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Consumer Cyclical - Packaging & Containers - NASDAQ - US
$ 30.07
0.0999 %
$ 1.22 B
Market Cap
39.05
P/E
EARNINGS CALL TRANSCRIPT
EARNINGS CALL TRANSCRIPT 2018 - Q3
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Operator

Good day and welcome to the TriMas Third Quarter 2018 Earnings Conference Call. Today's conference is being recorded. At this time, I would like to turn the conference over to Ms. Sherry Lauderback. Ma'am, please go ahead..

Sherry Lauderback Vice President of Investor Relations, Communications & Sustainability

Thank you and welcome to the TriMas Corporation's third quarter 2018 earnings call. Participating on the call today are Tom Amato, TriMas' President and CEO and Bob Zalupski, our Chief Financial Officer. After our prepared remarks on our third quarter results and updated 2018 outlook, we will open the call up for your questions.

In order to assist with the review of our results, we have included the press release and PowerPoint presentation on our Company website, www.trimascorp.com, under the Investors section. In addition, a replay of this call will be available later today by calling 888-203-1112 with a replay code of 6060513.

Before we get started, I would like to remind everyone that our comments today, which are intended to supplement your understanding of TriMas may contain forward-looking statements that are inherently subject to a number of risks and uncertainties.

Please refer to our Form 10-K for a list of factors that could cause our results to differ from those anticipated in any such forward-looking statements. Also we undertake no obligation to publicly update or revise any forward-looking statements, except as required by law.

We would also direct your attention to our website where considerably more information may be found.

I would also like to refer you to the appendix in our press release issued this morning or included as part of this presentation, which is available on our website for the reconciliations between GAAP and non-GAAP financial measures used during this conference call.

Today, the discussion on the call regarding our financial results will be on an adjusted basis, excluding for the impact of special items. At this point, I would like to turn the call over to Tom Amato, TriMas' President and CEO.

Tom?.

Thomas Amato

Good morning and thank you Sherry. Let me start by taking a few minutes to remind our investors how we have reshaped TriMas over the past couple of years. Turning to Slide 3. On my first earnings call a few years ago. The teams at TriMas were focused on a high sense of urgency, on needed operational improvements and realignment steps.

Our actions which have been enumerated on prior calls had significantly strengthened TriMas. We can currently accelerated enhancing our businesses through growth initiatives and reigniting our M&A focus as well as overall enterprise wide planned and capital allocation, planning and capital allocation priorities.

With that background, I will remind those in the call that TriMas operates businesses with leading brand names in niche markets, each of which relies on product and process innovation, and a deep commitment to partnering with our customers as key differentiators.

We are now solidly operating under the TriMas' business model, which has driven significant improvements and has provided a platform to improve reliability in TriMas' performance which is a positive attribute for our customers, employees and investors. All the metrics in this page have improved since redirecting TriMas.

On an LTM basis TriMas revenues are about $860 million, adjusted EBITDA is about 19%. Net leverage is currently 1.5 time down from 2.9 times since Q3 of 2016 and we have the market capitalization around $1.3 billion. Turning to Slide 4, I'm pleased to report our third quarter results.

TriMas' built momentum through 2018 and this continued in the third quarter with our teams delivering results ahead of expectations. Third quarter net sales were up 6.9% to $224 million with growth in all three segments. And for the first time all year, currency exchange was slightly unfavorable, so our organic growth was actually 7.2%.

We continue to be pleased with our ability to capture the robust demand we are seeing and many of our end markets and the direction we are gaining with our new product and process innovation. Third quarter operating profit increased 4.2% to $30.2 million and we posted an operating profit margin of 13.5%.

The positive impact of higher sales level, performance improvement and prior realignment actions offset the impact of higher material costs, which approximately $2 million or $0.03 per share higher than the prior year.

Earnings per share was up 23.1% to $0.48 compared to $0.39 in the prior year quarter driven by the impact of higher sales, operational improvement and lower effective tax rate. Moving to Slide 5, our focus on cash flow conversion is evidence. For the quarter, free cash flow was up 24.3% and year-to-date was up 11.2% nearly $71 million.

Our free cash flow conversion continues to be the fuel that drives TriMas and our capital allocation option. So we are pleased with our progress. At this point, I would like to transition to our third quarter segment performance beginning on Slide 7 with our packaging segments.

Third quarter sales were up 6.4% or approximately 7% organically to $95 million with sales increases largely relate to the health, beauty and home care and industrial end markets. Consistent with the first half of the year we continue to see solid growth in both North America and Asia and quoting activity in all of our end markets remains robust.

Third quarter operating profit was as planned at $22.1 million or 23.2% of sales. These are solid results particularly when considering resin, steel and freight costs were all higher than planned and we had less favorable mix.

