I could really quickly. I want to follow back up on the channel commentary to Steve's question.

Can you give us a sense in terms of the A4 opportunity? Does that create any sort of conflict currently with your installed base of partners? And is that why you're having to maybe get more acquisitive? And then the second piece is around your confidence that equipment sales, the rate of decline can improve.

Is that because you have more contracts in hand entering the fourth quarter or in the month of October than you have historically? Or what else gives you that confidence? Thank you..

Jeffrey Jacobson - Xerox Corp.

Yeah. Mark, I'm sorry. I just missed the last part – your original question on the A4 part broke up a little bit.

Could you just repeat that part of it, please?.

Mark Moskowitz - Barclays Capital, Inc.

Yeah. Sorry about that. So I was just curious in terms of go-to-market with A4, as it is a little newer here with Xerox after being away from that market for a good number of years.

Is it creating any sort of channel conflict with some of your partners? And is that why you're having to maybe increase the M&A expenses or expectations going forward because you may have to actually be more acquisitive related to A4 type of partners from a channel perspective?.

Jeffrey Jacobson - Xerox Corp.

I see, thank you. Not at all. So no, it's been part of our strategy.

Look, we only have about a 5% market share in A4 and when we were, what I'll call a two division company, basically we were managing the business more for profits, more for cash and we're still doing that, don't get me wrong, but we believe now that we have a much more cost competitive A4 portfolio with the 12 new products that we've just introduced, not only will it benefit us in Managed Document Services, as I said, it'll give us much more opportunity, especially with a coherency in A3 and it should actually improve our gross margins in that space because we'll be able to architect the solutions differently.

It will also enable us to bring on more channel partners than we have in the past because we've always been the leader in A3 and everybody wants our A3 solutions. But now when resellers go to market they need both an A3 and an A4 solution.

So we'll be able to provide both to them and the fact that we now have at least 45 new partners coming on with more to come, says that they really like what they're seeing in the products and there's a lot of excitement in it.

And again, if you would – your second part of the question now?.

Mark Moskowitz - Barclays Capital, Inc.

The go-forward..

William F. Osbourn - Xerox Corp.

I think it was regarding confidence on Q4..

Jeffrey Jacobson - Xerox Corp.

Oh, confidence in Q4, thank you. The reason we have confidence is when I look at the way that – the backlog that we have going into Q4 is the best we've been positioned certainly this year, and probably over the last 14 months.

When I look at what we have in terms of the pipeline for signings which will benefit us from a signing standpoint in Q4 and then certainly into next year, when I look up at the new resellers that we're bringing on and when I look at our new logo hunters that are just going after new business, it does give us the confidence.

And obviously seeing the September results that we had the benefit of seeing, it was a bit of a trend breaker for us over the last five quarters. So that's what gives us confidence..

Jennifer Horsley - Xerox Corp.

Thanks, Mark. Operator, I think we have time for one last question..

Operator

Our next question comes from the line of Jim Suva of Citi. Your line is now open..

Jim Suva - Citigroup Global Markets, Inc.

Thanks very much. Two questions, I'll ask them both at the same time. The first one is on the free cash flow guidance taking down. I think that was unexpected by investors and you clearly laid it out this quarter, but I guess the question is, you unexpectedly brought it down.

I guess, are there other things you guys are considering that maybe we should be bracing for as we look ahead that could impact free cash flow for our modeling perspective? And then my second question is, on MDS you mentioned that the signings you expect to go up next quarter in Q4.

Do you mean up year-over-year or quarter-over-quarter because I believe quarter-over-quarter it's generally up. Thank you..

William F. Osbourn - Xerox Corp.

Yeah. Hey, Jim, it's Bill. I'll answer the first question regarding the free cash flow guidance.

The way that we look at it really is that the underlying cash flow actually we feel very good about what's happened year-to-date and the progress we've seen as far as underlying cash flow as a company, we actually raised based upon the original basis, the $700 million to $900 million range to $800 million to $1 billion based upon that.

But as far as the surprise it's actually the $500 million when we did the debt, or note issuance back in September we disclosed that $500 million of the $1 billion note was going to be used for this and revised the cash flow guidance at that time for that $500 million which we view as a positive because it's allowing us to have more stable pension contributions going forward as opposed to having certain required amounts being higher like this year was $350 million, next year $450 million, $500 million.

So we believe it will be more stable going towards the future so that's $500 million we put out there in the September timeframe.

And as far as the ceasing of the short-term sale of receivables, we believe just from a strategic transformation perspective, the savings associated with that, whether it was the interest costs with the effect of borrowing or the administrative costs that that working capital management tool just wasn't for the needed except there's a limited part that's left and we see that as a positive from a savings perspective, $10 million going forward.

So yeah, there is the one-time timing. But as I explained in Shannon's initial question, it's just the timing, pulled forward cash 30 days to 60 days. And as far as ongoing run rates, this really has no impact on 2018. And as far as other things being thought about or considered really nothing.

I mean, I laid out some initial thoughts regarding 2018 cash flow considerations when answering Shannon's question and really nothing else other than that..

Jeffrey Jacobson - Xerox Corp.

Yeah, and, Jim, on the signings, if you go from a constant currency basis on a year-to-date basis, we've declined about 7% with growth in the renewables and declines in the new business. We expect to see the new business improving in Q4, so we expect to have strong improvements versus the year-to-date signings we've seen in Q4 for sure..

Jennifer Horsley - Xerox Corp.

Great. Thanks, Jim. That's all the time we have for questions today. We appreciate the interest of everyone who has tuned in.

Jeff, anything to wrap up?.

Jeffrey Jacobson - Xerox Corp.

I just want to thank everybody for your questions. As I mentioned last quarter, we are keenly focused on the work ahead of us. We're positioning ourselves to reverse our revenue trajectory trends over time.

We understand the market and are successful come by operationally laying the building blocks to capture share of the growing workplace, marketplace and increase our participation in the expanding high-end color market. We continue to make headway on our strategy and are confident in our ability to meet our full year commitments.

We look forward to updating you on our progress. Thanks so much for joining the call..

Jennifer Horsley - Xerox Corp.

Great. Thanks, Jeff. And that concludes our call..

Operator

Ladies and gentlemen, thank you for participating in today's conference. That does conclude today's program. You may now disconnect. Everyone have a great day..

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