Yum! Brands, Inc.

Yum! Brands, Inc.

YUMยทNYSE

$148.49

+1.3%
Consumer CyclicalRestaurants

YUM! Brands, Inc., together with its subsidiaries, develops, operates, and franchises quick service restaurants worldwide. It operates through four segments: the KFC Division, the Taco Bell Division, the Pizza Hut Division, and the Habit Burger Grill Division. The company operates restaurants under the KFC, Pizza Hut, Taco Bell, and The Habit Burger Grill brands, which specialize in chicken, pizza, made-to-order chargrilled burgers, sandwiches, Mexican-style food categories, and other food products. As of December 31, 2021, it had 26,934 KFC units; 18,381 Pizza Hut units; 7,791 Taco Bell units; and 318 The Habit Burger Grill units in approximately 157 countries and territories. The company was formerly known as TRICON Global Restaurants, Inc. and changed its name to YUM! Brands, Inc. in May 2002. YUM! Brands, Inc. was incorporated in 1997 and is headquartered in Louisville, Kentucky.

At a Glance

Live Snapshot
Market Cap$40.93B
EPS5.5900
P/E Ratio26.56
Earnings Date08/04/2026

Intrinsic Alpha Methodology

Thesis Lenses

Signal ยท Driver ยท Risk

Signal

High confidence

Valuation multiple is elevated (P/E 26.6).

Valuation inputs: P/E 26.6, earnings yield +3.8%, momentum +1.3%.

If multiples stay elevated while momentum fades, downside repricing risk rises.

Driver

High confidence

Return profile is soft (ROE -21.3%, ROIC +28.3%).

Profitability stack: net margin +19.0%, ROE -21.3%, ROIC +28.3%.

Quality deterioration often appears in margins before it shows up in headline EPS.

Risk

High confidence

Risk profile is balanced but has notable pressure points to monitor.

Risk factors: liabilities/assets +189.3%, momentum +1.3%, net margin +19.0%.

Higher leverage with weak momentum and thin margins can amplify drawdown severity.

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Yum! Brands, Inc. Market vs Earnings Trajectory

YUM ยท NYSE

Loading price and EPS data...

Yum! Brands, Inc.

Yum! Brands, Inc. Fair Value Envelope

YUM ยท NYSE

Our analysis suggests that YUM has a fair value of HIDDEN per share in the Base Case projection. With shares currently trading at $148.49, this represents a potential HIDDEN relative to our calculated worth for Yum! Brands, Inc..

Intrinsic Value
Current Price: $148.49
3Y+21.0%
5Y+87.0%
10Y+34.0%
3Y+20.0%
5Y+45.0%
10Y+29.0%
3Y+18.0%
5Y+72.0%
10Y-5.0%
3Y+41.0%
5Y+54.0%
10Y+67.0%
3Y+43.0%
5Y+43.0%
10Y+110.0%
3Y+40.0%
5Y+40.0%
10Y+50.0%
Yum! Brands, Inc.

Yum! Brands, Inc. Profit Bridge

YUM ยท NYSE
Revenue8.21B
Cost of Goods Sold (4.42B)
Gross Profit3.79B
Operating Expenses (1.26B)
Operating Income2.53B
Interest Expense (500.00M)
Other Income/Expense-453.00M
Pretax Income2.08B
Income Tax (518.00M)
Net Income1.56B
Net Income
1.56B

Profitability Analysis

Gross Margin

46.2%

Strong gross margins indicate healthy pricing and efficient production or service delivery.

Operating Margin

30.8%

Outstanding operational efficiency. The company generates substantial profit from core operations.

Net Profit Margin

19.0%

Strong net margins indicate efficient operations and favorable tax/interest management.

Effective Tax Rate

24.9%

Moderate tax rate typical for most corporations. Represents standard tax burden on profits.

Profitability Insight

Exceptional profitability across all levels: Strong pricing power, efficient operations, and healthy bottom line indicate a high-quality business with sustainable competitive advantages.

46.17%
Gross Profit Margin
-3%
3Y-4.0%
5Y-3.0%
10Y+10.0%
30.80%
Operating Profit Margin
-3%
3Y-4.0%
5Y+16.0%
10Y+16.0%
18.98%
Net Profit Margin
-4%
3Y-2.0%
5Y+19.0%
10Y-27.0%
-21.28%
Return on Equity
10%
3Y+43.0%
5Y+86.0%
10Y-27.0%
19.02%
Return on Assets
-14%
3Y-16.0%
5Y+23.0%
10Y-37.0%
28.26%
Return on Invested Capital
-16%
3Y-24.0%
5Y-
10Y-7.0%
YUM

Yum! Brands, Inc. Cash Conversion Engine

YUM ยท NYSE
Net Income1.56B
Depreciation & Amortization206.00M
Stock-Based Compensation70.00M
Change in Working Capital95.00M
Others-27.00M
Capital Expenditures-371.00M
Free Cash Flow1.64B

Cash Flow Quality Analysis

FCF Conversion Rate

105.1%

Excellent cash generation. The company converts earnings to cash at or above 100%, indicating high-quality earnings.

