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Healthcare - Medical - Devices - NASDAQ - US
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EARNINGS CALL TRANSCRIPT
EARNINGS CALL TRANSCRIPT 2020 - Q3
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Operator

Greetings, and welcome to the PAVmed, Inc. Business Update Conference Call. [Operator Instructions] As a reminder, this conference is being recorded. I would now like to turn the conference over to your host, Mr. Mike Havrilla, Director of Investor Relations for PAVmed. Please go ahead, sir..

Mike Havrilla

Thanks, operator. Good afternoon, everyone. This is Mike Havrilla, PAVmed’s Director of Investor Relations. Thanks for participating in today’s business update call. Joining me today on the call are Dr. Lishan Aklog, Chairman and Chief Executive Officer; and Dennis McGrath, President and Chief Financial Officer.

Before we begin, I’d like to caution that comments made during this conference call by management will contain forward-looking statements regarding the operations and future results of PAVmed.

I encourage you to review the company’s filings with the Securities and Exchange Commission, which identify specific factors may cause actual results or events differ materially from those described in the forward-looking statements.

Factors that may affect the company’s results include, but are not limited to, the uncertainties inherent in research and development, including the cost and time required to advance products to regulatory submission; whether and when products are cleared by regulatory authorities; market acceptance of products once cleared and commercialized; the company’s ability to raise additional capital; and the competitive environment.

PAVmed has not yet received clearance from the FDA or other regulatory bodies to market many of its products. PAVmed has been monitoring the COVID-19 pandemic and its impact on our business.

PAVmed expects the significance of the COVID-19 pandemic, including the extent its effect on financial and operational results, to be dictated by, among other things, the success of efforts to contain it and the impact of actions taken in response. New risks and uncertainties that may arise from time to time and are difficult to predict.

All of these factors are difficult or impossible to predict accurately, many of them are beyond the company’s control.

For a further list and description of these and other important risks and uncertainties that may affect future operations, see Part I, Item IA entitled Risk Factors in PAVmed’s most recent annual report on Form 10-K filed with the Securities and Exchange Commission and any subsequent updates filed in quarterly reports on Form 10-Q.

Except as required by law, PAVmed disclaims any intention or obligation to publicly update or revise any forward-looking statements to reflect changes in expectations or events, conditions or circumstances on which those expectations may be based or it may affect the likelihood that actual results will differ from those contained in the forward-looking statements.

With that said, I would like to turn the call over to Lishan Aklog. Dr.

Aklog?.

Lishan Aklog Chairman & Chief Executive Officer

Thank you, Mike. Good afternoon, everyone and thank you for joining us on this quarterly call to update you on our business and discuss our recent financial results.

As we will discuss in some detail, PAVmed has passed through a clear inflection period over the past several months, despite ongoing COVID-19 related challenges, commercial activity is accelerating at an exponential rate. Traction and enthusiasm for our commercial GI Health products among physicians is growing.

And as importantly, the reimbursement landscape for these products has solidified allowing us to look forward to revenue and revenue growth starting after the New Year. Our balance sheet remains strong from recent financing, providing us with sufficient capital to drive this commercial activity and advance our products towards commercialization.

Our growing theme of talent and professionals working with a world-class team of consultants, advisors and corporate partners continues to deliver on important milestones across our portfolio.

As the COVID-19 pandemic continues with a fall and winter surge, let me once again, begin with a short summary of pandemic-related challenges we are facing and how we are addressing them.

Despite this steadily surge, there are no signs of a return to the complete shutdown of non-emergency non-COVID-19 related care, we experienced in the first four to five months of the pandemic.

The healthcare system and the life sciences industry, which has gradually learned how to deliver necessary, but non-emergency care as the pandemic still rages.

Although our commercial team does on occasion encounter waxing and waning hotspot restrictions to their access to physicians for sales calls and procedural training, they have successfully overcome these challenges through perseverance, creativity and opportunity.

Nearly all of our commercial activities have moved away from virtual contacts back to traditional in-person engagements. Clinical research headwinds do remain with some sites slowing or pausing enrollment, while others continuing undeterred.

The remainder of our product development, regulatory, financial and administrative activities have been entirely unaffected by COVID-19. I would not like to provide more specific updates across our four divisions, GI Health, Minimally Invasive Interventions, Infusion Therapy, and Emerging Innovations.

Our GI Health division is building a portfolio of complimentary products designed to diagnose and treat conditions of the esophagus, including the spectrum of conditions arising from gastroesophageal reflux disease, also known as chronic heartburn. This can lead to highly lethal esophageal cancer.

We are also pursuing applications for our product in a very prevalent confirmatory condition called eosinophilic esophagitis. Two products EsoGuard and EsoCheck are commercially available. We have to commercialize another product EsoCure in 2021.

