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Healthcare - Biotechnology - NASDAQ - US
$ 1.32
3.94 %
$ 84.9 M
Market Cap
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EARNINGS CALL TRANSCRIPT
EARNINGS CALL TRANSCRIPT 2014 - Q3
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Executives

Remy Bernarda - Vice President of Marketing & Communications Mark W. Schwartz - Chief Executive Officer and President Christopher S. Lento - Vice President of Commercial Brian L. Hamilton - Former Chief Medical Officer and Executive Vice President Ryan M. Dunlap - Chief Financial Officer, Vice President and Corporate Secretary.

Analysts

Edward A. Tenthoff - Piper Jaffray Companies, Research Division Chad J. Messer - Needham & Company, LLC, Research Division Mara Goldstein - Cantor Fitzgerald & Co., Research Division Joseph Pantginis - Roth Capital Partners, LLC, Research Division Yigal D. Nochomovitz - Oppenheimer & Co. Inc., Research Division Robert LeBoyer Vernon T.

Bernardino - MLV & Co LLC, Research Division Rahul Jasuja - Noble Financial Group, Inc., Research Division.

Operator

Good day, ladies and gentlemen, and welcome to the Galena Biopharma Third Quarter 2014 Earnings Conference Call. [Operator Instructions] As a reminder, today's conference is being recorded. I would now like to turn the call over to Remy Bernarda..

Remy Bernarda

Good afternoon, everyone, and thank you for joining our call today. For those of you listening via telephone, I would encourage you to visit our website for access to the webcast and to find additional information on the company. During today's discussion, we may make forward-looking statements about our programs.

Such statements include, but are not limited to, statements about our commercialization plans and the development progress of our clinical product candidates, including patient enrollment, trial initiations and collaborations.

These forward-looking statements are subject to a number of risks, uncertainties and assumptions, including those identified under Risk Factors in our annual report on Form 10-K and other documents filed with the SEC and available on our website. Actual results may differ materially from those contemplated by these forward-looking statements.

I would now like to introduce the members of management on the call today who will discuss our business. Dr. Mark Schwartz, our President and CEO; Christopher Lento, Vice President of Commercial, who will discuss our Commercial business; Dr.

Brian Hamilton, Executive Vice President and Chief Medical Officer, who will discuss our clinical programs; and Ryan Dunlap, our Vice President and Chief Financial Officer. Mark Schwartz will now begin our discussion with an update on our progress and future plans..

Mark W. Schwartz

providing the best treatment options for patients and increasing the value of the company for our shareholders. While the last year has presented the company with a number of corporate challenges, I believe we have turned the corner on these events.

Today, we will focus on our clinical and commercial operations, and you will hear in the following updates that we've made important progress on all fronts. The fight against cancer continues and advances have produced better outcomes for patients suffering from their disease. As first-line treatments improve, the number of cancer survivors increases.

Protecting these survivors from a recurrence of their cancer represents an important and growing new battlefront. For many women with breast, ovarian and endometrial cancer, there are no directed therapies for their cancer after they receive their standard of care and they're declared disease-free. They are told to go home and watch and wait.

If their cancer recurs, it is most often fatal. Developing a directed therapy that can prevent these recurrences addresses a significant unmet medical need and represents a major opportunity. These patients are an ideal setting for a vaccine immunotherapy. They have intact immune systems and no bulky tumors.

Galena's expanding portfolio of NeuVax clinical trials, as well as the rapid progress with our Folate Binding Protein compound, are indicative of the strong interest in finding effective treatments in these adjuvant settings.

The NeuVax clinical development program now encompasses an entire portfolio of clinical trials to include breast cancer patients in 3 key categories and the future expansion into gastric cancer. Most importantly, our Phase II trials with NeuVax are either partially or fully funded by our partners and our collaborators.

I'm extremely grateful to our internal team and outside investigators, who continue to explore options for NeuVax and help us get the essential funding for these important trials. As you may have seen with our recent announcements, we have secured significant patents for our NeuVax platform.

These patents covered a wide range of patient populations and indications in key geographies, where we feel there will be a strong market for the drug, if it's approved. As Brian will discuss, there's also been extremely high interest in our early-stage pipeline programs as well.

Our GALE-301, our Folate Binding Protein program, overenrolled its Phase IIa clinical trial due to high demand from ovarian and endometrial cancer patients. Initial data from this trial will be presented this weekend at the Society for Immunotherapy of Cancer, or our SITC conference held in Washington, D.C.

In addition, our GALE-401 Phase II trial evaluating anagrelide controlled release is enrolling ahead of schedule, with enrollment expected to close shortly. Data from this compound will also be presented later this year.

Galena's current structure, a development-stage biotechnology company with major market opportunities and with commercial products, makes us unique. I would like to take this opportunity to reiterate my view on our commercial franchise and the 3 key strategic elements I believe it brings to the company.

First, it preserves a long-term value for the company's development pipeline. NeuVax alone, if approved, has the potential to be a multibillion-dollar product. Having the commercial organization in place provides significant leverage to secure better economics around any potential future partnering deals for the compound.