As a results of our year-to-date performance, we are increasing our full-year packaging guidance with organic sales growth to be about 6% up from 5% and with operating profit margin remaining in the 22% to 24% range. Continuing on Slide 8 with our aerospace segment.

Net sales for the third quarter were $49.1 million up about 1% from prior year as higher demand more than offset the impact of our decision to exit less profitable products. I would like to note that this was our highest revenue quarter for TriMas aerospace ever.

Our reorganized, refocused, and reenergized commercial and technical teams continue to drive solid order intake as compared to 2017 levels and the delivery from these orders will stretch now into 2019. As I mentioned last quarter, we have also been seeing some pickup in the military and defense area largely through our distribution customers.

We continue to focus on expanding the use of products on new and existing fixed and rotary wing platforms as well as the unmanned aerial market. And we continue to make progress against customer qualifications to extend product offerings overall. Third quarter operating profit was up 6.1% to $8.3 million and the margin percent increased to nearly 17%.

This improvement is due to higher sales and performance levels, which more than offset costs and temporary inefficiencies related to negotiating and finalizing a revised collective bargaining agreement of one of our U.S. plants.

Although negotiations were longer and more distracting than anticipated, we now have in place a labor agreement which extends to 2021. We achieved progress in our operations over the past year. However, we continue to have more to do particularly in our commodity like faster product line, which operates in a challenging commercial environment.

We expect to continue working through improving this product line over the balance of the year and into 2019. Regarding the full-year guidance for our Aerospace segment, we expect to achieve sales growth of about 2%, with fourth quarter shipments showing growth over Q4 2017.

We further expect operating profit margin to be closer to 15% as compared to our original range of 15% to 17%, largely driven by the temporary inefficiencies related to finalizing the new collective bargaining agreement. Turning a Slide 9, our specialty products segment achieved a net sales increase of more than $8 million or 11.6% to $79 million.

We operate in two end markets and specialty products general industrial and oil and gas. Sale were up equally in both end markets. We have benefited from prior realignment actions in specialty products which allowed us to gain operating leverage and convert nicely as we capture this incremental demand.

Operating profit increase to $8 million or approximately 10.1% despite higher material costs. Our focus of on these business remains in improving efficiencies while seeking to capitalize and share again opportunities. And while we have completed the majority of realignment actions in this segment, continuous improvement always remain the focus.

With respect to updating our guidance for specialty products, we are now expecting full-year sales growth to be about 10% up from 9% while maintaining operating profit margin in the 10% to 12% range. With that, I will turn the call over to Bob to discuss additional financial results and raises full-year 2018 outlook.

Bob?.

Robert Zalupski

Thank you, Tom. Turning to Slide 11, I will begin my comments with a review of our year-to-date financial results, which are very consistent with a quarterly performance as Tom discussed earlier. Net sales increased $43.3 million or 6.9% compared with the prior year period with sales growth occurring across the majority of our end markets.

Operating profit increased 8.3% to $90.3 million and operating margin improved by 20 basis points as the impact of higher sales volume, operational improvement in previous realignment more than offset the impact of higher material and freight cost during the first nine months of the year.

On a year-to-date basis, diluted EPS was $1.37 an increase of 25.7% as compared to $1.09 in the year ago period, nearly one half of the year-over-year EPS growth was driven by the impact of the higher sales and operational improvement while the remainder related to the lower effective tax rate in 2018 as a result of tax reform and assets in December of 2017.

Moving on to Slide 12. As Tom noted earlier, we delivered another quarter of strong cash generation, the cash flow was $27.4 million, which represented a 123% conversion of net income as compared to $22 million in the year ago period, this despite a modest investment in net working capital to support higher sales activity.

On a year-to-date basis, we generated free cash flow of $70.70 million as compared to $63.5 million in the year ago period an increase of 11.2%.

In the third quarter, we used approximately $3.6 million of our free cash flow to repurchase more than 124,000 TriMas shares, we also capitalize on recent broader market volatility and we are able to repurchase an additional 112,000 shares through October 29 for approximately $3.1 million.

Cumulatively since we initiated our buyback program in the second quarter of 2018, we have purchased approximately $6.7 million worth of stock or slight more than 236,000 shares against our open buyback authorization of $50 million. On a year-to-date basis, we have reduced net debt $61.8 million and by more than $98 million since September 30, 2017.

LTM adjusted EBITDA improved approximately 9% or $13.1 million to a $163.7 million versus the comparable period a year ago and we reduced our leverage ratio to 1.5 times at quarter end. As of September 30, 2018, we reported cash and available liquidity of approximately $364 million.