CapEx Intensity

18.5%

Asset-light business model. Low capital requirements leave more cash available for shareholders and growth investments.

FCF Growth Trend

+14.5%

Steady FCF growth indicates consistent cash generation improvement. On a positive trajectory.

Working Capital Impact

+$95.00M

Working capital inflow boosted cash flow. Efficient management of receivables, inventory, and payables contributing positively.

Cash Flow Quality Insight

Exceptional cash generation: High-quality earnings converting to growing free cash flow. The company demonstrates strong pricing power, efficient operations, and disciplined capital allocation.

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Yum! Brands, Inc. Funding & Solvency Profile

YUM ยท NYSE
Cash & Cash Equivalents689.00M
Net Receivables828.00M
Inventory0.00
Other Current Assets513.00M
Total Current Assets2 B
Property, Plant & Equipment1.62B
Goodwill & Intangible Assets1.87B
Long-Term Investments0.00
Other Non-Current Assets1.74B
Total Non-Current Assets3 B
Total Assets
8.21B

Financial Health Analysis

Current Ratio

0.65x

Warning: Liquidity concerns. Current assets may not be sufficient to cover short-term obligations.

Working Capital

-1088000000

Negative working capital indicates short-term liabilities exceed short-term assetsโ€”potential liquidity stress.

Asset Composition

25% Current

Capital-intensive business with significant long-term investments in property, equipment, or intangibles.

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Yum! Brands, Inc. Street Expectations Map

YUM ยท NYSE

Wall Street analysts project that YUM stock may rise significantly over the coming 12 months. The consensus 1-year price target stands at 177.50, with estimates ranging from a low of 160.00 to a high of 190.00.

Lowest Target
160.00
7.75%
Consensus Target
177.50
19.54%
Highest Target
190.00
27.95%

The consensus 1-year price target stands at 177.50, with estimates ranging from a low of 160.00 to a high of 190.00.

Analyst Consensus Analysis

Upside Potential

+19.5%

Strong upside potential. Consensus indicates attractive return opportunity with favorable risk-reward profile.

Analyst Agreement

16.9% spread

High analyst agreement. Narrow target range indicates strong consensus on valuation, suggesting clear investment thesis and predictable outlook.

Analyst Conviction

Very High

Strong buy conviction: High upside with tight consensus suggests compelling investment opportunity backed by analyst confidence.

Market Sentiment Insight

Monitor and evaluate: Current analyst consensus suggests limited conviction or near-term catalysts. Stay informed on company developments and reassess positioning as new information emerges.

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Yum! Brands, Inc. Insider Positioning

YUM ยท NYSE

During the last 12 months, insiders have sold $10.47M worth of YUM shares, with no buying activity reported.

3 Months

Bought

0

0.00

Sold

10.6K

1.62M

Net Activity

-1.6M

-$1.62M

3-6 Months

Bought

0

0.00

Sold

18.4K

2.97M

Net Activity

-3.0M

-$2.97M

6-9 Months

Bought

0

0.00

Sold

18.4K

2.75M

Net Activity

-2.8M

-$2.75M

9-12 Months

Bought

0

0.00

Sold

21.3K

3.13M

Net Activity

-3.1M

-$3.13M

Top Buyers

No buying activity

Top Sellers

1
STL

Skeans Tracy L

Officer: Coo And Cpo

29.7K sharesโ€ข4 transactions

$4.48M

2
PA

Powell Aaron

Officer: Ceo - Pizza Hut

18.4K sharesโ€ข3 transactions

$2.92M

3
GDW

Gibbs David W

Director, Officer: Chief Executive Officer

7.8K sharesโ€ข4 transactions

$1.15M

4
MS

Mezvinsky Scott

Officer: Kfc Division Ceo

5.0K sharesโ€ข13 transactions

$763K

5
TS

Tresvant Sean

Officer: Taco Bell, Ceo, Yum Cco

3.0K sharesโ€ข1 transactions

$464K

Insider Activity Analysis

Net Insider Sentiment

Bearish

Strong bearish signal with $10.47M net selling. Heavy insider selling may indicate concerns about valuation or near-term prospects.

Buy/Sell Ratio

0.00:1

Very poor ratio. Heavy selling with minimal buying suggests insiders may be concerned about valuation or outlook.

Recent Trend (3 Months)

$1.62M

Heavy recent selling activity. Recent insider sales notably exceed purchasesโ€”may warrant investigation into company developments.

Insider Participation

High Selling

5 insider sellers vs. 0 buyers. Widespread selling across multiple insiders may signal concerns.

Insider Activity Insight

Multiple red flags: Heavy selling, numerous sellers, and continued recent selling create a concerning pattern. Investigate fundamental drivers and consider whether company guidance or industry conditions have deteriorated.

0.48%
Dividend Yield
3%
3Y+6.0%
5Y+4.0%
10Y-38.0%
ย 

yum Dividend History

YUM
10Y CAGR +9%
Latest $0.75
Annual $3.63
5 year growth trend
Last Period: +0%