In addition to their other potential pipeline products, which are subject of active research programs within this division, I’m so proud of what our team has been able to accomplish a mere 2.5 years after licensing these technology from our partners at Case Western Reserve University. It’s gratifying to know that every day patients across the U.S.

are not benefiting from these groundbreaking products, which the National Cancer Institute highlighted as one of the years significant advances in cancer prevention and to whom the FDA granted highly coveted breakthrough devices.

With regard to the EsoCheck are designed to facilitate early detection of precursor conditions to highly lethal esophageal cancer in patients with chronic heartburn, also known as gastroesophageal reflux or GERD.

Chronic heartburn can lead to benign changes in the surface cells of esophagus, excuse me, benign changes in the surface cells of the lower esophagus called Barrett’s Esophagus or BE, which can transform into precancerous changes, called dysplasia, which in can turn can lead to esophageal cancer.

Esophageal cancer is a scourge, it is one of our most lethal cancers and unlike nearly all other cancers, it's incidents that occur around six fold in recent decades and its mortality rate has barely budged. The most effective way to save lives from cancer, death is through early detection of cancers in their precursors.

Although professional society practice guidelines recommends screening for BE in over 10 million high-risk GERD patient to detect and treat dysplasia before it progresses to cancer, tragically, fewer than 10% actually undergo screening using invasive upper endoscopy.

Over 80% of these esophageal cancer patients will die within five years of diagnosis. EsoCheck is an FDA cleared cell collection device, which can perform targeted and protective sampling of cells from the lining of the lower esophagus as part of the 5-minute non-invasive office-based procedure.

It serves as an alternative to invasive upper endoscopy performed under anesthesia in a hospital or dedicated endoscopy center. EsoGuard is a highly accurate, next-generation sequencing diagnostic assay, which detects methylation changes at 31 sites on 2 gene, which correlates with conditions along the BE to esophageal cancer spectrum.

EsoGuard has performed on samples collected with EsoCheck and is commercially available as a laboratory developed test, or LDT. These products are the first and only commercially available technologies, which offer the opportunity for widespread screening of the over 10 million high-risk GERD patients currently recommended for screening.

Based on very modest penetration of U.S. GERD patients already recommended for screening, we believe that the estimated addressable domestic market opportunity for these products is at least several billion dollars.

We are commercializing EsoGuard using a hybrid model with internal sales management, marketing and professional education, working closely with a network of independent sales representatives. We now have 4 regional managers covering United States, overseeing nearly 40 independent sales representatives.

As COVID-19 restrictions at medical centers and practices is lifting and non-emergency care began to reemerge in the late summer. Our team rapidly shifted from what had been previously, mostly virtual engagement to aggressive in-person engagement.

Our commercial activity – efforts has dramatically ramped up over the past couple of months, including in-person sales call and clinician training, as well as educational and marketing activities targeting both physicians and consumers. These intensifying efforts are really beginning to bear fruit.

EsoGuard testing and EsoCheck procedural volume are now growing exponentially. These volumes are doubling about every four to six weeks, and we hope to continue to describe despite the pandemic surge. Once again, physicians are finding ways to do these procedures, despite COVID-19.

In fact, some have suggested that using EsoGuard on sample collected with EsoCheck, maybe even more attractive because short office-based procedures are easier to perform efficiently in the COVID era than endoscopies’ at procedural centers, which must be spread out to accommodate increased COVID-19 related safety measures.

Some are even using EsoGuard as a risk stratification tool to prioritize the backlog of elective procedures caused by the pandemic. Our engagements with our primary targets, the gastroenterologists are going very well. They are receiving this technology positively.

They see EsoGuard and EsoCheck as important tool that they can integrate into their current practice to expand the funnel of patients diagnosed with BE who must've then undergo surveillance, monitoring, and ablation treatment, if they progressed to precancerous dysplasia.

The response has been positive from both small to medium practitioners, as well as those in large medical centers. The small to medium practitioners tend to quickly focused on growing their procedure volume, both in the endoscopy suite and then their office bay.

Both at large medical centers, especially academic centers focus more on network-wide adoption, although this takes a bit longer to get up and running, the payoff great, as it brings in non-GI physicians into the home in an integrated approach through managing the spectrum of disease.

One notable example is NYU Medical Center here in New York City, where we have a very enthusiastic champion, who's not just increasing his procedural volume, but standing out internal medicine clinics across the NYU network. Although, our focus has been on gastroenterologist, large internal medicine practices remain an attractive target.

One such practice out of west is centralizing all screening and high-risk group patients into a single clinic setting where EsoCheck is performed and samples are sent for EsoGuard test. Our hard work over the past 18 months on the reimbursement front is also paying well.

Final EsoGuard CMS payment determination of $1,938 has been secured and will become effective January 1. On that date, we will begin to submitting claims and billing for each EsoGuard test performed.

Local and Medicare coverage determination, which we hope to secure soon will be the final piece of the reimbursement puzzle for the 60% of our target population, which is covered by Medicare. We are also beginning the payments and coverage process for private payers and hope to start securing these in the first half of 2021.