It also gives us the opportunity to single-handedly promote NeuVax and all the products we develop on our own in the U.S., or to co-promote our products in the U.S. with a commercial partner.

Second, our commercial team has developed deep relationships and partnerships with key oncology health care providers and commercial stakeholders that allow the company to add potential future products to our pipeline, like we did with Zuplenz this summer.

And, finally, we expect the commercial business to become an accretive and profitable standalone product line and provide cash flow into the company. Since our launch of Abstral just 1 year ago, we have met the goals we laid out for building our commercial franchise.

The acquisition of Zuplenz enhances our commercialization efforts, and we believe we will see additive sales growth for that business line in 2015. We are confident that our approach will result in long-term product growth that is both sustainable and profitable.

With that, I will now ask our Head of Commercial, Chris Lento, to discuss our 2 commercial programs in more detail..

Christopher S. Lento

pain and emesis. We plan to leverage our existing commercial team and will expand as needed in a few key functional areas, including trade and managed markets. On the trade and distribution side for Zuplenz, we are actively working with our distributor partners to remove the significant product inventory which will become outdated early next year.

We are currently manufacturing new batches of Zuplenz and will begin distribution of our Galena-labeled product in the first quarter of 2015 to coincide with our commercial launch.

On the managed markets and product access side, we have launched a significant initiative to better understand and improve both Zuplenz's commercial and Medicare Part D formulary coverage. We recognize the importance of insurance coverage, and we have scaled our internal and external teams to support these initiatives.

We see the addition and launch of Zuplenz as a complement to our current Abstral promotion. Our call point and target customer will be the community oncologists and palliative care specialists, and we feel the relationships we established over the past year will carry over and have a positive impact during our launch.

We plan to capitalize on our GPS program and our Abstral patient assistance programs and our soon-to-be implemented Zuplenz patient assistance program. These programs will provide needed support for all health care providers and patients.

2015 will be an important year for our commercial team, and I'm confident about our prospects for continued growth and success. We are focused on building a long-term oncology and supportive-care business, and knowing that having both Abstral and Zuplenz will be viewed positively by our oncology-focused providers.

For Abstral, we remain on track to achieve our guidance projections in 2014. While we are only 1 month into the quarter, many of our internal performance metrics, including wholesaler and distributor sales reports, as well as REMS and IMS data, point towards our strongest quarterly performance to date.

With that, I will turn the call over to Brian Hamilton, to discuss the status of our clinical pipeline..

Brian L. Hamilton

Thank you, Chris. I'm pleased to provide our listeners with an update on the progress we have made with our clinical programs over the last few months. I'll start with our NeuVax program. As a reminder, NeuVax is based on the selection of a validated target antigen utilizing a peptide vaccine.

NeuVax targets patients in the adjuvant setting who have minimal residual disease after completion of their primary treatment, but remain at risk of tumor recurrence. The aim with NeuVax is to stimulate the immune system to prevent the recurrence of cancer.

As Mark explained, recurrence is a life-changing event, so preventing the disease from going metastatic is a critical component in the treatment paradigm for these patients.

With the initiation of our newest combination trial this week in high-risk HER2 3+ patients, NeuVax has become a platform on its own, targeting HER2, one of the most common protein-target antigens in cancer therapy.

We now have ongoing or planned trials of NeuVax, both as a single agent and in combination with Herceptin, to treat women with breast cancer in both low to intermediate, or 1+ or 2+ expression by immunohistochemistry or IHC, as well as those who express the highest level of HER2 or 3+. In addition, our partner in India, Dr.

Reddy's, will be starting a trial with NeuVax in gastric cancer next year. This multi-trial approach not only allows us to expand the potential indications for NeuVax, it also provides multiple opportunities for successful trial outcomes. The enrollment into our pivotal Phase III PRESENT trial continues on track.

PRESENT is enrolling women with breast cancer that has initially spread to the local lymph nodes and express a low or moderate level of HER2, referred to as 1+ or 2+ expression. These breast cancer survivors have no evidence of disease after completing their initial adjuvant therapy, but remain at a significant risk of recurrence.

Therefore, the goal of the study is to prevent this recurrence, and the endpoint of this study is disease-free survival. As of October 31, we have randomized 599 patients into the PRESENT trial and remain on track to randomize 700 patients by the end of January.

As we have stated, based on the number of patients in the pipeline, we anticipate that we will overenroll the trial and that enrollment will likely close by the end of the first quarter of 2015. We expect overenrollment will increase our confidence in both the timing and quality of the statistics and the final outcome of the trial.

To add to our final enrollment figure, we have allowed for limited screening by our sites, providing that any newly screened patients are eligible to be randomized into the trials by the end of Q1. We are focused on completing randomization activities and heading towards our event-driven interim analysis.

Our first Phase II clinical trial of NeuVax in combination with Herceptin is ongoing. In this trial, we are targeting a similar population as in the PRESENT trial, with 300 breast cancer patients who are HER2 1+ or 2+ and are either node positive or high-risk node negative. The PRESENT trial is enrolling only the node-positive patients.

