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Communication Services - Publishing - NASDAQ - US
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EARNINGS CALL TRANSCRIPT
EARNINGS CALL TRANSCRIPT 2023 - Q4
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Operator

Thank you for standing by, and welcome to today's program entitled Scholastic Reports Fourth Quarter and Fiscal Year 2023 Results. At this time, all participants are in listen-only mode. After the speakers presentation, there will be a question-and-answer session. [Operator Instructions] As a reminder, today's program is being recorded.

And now I'd like to introduce your host for today's program, Mr. Jeffrey Mathews, Executive Vice President, Corporate Development and Investor Relations. Please go ahead..

Jeffrey Mathews

Hello, and welcome everyone to Scholastic's fiscal 2023 fourth quarter earnings call. Today on the call, I'm joined by Peter Warwick, our President and Chief Executive Officer; and Ken Cleary, our Chief Financial Officer.

As usual, we posted the accompanying investor presentation on our IR website at investor.scholastic.com, which you may download now if you've not already done so. We would like to point out that certain statements made today will be forward-looking.

These forward-looking statements, by their nature, are subject to various risks and uncertainties and actual results may differ materially from those currently anticipated. In addition, we will be discussing some non-GAAP financial measures as defined in Regulation G.

The reconciliation of those measures to the most directly comparable GAAP measures can be found in the company’s earnings release and accompanying financial tables filed this afternoon on a Form 8-K. This earnings release has also been posted to our Investor Relations website.

We encourage you to review the disclaimers in the release and investor presentation and to review the risk factors disclosed in the company’s annual and quarterly reports filed with the SEC. Should you have any questions after today’s call, please send them directly to our IR e-mail, investor_relations@scholastic.com.

And now, I’d like to turn the call over to Peter Warwick to begin this afternoon’s presentation..

Peter Warwick President, Chief Executive Officer & Director

Thank you, Jeff, and good afternoon, everyone. Thank you for joining us. Scholastic finished fiscal 2023 strongly with fourth quarter operating income up 40% from the prior year quarter's record level on modest revenue growth. Full year results met or exceeded our revised guidance.

I’m especially proud of the excellent performance management achieved across Scholastic last quarter. In response to the cost and the selling headwinds that we've experienced this year and which caused us to revise our guidance in March.

Thanks to quick actions to align spending with the revised revenue outlook and to unlock sales, including delayed opportunities in our Education Solutions division, margins and profits rose across all business segments in quarter four.

The operational efficiencies that Scholastic has achieved since the pandemic, especially in our Book Fairs nationwide operations and in our centralized supply chain and distribution functions also contributed to operating leverage and the considerable flow-through of sales to profits that we saw in quarter four. Thanks to a strong quarter four.

Full-year adjusted EBITDA was $196 million, up from $189 million a year ago, and within our original guidance range of $195 million to $205 million. Free cash flow was also robust relative to net income in fiscal 2023, even as we increased investments to grow and maintain our divisions and to rebuild inventory levels post-pandemic.

This afternoon, I'd like to review our fiscal 2023 results briefly before turning to our strategy and outlook for 2024 and beyond. Ken will then discuss our financial results in more detail, including our fiscal 2024 guidance. But first, I'd like to spend a few moments discussing the macro environment in which we operate.

First, reading, literacy and learning have never been more pressing needs for our kids. Sadly, this was again recently confirmed by nine and 13 year olds performance on the National Assessment of Educational Progress or NAEP. Already low before the pandemic these scores have fallen steeply since and are now at their lowest levels in decades.

Reading and math achievement declined across all groups of children, but vulnerable children generally experienced bigger declines. These scores emphasize the critical need for children's books and for solutions to help kids and young students learn and love to read, something all parents, teachers and leaders across our country can agree on.

Second, while demand for children's books and literacy is as strong as ever when you look across the many channels and stakeholders that buy them on behalf of kids, there continue to be short-term headwinds in the retail bookselling market.

