Weyerhaeuser Company
$24.47
+0.33%Weyerhaeuser Company, one of the world's largest private owners of timberlands, began operations in 1900. We own or control approximately 11 million acres of timberlands in the U.S. and manage additional timberlands under long-term licenses in Canada. We manage these timberlands on a sustainable basis in compliance with internationally recognized forestry standards. We are also one of the largest manufacturers of wood products in North America. Our company is a real estate investment trust. In 2020, we generated $7.5 billion in net sales and employed approximately 9,400 people who serve customers worldwide. We are listed on the Dow Jones Sustainability North America Index. Our common stock trades on the New York Stock Exchange under the symbol WY.
At a Glance
Live SnapshotIntrinsic Alpha Methodology
Thesis Lenses
Signal
High confidenceValuation multiple is elevated (P/E 54.4).
Valuation inputs: P/E 54.4, earnings yield +1.8%, momentum +0.3%.
If multiples stay elevated while momentum fades, downside repricing risk rises.
Driver
High confidenceReturn profile is soft (ROE +3.4%, ROIC +2.9%).
Profitability stack: net margin +4.7%, ROE +3.4%, ROIC +2.9%.
Quality deterioration often appears in margins before it shows up in headline EPS.
Risk
High confidenceRisk profile is balanced but has notable pressure points to monitor.
Risk factors: liabilities/assets +43.3%, momentum +0.3%, net margin +4.7%.
Higher leverage with weak momentum and thin margins can amplify drawdown severity.
Weyerhaeuser Company Market vs Earnings Trajectory
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Weyerhaeuser Company Fair Value Envelope
Weyerhaeuser Company Profit Bridge
Profitability Analysis
Gross Margin
Thin margins leave little room for error. Cost management and pricing strategy are critical.
Operating Margin
Acceptable margins but limited operational leverage. Operating expense control is important.
Net Profit Margin
Minimal profitability after all expenses. Limited financial flexibility for reinvestment or shareholder returns.
Effective Tax Rate
Below-average tax rate suggests effective tax planning, favorable jurisdictions, or tax credits.
Profitability Insight
Efficient profit conversion: Minimal margin compression from gross to net indicates lean operations and favorable tax/interest environment.
Weyerhaeuser Company Cash Conversion Engine
Cash Flow Quality Analysis
FCF Conversion Rate
Weak cash conversion. Significant portion of earnings not converting to cash—review working capital trends and capital intensity.
CapEx Intensity
Very high capital intensity consumes most operating cash flow. Limited flexibility for dividends or debt reduction.
FCF Growth Trend
Significant FCF decline raises concerns. Urgent review needed of operational performance and capital allocation.
Working Capital Impact
Significant working capital drain. Growth may be consuming cash through inventory buildup or receivables extension—monitor closely.
Cash Flow Quality Insight
Deteriorating cash generation: Both declining FCF and weak conversion rate signal fundamental challenges. Investigate margin pressure, rising costs, or working capital issues.
Weyerhaeuser Company Funding & Solvency Profile
Financial Health Analysis
Current Ratio
Acceptable liquidity, but monitor closely. Current assets just barely cover current liabilities.
Debt-to-Equity Ratio
Balanced capital structure with moderate leverage. Equity exceeds debt, suggesting healthy financial stability.
Working Capital
Positive working capital, but relatively tight. The company should monitor cash flow carefully.
Asset Composition
Capital-intensive business with significant long-term investments in property, equipment, or intangibles.
Weyerhaeuser Company Street Expectations Map
Wall Street analysts project that WY stock may rise significantly over the coming 12 months. The consensus 1-year price target stands at 29.50, with estimates ranging from a low of 28.00 to a high of 33.00.
The consensus 1-year price target stands at 29.50, with estimates ranging from a low of 28.00 to a high of 33.00.
Analyst Consensus Analysis
Upside Potential
Strong upside potential. Consensus indicates attractive return opportunity with favorable risk-reward profile.
Analyst Agreement
High analyst agreement. Narrow target range indicates strong consensus on valuation, suggesting clear investment thesis and predictable outlook.
Analyst Conviction
Strong buy conviction: High upside with tight consensus suggests compelling investment opportunity backed by analyst confidence.
Market Sentiment Insight
Rare opportunity: Exceptional upside potential with strong analyst consensus creates a compelling setup. The combination of significant price target premium and tight agreement suggests high-conviction undervaluation that may attract institutional capital.
Weyerhaeuser Company Insider Positioning
During the last 12 months, insiders have purchased $823K and sold $2.39M worth of WY shares, resulting in $1.57M of net selling activity.
3 Months
0
0.00
0
0.00
+0
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3-6 Months
28.5K
721.63K
101.3K
2.39M
-1.7M
-$1.67M
6-9 Months
0
0.00
0
0.00
+0
+$0
9-12 Months
4.0K
101.14K
0
0.00
+101K
+$101K
Top Buyers
Beckwitt Richard
Director
$514K
Lewis Sara Grootwassink
Director
$207K
O'Rourke James Calvin
Director
$101K
Top Sellers
Stockfish Devin W
Director, Officer: President And Ceo
$2.10M
Chaney Brian K
Officer: Senior Vice President
$288K
Insider Activity Analysis
Net Insider Sentiment
Negative insider sentiment with $1.57M net selling. Selling notably exceeds buying, warranting closer scrutiny of company fundamentals.
Buy/Sell Ratio
Weak buy/sell ratio. Selling significantly exceeds buying—monitor for potential fundamental concerns.
Insider Participation
3 insider buyers vs. 2 sellers. More insiders buying than selling indicates positive sentiment.
wy Dividend History
Learning Layer
Related Guides
Build conviction on WY by pairing this stock hub with focused valuation guides.
Research Paths
Snapshot
Start with context, operating signals, and key market metrics.
Value Model
Stress test fair value across bear, base, and bull assumptions.
Statements
Validate revenue quality, margins, and balance sheet durability.
Earnings Call
Read management commentary and compare it with reported outcomes.
Dividends
Check payout sustainability and long-term distribution behavior.
Analyst Expectations
Review consensus spread and where estimate risk is concentrated.