We estimate completion of enrollment in this study by the end of next year, with the primary endpoint of disease-free survival at 2 years. As we announced this summer, one of our investigators, Dr.

Beth Mittendorf of the University of Texas MD Anderson Cancer Center, received a Breast Cancer Research Program Breakthrough Award from the Department of Defense to fund a second Phase II clinical trial with NeuVax in combination with Herceptin. This marks the expansion of the NeuVax program into the HER2 3+ breast cancer population.

This multicenter prospective randomized single-blinded placebo-controlled Phase II trial will enroll 100 patients with the diagnosis of HER2 3+ or HER2 gene-amplified breast cancer, who are HLA-A2 or A3 positive and who are at high risk for recurrence. The first patient was randomized today, and we expect her to be dosed this week.

Our fourth NeuVax trial is a Phase II study in patients with gastric cancer that will be run in India by our partner, Dr. Reddy's. This represents a significant investigation of NeuVax outside of the breast cancer indication and another potential expansion of the market. We expect this trial to begin in the first half of 2015.

Our other immunotherapy asset in development is GALE-301, a peptide vaccine that stimulates T lymphocytes to recognize and destroy cancer cells that express Folate Binding Protein, which is expressed at high levels on most endometrial and ovarian cancers.

Similar to NeuVax, the goal of our GALE-301 program is to stimulate the immune system to prevent the recurrence of cancer, which is significantly meaningful in this patient population as these diseases demonstrate a very high recurrence rate of 35% to 50% in the first year.

Our Folate Binding Protein program is treating women with ovarian and endometrial cancer with stage 1 to 4 disease, and have no evidence of disease after undergoing their primary first-line therapy, including debulking surgery and chemotherapy. In June of this year, we reported initial results on the Phase I dose-escalation portion of the trial.

Based on positive data, the trial moved into the Phase IIa portion of the optimal dose of 1,000 micrograms and an added booster regimen in the same patient population. Patients are treated once a month for 6 months for the primary vaccine series, and once every 6 months with booster inoculations.

The trial has a clinical endpoint of disease-free survival. Because of the interest in this trial and the lack of treatment options in this space, we met our enrollment goal there early, and we have overenrolled the Phase IIa portion of the trial with a total of 51 patients.

Early data presented this year at ASCO were promising, and we will be presenting additional immunologic data, as well as the first look at Phase IIa clinical data, at SITC this weekend. Moving to our hematology program.

We are excited to announce that our Phase II proof-of-concept trial of GALE-401, or anagrelide controlled release, has enrolled significantly faster than we anticipated. Let me just take a minute to outline the trial.

GALE-401 is under development for the treatment of thrombocytosis, or elevated platelet counts, in patients with a family of diseases that are collectively called the myeloproliferative neoplasms, and include polycythemia vera, chronic myelogenous leukemia and essential thrombocythemia.

Patients entering the trial must have a platelet count over 600,000 and are treatment naive or washed out of their prior treatment.

Patients are treated with an initial dose at 0.5 milligrams twice a day and then titrated at a 0.5-milligram per day dose every 1 to 2 weeks until the target platelet count is in the normal range, defined as between 150,000 and 400,000.

The primary objective of this trial is the response rate in terms of platelet reduction, and the FDA has indicated that the 505(b)(2) is an acceptable development pathway for this compound. Because we are treating a relatively small patient population with GALE-401, we anticipated that it would take a year to enroll the planned 20 patients.

We are running well ahead of our enrollment milestone and expect to announce full enrollment within the next 2 weeks, more than 6 months ahead of schedule. These patients will then be followed for an additional 6 months.

We'll present data at the American Society of Hematology, or ASH meetings, in December that will show the results of Phase I studies of GALE-401 in healthy volunteers, along with some initial outcomes from the Phase II trial. Top line data from the Phase II trial will be presented midyear 2015.

As you can see, we have made significant progress with all of our clinical programs. With our GALE-301 and 401 trials overenrolling and completing enrollment earlier than expected, I'm very excited about our extensive pipeline, our planned data presentations and reaching our key clinical milestone of full enrollment in PRESENT.

I'd now like to hand the call over to Ryan Dunlap, who will review with the company's financial results..

Ryan M. Dunlap

Thank you, Brian, and good afternoon, everyone. Net revenue from Abstral sales for the second quarter of 2015 (sic) [third quarter of 2014] was $1.6 million and $6.1 million for the first 3 quarters of 2014.

The decrease in net revenue from the prior quarter is largely driven by the timing of orders from our distribution partners, or x manufacturer sales, which is the point at which we recognize revenue. These ordering patterns can differ significantly from overall prescription pull-through or demand.

For example, during the third quarter of 2014, prescription pull-through exceeded x manufacturer shipments, representing a contraction of inventory levels in the distribution channels by approximately $1.3 million.

As Chris mentioned, we believe these fluctuations and differences between customer shipments and prescription pull-through are normal during the first year after a product launch as our distributors optimize their channel inventory levels.