From March through May Scholastic's fiscal quarter four retail sales of children's and young adult books were down approximately 3%, according to NPD's BookScan. We believe some of the year-over-year declines in the retail market largely reflect a return to pre-pandemic purchasing patterns.

Relative to March through May of 2019, that's before the pandemic, the retail children's book market is still up by 13%. As we said, even in periods of lower consumer confidence, as we are seeing currently, consumer spending on children's books is typically less cyclical than other areas of discretionary spending.

In fact, in contrast with retail we've been encouraged to see strong growth in participation and same fair sales in our Book Fairs as I will discuss in a moment. Third, sales of supplemental instructional materials remained slow in the fourth quarter. Another headwind we've navigated this year.

School and district administrators continue to manage their immediate challenges including staffing. Fourth, the steep rise in paper, manufacturing, freight, and shipping costs that we saw in late calendar 2021 and early 2022 are now largely reflected in our inventories and prior year results.

We are cautiously optimistic about potential improvements in freight and shipping costs. Any disruption to service by our national shipping partners, one of which is in the process of renegotiating long-term labor contracts this summer could materially impact our shipping costs and revenues overall, however.

With that, I will provide a high-level overview of our fourth quarter and fiscal 2023 results. In the children's book segment revenues increased 5%, continuing to outperform softness in the children's book market due to strong results in our school Book Fairs and multiple trade bestsellers.

Operating income increased 25%, driven by higher revenues, operating leverage, and continuing improvements in operational efficiencies. Book Fairs revenues grew 12% in the quarter and were up 29% for the year, benefiting from increased fair count which reached approximately 85% of pre-pandemic levels.

Strong growth in revenue per fair was also a key factor contributing to growth and operating leverage in the quarter and the year. In line with recent quarter's trends Book Clubs revenues declined compared to the prior-year period, driven by lower teacher participation.

In our trade channel, sales declined in the quarter and the full year, in line with overall softness in the retail market.

This dynamic impacted backlist titles and was partially offset by bestselling new titles in quarter four, including number 11 in Dav Pilkey's series Dog Man, Twenty Thousand Fleas Under the Sea, as well as Hunger Games titles in advance of the November release of The Ballad of Songbirds and Snakes movie.

Scholastic Entertainment continued to be a key component of our strategy to build must-read series and franchises last year. We successfully launched Eva the Owlet on Apple TV Plus in quarter four. The Scholastic Entertainment production based on our New York Times' bestselling book series Owl Diaries.

We also launched new licensing programs for Eva and our Emmy Award-winning, Stillwater series also streaming on Apple TV Plus. Last quarter Education Solutions delivered higher sales and substantially improved margins.

Strong management of the sales pipeline in quarter four allowed us to partially overcome softness in supplemental curriculum sales earlier in the year. The strong fourth quarter also indicated the growing size and contribution of our summer reading business and the seasonal importance of quarter four.

In our International segment revenues declined as the strong dollar negatively impacted foreign exchange. But profits rose in quarter four, largely driven by the exit in quarter one of the unprofitable direct-to-consumer business in Asia.

As we begin fiscal 2024 we are focused on executing an integrated strategy to drive growth, impact and shareholder value creation over the following years. At the same time, we protect margins and sustain the growth we achieved in fiscal 2023. I'd like to discuss the four pillars of this strategy as context to our fiscal 2024 and long-term plan.

The first pillar of our overall strategy is focused on leveraging the strengths and operating leverage of our market-leading Children's Book businesses to achieve sustainable long-term revenue growth and higher earnings.

Scholastic's content and direct access to customers provide a unique strategic position to further grow our share of the Children's Book market. Just as exciting we have an opportunity to grow the market and bring the power, and joy of reading and books to more kids.

Strong operating leverage on over $1 billion in segment sales as we saw in fiscal 2023 means that modest top-line growth in this business can generate substantial growth in the company's overall earnings and free cash flow.

Scholastic's Children's Book segment is coming off a strong year, especially considering industry wide challenges in the retail market.

