V2X, Inc.
$82.74
-1.1%V2X, Inc. is based in Colorado Springs, Colorado.
At a Glance
Live SnapshotIntrinsic Alpha Methodology
Thesis Lenses
Signal
High confidenceValuation multiple is elevated (P/E 33.5).
Valuation inputs: P/E 33.5, earnings yield +3.0%, momentum -1.1%.
If multiples stay elevated while momentum fades, downside repricing risk rises.
Driver
High confidenceReturn profile is soft (ROE +7.2%, ROIC +6.3%).
Profitability stack: net margin +1.7%, ROE +7.2%, ROIC +6.3%.
Quality deterioration often appears in margins before it shows up in headline EPS.
Risk
High confidenceDownside profile is elevated and scenario stress-testing is essential.
Risk factors: liabilities/assets +68.0%, momentum -1.1%, net margin +1.7%.
Higher leverage with weak momentum and thin margins can amplify drawdown severity.
V2X, Inc. Market vs Earnings Trajectory
Performance Analysis
EPS Growth
Strong earnings growth indicates robust business expansion and improving profitability.
Price-EPS Relationship
Stock price is moving in line with earnings growth—a healthy sign of fundamental-driven valuation.
Stock Price Change
Over the 1Y period, stock price has increased by 86.6%.
P/E Ratio (TTM)
Elevated P/E indicates investors expect strong future growth.
Key Insight
Stock price (+86.6%) is outpacing earnings growth (+25.9%), suggesting the market may be pricing in future growth. Monitor if earnings can catch up to justify the valuation.
V2X, Inc. Fair Value Envelope
V2X, Inc. Profit Bridge
Profitability Analysis
Gross Margin
Thin margins leave little room for error. Cost management and pricing strategy are critical.
Operating Margin
Minimal operating profit suggests high operating costs or pricing challenges. Scalability is concerning.
Net Profit Margin
Minimal profitability after all expenses. Limited financial flexibility for reinvestment or shareholder returns.
Effective Tax Rate
Moderate tax rate typical for most corporations. Represents standard tax burden on profits.
Profitability Insight
Efficient profit conversion: Minimal margin compression from gross to net indicates lean operations and favorable tax/interest environment.
V2X, Inc. Cash Conversion Engine
Cash Flow Quality Analysis
FCF Conversion Rate
Excellent cash generation. The company converts earnings to cash at or above 100%, indicating high-quality earnings.
CapEx Intensity
Asset-light business model. Low capital requirements leave more cash available for shareholders and growth investments.
FCF Growth Trend
Significant FCF decline raises concerns. Urgent review needed of operational performance and capital allocation.
Working Capital Impact
Moderate working capital outflow. Typical for growing businesses, but ensure it's supporting revenue growth, not inefficiency.
Cash Flow Quality Insight
Asset-light with strong cash conversion: Low capital requirements combined with efficient cash generation creates significant shareholder value through dividends, buybacks, or strategic investments.
V2X, Inc. Funding & Solvency Profile
Financial Health Analysis
Current Ratio
Acceptable liquidity, but monitor closely. Current assets just barely cover current liabilities.
Debt-to-Equity Ratio
Elevated leverage. Debt exceeds equity, which amplifies both gains and risks. Monitor debt servicing ability.
Working Capital
Positive working capital, but relatively tight. The company should monitor cash flow carefully.
Asset Composition
Capital-intensive business with significant long-term investments in property, equipment, or intangibles.
V2X, Inc. Street Expectations Map
Wall Street analysts project that VVX stock may see slight declines over the coming 12 months. The consensus 1-year price target stands at 78.60, with estimates ranging from a low of 65.00 to a high of 94.00.
The consensus 1-year price target stands at 78.60, with estimates ranging from a low of 65.00 to a high of 94.00.
Analyst Consensus Analysis
Upside Potential
Fair value territory. Stock trading near consensus target suggests limited near-term catalysts. Focus on fundamental developments.
Analyst Agreement
Good consensus alignment. Moderate target spread reflects general agreement on value drivers with some variance in assumptions.
Risk-Reward Profile
Unfavorable risk-reward. Downside risk exceeds upside potential. Consider defensive positioning or alternative opportunities.
Analyst Conviction
Neutral sentiment. Fair value pricing with moderate agreement suggests wait-and-see approach or catalyst-driven opportunity.
Market Sentiment Insight
Monitor and evaluate: Current analyst consensus suggests limited conviction or near-term catalysts. Stay informed on company developments and reassess positioning as new information emerges.
V2X, Inc. Insider Positioning
During the last 12 months, insiders have sold $865.45M worth of VVX shares, with no buying activity reported.
3 Months
0
0.00
2.5M
173.62M
-173.6M
-$173.62M
3-6 Months
0
0.00
1.2M
66.06M
-66.1M
-$66.06M
6-9 Months
0
0.00
7.9M
424.99M
-425.0M
-$424.99M
9-12 Months
0
0.00
4.0M
200.78M
-200.8M
-$200.78M
Top Buyers
No buying activity
Top Sellers
American Industrial Partners Capital Fund Vi, L.P.
10 Percent Owner
$552.18M
Cusumano Dino M
Director
$312.50M
Caputo Richard L. Jr.
Officer: Svp, Aerospace Systems
$780K
Insider Activity Analysis
Net Insider Sentiment
Strong bearish signal with $865.45M net selling. Heavy insider selling may indicate concerns about valuation or near-term prospects.
Buy/Sell Ratio
Very poor ratio. Heavy selling with minimal buying suggests insiders may be concerned about valuation or outlook.
Recent Trend (3 Months)
Heavy recent selling activity. Recent insider sales notably exceed purchases—may warrant investigation into company developments.
Insider Participation
3 insider sellers vs. 0 buyers. Widespread selling across multiple insiders may signal concerns.
Insider Activity Insight
Multiple red flags: Heavy selling, numerous sellers, and continued recent selling create a concerning pattern. Investigate fundamental drivers and consider whether company guidance or industry conditions have deteriorated.
No Dividend Yield Data
VVX has not reported any dividend yield values in the available annual periods.
vvx Dividend History
Learning Layer
Related Guides
Build conviction on VVX by pairing this stock hub with focused valuation guides.
Research Paths
Snapshot
Start with context, operating signals, and key market metrics.
Value Model
Stress test fair value across bear, base, and bull assumptions.
Statements
Validate revenue quality, margins, and balance sheet durability.
Earnings Call
Read management commentary and compare it with reported outcomes.
Dividends
Check payout sustainability and long-term distribution behavior.
Analyst Expectations
Review consensus spread and where estimate risk is concentrated.