This is complicated by the fact that products in this class, like Abstral, have multiple dosage strengths for distributors to manage. Over time, we expect x manufacturer sales to align with overall prescription demand trends, a pattern that we are already beginning to see during the fourth quarter.

More importantly, as Chris mentioned, with the ongoing addition of new prescribers, our increased focus on the more sustainable oncology business and the success of our GPS program, we have greatly reduced our patient assistance spend.

Dollars from paid prescriptions have increased significantly each quarter, with paid prescriptions in Q3 increasing by 15% over the last quarter and 63% from the first quarter of this year.

Given this very positive trend, as well as encouraging signs of growth in both x manufacturer sales and overall prescription volume, we remain confident in achieving our full year 2014 net revenue guidance of $8 million to $10 million from Abstral sales.

And given the strong October we have already seen, we're expecting to reach the middle of that range. Operating expenses are trending downward this quarter at $14.8 million for Q3 compared to $18.1 million reported last quarter or a decrease of $3.3 million.

The decreased operating spend this quarter is largely a function of lower legal fees related to the ongoing litigation proceedings.

These fees were approximately $700,000 in Q3 net of insurance recoveries, down from $3 million in the second quarter, largely due to the fact that we've reached the limit of our insurance deductible during the third quarter. Looking forward, we expect the majority of these fees to be covered by the D&O insurance we carry.

Our overall operating loss improved to $13.2 million for the third quarter of 2014, that's $2.6 million better than the $15.8 million reported last quarter.

Our loss per share for the third quarter of 2014 was $0.05 per share, which is lower than our consensus estimate of $0.11 loss per share, and was driven by the aforementioned operating expense improvement, as well as approximately $6.7 million in noncash gain on the revaluation of our warrant liability.

From a cash flow perspective, we have $24.6 million in cash and cash equivalents at the end of the third quarter. The decrease during the quarter in cash is primarily the result of $11.1 million in cash used in operations and $3.1 million spent to acquire Zuplenz.

Moving forward, we expect our cash burn to remain fairly stable through the rest of 2014, then begin to decrease throughout 2015.

This decrease will come from the completion of enrollment in our Phase III PRESENT study as it becomes less expensive during the maintenance and monitoring phase of the trial, and in addition to the increased revenue we expect from our commercial operations.

In sum, we're excited and optimistic about the direction our business is trending and by the progress of our commercial and pipeline investments in building a valuable company for our shareholders. With that, I'll turn the call back over to Mark Schwartz for closing remarks..

Mark W. Schwartz

Thank you, Ryan. As we look back on our first year of commercial activities, we're proud of the structure we have built. While Chris highlighted some of the challenges, we also know how to address and adapt to them.

As the market has changed for Abstral, our commercial team has refined our strategy to ensure the long-term viability and profitability of the franchise. We will be taking the same expertise into our launch of Abstral.

As a result, we plan to increase our Abstral revenues by over 50% next year and are setting our 2015 net revenue guidance to between $15 million to $18 million.

On the clinical front, we look forward to meeting a major enrollment milestone for NeuVax PRESENT trial as well as clinical read-outs from GALE-301 and 401, along with additional clinical operational milestones. I remain committed to this team and our corporate strategy.

I believe the richness of our development pipeline, combined with our commercial capabilities, will build significant value for patients and for our shareholders. We will now open the call for questions..

Operator

[Operator Instructions] The first question comes from Ted Tenthoff from Piper Jaffray..

Edward A. Tenthoff - Piper Jaffray Companies, Research Division

Great. So just a quick question on your last comments, concluding comments.

Did you say that initial product guidance next year was $15 million to $18 million in revenues?.

Mark W. Schwartz

Yes, the combined guidance for the year will be between $15 million and $18 million..

Edward A. Tenthoff - Piper Jaffray Companies, Research Division

For 2015? Excellent..

Mark W. Schwartz

Yes..

Edward A. Tenthoff - Piper Jaffray Companies, Research Division

And then, back to the third quarter.

Can you give us a little bit more color on the inventory work down? And what kind of profit level -- or I'm sorry, what kind of revenue level do you guys need to be at in order to cross over to profitability, either for Abstral and/or the new Abstral/Zuplenz organization, if you will?.

Ryan M. Dunlap

Yes, Ted, this is Ryan. Thank you for the question. The inventory levels during the third quarter in the distribution channel contracted by $1.3 million. In other words, at the end of Q2, our x manufacturer sales for year-to-date 2014 had actually surpassed our prescription demand by about $0.5 million.

By the end of Q3, that had flipped, and during Q3, the inventory levels in the channel contracted by $1.3 million. So at the end of Q3, we had actually -- had about $700,000 to $800,000 more in prescription demand than we had sold into the channel, first part of the question.

Second part of the question is with respect to Abstral, we will break even when we hit that $4.5 million to $5 million net revenue mark, and we expect that to occur in the second quarter, late in the second quarter of 2015..