As noted, we have completed the necessary audit and certifications to submit EsoCheck for CE Mark approval in Europe and pursue EsoGuard CE Mark self-certification. This would allow us to launch these products in Europe in mid-2021.

On the clinical trial front, as previously noted, our two international multicenter clinical trials, EsoGuard BE-1 and 2 are back on track following a near complete shutdown of clinical research due to COVID-19. If you recall, these trials support a future PMA submission for FDA registration of EsoGuard/EsoCheck as an In-Vitro Diagnostic or IVD.

One is a screening study of high-risk GERD patients and the other is a case control study of patients with known disease. Enrollment in these trials is accelerating although unlike non-research clinical activity, clinical research does remain vulnerable to COVID-19 and winter slowdown. We have 21 active U.S.

sites enrolled 33 patients across the two steps, assuming the pandemic doesn’t hold us back; we expect to have an additional 20 active U.S. sites and nine European sites in the coming quarter. Despite the slowdowns, we’re maintaining our end of 2021 target to complete enrollment in these studies.

Although we will not have EsoGuard performance data until the end of the trial, we have received very encouraging user acceptance results today. The EsoCheck procedure received very positive result with over 90% patient satisfaction. Let me now briefly summarize some additional developments in our GI Health division.

We’re making excellent progress on our EsoCure Esophageal Ablation Device, we call EsoCure is a disposable single-use thermal balloon ablation catheter, which uses our patented detect on Caldus Technology to ablate esophageal tissue.

Once cleared and commercialized, EsoCure would allow clinicians to treat dysplastic BE before it can progress to cancer, and to do so without the need for complex and expensive capital equipment by current technologies from Medtronic and others. We expect to proceed with animal testing of prototype soon with FDA submission targeted for 2021.

And another note that the University of Pennsylvania has completed enrollment in a pilot trial, exploring the role of EsoCheck and monitoring treatment in patients with eosinophilic esophogitis or EOE.

EOE is a very common, but underappreciated allergy-mediated condition, which currently requires multiple invasive endoscopies during the course of treatment.

Our partners at the Fred Hutch Cancer Center in Seattle, continue to hold their trial due to COVID, of this trial, we’ll explore the role of EsoCheck and biomarkers designed to detect progression from non-dysplastic to dysplastic beards, which could greatly facilitate the surveillance of various patients.

So, they can be treated prior to the development of cancer. We secured the exclusive option to license these biomarkers if they prove effective in this clinical trial. Now, let’s move from GI Health to Minimally Invasive Interventions, which includes CarpX.

CarpX is our patented single-use, disposable, minimally invasive device designed to treat carpal tunnel syndrome while reducing recovery time. The balloon catheter device is inserted under the scarred ligament, tensioning it while pushing the nerve and tendons away.

When activated, bipolar radiofrequency electrodes precisely cut the ligament from the inside out in a matter of seconds. We believe CarpX will dramatically reduce recovery times compared to traditional carpal tunnel release, targeting an estimated $1 billion and immediately addressable domestic market opportunity. CarpX was granted U.S.

FDA 510(k) marketing clearance earlier this year, after addressing the COVID-19-related supply chain issue, we were able to secure in stock commission inventory in late August. Our commercial strategy for CarpX remains steady and deliberate unlike the EsoCheck procedure, the CarpX procedure as an interventional procedure.

Although significantly less invasive than traditional carpal tunnel release, it does require a technical skill, which comes with training and partner.

As with any interventional device the critical first step before widely marketing with technology, to hand surgeons is to establish a core group of well-trained surgeon ambassadors, who can participate in training, proctoring and evangelizing to other surgeons.

We are secured such a team of world-class hand surgeons, who now serve on our CarpX Advisory Board. The first cadaver testing, excuse me, the cadaver training session was successfully completed last week and we look forward to our first U.S. commercial procedures in the coming week.

Next, some brief highlights from our Infusion Therapy division, which includes PortIO and NextFlo.

PortIO is our implantable, intraosseous vascular access device, which allows direct access to the bone marrow to deliver medications, fluids, and other substances, addressing an estimated $750 million market opportunity based on patients with poor vain and those with renal failure, whose veins must be carefully preserved for current or future hemodialysis.

We are seeking an initial short-term implant duration indication through the FDA’s de novo pathway. our current activity is focused on discussions with the FDA on our proposed IDE or investigational device exemption study in the United States to support this application.

These discussions have progressed well and we hope to have final IDE approval very early next year. The long-term PortIO study in Columbia, South America has been on hold due to COVID-19 related travel and clinical limitations or restrictions.

These restrictions have now been lifted and our team will travel to Columbia next month to initiate site visits with the goal of initiating enrollment in early 2021.

