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Consumer Cyclical - Apparel - Manufacturers - NASDAQ - US
$ 0.7331
-4.03 %
$ 17.3 M
Market Cap
-0.81
P/E
EARNINGS CALL TRANSCRIPT
EARNINGS CALL TRANSCRIPT 2016 - Q4
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Operator

Welcome to Xcel Brands Fourth Quarter and Full Year 2016 Earnings Conference Call. Please be advised that reproduction of this call in whole or in part is not permitted without prior written authorization of Xcel Brands. And as a reminder, this conference call is being recorded. I would now like to turn the conference over to Hunter Wells of ICR.

Thank you, Hunter, you may now begin. .

Hunter Wells

Good evening, everyone, and thank you for joining us. We appreciate your participation and interest. With us on the call today are Chairman and Chief Executive Officer, Robert D'Loren; Chief Financial Officer, Jim Haran; and EVP of Business Development and Treasury, Seth Burroughs.

By now everyone should have had access to the earnings release for the quarter and full year ended December 31, 2016, which went out today at approximately 4:05 p.m. Eastern Time.

And in addition, the company will file with the Securities and Exchange Commission its annual report on Form 10-K for the year ended December 31, 2016, before March 30, 2017. The release and the annual report will be available on the company's website at www.xcelbrands.com.

This call is being webcast, and a replay will be available on the company's Investor Relations website. Before we begin, please keep in mind that this call will contain forward-looking statements.

All forward-looking statements are subject to risks and uncertainties that could cause actual results to differ materially from certain expectations discussed here today. These risk factors are not explained -- are explained in detail in the company's SEC filings.

Xcel does not undertake any obligation to publicly update or revise any forward-looking statements whether as a result of new information, future events or otherwise. Finally, please note that on today's call, management will refer to certain non-GAAP financial measures, such as non-GAAP net income, non-GAAP diluted EPS and adjusted EBITDA.

Our management uses these non-GAAP metrics as measures of operating performance to assist in comparing performance from period-to-period on a consistent basis and to identify business trends relating to the company's results of operations.

Our management believes these financial performance measurements are also useful because these measures adjust for certain costs and other events that management believes are not representative of our core business operating results and thus they provide supplemental information to assist investors in evaluating the company's financial results.

These non-GAAP measures should not be considered in isolation or as alternative to net income, earnings per share, or any other measure of financial performance calculated and presented in accordance with GAAP.

You may refer to the attachment to the company's earnings release or to Part 2, Item 7 of the Form 10-K for reconciliation of non-GAAP measures. Now I'm pleased to introduce Mr. Bob D'Loren, Chairman and Chief Executive Officer. Bob, please go ahead. .

Robert D'Loren

Thank you, Hunter. Good evening, everyone, and thank you for joining us. I'll start with an overview of our recent performance and then provide some thoughts on 2017. After that, our CFO, Jim Haran, will discuss our financial results in more detail, and then we'll finish by opening up the call for Q&A.

2016 was the year of transformation for Xcel, in which we achieved our third year of double-digit revenue growth and made significant progress with our strategic initiatives. The steps we have taken better position us for future growth as we work to become the solution to many of the challenges our industry is facing today.

The retail industry continues to be challenged by an unprecedented cycle of change, driven by technology and media, some of which impacted our business in 2016.

Despite these headwinds, we are pleased with our ability to grow our top line revenues, while making the necessary investments we believe are essential to achieving long-term revenue and profitability expansion.

At the beginning of 2016, we launched 3 of our brands at Lord & Taylor and Hudson's Bay department stores, through our Quick Time Response, or short lead time production platform. The launch of our pioneering QTR platform in 2016 is not without its challenges. Change and innovation have never come easy.

We invested over $5 billion in our business in 2016 in order to achieve our goals, including $1 million of nonrecurring expenses to set up and support the QTR platform, $2 million of revenue concession that we reported in previous quarters in connection with the QTR platform and $2 million of capital expenditures for our new corporate offices and operations facility, which include our state-of-the-art design and production studio.