Operator

The next question comes from Chad Messer from Needham..

Chad J. Messer - Needham & Company, LLC, Research Division

When you talk about Abstral, I hear 2 kinds of challenges you're facing. One is just the general overall awareness of the class of products you're promoting, in which -- I guess, you can think of your competitors as almost helping there since it's your collective voice that's registering.

And then, of course, you do have to compete in a crowded marketplace, and you talked about your stable 6% market share.

How -- as you think about your activities and the right amount and right way to message, do you kind of balance those 2 factors, so market awareness versus, basically, taking share away from your competitors? And 6% share, growing that from 1% before you took over the product, is obviously an admirable increase, but it's been stable for a little while.

Where do you think that share can go? What's a good win for you guys long term, 10%, 15%? Any thoughts? That would be great..

Christopher S. Lento

Hi, Chad, it's Chris. I'll take that question. Thank you very much. And you're absolutely right, we are pulling our business, as I mentioned earlier, from the top-prescribing pain specialists, who for the most part, have provided our foundation in 2014.

We will continue to rely on those prescribers, and you're right, it might involve us competing against the other branded competitors in that market. And as I mentioned, we do have the oncology and palliative care space, which our competitors are also targeting.

We've been very successful in this space, and as I mentioned earlier, we've taken our market share to -- from less than 1% with these segments to roughly 25% of our business. And we can see -- we can foresee that growing because we believe our product matches up nicely to those specialists.

As far as the market share, Chad, we are at 6% and we do see that growing into double digits in 2015/2016..

Mark W. Schwartz

Hi, Chad, this is Mark Schwartz. Thanks for calling in. I do think this speaks to the fundamental core of the strategy and the synergy that we are an oncology company, and that is ultimately where we plan to be successful.

And the long-term relationships and I think our ability to dig into that market and educate and build a relationship and as additional products come down the track, I think it's going to make us more successful, not only with our current commercial products but our future products as well.

So I mean, Chris talked to it on a tactical level, and I speak to it on a strategic level. But I think it's fundamental to how we are going to build the brand of Galena in the oncology space..

Operator

The next question comes from Mara Goldstein from Cantor Fitzgerald..

Mara Goldstein - Cantor Fitzgerald & Co., Research Division

I have a couple of questions.

The first is, I apologize, but on the revenue, was that revenue guidance Abstral only, or was it exclusive to just Abstral only or does it also include Zuplenz?.

Mark W. Schwartz

It is a combination of the 2 products. As I said, we're looking for approximately a 50% growth in Abstral. And right now, we're predicting a small amount, a relatively small number for Zuplenz until we get more insight and more experience in the market. We're going to roll it out first quarter next year.

So I think that number is subject to change as we gain more experience. But for the moment, 50% growth of Abstral with a little bit of Zuplenz on top of it..

Mara Goldstein - Cantor Fitzgerald & Co., Research Division

So if you don't mind me asking, I mean, relative to the experience that you had, and I know you've talked about this on the call, since the launch, you're really talking about, to some degree, an acceleration off of a base that's lower than was expected.

So I'm really trying to understand, short of any other incentivizing-type programs or whatnot, now that you've got inventories at a base level on a go forward, which I think sounds like you're comfortable with the base level, what's going to take it to that next level? Because the guidance is kind of below where The Street is at..

Christopher S. Lento

Yes, Mara, as Mark and I both shared -- this is Chris, we remain with our guidance of $8 million to $10 million. We believe our future growth will come from the pain specialty space in combination with added revenues coming from both oncology and palliative care.

And as Mark pointed out, our strategy, and now having Zuplenz, puts us firmly into that oncology practice as a supportive care company and a portfolio company with 2 products to support cancer patients..

Mara Goldstein - Cantor Fitzgerald & Co., Research Division

Okay, and then if I just could ask on the insurance question.

Have you -- are you able to disclose to what level of monetary damage you are covered for?.

Ryan M. Dunlap

Mara, this is Ryan Dunlap. Hi, how are you? Thanks for the question. We carry D&O insurance that -- in doing our analysis when we renewed our policy in February.

We don't disclose the ultimate amount of the policy, but what I can tell you is that we targeted and landed at the median of our peer group with respect to the total amount of D&O insurance that covers us. So we believe that we have adequate D&O insurance, very adequate D&O insurance, to deal with matters like this..

Operator

The next question comes from Joe Pantginis from Roth Capital Partners..

Joseph Pantginis - Roth Capital Partners, LLC, Research Division

A couple NeuVax questions, and then a quick question on 401, if you don't mind. With regard to the PRESENT study -- thanks for the guidance with regard to enrollment and overenrollment. Was just curious about if you had any sense of timing in the interim.

But more specifically, at the time of the interim, will it essentially be just a continuous planned-or-not message that you would look to deliver to The Street?.

Brian L. Hamilton

So thanks for the questions here. We are really addressing an anticipated interim analysis hopefully towards the end of 2015, perhaps into 2016, depending on the rate of the events that accumulate in the trial.