In addition to our continued best-selling publishing, a bright spot for Scholastic and the industry has been our School Book Fairs, which delivered high-impact events, focused on building book access, choice and reading environment.

The combination of Scholastic's Book Fairs and Book Clubs into the newly formed School Reading Events division is expected to be a key driver of future growth in our Children's Book segment.

Over the past two years new customer-centric strategies and operational improvements have transformed Book Fairs, resulting in higher participation, strong growth in revenue per fair and higher operating contribution. We've also begun implementing these strategies and operational improvements in Book Clubs since integrating with fairs.

We are optimistic that our Integrated School Reading Events will remove structural barriers and leverage synergies to more profitable long-term growth and enable a more holistic approach to serving our kid and adult customers.

Scholastic's high quality engaging children's and young adult publishing including some of the biggest titles and series in history is another part of our strategy to profitably grow our Children's Book segment.

In fiscal 2024, we are focused on continuing to develop unrivaled content, including driving revenue and building on our [tent pole] (ph) series and titles as we acquire and develop our next wave of hits.

Following the strength of Dav Pilkey's latest Dog Man book, we are excited about a new title in another of his series Cat Kid Comic Club later this fall.

The 25th anniversary in September of the publishing of Harry Potter will create an opportunity for a new generation of kids to discover the series, while The Hunger Games' prequel movie is expected to drive backlist sales of the series.

With new titles to be published this year from bestselling graphic novel series, including Amulet, Bone, and Heart Stopper, we look to grow our commanding market share in that market, too.

We are also excited to continue to innovate the multiplatform model with Zombie Season, a heart-pounding new series that we are launching in partnership with Roadblocks. We are one of the first major publishers to do so. Scholastic has a history of innovation, most notably with The 39 Clues, which has over 17.5 million copies in print.

As we've discussed, Scholastic Entertainment contributes to long-term growth in Children's Books by creating a virtuous circle of content, from page, to screen, to merchandising and then back to page. In October, Disney Plus will release the live-action Goosebumps series starring Justin Long.

This project is a new interpretation of our best-selling Goosebumps series. It's already generated a lot of buzz and we are excited about the many potential new readers who will discover the books through it.

The second pillar of Scholastic's strategy is to invest to grow our digital sales in Education Solutions with new blended literacy programs which combine digital and printed components. They all build on the long-term strengths of our profitable print content businesses. Here again, our opportunity is both strategic and financial.

Scholastic's strong reputation in schools and with teachers, our unique reading and literacy content, and our sales and distribution capabilities position us to grow our blended sales with new solutions that address the critical and growing need to improve reading skills, while investments to build new products and new platform capabilities that enable future products and reinvention of existing ones impact short-term earnings as we saw in fiscal 2023 and expect to continue in fiscal 2024.

We are optimistic that over the long term they will result in new, faster-growing, higher-margin revenue streams on top of our profitable core print offerings. Looking to fiscal 2024 we are very excited to be in the market with Ready for Reading, which was launched last month and is already generating substantial interest.

Ready for Reading is a simple-to-implement, speech recognition-enabled print and digital K3 foundational reading phonics program, aligned with science-based approaches to literacy. Ready for Reading leverages core IP from Learning Ovations, the ed-tech we acquired last year that's built on 10 years of efficacy research in reading instruction.

It's also the first blended program to launch under our new strategy for this business. Of course, we are keenly focused on protecting and growing Scholastic's strong print-based education offerings including our summer programs, classroom and library connections, state-based partnerships and programs with community-based organizations.

Not only are they profitable and highly strategic, leveraging Scholastic's unique content and distribution capabilities, these programs provide access to engaging books at school and at home for millions of kids, many of whom could not afford them otherwise.

These products diversifies Scholastic's customers beyond the limits of school and district budgets, while expanding our reach and impact. The third pillar of our strategy is continuing to improve operating efficiencies across the company, both domestically and internationally, including holding recent gains achieved during the pandemic.

As we've discussed in previous calls, Scholastic is a much more efficient organization today, both in our centralized functions and in our divisions compared to three years ago before the pandemic. These gains, in particular, in our overheads and fixed costs enabled the strong operating leverage and earnings growth we saw last quarter.