Over the course of the year, we gained a great deal of intelligence on how to optimize and fine tune the model.

Speaking to you today almost 1 year since the initial QTR launch, I am quite pleased with the initial results, which have proven the ability of our platform to react to trends and customer feedback in real-time in order to help drive customer traffic in stores and provide products the customers want when they want it.

While we believe it is important to fine tune and adjust the model in order to adapt to ongoing changes at our retail partners, we have begun to shift our focus to growing market share. Just earlier this month, we announced the launch of our H Halston brand at Dillard's.

We are also actively working on developing the men's collection for 2 of our brands, and we continue to meet regularly with key decision-makers at major department stores to explore new opportunities and ways to enhance the QTR model. Finally, we plan to fully develop our data analytics capabilities in 2017.

This will better enable us to listen to our customers and design into trend as they emerge. We believe that this business and the leading strategic advantage that we can provide to our retail partners will enable us to capture increased market share and grow across our business in 2017 and beyond. Moving now to our interactive television business.

Although our revenues from interactive television increased from full year 2015 to 2016, revenues during the fourth quarter and year-to-date fell short of our expectations given the strong headwinds experienced by QVC in the latter part of 2016.

We are working closely with QVC to develop strategies to optimize our business, engage with our existing customers and develop conversations with new customers.

QVC remains a key strategic partner for us, and we continue to be optimistic about significant opportunities for growth and expansion in this business with our existing brands and new categories, both in the U.S. and internationally. Outside of interactive television, we continue to see opportunities for growth within our specialty retail business.

Looking ahead to 2017, this will continue to be an area of focus for us, as we seek opportunities for expansion. We're currently working on a number of strategic initiatives in the home category with Bed Bath & Beyond and in beauty category with Revlon, both expected to launch in 2017.

In 2017, we expect that the retail -- we expect that retail will continue to be challenged, but with that said, we seek opportunity in our interactive television business and expect to start to see returns on our investment in our QTR business.

In our interactive television business, we expect solid performance barring any unanticipated behavior changes in our customers or unforeseen external or noncontrollable events. In fact, we are already off to a great start in Q1 in our core apparel business, with interactive television sales currently projected to be up over 18% from Q1 of 2016.

We also look forward to launching new categories, including beauty. In our QTR department store business, we expect strong double-digit sales growth in 2017 as well as improvements in profitability.

We anticipate continued momentum in retail sales of our proprietary brands in Hudson's Bay in Lord & Taylor department stores and are excited and optimistic about the launch of our H Halston brand in Dillard's this month.

Despite the current challenges in the retail sector, we believe that our business model is well positioned to meet these challenges and provide innovation and flexibility for our retail partners across channels of distribution -- across all channels of distribution.

Now I'd like to turn the call over to Jim to review our financial results for the quarter and year-end.

Jim?.

James Haran

Thanks, Bob. I will briefly discuss selected financial results for the fourth quarter and year ended December 31, 2016. Please note that our financial results are described more fully in our annual report on Form 10-K, which will be filed with the SEC by March 30.

In the fourth quarter of 2016, revenues decreased by approximately 7% to $6.9 million compared with $7.5 million in the prior year quarter. This was primarily attributable to the Q3 and Q4 headwinds experienced by QVC, as Bob previously mentioned.

In response, we had judiciously managed our operating expenses to offset and mitigate this impact as much as possible, while working closely with QVC to implement strategies to optimize sales in 2017.

Net income for the quarter was $2.8 million or $0.14 per diluted share compared with net income of $800,000 or $0.04 per diluted share in the prior year quarter. This increase was primarily attributable to a noncash gain on the reduction of a contingent obligation associated with the acquisition of the Ripka Brand.