As far as -- and that's going to be event-driven and that's going to be -- however that really plays out, but as soon as we can get to that point, the better. And the message that's going to come out from the independent data monitoring committee will be whether to stop the trial or go forward with the trial.

There will not be specific results presented from that because the trial will remain blinded, but -- so we will not have definitive information at that point..

Mark W. Schwartz

Chad (sic) [Joe], the interim analysis, as Brian just said, is a futility analysis. So, say, safety analysis and a futility analysis. The DSMB, without penalty, actually does have the ability to potentially enlarge the trial from an additional patient point of view. But we're likely to get really simply a go or no go and no efficacy readout..

Joseph Pantginis - Roth Capital Partners, LLC, Research Division

Okay, now that's helpful.

And then, with regard to the 2 studies combined with Herceptin, I guess, broadly speaking, can you talk to how your collaboration is or your clinical collaboration is with Roche beyond just providing drug? And then more importantly, can you just remind us again the mechanistic rationale for these 2 studies? I guess, when you look at the 1+, 2+ study, that study in essence looks to -- I don't want to say favors, but for lack of a better word at the moment, favors NeuVax mechanism versus the 3+ study sort of favoring the Herceptin approach with regard to the concentration of the target on the cell.

So, I guess, are you looking at the mechanistic goals of controlling minimal residual disease and what have you, or can you add any additional color?.

Mark W. Schwartz

So first of all, Joe, I apologize, I think I called you Chad a second ago. Sorry. Regarding the collaboration with Genentech/Roche, it's going very well. Our agreement is to co-sponsor the trial. We both have rights to the data from the trial.

They are putting up the Herceptin and cash, and we are putting up a considerable amount of NeuVax and hard work and cash as well. We both jointly own the data, so we have full rights to the data, as do they.

As I announced or mentioned earlier in the comments here, we also have had some significant intellectual property patent allowances this year covering NeuVax and covering NeuVax in combination.

So I personally feel we're in a very strong position in terms of any potential commercialization or future use of NeuVax in combination with any drug, frankly, but with Herceptin in particular, moving forward.

On your second question, I'll turn it over to Brian, but let me just say that the basis of this activity was really based on a lot of work done by Beth Mittendorf and published by Beth that shows a mechanistic synergy between NeuVax and Herceptin.

And I think our goal and thought process is that while Herceptin has shown some activity in the HER2 3+ area, it's not 0. There is room for improvement, and it's very possible that we could show continued improvement, in particular in this high-risk group of 3+ patients that show a recurrence rate of about 15%.

And so I think in combination with Herceptin, if we can cut that down, it's certainly a worthwhile effort. And Brian may have a few additional comments on the mechanism..

Brian L. Hamilton

Hi Joe, this is Brian. So there are 2 points, one -- mechanistically. One is that there are some data to suggest that the presence of the antibody Herceptin helps process the peptide antigen to just increase the stimulation of T cells to expand that population to help make a more robust immune response.

And then on the other side, both in the -- clearly in the 3+, but also probably in the 1+, 2+ population, that the -- having Herceptin as a monoclonal antibody plus T cells really gives us, if you will, 2 shots on goal to kill the tumor cells.

So there's perceived to be an additive or synergistic effect at the killing level for -- to make these strategies more effective at eradicating tumor cells. It's a bit of both. There's a lot of hypothesis there, but we fully intend to demonstrate that that's all true..

Joseph Pantginis - Roth Capital Partners, LLC, Research Division

Sure, no. That's helpful, thank you. And then, like I said, just a quick follow-up with regard to 401. Really encouraged by the faster enrollment than anticipated. And I was just wondering if you could share a little more color about what has been the real impetus for that.

Has it been just the physician interest in the safety and the PK profile of the drug, or anything additional you can share?.

Brian L. Hamilton

It's interesting that we have a relatively small number of sites, and 3 of them have just been extraordinarily good at beating the bushes for it. And I think it's due to the enthusiasm for the drug. We even had patients who have heard about the study and have volunteered for the study.

They've come off of other medications so that they could participate. So it's a little bit of both, and hopefully that will portend really great things in the future..

Operator

The next question comes from Yigal Nochomovitz from Oppenheimer..

Yigal D. Nochomovitz - Oppenheimer & Co. Inc., Research Division

Just one on the Folate Binding Protein.

Could you give us a little better sense as to what we'll be expecting at the Society for Immunotherapy of Cancer Conference? Are we going to see the top line recurrence data for the 2 Phase II arms, or it's going to be mainly the immune response biomarker data? And also, are you going to have any updates of the Phase I recurrence data set relative to ASCO?.

Brian L. Hamilton

The answer is yes, yes and yes. Thanks for the question. Predominantly, at this stage of the game, most of the data that are coming out are based on the immunology data, and that's our primary focus.

But as we initially presented at ASCO, and there'll be more presented this weekend, there's emerging data from -- on the clinical side that looked promising. So I can't give away those numbers right away because we have to wait for the presentation. But it's a bit of both, and it is promising on both aspects..