Our next slow intravenous infusion system, which delivers highly accurate gravity driven infusions, independent of the height of the IV bag seeks to eliminate the need for complex and expensive electronic infusion pumps for most of the estimated one million infusions delivered in the United States since then.

We continue to advance the next launch of intravenous physician system through design and full development and testing. This work is going extremely well with flow accuracy rates approaching expensive electronic infusion pumps. We expect to proceed with FDA 510(k) submission early next year.

once cleared, we plan a targeted commercial launch at large medical centers, focusing on the health care economics of our technology relative to electronic infusion pumps.

We remain deep in active M&A discussions with several strategic partners to license the NextFlo technology for disposable infusion pumps, which are used in an ambulatory setting for outpatients. These partners are deep in their diligence process, including beginning to perform their own testing of our technologies in their own laboratory.

We hope to complete this process and consummate a transaction. Once again, we don’t have enough time to cover the other exciting projects we’re working on in our emerging innovations division much, but here are a few highlights.

Our DisappEAR resorbable pediatric tubes manufactured for my proprietary aqueous silk technology seek to revolutionize the care of the estimated one million children, who undergo bilateral ear tube placement each year. We are now fully partnered with global manufacturer Canon Inc.'s U.S. manufacturing and technology center in Virginia.

That work is proceeding ahead of schedule. We have recently received commercial grade, aqueous silk, fibroin molded ear tubes for bench top in animal testing, which we’ll initiate – we’ll reinitiate them. our Solys non-invasive NDIR laser-based blood glucose monitoring technology is also progressing well.

We recently completed initial animal testing of a first-generation prototype and a diabetic rat model. Those results were sufficiently accurate to allow us to achieve the R&D plan milestone as defined in our license agreement.

We developed a second generation prototype with dramatically improved signal-to-noise ratio, which should be ready for human volunteers testing in that front. our emerging innovation team is also working on several exciting early-stage technologies, including – in the areas of that ECMO cardiopulmonary support and mechanical ventilation.

I’ll now pass it on to Dennis McGrath..

Dennis McGrath President & Chief Financial Officer

Thank you, Lishan, and good afternoon, everyone. Our financial results for the quarter ended September 30, 2020, were reported on our press release, was published earlier this afternoon and also in our quarterly report on form 10-Q, which was filed with the SEC on November 6, both available at sec.gov and on our website.

With regards to the financial results for the quarter, research and development expenses for the third quarter of 2020 are $2.6 million, up from about $1.5 million for the same period in 2019, and about $500,000 higher sequentially, returning to the first quarter of 2020 level.

as you might expect the variation both sequentially and year-over-year is primarily related to clinical trial costs, the product development costs. particularly, the sequential changes positively impacted by clinics beginning to normalize operations given the slowdown in the second quarter related to the pandemic.

general and administrative expenses were $2.9 million for the sector for the third quarter of 2020, compared to $1.7 million for the same period in 2019 and we’re about even sequentially.

The year-over-year increase reflects approximately 700,000 increase in sales, staffing levels and other sales related costs together with an increase of approximately 500,000 in consulting services related to patents and regulatory compliance, financing costs and public company expenses.

PAVmed reported a net loss distributable to common stockholders of $5.6 million or a loss of $0.11 per common share, also duplicating the net results in the previous quarter. Our press release provides substantially more detail related to the non-cash charges occurring in the current and prior periods.

Also, the press release provides a table entitled non-GAAP measures, which highlight these amounts along with interest expense and other non-cash charges namely, depreciation, stock-based compensation and financing related costs to give a better understanding of the company’s financial performance.

We noticed from the table after adjusting the GAAP loss by approximately $1.1 million for these type of non-cash or financing-related charges. the company reported a non-GAAP adjusted loss for the three months ended September 30, 2020, a $4.5 million or $0.09 per common share. PAVmed had cash of $8.3 million as of September 30.

during the quarter, company received additional net proceeds of approximately $7 million from the sale of convertible notes at a conversion price of $5 per share. So with that operator, we can now open up the call to any questions from our audience..

Operator

Thank you. [Operator Instructions] Your first question comes from the line of Frank Takkinen with Lake Street Capital Markets. Please proceed with your question..

Lishan Aklog Chairman & Chief Executive Officer

Hey Frank. Good afternoon..

Frank Takkinen

Thanks. Appreciate it. Congrats on the progress this quarter. Just a few questions for you here. Thinking about some of your early adopters of EsoGuard, sounds like you’re having some fantastic success with initial adoption from patients.

So, I’m just hoping you could take us a layer deeper into utilization trends that you’re experiencing, maybe, how many sites are now stocking EsoGuard and overall patient receptiveness of the product..

Lishan Aklog Chairman & Chief Executive Officer

So, the – in terms of the adoption and the response both from physicians and patients, it’s been, like you said, it’s been extremely positive.

I think as I’ve mentioned before, we were prepared as we were entering into the GI space in our discussions with the GI physicians for some pushback, as it relates to potentially cannibalizing their existing endoscopy business and so forth. And that is just generally not materialized, we’ve had much easier time than we had expected.