Even as we invest in new capabilities to support our long-term strategy, we're committed to protecting the heart fault gains that we've already achieved. Looking ahead, we're pursuing further opportunities to lower costs and improve efficiencies in fiscal 2024.

These include the integration of school reading events, a reorganization of our Canadian book clubs, centralizing some of the go-to-market capabilities across the company and investments in process improvements in our manufacturing and distribution functions.

Last, like companies across many industries, we're excited about the potential to better more efficiently serve our customers with generative AI, for example, by integrating it into customer service and marketing processes. With the recent advances in generative AI, more remains to be seen in this area.

Finally, the fourth pillar of our strategy is continuing to use Scholastic's strong free cash flow and balance sheet to invest in profitable growth and to return capital to shareholders, thus driving sustainable growth and shareholder value.

In fiscal 2023, Scholastic invested to grow our Education Solutions business, including acquiring learning ovations, increasing spending on new products and investing in new go-to-market capabilities, which have impacted near-term margins.

We intend to continue this strategy, while also making strategic investments to profitably grow our Children's Books segment, generating income from our real estate assets and build new revenue and efficiency opportunities in our supply chain and distribution.

Last year, Scholastic returned over $160 million to shareholders through the regular dividend and share repurchases, another sign of our renewed focus on deploying capital for shareholder returns as well as for growth.

Looking ahead, Scholastic is committed to continuing to return to our shareholders capital that's not needed to maintain a secure balance sheet and to invest in growth. To this end, yesterday, the Scholastic Board authorized a $100 million increase in our open market share buyback authorization.

I'm optimistic that the strategy that I've just laid out provides a compelling path to Scholastic to grow profitably and sustainably for the long term, meeting the needs of our stakeholders and balancing investment and profitability now and into the future.

Just as importantly, I'm confident that the core markets that Scholastic serves are sustainable and the mission we pursue will be relevant for many years to come. With that, I'll turn the call now over to Ken to review our fiscal 2023 results and fiscal 2024 guidance..

Ken Cleary President of International

First, investing in growth opportunities; second, maintaining a strong and efficient balance sheet; and third, returning excess cash to shareholders to enhance their returns. Our priority in fiscal 2024 is protecting margins and sustaining growth as we execute on long-term growth and shareholder value creation strategy that Peter has described.

In fiscal 2024, we expect revenue growth of 3% to 5% and are targeting adjusted EBITDA of $190 million to $200 million. This excludes the impact of onetime charges related to restructuring and cost saving activities of approximately $7 million to $10 million, as Peter has already discussed, which we expect in the first and second quarters.

In Children's Books, we expect growth in book fairs with fair counts increasing to approximately 90% of pre-pandemic levels. As a reminder, we do not see a return to 100% of in-person book fairs held before the pandemic as many of these fares were not profitable.

We also expect revenue per fair to continue to modestly grow on continued strong participation in customer-centric strategies. In trade, front and backlist sales should continue to be solid, as Peter described.

These positive factors are expected to be partially offset by lower revenues in book clubs as we shrink the business to a profitable core and in Scholastic Entertainment, which is recorded in consolidated trade due to the timing of production revenues. Operating income and margin should rise modestly for the year.

In Education Solutions, revenues are expected to be up modestly, driven in part by continued growth in state-sponsored programs in the latter half of the year. We will continue to invest in new products and capabilities to grow our blended literacy solutions as demonstrated by our recent launch of Ready for Reading.

We expect the International segment will benefit from continued recovery in major markets and in Asia as well as the reorganization in Canada, generating modest top line growth and a lower operating loss. We remain committed to returning our international business to profitability in the coming years.

We expect unallocated overhead costs to increase modestly next year as we continue to invest in improving efficiencies and building capabilities to support long-term growth. As a reminder, Scholastic's results are highly seasonal.