Yigal D. Nochomovitz - Oppenheimer & Co. Inc., Research Division

And if I could just go back quickly to the inventory fluctuations in the quarter.

Could you talk a bit more about what you're seeing, what are the signs that the distributors and wholesalers are starting to hone in on the right level of inventory for Abstral to better match the demand quarter-over-quarter? And what sort of inventory build are you expecting in 4Q?.

Christopher S. Lento

Okay, I'll take the first part of that question. Some of the internal metrics we're monitoring, as you know, we're keeping track of daily sales, average prescription price, number of prescribers, and we're off to a terrific start in Q4. Along with our wholesale and distributor partners, we're learning how to manage Abstral during this year.

It is a product with 6 strengths being managed at -- being managed at 8 different wholesalers, dozens of distribution centers. So we are feeling more confident in our ability and our partners' ability to manage the inventory moving forward. I think Ryan will want to take the second part of that question from the financial standpoint..

Ryan M. Dunlap

Yes, absolutely. I think from my perspective, as I mentioned, looking at the comparison year-to-date with respect to what we've sold into our distributors and recognized revenue on, and what's ultimately been prescribed or the demand side, there's a deficit of about $800,000 for the year.

Which tells me that if our prescription demand trends continue the way we're seeing them continue, our distributors will have to order more inventory in order to keep up with that demand, which leaves me optimistic about our x manufacturer net revenue as well..

Operator

The next question comes from Robert LeBoyer from Maxim Group..

Robert LeBoyer

This is Robert LeBoyer from the biotech group at Maxim, and I had a question on the expense side. You mentioned the insurance, the patient assistance program and the clinical trials, and just looking at the trend from second quarter to third quarter, it's a little hard to separate these out and to see where the expenses are falling.

And could you give us some guidance going forward for fourth quarter and beyond?.

Ryan M. Dunlap

I'll take that question. Thank you very much. If I understand the question, I guess, let me recap the third quarter. Cash used in operations was about $11.1 million, and we spent another $1 million on our debt service. So just about -- just over $12 million in cash burn from what I'll call ongoing activities.

We expect that to be relatively steady through Q4, and then to begin to decline. The reasons that we're going to see the decline during 2015 are, I think, those you mentioned.

First of all, we will be increasing our revenue from our commercial activities, the Galena Patient Services program will continue to maximize the number of those prescriptions that are paid, and so we'll realize more profit from our commercial operations.

And also, once we complete enrollment in our PRESENT trial, our R&D costs begin to go down significantly as well. So between the 2 of those, you're going to see cash burn during 2015 closer to $36 million to $40 million, or average $8 million to $10 million per quarter.

Did that answer your question?.

Robert LeBoyer

Yes it does, thank you..

Ryan M. Dunlap

Welcome..

Mark W. Schwartz

So Robert, yes, let me just jump into that. NeuVax is still a considerable expense of ours, of course. And as we overenroll here going through Q1, that's going to pick up some of the burn as we move forward. As I'd indicated, the other trials that we're running are very highly leveraged.

And so relative to NeuVax, you're accounting for a much smaller part of the burn. So your question -- I think Ryan answered most of your question. You asked the question, where is it going? I think all in, when you look across the board, NeuVax is, by far, the biggest component of our cash burn..

Operator

The next question comes from Vernon Bernardino from MLV & Co..

Vernon T. Bernardino - MLV & Co LLC, Research Division

Just a few questions on the launch for Zuplenz. Sounds like it will be rather measured, at least from the start.

Are you going to have, like, a full detailed effort, or do you think some education will be required because of some of the familiarity with the advantages of the oral film formulation?.

Christopher S. Lento

It's Chris, Vernon, thank you for the question. We do believe there will an educational component to the sale of Zuplenz. Many are familiar, there's roughly 3,000 physicians who have prescribed Zuplenz since its launch. So there is a familiar user base out there.

But our team will be focused on distinguishing Zuplenz versus the competition and focus on educating about the soluble-strip version of the delivery..

Vernon T. Bernardino - MLV & Co LLC, Research Division

Great, and then regarding Abstral, I'm sorry I missed the numbers, it went rather quickly. So I saw that before, it was less than 1% and now it's 25%, and then paid prescriptions are 16% (sic) [ 15% ].

Could you go over the numbers again and how the mix has changed over time?.

Christopher S. Lento

So Vernon, what we pointed out was that the percentage of Abstral business upon launch was 1% in the oncology and palliative care settings. We have since grown that percentage to 25%, meaning 25% of the current Abstral sales are derived from specialists outside of that pain specialty, namely, oncology and palliative care..

Mark W. Schwartz

And I want to reinforce again, that's really the strategic focus of the company that we have worked hard to build, not only on the existing marketplace, which is really, to a great degree, the pain physicians, but as well to grow what we think is a very long term and a very sustainable, and for us, a very strategic business in the oncology and palliative care side of the house.

So we've been very successful at building a real significant market opportunity for us with that group..