And making the case that this is a tool that they should be embracing that is ultimately, clearly, to the benefit of their patients, but also to the benefit of their practice. There are patients within their practices, just right there, patients, who are undergoing colonoscopy are there for other reasons, who are high-risk patients.

they might not otherwise perform an endoscopy on, who are candidates for e-cigarette testing, and that our joint activities targeting primary care and they’re referring that work will ultimately increase the funnel of the patient. So, it’s really been nothing but positive.

I mean, we obviously have some that have become just real champions and are doing cases almost every day and are leading the charge. That’s always the case with the introduction of new technologies, because early adopters, who become champions and bring others along. But it’s been really steady and broad.

And I don’t like to emphasize one of the things that I said, in my prepared remarks, which is that, although we’re focused on gastroenterologists and the – and we were doing so, so that the procedures can be centralized and concentrated, where the disease is most known and amongst physicians, who really own the disease.

We’re actually having really good signals that there’s receptivity within the broader medical community including internal medicine, and – but one example both at the academic center here in New York, as well as in the private large internal medicine, private practice out west are very encouraging time for that.

The physician was – the patient response has been good as well.

I guess I’ve mentioned the formal data that we’re starting to get from our clinical trial, which shows really high user acceptance created a 90% patient satisfaction and that’s born out in the commercial clinical activity as well, where patients – some obviously, have concerns about swallowing this and gagging, but we’ve trained our operators really quite well to educate the patients before the procedure and we’re achieving a high technical success rate.

And so we’re able to swallow it and people appreciate the fact that they’re achieving some comfort level. These are patients with chronic heartburn, who now are becoming increasingly, aware of their risk factor – risk for developing that. In terms of a specific numbers, I think, let me ask Dennis to maybe, chime in on that..

Dennis McGrath President & Chief Financial Officer

I think Frank, it’s early in the game, provide a data set to give some kind of predictive insight into what’s occurring today. I will give you some highlights, but we will be developing that data set.

We’re seeing a little different in each type of practice and we’re also drilling down and honing our message and the type of practices we’re pursuing, which the dynamics are a little bit different on each one.

But to give you just some high level – and first off, I don’t want to provide any data set today that gives an indication of one way or the other, when that data set is evolving. And the typical things you’d want to know is what’s the utilization per store.

What’s the same-store sales quarter-to-quarter? Those metrics will develop and we’ll start reporting on them as revenue starts to generate in the first quarter and we start to provide deeper color. So, analysts like yourself can kind of figure out what that means presently and what that can mean prospectively as you build your models.

But to give you some high level, the month of October was significantly higher than the month of August, the first 10 days of November equal to what we did in all of October, we increased the number of sellers out in the field that are doing a lot of prospecting – that prospecting is starting to yield results today.

I think by the end of – when we report on the first quarter, we’ll have a greater feel of what that data set that will be beneficial to folks like [indiscernible] in our shareholder community in terms of what the past results might mean in terms of the future opportunities.

We know that the total addressable market, we know what the response from the physicians is. It all speaks really well in terms of what that opportunity is the granularity of how to report on that will evolve in the upcoming quarters and be happy to give you a kind of color at that time..

Lishan Aklog Chairman & Chief Executive Officer

Yes. let me just add a couple of things. So, on accounts, we’ve reported previously hundreds of accounts that we’ve engaged with that number is multiplied several faults and since then, and on – in terms of accounts that have product on the shelf, believe that have numbers approaching about 100. So, we have plenty of sites.

right now, we’re focused on procedural volume. And as Dennis said, really the last two, two and a half months has really shown an early nice inflection, with cases doubling about every four to six weeks. And we’re confident that we’ll be able to continue at a good pace.

As I mentioned, because we’re – we appear to be plowing ahead despite the surgeon cohort cases that we’re seeing in this winter. .

Frank Takkinen

Well, that will sound fantastic.

Just switching gears a little bit to the reimbursement side, congrats on getting the final scheduled test code, determination for EsoGuard on effective January 1, I was just hoping you could give us a little feel for revenue recognition with that, if there’s an opportunity to backfill some of these tests that you are doing right now.

And how you expect to initially ramping revenues when it’s a little bit uncertain – treatment option?.

Lishan Aklog Chairman & Chief Executive Officer

Yes. Sorry, let me just start in terms of mechanics and then maybe to comment on the accounting side. So we’ve been performing procedures this year, but we have cautiously chosen not to submit those until we have an effective – until we had effective CMS and Medicare payments determination.

So yes, we will be submitting those starting January 1, under the new code and we have a full year to submit. So there was a backlog that you’ve mentioned will start to kick in, as we start to go under the effective payment by January 1. And then from that point on, we will be submitting claims and billing on procedures on an ongoing basis.