We generally record an operating loss in our first and third quarters, coinciding with summer and winter school vacations were profitable second and fourth quarters. Year-over-year, we expect our first quarter seasonal loss to grow. We are looking forward to an exciting and busy year ahead. Thank you for your time today.

I will now hand the call back to Peter for his final remarks..

Peter Warwick President, Chief Executive Officer & Director

Thank you, Ken. In summary, Scholastic delivered solid results in fiscal 2023, reflecting the unique strength of our businesses and effective performance management in response to market headwinds. We continued our investments in growth opportunities, especially in Education Solutions, while returning substantial capital to our shareholders.

We're enthusiastic about our plan for fiscal 2024 as we begin the year and prepare for back-to-school. The new school reading events division has great promise to continue our momentum in schools, while connecting kids to the joy and power of reading with new go-to-market strategies that leverage Scholastic's content and brand as never before.

We have exciting new frontlist titles publishing and streaming series launching as well as new products in education solutions like Ready for Reading and our growing state-sponsored programs.

This plan aligns with Scholastic's larger multiyear strategy and opportunity as we grow our profitable core Children's Book businesses, build out our blended literacy offering, continue improving efficiencies and allocate our capital to sustainably grow and generate higher shareholder returns.

I'm grateful for the hard work of Scholastic's employees and for the support of our shareholders as together we bring the power of reading and books to all kids. Thank you very much. Let me now turn the call over to Jeff..

Jeffrey Mathews

Thanks, Peter. We appreciate everyone's time today and your continuing support. With that, we will open the call for questions.

Operator?.

Operator

Certainly. [Operator Instructions] And our first question comes from the line of Brendan McCarthy from Sidoti. Your question please..

Brendan McCarthy

Yes. Thank you for taking my question and congratulations on the strong results. My question is regarding the new school reading events business.

Just wondering if you can provide some color on the timing of that combination? And when we might expect to see margin improvement in the Children's Book Publishing and Distribution segment? I know margins were up in Q4 year-over-year, but I was also wondering if you're able to quantify the margin improvement with that combination..

Peter Warwick President, Chief Executive Officer & Director

Thanks, Brendan. I mean, the whole strategy of the school routing events business is really to take two of our activities that have got an awful lot of overlap within the schools and to be able to make much more of a joined-up business with individual schools.

And we're had a great start in planning for that, and we'll be underway really from the start of the new school year from sort of mid-August in the South to early September in the North and East. And that we have got a lot of materials ready to go and we would expect to see a really strong start.

The clubs part of that business traditionally starts strongly at the beginning of the school year, and we hope that, that obviously is going to continue with the new program that we've got for that. And we're very well set up in the book fairs area to get off to a very, very strong start. So I'm very enthusiastic about this part of our business.

And I think that we'll be able to talk very positively about how the team, which is an excellent team, has performed. On the financial side, I'm going to turn that over to Ken just to make some comments..

Ken Cleary President of International

Thanks, Peter. Hi, Brandon. Nice to meet you. Yes. So Peter -- as Peter talked about, we quickly moved on this, and the team got together and in a very short period of time where put together in tight rooms and in just about 60 days came up with a very tight operating plan.

So, we are hitting the ground ready to roll here, and we expect margin improvement this year. It will be on lower clubs revenues clearly as we start to bring this business down to its core.

There's a long-term strategy where we think we -- the combined revenues of this business will ultimately be stronger, but we need to break this -- the first part of this down to what we understand to be profitable, and we have to get it down to that first. So Phase 1 is going to be pretty exciting for us.

It's certainly more kid centric and customer focused than we were in the past. So, we're excited about it, but we expect margin improvement right out of the gate, although you will see lower clubs revenues..

Brendan McCarthy

Got it. That's helpful. And then if I could pivot to the Education Solutions segment. Yes, I know you mentioned in your results, there was some benefit from the state sponsored programs. Were there any additional states added regarding your new state business. I know Florida and Louisiana, I think are the primary two.

But were there any additional states added?.