Christopher S. Lento

And Vernon, I believe part 2 of that question was the 15%. Ryan gave that number as a measure of our increased percentage of paid prescriptions from Q2 to Q3..

Operator

The final question comes from Rahul Jasuja from Noble Life Science Partners (sic) [Noble Financial Group]..

Rahul Jasuja - Noble Financial Group, Inc., Research Division

Just a few remaining questions that I have. On Abstral, what have you guys learned from the European experience? I mean, was the launch in Europe, was that used as a manner to mimic what your projections are here? Is the experience different, is my question, so to say..

Mark W. Schwartz

So the market in Europe, the experience in Europe, is very, very different than here. First of all, Abstral was launched much earlier than our relaunch here in a very, very different competitive marketplace. The main -- the market leader here, frankly, SUBSYS, is not being marketed in Europe.

And so, I think to -- they also have a very different reimbursement system and medical system and managed-care system there. And for example, I think in different countries, it's used differently. As an example, in Canada, Abstral is prescribed strictly through hospitals and very little through private practice.

Those countries, they also have a very different perspective on the use of narcotics and opioid products than the U.S. does. So culture, there's a lot of differences. So we certainly don't -- didn't look to them specifically for mechanisms or as a trail or path to roll out the product.

Like Europe, we certainly intend to and have set our goal to be a market leader over time, but I don't think there's any specific take-home messages or take-home elements that we could take from the launch rollout in Europe that you could here. They also, I don't believe, have a REMS system like we do here.

So that really influences a lot about -- of the market and how the various products are adopted and rolled out there..

Rahul Jasuja - Noble Financial Group, Inc., Research Division

Okay, got it. And then the next question I have is combination between Herceptin and NeuVax. And you guys had a discussion about that a little bit earlier. But in thinking about the way these 2 may be working, obviously Herceptin has the ADCC component.

So you're having that kind of NK cell killing of the tumor cells, but -- and you did mention, or somebody mentioned that there's maybe a potential for increase of T cell responses.

So are you seeing, or have you seen in preclinical studies, when you combine Herceptin models with NeuVax that you're getting epitope spreading beyond just the NeuVax peptide that can recognize the T cells and you're looking at other epitopes that the T cells may recognize, so clonal expansion beyond NeuVax?.

Brian L. Hamilton

So thanks for that question. It's a bit technical and a bit obtuse, but we'll give it a shot. So what we're saying about Herceptin is the monoclonal antibody and this mechanism of killing through ADCC involving the NK cells, as you recognize, is one component.

And then you add that to another group of cytotoxic cells that the T cells that are expanded through the vaccine, that's why we think they're like 2 shots on goal.

The epitope spreading is a slightly different mechanism in that the other epitopes that are -- to which the immune system are responding are not coming from the vaccine, they're coming from the tumor cell.

And as the tumor cells die, the Herceptin molecules are taken up by antigen-presenting cells, and there are probably quite a number of epitopes that are being presented. And our collaborators, Drs. Peoples and Mittendorf, have looked at a couple of these epitopes, but there probably are many.

And what it's indicating is that the NeuVax peptide is triggering a process which is allowing the immune system to adapt to whatever the HER2 epitopes are presented to it. It's breaking tolerance, it's moving through, it's broadening the attack on the tumor cells. But that's a much more complex process.

But it does indicate that the tumor cells are dying, the antigens are being processed and the immune system is responding appropriately..

Mark W. Schwartz

Hi, Rahul, this is Mark. How are you doing? Let me just reiterate what Brian said. Doctor Mittendorf did the original preclinical work of NeuVax in combination with Herceptin. She did not look at epitope or antigen spreading at the time, but there has been data published that with NeuVax, you do see epitope spreading.

I think it's only a reasonable assumption, now we haven't shown it, we haven't proved it, we haven't generated data.

But I think it's a very reasonable assumption to assume that if Herceptin is, in fact, generating a higher level of expression of peptides, HER2 peptide, D75 peptide on the surface of the cells providing more targets for NeuVax, that as NeuVax lyses those cells, you would get a continued release of antigens into the system and a broadening of the epitope spreading.

So I think the argument is very logical, it makes sense mechanistically. We have not generated that specific data in that specific experiment..

Rahul Jasuja - Noble Financial Group, Inc., Research Division

I was just curious about that, but that's very helpful. And then, one final question on 401. Maybe I should know this, but it wasn't clear.

Is the final 505(b)(2) path already planned or is that to be discussed with the FDA yet? That's not a given yet at this point, is it?.

Brian L. Hamilton

Well, when we purchased the GALE-401, the previous owner of that agent had been in conversation with the FDA, and we have the FDA minutes from those meetings, which are fully supportive of the 505(b)(2) pathway for the development of the GALE-401.

So that is the plan, and we're following through the preexisting guidance that has already been enunciated by FDA..

Operator

And there are no further questions..

Mark W. Schwartz

Thank you very much, everybody. We certainly appreciate your time this afternoon..

Operator

Ladies and gentlemen, that does conclude the conference for today. Again, thank you for your participation, you may all disconnect. Have a good day..

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