Obviously there’s a timeline between claim submission and receive a payment and that’ll affect sort of the timing of revenue recognition.

Dennis, would you like to chime in a little bit further on that?.

Dennis McGrath President & Chief Financial Officer

Yes, sure. So the payment that Lishan said, CMS or Medicare starts to take effect January 1. And we can bill in 2021 for procedures performed in 2020, as long as those procedures were performed within 12 months of the date we invoice. And it’s our intent to invoice all of these procedures soon in January.

And the gap rules require us to be able to have a definitive understanding of what the estimated collections are on each invoice to bill, to recognize revenue based upon the invoice.

And most companies who go through this process, there’s a period of time of where the evidence evolves to where that predictability of invoice translating to cash comes about. So early stages of this, we will recognize revenue on cash and steeps. Part of our targeted audience are in the private payer bucket.

And those folks who are being tested, we will submit claims to the likes of all the private payers. There’ll be some denials, there’ll be some payments, there’ll be some clarification in terms of coverage policies that will become clear through 2021, adding to the predictability of that invoice to cash collection cycle.

And when we get to level of predictability, then we’ll start recognizing revenue on an invoice basis or accrual basis, if you will, rather than the cash basis. But keep in mind that our targeted audience for this disease and the precursors to it is a significant Medicare patient population. It’s somewhere between 60% and 70% of our target audience.

And as it becomes definitive as to what the Medicare payment is with this determination and that there are no denials or denials on a significant basis until that process has worked out. Once that process has worked out, it becomes predictable.

We’ll start being able to recognize revenue for the Medicare patients likely sooner than on the private payers, as that takes root in 2021. Hopefully that explained clearly the revenue recognition that we’ll be going through in the early part of 2021..

Frank Takkinen

Perfect. That makes sense. And then just last one from me to touch on the CarpX business a little bit. Like some good commercial progress there, first manager in the door, surgeon group set and starting to look towards first commercial procedures. I’m just hoping you could talk about the ramp of that business a little bit more.

And when you expect to maybe put the foot down on the throttle – the commercialization throttle a little bit more aggressively with that offering?.

Lishan Aklog Chairman & Chief Executive Officer

Yes. First thing, it’s a little bit hard to do quantitatively, but I can clearly map out the past from a qualitative point of view.

So, as I mentioned, the goal is to have an initial network of well framed very committed hand surgeons who are not just key opinion leaders, but advocates or ambassadors, but I actually can serve as trainers or proctors for the procedure. We established a group of five, we’ll likely we’ll expand that a bit more over the coming months.

We’re getting them trained and we’ll get them to start doing, getting some procedures under their belt over the coming months. Once we’ve reached that, so it’s going to be fairly steady and deliberate, and you might say slow for that early part.

But once we have a core group of half a dozen to a dozen surgeons across the country who have done meaningful procedural volume have got the procedure down, have honed the procedure collectively. Remember, any early introduction, there’s an iterative development process that happens with – as you introduced the procedure.

And that’s part of the reason to get a deliberate start is to learn from the early experience, so that when you expand further. So once that group has had a good amount of cases under their belt and feel comfortable with the procedure, feel comfortable with participating in training and proctoring, then we can move out quickly.

This is not sort of a slow linear ramp. It’s really a slow and steady per space, followed by sort of a more accelerated phase once we have that core group up and running..

Frank Takkinen

Got it. That makes sense. All right. Thanks for taking my questions and congrats on all the progress in the quarter..

Lishan Aklog Chairman & Chief Executive Officer

Thanks a lot Frank..

Operator

Your next question comes from the line of Anthony Vendetti with Maxim Group. Please proceed with your question..

Lishan Aklog Chairman & Chief Executive Officer

Anthony, how are you doing?.

Anthony Vendetti

Good Lishan. How are you doing Dennis? I just wanted to follow-up a little more on EsoGuard, EsoCheck.

So I know you’re performing some of the procedures, billing won’t start until 1-2021, any way that you can provide a little bit more color on how many of those procedures so far? Just to try and get an idea of what the ramp spin? And then wanted to talk a little bit about COVID-19 and the impact?.

Lishan Aklog Chairman & Chief Executive Officer

Dennis, I'll let you handle this..

Mike Havrilla

Dennis, are you still there?.

Dennis McGrath President & Chief Financial Officer

Yes, of course, I was on mute and I gave an eloquent answer. So Anthony, I think, we're going to defer to the response, I gave to Frank in terms of what that dataset looks like. We gave kind of high level speed ramp in terms of November over October.

We really just got started here towards the end of August with the clinic starting to trickle open a little bit earlier than that. I think that they're the kind of the number of clinics, the number of procedures per clinic, same-store sales, month-over-month, or quarter-over-quarter are all things that we expect to the reporting upon.

And that dataset will become clear for us that can help with that kind of question and what that represents to the future.