Peter Warwick President, Chief Executive Officer & Director

Well, we've added really for -- primarily really for next year, but we've also got Tennessee as another state where we’ve got additional new business. We have [some] (ph) business in Tennessee this year, but we've got more coming up. And yes, Louisiana was the big new one.

And we've got a lot of, I think, good opportunities in Florida going forward, because we've now been able to add the pre-K kids to the project. And we've also -- we're also making some adjustments to how we do the marketing. And I think that's also going to be beneficial.

And a final factor really to emphasize is, there's such a lot of concern amongst parents, teachers, administrators, politicians, everybody about literacy. And this is really a key -- a really key initiative to help that. And I think that that's going to be a big factor.

The other key thing to mention is that, we are benefiting quite a lot from a much broader array of opportunities for funding literacy, particularly aimed at those kids from disadvantaged communities, and these are examples of that.

But we also have other examples in terms of working with communities to sponsor books in schools, to sponsor book fairs and also increasingly we see that there's going to be more that we can do in that regard.

And that was really one of the reasons why we appointed one of our most senior and experienced executives to become a sort of Chief Impact Officer, because we feel that it's really exactly on point for us to be working in this way with providing more literacy to disadvantaged communities but also putting much more effort into finding the funding to be able -- to enable us to do that.

And so far, we're very happy overall with what we're able to do in this sponsored area of our business. We see it as one that will grow in the future..

Brendan McCarthy

Great. Thank you. One more, if I may. Sorry, go ahead, Ken..

Ken Cleary President of International

Yes. No, just adding to that, it's nice having the Florida model out there, because now we can replicate it, and that's largely what happened in Louisiana. So, there was a learning curve just to acquire that first business. And now we're out there trying to do this in other places. So having that model is great, and I'll speak as the CFO here.

Also, the revenues are not because they are addressing kids who are disadvantaged, are not cannibalistic to our clubs and fairs business, which is really great for us, too, and both on mission and financially beneficial to us as well..

Brendan McCarthy

Got it. That's helpful. And then lastly, I know the theme within the Education Solutions segment has been softer spending by schools as they deal with teacher staffing issues.

Are you still assuming that trend to kind of soften as we enter the new school year in fiscal 2024? And I guess, secondly, what kind of -- are you seeing that show up in specific data points?.

Peter Warwick President, Chief Executive Officer & Director

We're not really -- I mean, we expect that the overall environment in FY 2024, for example, in terms of spending in schools is going to be similar to that in FY 2023. But the additional asset funding is coming to an end, the -- in sort of the fall of next year.

Whether that will have any impact on using up funds more quickly towards the end of the next school year? We just really don't know at the moment.

But certainly, staffing issues are a key issue, but there's also been a real need and a lot of pressure sometimes from parents to make sure that this continuing book buying by schools and that they have that opportunity to do that with the asset funding in our next financial year.

And I think when we look going forward, Brendan, at FY 2025 and going forward, you got to remember that asset funding is additional funding. It's not the core funding that's going away.

And it's important, I think, that all of those who are concerned about education regardless of their political background, everyone is really, really concerned about literacy.

And I think you would be very, very surprising if there weren't continued and indeed additional, perhaps federal and state funding measures to really address that issue, because it's really critical for the success of not just society, but our economy that more people are able to be literate and that's a critical thing for us..

Brendan McCarthy

Great. Thank you, Peter. Thank you, Ken. That’s all from me..

Operator

Thank you. This does conclude the question-and-answer session of today's program. I'd like to hand the program back to management for any further remarks..

Peter Warwick President, Chief Executive Officer & Director

Well, thank you, everyone, for joining today's call and for your continued support. I'd like again to thank all of Scholastic employees for their hard work this year.

To summarize, we're focused on executing a long-term strategy to drive growth impact and shareholder value creation over the coming years, while protecting margins and sustaining the growth we achieved in fiscal 2023. We're confident about Scholastics opportunities, and we're excited to execute our strategy in fiscal 2024 and beyond..

Operator

Ladies and gentlemen, this concludes today's conference call. Thank you for participating. You may now disconnect. Good day..

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