In summary, our Q3 results were largely consistent with the trends in operating performance established in the for half and demonstrate continued improvement on a year-over-year basis. Turning to Slide 13 and an update to our 2018 full-year guidance.

Given the stronger than expected volume metric sales growth in the first nine months of the year, we are increasing our full-year 2018 guidance for organic sales growth from 5% to 6% driven principally by higher sales in our packaging and specialty products segments.

We are also raising and tightening the range of our full-year 2018 EPS guidance to a $1.72 to $1.78 from our previously provided range of $1.65 to a $1.75 and from our original guidance provided in February of a $1.60 to a $1.75.

This increase raises the EPS midpoint guidance to a $1.75 per share representing an improvement of approximately 25% over 2017.

We are increasing EPS guidance despite the $3 million to $4 million of incremental cost roughly split evenly between commodities and tariffs that we expect to incur in the fourth quarter compared to the year ago period, and nearly $10 million in such costs for the 2018 year in total.

As Tom noted earlier, we continue to experience higher commodity costs in third quarter particularly with respect to resident and fuel based influence and we anticipate these cost pressures will continue during Q4.

We continue to engage with our operating teams on these matters identifying ways to mitigate the impact of higher commodity cost as much as practical. In some cases, we have auto material escalators, and in other cases we have taken pricing actions depending on end market competitive forces.

We also expect to see a greater impact in Q4 with expanded tariffs on imported products. With respect to tariff the landscape is a bit more fluid as those lifts with the most significant impact to our businesses have just recently taken effect.

In the near-term, we expect to mitigate much of this exposure through price action again depending on contractual terms and market competitive courses. Longer term, we expect to mitigate exposure to managing supply opportunities, redirecting where practical, sourcing locations including in-sourcing and of course continuous improvement.

Over the remainder of the year, we anticipate that our businesses will recover approximately 80% of the Q4 incremental commodity and tariff cost. In addition, year-to-date, higher volume in some of our end markets has helped provided offset to some of the increase class we are experiencing and we anticipate that end market strength will continue.

As a reminder, our fourth quarter is typically our lower sales and profit quarter of the year, given lower levels of production activity due to holidays and year-end customer shutdown. Nonetheless, with all these items taken into account, we are pleased to be able to raise our EPS guidance midpoint by $0.05.

Lastly, we are reaffirming our full-year 2018 free cash flow guidance at 120% of net income. We continue to emphasize cash conversion of increased operating earnings while optimizing our investment and networking capital relative to higher levels of end market sales activity.

We expect our tax rates for the year to be near the lower end of our previously provided range of 22% to 24% and CapEx although running at a lower level year-to-date through the first three quarters to end the year at approximately 3% of sales. At this point, I will now turn the call back the call to Tom for his final remarks and ramp up.

Tom?.

Thomas Amato

Thank you Bob. Prior to opening up the call to Q&A, I would like to share with you why I’m so excited about the future prospects for TriMas on Slide 14. First, we are pleased with our year-to-date results and our overall performance improvements.

Not only have our internal planning processes improved for the TriMas business model, there is significantly less variation between our GAAP and non-GAAP reported results and we have been able to raise guidance despite increased material and anticipated tariff costs.

We have not only been operationally improving TriMas' businesses, but we are starting to see the benefits of our investments in innovation and growth.

For example, our weekly business continues to develop a well coordinated engineering approach by leveraging its innovation centers of excellence on three continents and is actively quoting on multiple e-commerce programs as well as other new product developments related to package sustainability, child safety and convenience.

Our TriMas Aerospace engineering and commercial teams are working on a number of projects for our OEM customers to develop even lower weight fasteners and automated installation ready fasteners. We expect to work with our customers to qualify new design solutions that will continue to differentiate TriMas Aerospace.

In addition to our focus on sales growth, we will always drive continuous improvement in all that we do and we will do this through campaigning a culture of Kaizen. For example, this year we launched TriMas Kaizen challenge, an internal competition highlighting some of the best Kaizen projects from all of our businesses.

We received 27 submissions from 19 different locations in seven countries. These entries demonstrates employee engagement, process improvement and capital expenditures savings which all makes TriMas better for the future.

Over the past year, we have also been working on reassessing the strategic the performance characteristics of each of our businesses. We continue to make significant progress which along with strengthening our cash flow generation and balance sheet has allowed us to better focus our corporate development initiates.

Although there is nothing to announce on this call, we have been diligently working on opportunities to broaden our better performing businesses through M&A and as demonstrated previously, deemphasizing certain products or product lines that have been in more challenging end markets.

Finally, we have strong cash flow that creates multiple levers to drive TriMas’ value. For example, we have already significantly deleveraged, started to buy back shares, extended our financing maturity and increase liquidity. Our solid balance sheet position us well to further enhance TriMas.