And I'd like to defer that until at least the next quarter, to be able to provide that level of color and detail as we see the different types of clinics and the subsets of their services in those clinics become clear in terms of our pursuit of a future clientele. So I think we'll defer that till the next call..

Anthony Vendetti

Okay. Well, I'll just say that, I thought that was eloquent as well, Dennis..

Lishan Aklog Chairman & Chief Executive Officer

That's why I referred to him..

Anthony Vendetti

But I guess, Den, can you just talk about whether or not you're seeing an impact from COVID-19 or what Lishan said during the call is that hospitals have figured out how to work during this pandemic now that we understand COVID a little bit better.

And so would it be accurate to say it's not having much of an impact on the uptake as far as you can tell at this point?.

Lishan Aklog Chairman & Chief Executive Officer

I don't think that's an overstatement really. I think people have figured it out. People are doing procedures. As I mentioned, we have advantages with EsoGuard and EsoCheck as that the procedure is simple and office space.

So what you used to me, maybe be a 30 minutes cycle time for endoscopies in an endoscopy center has probably doubled now, because of just the extra cleaning that has to happen between cases of the technology. So we've seen some commentary that there might be actually, the advantage of doing EsoGuard in a COVID setting because of that.

And so yes, it's just been our experience that sort of a break has been lifted. And that hasn't really changed as we've gone through this fall and winter surge. Our ability to get access to physicians in the commercial setting has been pretty good.

And if you recall, prior to this call, much of that activity was being done virtually that's pretty much eliminated. We were getting our folks in there. Occasionally, you'll get a hotspot that comes up, where things tighten a little bit.

But one of the things that we've been doing with our sales team is that we've been having our sales management – managers be more on it round and that's supervisory and actually sort of in the trenches more.

And so that's actually allowed us to be responsive to occasional sort of hotspot related restrictions, where they can sort of quickly move from one location to another. And we have a couple of examples of that this week.

So far it doesn't seem like this, the surge is going to hamper this rapid exponential growth in cases that we've seen over the last couple of months. It doesn't seem to be affecting us and for the reasons that I just described..

Dennis McGrath President & Chief Financial Officer

Sure, sure. Anthony, I would just add to that our people are now traveling and with exception – or in certain exceptions, not able to get into certain clinics. We are paying commissions to the independent reps or valid tests that are being done through our process. So as Lishan said that is ramping up, we are seeing definitive results.

And as revenue starts to click in here in January 1, we would start the providing the additional color on various metrics. Look the key as, Anthony, once you set with a set of metrics, you were obligated to continue to report on them.

We want to make sure that we're the first set of metrics we provide on revenue dissection, is something that all of us are content with to be able to measure performance and give some guidance in terms of what the future is likely to hold by duplicating more of what we are currently doing.

And I think by waiting till January 1, I think all of us will be in a better spot in terms of the reliable metrics that give us those kind of insights..

Anthony Vendetti

Sure. Understood.

And then just following up on CarpX, you mentioned initial network of KOLs before going to a full commercial launch, approximately how many KOLs and how long do you think that that feedback will be – I mean, how long is it necessary to wait for that feedback before you feel confident to do a full commercial launch?.

Lishan Aklog Chairman & Chief Executive Officer

Yes.

Just to clarify one thing, it's not their feedback so much as their experience and their role as proctors and trainers, right? So some of it is feedback and some of it is procedural development, but the primary purpose of establishing this early group is for, to establish a cohort of folks who can serve as trainers and proctors then for general evangelizers.

So we have files, I think somewhere between five and 10 is probably what this initial cohort will be. We'll have to get them all trained that is, we have to get them to a – they do have to travel for that to work at ever lab to do the training. The first one went quite well last week. And I don't think, it's not a tunnel.

I mean, I think once each of them get a couple of dozen cases under their belt with good success and a level of comfort that they feel that they can train and proctor other surgeons, and then I think we should be good to go with a broader relief to a broader audience.

I don't think that should take once we get them trained and these are very busy versus the typical answer to, it could do next 12, even upwards of 20 carpal tunnel releases a day. So, they’re very busy.

So, once they have it under their belt and they’re trained, I don’t expect that will take a long time for them to get the records clinical experience for us to feel comfortable utilizing them as part of a wider release..

Anthony Vendetti

Okay, great. Thanks very much. I’ll hop back in the queue. Appreciate it..

Lishan Aklog Chairman & Chief Executive Officer

Thanks, Anthony..

Dennis McGrath President & Chief Financial Officer

Thanks, Anthony..

Operator

Your next question comes from line of Ed Woo with Ascendiant Capital. Please proceed with your question..

Lishan Aklog Chairman & Chief Executive Officer

Hey, Ed. Good afternoon..

Dennis McGrath President & Chief Financial Officer

Hi, Ed.

How are you?.

Ed Woo

It’s my question, in terms of EsoGuard and EsoCheck, how often do you think the patients will be utilizing either of these?.

