Vitesse Energy, Inc.
$17.88
-2.0%Vitesse Energy, Inc. focuses on acquisition, ownership, exploration, development, management, production, exploitation, and dispose of oil and gas properties. The company acquires non-operated working interest and royalty interest ownership primarily in the core of the Bakken Field in North Dakota and Montana. It also owns non-operated interests in oil and gas properties in Colorado and Wyoming. The company was incorporated in 2022 and is based in Centennial, Colorado.
At a Glance
Live SnapshotIntrinsic Alpha Methodology
Thesis Lenses
Signal
High confidenceValuation multiple is elevated (P/E 26.7).
Valuation inputs: P/E 26.7, earnings yield +3.7%, momentum -2.0%.
If multiples stay elevated while momentum fades, downside repricing risk rises.
Driver
High confidenceReturn profile is soft (ROE +4.0%, ROIC -0.4%).
Profitability stack: net margin +9.2%, ROE +4.0%, ROIC -0.4%.
Quality deterioration often appears in margins before it shows up in headline EPS.
Risk
High confidenceRisk profile is balanced but has notable pressure points to monitor.
Risk factors: liabilities/assets +29.6%, momentum -2.0%, net margin +9.2%.
Higher leverage with weak momentum and thin margins can amplify drawdown severity.
Vitesse Energy, Inc. Market vs Earnings Trajectory
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Vitesse Energy, Inc. Fair Value Envelope
Vitesse Energy, Inc. Profit Bridge
Profitability Analysis
Gross Margin
Thin margins leave little room for error. Cost management and pricing strategy are critical.
Operating Margin
Operating losses indicate the core business is unprofitable. Requires restructuring or revenue growth.
Net Profit Margin
Moderate profitability with room for improvement. Monitor interest expenses and tax efficiency.
Effective Tax Rate
Higher tax burden may reflect limited tax optimization or operations in high-tax jurisdictions.
Vitesse Energy, Inc. Cash Conversion Engine
Cash Flow Quality Analysis
CapEx Intensity
Asset-light business model. Low capital requirements leave more cash available for shareholders and growth investments.
FCF Growth Trend
Strong FCF growth demonstrates improving cash generation and business momentum. Positive signal for sustainability.
Working Capital Impact
Working capital inflow boosted cash flow. Efficient management of receivables, inventory, and payables contributing positively.
Vitesse Energy, Inc. Funding & Solvency Profile
Financial Health Analysis
Current Ratio
Warning: Liquidity concerns. Current assets may not be sufficient to cover short-term obligations.
Debt-to-Equity Ratio
Balanced capital structure with moderate leverage. Equity exceeds debt, suggesting healthy financial stability.
Working Capital
Negative working capital indicates short-term liabilities exceed short-term assets—potential liquidity stress.
Asset Composition
Capital-intensive business with significant long-term investments in property, equipment, or intangibles.
Financial Health Insight
Negative working capital with limited cash reserves requires immediate attention—potential liquidity crisis if not addressed promptly.
Vitesse Energy, Inc. Street Expectations Map
Wall Street analysts project that VTS stock may rise significantly over the coming 12 months. The consensus 1-year price target stands at 20.00, with estimates ranging from a low of 20.00 to a high of 20.00.
The consensus 1-year price target stands at 20.00, with estimates ranging from a low of 20.00 to a high of 20.00.
Analyst Consensus Analysis
Upside Potential
Moderate upside. Analysts expect positive returns but with limited margin of safety. Consider entry timing.
Analyst Agreement
High analyst agreement. Narrow target range indicates strong consensus on valuation, suggesting clear investment thesis and predictable outlook.
Analyst Conviction
Positive outlook with reasonable agreement. Analysts generally optimistic about prospects with manageable uncertainty.
Market Sentiment Insight
Monitor and evaluate: Current analyst consensus suggests limited conviction or near-term catalysts. Stay informed on company developments and reassess positioning as new information emerges.
Vitesse Energy, Inc. Insider Positioning
During the last 12 months, insiders have purchased $1.61M and sold $10.01M worth of VTS shares, resulting in $8.40M of net selling activity.
3 Months
79.1K
1.38M
120.1K
2.23M
-856K
-$856K
3-6 Months
0
0.00
359.4K
7.15M
-7.2M
-$7.15M
6-9 Months
0
0.00
0
0.00
+0
+$0
9-12 Months
10.0K
232.90K
23.5K
621.67K
-389K
-$389K
Top Buyers
Steinberg Joseph S
Director
$1.01M
Gerrity Robert W
Director, Officer: Chief Executive Officer
$233K
Henderson James P
Officer: Chief Financial Officer
$187K
O Leary Dan
Director
$186K
Top Sellers
Gerrity Robert W
Director, Officer: Chief Executive Officer
$4.84M
Cree Brian
Officer: President & Interim Ceo
$4.30M
Henderson James P
Officer: Chief Financial Officer
$674K
Morella Mike
Officer: Vp - Chief Accounting Officer
$105K
Sabol Michael
Officer: Vp - Sec And Financial Rprtng
$91K
Insider Activity Analysis
Net Insider Sentiment
Strong bearish signal with $8.40M net selling. Heavy insider selling may indicate concerns about valuation or near-term prospects.
Buy/Sell Ratio
Weak buy/sell ratio. Selling significantly exceeds buying—monitor for potential fundamental concerns.
Recent Trend (3 Months)
Negative recent trend with net selling. Insiders have reduced positions in recent months, which could signal caution.
Insider Participation
5 insider sellers vs. 4 buyers. More insiders selling than buying suggests cautious or negative sentiment.
Insider Activity Insight
Multiple red flags: Heavy selling, numerous sellers, and continued recent selling create a concerning pattern. Investigate fundamental drivers and consider whether company guidance or industry conditions have deteriorated.
vts Dividend History
Learning Layer
Related Guides
Build conviction on VTS by pairing this stock hub with focused valuation guides.
Research Paths
Snapshot
Start with context, operating signals, and key market metrics.
Value Model
Stress test fair value across bear, base, and bull assumptions.
Statements
Validate revenue quality, margins, and balance sheet durability.
Earnings Call
Read management commentary and compare it with reported outcomes.
Dividends
Check payout sustainability and long-term distribution behavior.
Analyst Expectations
Review consensus spread and where estimate risk is concentrated.