We will continue to reinvest in our higher return businesses, execute both on acquisitions to accelerate growth and return or transfer capital all to enhance shareholder value. As you can see, we remain excited about our prospects for TriMas and are pleased to have delivered such a strong year-to-date performance.

We believe we are on the right path, and we appreciate the support of our shareholders, our customers and our employees. At this point, I would like to thank you for listening and we will now turn the call over to the operator for Q&A.

Operator?.

Operator

Thank you, sir. [Operator Instructions] Thank you. Our first question comes from Steve Roger with KeyBanc Capital Markets..

Kenneth Newman

Hi. Good morning guys. This is Ken Newman on for Steve. Thanks for taking my question..

Thomas Amato

Good morning..

Robert Zalupski

Good morning..

Kenneth Newman

Good morning. The first question I have here today is just on your Chinese exposure in general, we have been hearing a lot of commentary throughout earnings season about concerns about weakening Chinese microenvironment.

Any commentary or color you would have in that market and what you are seeing and hearing from customers in that region?.

Thomas Amato

Well, we do have some sales into the indigenous market, but for the past few years we have been growing in that market. So, it’s been a nice contributor to TriMas..

Kenneth Newman

Understood.

So, just to clarify there has been I think any kind of weakening in equal levels within the health market in that region?.

Thomas Amato

Net-net anything meaningful at all. Keep in mind it's a relatively minor portion of our sales overall in HPC and in packaging..

Kenneth Newman

Go it. And then for my follow-up question, I just wanted to touch on the free cash flow, it's been pretty strong over the last three quarters and the guidance is a very positive. It looks like you did talk about opportunities for M&A.

Just curious if you could talk about what you are seeing in the pipeline in terms of further opportunities, where you are really focused on and what kind of multiples you are seeing for deals that are crossing your desk?.

Robert Zalupski

Yes, good question. We continue to see a pretty reasonable pipeline of opportunities. It is a very competitive M&A market. We are predominantly focused in broadening and enhancing our packaging segment, but we are studying deals in other segments as well.

But when we look at the types of areas we want to expand or get into or grow into, we are seeing enough opportunities out there that that have us excited..

Operator

Thank you. [Operator Instructions] Thank you. Our first question comes from [indiscernible] from BMO Capital Markets..

Unidentified Analyst

Sorry, I was on mute.

Can you talk a little bit about more - about pricing in each segment where has there been any price increases and a little bit about outlook?.

Thomas Amato

Yes, I think in terms of pricing kind of a consolidated factor, we have been able to recover a good portion of our higher material costs, certainly not all, but enough to be able to deliver the performance that we have year-to-date through nine months.

If you go by segment, packaging is very competitive, but in the case of a good portion of our packaging business, we are able to pass through increased or decreased resin cost as the case may be based on auto escalators based on resin price indices and that typically happens kind of on a 90 to 100 point a day lag basis.

With regards to seal and packaging that is really just based on sort of what the market will bear and generally speaking, that business has been very effective at recovering price as evidenced by very stable long-term margins in the 22% to 24% range.

Within Aerospace again, pricing there, a good portion of that work is contractually driven through LTAs, but at the same time we need to be very market competitive there in the distribution end of that market. Generally speaking in Aerospace, we haven't seen nearly quite the price inflation or cost inflation as we have in the other two segments.

And within Specialty Products, it's been largely driven with steel costs for our industrial steel cylinder business. We saw quite significant increases in steel.

If you went back to the first half of the year compared to the first half of the prior year, they have stabilized a bit here as we have moved through third quarter and a while elevated have seemingly sees to increase.

And we have done a pretty good job of getting some pricing adjustments as fuel has moved and again, though it's a very competitive marketplace, so we have to be mindful of what our competition is doing as well..

Unidentified Analyst

Now, when it comes to tariff, can you maybe quantify how much of your cost are exposed directly and indirectly?.

Robert Zalupski

Well tariffs from our - direct costs for us unmitigated basis is about in the fourth quarter is roughly $2 million and if we look at it on a run rate basis, tariffs are increasing as I think we move into 2019. The annual exposure or cost exposure there could be upwards of $10 million..

Unidentified Analyst

Okay. Thank you very much..

Operator

Thank you. [Operator Instructions] Sir, I'm currently showing no further questions in the queue. I would now like to turn it back for closing remarks..

Thomas Amato

Alright, thank you very much. I would like to thank those on the call for listening and as a manager team, we are very pleased to have delivered such a strong quarter to our shareholders. And we look forward to our next update call. Thank you very much..

Robert Zalupski

Thank you..

Operator

Thank you ladies and gentlemen. This concludes today's teleconference. You may now disconnect..

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