Non-GAAP net income for the current quarter was $300,000 or non-GAAP diluted EPS of $0.01 per diluted share compared with non-GAAP net income of $2.1 million or non-GAAP diluted EPS of $0.10 per diluted share in the prior year quarter.

Adjusted EBITDA in the current quarter was approximately $1.4 million compared with the prior year quarter's adjusted EBITDA of $3 million.

These decreases in our non-GAAP net income and our adjusted EBITDA are mainly attributable to a combination of the aforementioned revenue decreases as well as increased staffing and investments in our operations and infrastructure, including QTR, in order to support future growth in our business and enhance the value of our brands.

Turning now to our full year results. For full year 2016, total revenues increased by 18% to $32.8 million compared with $27.7 million in the prior year. This was primarily driven by increased revenues from interactive television as a result of full year revenues for Halston and the C.

Wonder Brands, which we acquired in late 2014 and mid 2015, respectively. In addition, there were increased revenues recognized for strategic license agreements related to our QTR program. These increases were partially offset by a decrease in revenues associated with the management and design of the LCNY brand, which our contract ended in July 2016.

Net income for the year was $2.7 million compared with $2.6 million for the prior year. Non-GAAP net income for the year was $4.9 million or non-GAAP diluted EPS of $0.26 based on approximately 19 million weighted average shares outstanding.

This compares to non-GAAP net income of approximately $6.3 million or non-GAAP diluted EPS of $0.36 based on approximately 17.2 million weighted average shares outstanding for the prior year. Adjusted EBITDA for the current year was approximately $8.5 million compared to prior year's adjusted EBITDA of $9.3 million.

Overall, these results are reflective of increased staffing and scaling of our operations and infrastructure, including our investments in the QTR platform in order to support future growth in our business and enhance the value of our brands.

Once again, as a reminder, non-GAAP net income, non-GAAP diluted EPS and adjusted EBITDA are non-GAAP unaudited terms. Our earnings press release as well as our annual report on Form 10-K, which I indicated, will be filed before March 30, presenting reconciliation of these items with the most directly comparable GAAP measures.

Now turning to our cash position. As of December 31, 2016, the company had total cash and cash equivalents of approximately $14.1 million compared with the total cash of approximately $16.9 million at December 31, 2015.

This approximate $2.7 million decrease in cash, was primarily attributable to $5.5 million scheduled principal payments on our term debts, $2.2 million of capital expenditures for our new corporate offices and operations facility and $1.4 million for common share repurchases related to vested restricted stock and exchange withholding taxes.

These cash outflows were largely offset by $7.9 million of cash generated from operating activities. And also contributing to the decrease in cash during the year was a $900,000 disbursement for the promissory notes receivable and $400,000 paid for contingent obligations associated with the Isaac Mizrahi and Judith Ripka acquisitions.

Now looking at our debt. At December 31, 2016, total liabilities were $44.9 million, which includes approximately $31.9 million of debt and $6.9 million of net deferred tax liability. Debt consists of our $24.7 million senior bank term loan, $4.1 million of the seller notes and $3.1 million of contingent obligations.

Of these amounts, $2.9 million of contingent obligations and $500,000 of seller notes all payable in stock or cash at the company's auction. As of December 31, 2016, total current liabilities were $10.4 million, inclusive of $6.4 million of the current portion of long-term debt.

Our working capital calculated as our current assets including cash, less our current liabilities was $11.5 million. With approximately $14.1 million of cash and approximately $28.4 million of term debt, our year-end net debt-to-adjusted-EBITDA ratio was 1.7.

And we continue to be positioned with one of the lowest leverage ratios of any of our industry peers. We anticipate that we will further reduce our current term debts by approximately $6.4 million in 2017, all paid through operating cash flow. And with that, I would like to turn the call back over to Bob for his closing remarks.

Bob?.

Robert D'Loren

Thank you, Jim. In summary, as anticipated, 2016 was the transformative and transitional year for us. And despite the challenges we faced in the fourth quarter, overall, I'm pleased with where we finished the year.