Lishan Aklog Chairman & Chief Executive Officer

When you say, how often, could you just clarify and make sure, I understand your question..

Ed Woo

Yes. Frequencies in terms of, obviously, being diagnosed…..

Lishan Aklog Chairman & Chief Executive Officer

Yes. So, let me make sure I understand the question. So, a typical patient, who has a chronic carpal or GERD, who has risk factors that would make them appropriate for screening of which again, there’s millions of patients like that. Well, undergo an EsoGuard test to determine if they have Barrett’s esophagus or something further along the spectrum.

If they’re negative – if they’re positive, then they’ll undergo an endoscopy, not just to confirm the diagnosis, but to determine whether they have more advanced disease, dysplasia or cancer, which needs to be addressed immediately.

Those who just have non-dysplastic Barrett’s will enter into what’s currently in established surveillance regimen, which is typically, an endoscopy every three years although as I mentioned, we’re trying to develop tools and technologies to work within that in surveillance of Barrett's as well.

A negative patient – it’s not clear that a negative patient needs any further testing, a clinician may choose to do so at some point, three, five years down the road, if they have – particularly, if they have ongoing persistent symptoms, but a negative considered a negative, and generally, those are not – there’s no mandatory follow-up for those features..

Ed Woo

Great. So, you don’t anticipate something that a more frequent like annual or semi-annual basis..

Dennis McGrath President & Chief Financial Officer

Yes. I mean, it may turn out that once we get our data from the clinical study and we actually have some longer-term data that we can – that we would establish such a screening regimen. But right now, there really is no foundation for that.

What we’re talking about is screening, high-risk patients, who have established chronic GERD, and if they’re negative, then they’re likely to be negative for the foreseeable future. .

Ed Woo

Then, because you mentioned earlier, there’s such a big gap between people who should be tested – recommended, be tested and people actually being tested.

Have you guys considered doing direct-to-consumer marketing?.

Dennis McGrath President & Chief Financial Officer

Definitely..

Lishan Aklog Chairman & Chief Executive Officer

Yes, that is – that’s always been a part of our long-term strategy. And right now, we’re putting a lot of effort in establishing the foundation for that. This is a disease, you can sort of divide diseases in terms of patient facing, and those are not patient facing. And this is clearly, a disease that patients can understand.

We can educate them on the relationship between their chronic heartburn, which they typically believe to be just something that’s symptomatic that they have to – they can treat with PPIs or an asset prior to what we be their symptoms and educating them on the relationship between that and the risk that it puts them for our chronic prolonged for esophageal cancer is part of the educational process, where we’re establishing right now as we speak.

Once we have gotten some traction on the reimbursement side and we have a little bit further along, we fully intend to invest in an aggressive direct-to-consumer marketing, platform kind of for the reasons I just described.

Dennis, do you want to add a little bit to that?.

Dennis McGrath President & Chief Financial Officer

So, I think that’s exactly on point. I don’t think that there’s anything else to add to that to give more color..

Ed Woo

Great. That was very helpful. And then my last question is just, you got many products that are various stages of commercializations or in trials.

Are you still looking out for additional products to add to your portfolio and has COVID presented additional opportunity for people to present products for you?.

Lishan Aklog Chairman & Chief Executive Officer

The answer is yes. Sorry for the chuckle, but I think you’ve got a little – you must have an ESP. So, our company from the onset has always been built on the notion that we will look at technologies that provide opportunities for that address unmet clinical needs and provide market opportunities and we’ve done that.

So, we’ve licensed three technologies, obviously EsoGuard and EsoCheck, which are our leading and potentially, our most valuable products are ones that we – that were a result of that process, where we searched and found this technology and licensed that from an academic medical center.

So, we are constantly, I mean, very regularly presented with technologies and are – and evaluating technologies all along the way. And there are several that are in the pipeline that we’re in sort of an active process of evaluating. And the answer to your question is a couple of them actually, are directly related to COVID and COVID test.

Do I answer to both questions?.

Ed Woo

Great. Well, thank you and good luck..

Lishan Aklog Chairman & Chief Executive Officer

All right. Thank you, Ed..

Dennis McGrath President & Chief Financial Officer

Thanks, Ed..

Operator

Ladies and gentlemen, we have reached the end of the question-and-answer session, and I would like to turn the call back to Dr. Lishan Aklog for closing remarks..

Lishan Aklog Chairman & Chief Executive Officer

All right, great. Well, hey, thank you all for joining us this afternoon and for the great questions from our analysts. We look forward to keeping you rest of our progress via new releases and periodic conference calls such as this one.

And please remember to want to keep in touch with us contact Mike Havrilla at jmh@pavmed.com and continue to keep up with our news through our Investor Relations website, and by following us on Twitter, LinkedIn, and YouTube, and the rest of our website. So, thanks again, everybody. Have a great day..

Operator

This concludes today’s conference. You may disconnect your lines at this time. Thank you for your participation..

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