We have continued to grow our revenues in the interactive television business, proven the capability and potential of the QTR platform and laid the foundation to drive continued future growth across our portfolio of brands and across our ubiquitous distribution channels.

We are very excited about the opportunities ahead in 2017 and look forward to sharing more results and information on future calls. Our company vision is to reimagine shopping entertainment and social as one. While at our core, we are a working capital-light licensing company. Today, we are truly much more than that.

We are a media and brand management company that is strongly positioned as an innovator in the industry in bringing a scalable, fast fashion vertical production QTR model to market. We provide solutions to our retail partners to address many of today's industry challenges.

Looking ahead, we are positioned to achieve improved top line growth across our brands, expanded profitability, continue to please and delight our customers and bring long-term value to our shareholders as well as our retail partners. That concludes our prepared remarks. Jim, Seth and I are now available to take your questions.

Operator?.

Operator

[Operator Instructions] And we'll hear first from Eric Beder of Wunderlich Securities. .

Bryan Caronia

This is on Bryan Caronia on for Eric. So our first question -- our slated questions has to do with the Quick Time Response model and in terms of any incremental costs or capital expenditures required to further build it out.

So as it stands now, is the Quick Time Response model fully built out as it pertains to brands? Do you think that there is the opportunity to further add on brands to the Quick Time Response model as it stands now without any significant incremental costs? And then, certainly, along that line as well, what is its capability to take on additional product lines? Obviously, you alluded to the expansion for a few of your brands into men's apparel this year.

Could you maybe point to any color pertaining to any sort of incremental investments for the platform?.

Robert D'Loren

That was a lot of questions, but I'll do my best. So to answer your question as it relates to the cost and the investments that we made in the QTR platform, I would say majority of the heavy lifting is now passed us as it relates to the cost of setting it up.

With regard to our plans to expand it and relating to your question about scalability, it is a very scalable platform at this point. And we look forward to developing additional business with Dillard's and, of course, we are now actively speaking with other retailers about additional brand opportunities and what we can do for them with this platform.

So I hope that answered 3 of your questions. .

Bryan Caronia

I believe so. And then, if we could delve in more specifically to QVC, you have -- you spoke about the expansion into additional categories, particularly cosmetics through QVC as well as you've spoken throughout 2016 about the expansion opportunities internationally.

Can you sort of potentially give us an update in terms of your expectations in terms of the total addressable market there and growth opportunities both in the short-term and near-term through those 2 components of QVC?.

Robert D'Loren

Yes, we are looking beyond apparel in terms of growth with QVC. And our plan for '17 is to launch a color cosmetics line that we expect will launch this fall. We've worked very hard over the last year to put together the supply chain for that product.

We also anticipate that we will launch an antiaging skincare line that is currently in clinical trials in spring of '18. So we see opportunity in beauty. We continue to look for additional opportunities in both antiaging skincare and color cosmetics. And we are beginning to explore opportunities in food.

We see an opportunity in food and hope that for 2018, we'll be able to introduce a food concept there at QVC as well. With regard to international, we've seen good growth across our platform, specifically, with Halston in the U.K. and in Germany, in particular. And we look forward to continued growth with QVC's global platform. .

Bryan Caronia

Great. And if I could just add in one more. Obviously, at the tail end of your prepared remarks, you referred to how strong your financial leverage position is pertaining to your debt-to-EBITDA ratio.

So as it pertains to that, what are you seeing in terms of the potential M&A market for brands that would fit in well to your long-term growth strategy as it stands now, either from perhaps your competitors and their findings and their dealings as well as brands that might be looking to end up on your model?.

Robert D'Loren

So as you can imagine in this current environment, there are a lot of companies that are struggling. And we are looking at a lot of opportunities at the moment. We're being careful about what we look at and consider. That said, we do expect that in 2017 that we will develop a new brand acquisition that we hope will close this year. .

Bryan Caronia

Fantastic. I believe that's all I have and best of luck in 2017. .

Operator

We'll hear next from Ross Taylor of ARS Investment Partners. .

Ross Taylor

Yes. Robert, my household millennial tells me that Amazon is where her generation shops for clothing. What is it or it would strike me as an Amazon relationship would be a natural fit for what you guys do. You have the ability to move quick to market and the like.

Why -- am I wrong in that or why hasn't something like that come to fruition yet?.

Robert D'Loren

Well, you need to understand the demographic that a majority of our brands target with Isaac, Halston and Judith, we're targeting gen X and the baby boomer. So that doesn't really fit their sweet spot of targeting the millennial customer. That said, in 2016, we did launch Highline, which is targeted towards that millennial customer.

We've had good result with it so far. And as we get to know this demographic better, we will explore those opportunities. I would agree with you Amazon is natural. We have had conversations with them. The challenge with Amazon quite frankly from a production perspective is the way they buy.

They tend to buy very wide and shallow and that creates minimum order quantity challenges for us. But I'm confident that at some point, we'll solve that and maybe find the way to do business with them. .

Ross Taylor

Yes. And obviously, if you are able to develop, I happen to be owner of air freight company where Amazon, they worked out a deal where Amazon actually ended up taking equity interest in stock and bluntly, in a tough space that stock has never looked back from there, so it strike me up.

This would be a very interesting way if it's able to be worked out to perhaps get them to buy into more than just treating Xcel Brands as a supplier, but perhaps as part of their future?.

Robert D'Loren

We don't disagree. .

Ross Taylor

Also, I have another -- I listened to your call, I listened to the fact that you talked about 2016 being a transformational year. You've accomplished a great deal. The stock looks inexpensive relative to your peers in a lot of measures.

In the last 12 months though, it's lost almost half of its value, and I have to be honest, it frustrates me as someone from the outside to not see anyone inside buying stock when shares go for less than a Happy Meal. .

Robert D'Loren

It's -- I think of those and we tend to think of those strategies as synthetic measures to help the performance of the stock price. Management here is vested, as you know, we own majority of the company. Over 60% of the company is owned by management. That said, our strategy is to continue to perform and grow the business.

And quite frankly, we believe that the stock price will take care of itself as the market in this sector lights itself. .

James Haran

And I think just to add one thing. I think it will benefit our shareholders if there was more liquidity in your stock and I think management is doing more than it goes the other way. .

Ross Taylor

I will -- I actually will take having done this for 34 years and been very successful at it. I will take great exception with that comment. Liquidity exists when demand exists. If people want to buy your stock, there is ample liquidity. I can find companies with fewer shares floating that trade like water.

And the problem really is, I think, that you need -- to make the stock work there needs to be something that creates that feeling of demand, something that creates that feeling of interest and of upside. No one walks in any given day needing to buy Xcel Brands, no one walks at any given day needing to buy 1 of thousands of other companies that trade.

So while I understand, you see it as kind of theater, I think it's important theater to your shareholders. And I think that it's a lot easier. It takes -- it sends a clear message of business success if your stock is going up than if your stock is going down. And I just think that there are easy ways to send that message and they're not getting sent.

And if you do send that message and you execute, liquidity will take care of itself. I've never in this business seen a successful company with a value realization strategy for shareholders that hasn't had liquidity follow with success. .

Robert D'Loren

We would agree with that. .

Operator

And at this time with no further questions in the queue, I'd now like to turn the conference over to Bob D'Loren for any additional or closing remarks. .

Robert D'Loren

Thank you, operator. Ladies and gentlemen, thank you for your time tonight. We greatly appreciate your continued interest and support in Xcel Brands. As always, stay fit, eat well and be healthy. .

Operator

And again, that does conclude our call for today. We do thank you for your participation. And you may now disconnect..

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