Vistra Corp.

Vistra Corp.

VSTยทNYSE

$153.70

-0.065%
UtilitiesIndependent Power Producers

Vistra Corp., together with its subsidiaries, operates as an integrated retail electricity and power generation company. The company operates through six segments: Retail, Texas, East, West, Sunset, and Asset Closure. It retails electricity and natural gas to residential, commercial, and industrial customers across 20 states in the United States and the District of Columbia. The company is also involved in the electricity generation, wholesale energy purchases and sales, commodity risk management, fuel production, and fuel logistics management activities. It serves approximately 4.3 million customers with a generation capacity of approximately 38,700 megawatts with a portfolio of natural gas, nuclear, coal, solar, and battery energy storage facilities. The company was formerly known as Vistra Energy Corp. and changed its name to Vistra Corp. in July 2020. Vistra Corp. was founded in 1882 and is based in Irving, Texas.

At a Glance

Live Snapshot
Market Cap$51.82B
EPS2.2100
P/E Ratio69.55
Earnings Date08/06/2026
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Vistra Corp. Street Expectations Map

VST ยท NYSE

Wall Street analysts project that VST stock may rise significantly over the coming 12 months. The consensus 1-year price target stands at 227.78, with estimates ranging from a low of 190.00 to a high of 293.00.

Lowest Target
190.00
23.62%
Consensus Target
227.78
48.20%
Highest Target
293.00
90.63%

The consensus 1-year price target stands at 227.78, with estimates ranging from a low of 190.00 to a high of 293.00.

Analyst Consensus Analysis

Upside Potential

+48.2%

Substantial upside potential. Analysts see significant value gap, suggesting the stock may be materially undervalued at current levels.

Analyst Agreement

45.2% spread

Mixed analyst views. Wide target range suggests differing opinions on key value drivers, growth prospects, or risk factors.

Analyst Conviction

Moderate

Neutral sentiment. Fair value pricing with moderate agreement suggests wait-and-see approach or catalyst-driven opportunity.

Market Sentiment Insight

Monitor and evaluate: Current analyst consensus suggests limited conviction or near-term catalysts. Stay informed on company developments and reassess positioning as new information emerges.

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Vistra Corp. Forward Estimates of Revenue

VST ยท NYSE
Latest Revenue
16.97B
FY 2025
Avg Estimate
23.59B
FY 2026
Estimate Range
20.48B - 27.13B
Analyst Spread

Forward Growth Analysis

Projected Growth+39.0%

Strong growth expectations signal robust business momentum and market opportunity expansion.

Analyst Coverage10 Analysts

Good analyst coverage ensures reliable estimates with diverse professional perspectives.

Estimate Spread28%

Moderate uncertainty in forecastsโ€”typical for companies with evolving business models.

OutlookPositive

Generally favorable outlook with reasonable growth prospects and analyst support.

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Vistra Corp. Forward Estimates of Net Income

VST ยท NYSE
Latest Net Income
944.00M
FY 2025
Avg Estimate
3.18B
FY 2026
Estimate Range
2.72B - 3.52B
Analyst Spread

Forward Growth Analysis

Projected Growth+237.4%

Strong growth expectations signal robust business momentum and market opportunity expansion.

Analyst Coverage10 Analysts

Good analyst coverage ensures reliable estimates with diverse professional perspectives.

Estimate Spread25%

Moderate uncertainty in forecastsโ€”typical for companies with evolving business models.

OutlookStrong

Positive analyst consensus with strong growth expectations and forecast confidence.

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Vistra Corp. Forward Estimates of EPS

VST ยท NYSE
Latest EPS
2.21
FY 2025
Avg Estimate
$8.93
FY 2026
Estimate Range
$8.00 - $10.36
Analyst Spread

Forward Growth Analysis

Projected Growth+304.0%

Strong growth expectations signal robust business momentum and market opportunity expansion.

Analyst Coverage10 Analysts

Good analyst coverage ensures reliable estimates with diverse professional perspectives.

Estimate Spread26%

Moderate uncertainty in forecastsโ€”typical for companies with evolving business models.

OutlookPositive

Generally favorable outlook with reasonable growth prospects and analyst support.

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Vistra Corp. Forward Estimates of EBIT

VST ยท NYSE
Latest EBIT
2.30B
FY 2025
Avg Estimate
2.00B
FY 2026
Estimate Range
1.74B - 2.30B
Analyst Spread

Forward Growth Analysis

Projected Growth-13.1%

Significant contraction projectedโ€”major business challenges or industry disruption likely.

Analyst Coverage10 Analysts

Good analyst coverage ensures reliable estimates with diverse professional perspectives.

Estimate Spread28%

Moderate uncertainty in forecastsโ€”typical for companies with evolving business models.

OutlookNeutral

Mixed signalsโ€”some positive indicators offset by concerns about growth or uncertainty.

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Vistra Corp. Forward Estimates of EBITDA

VST ยท NYSE
Latest EBITDA
5.25B
FY 2025
Avg Estimate
5.26B
FY 2026
Estimate Range
4.56B - 6.04B
Analyst Spread

Forward Growth Analysis

Projected Growth+0.1%

Flat growth suggests market maturity or near-term challenges offsetting expansion efforts.

Analyst Coverage10 Analysts

Good analyst coverage ensures reliable estimates with diverse professional perspectives.

Estimate Spread28%

Moderate uncertainty in forecastsโ€”typical for companies with evolving business models.

OutlookNeutral

Mixed signalsโ€”some positive indicators offset by concerns about growth or uncertainty.

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Vistra Corp. Forward Estimates of SG&A Expense

VST ยท NYSE
Latest SG&A Expense
1.64B
FY 2025
Avg Estimate
1.88B
FY 2026
Estimate Range
1.63B - 2.16B
Analyst Spread

Forward Growth Analysis

Projected Growth+14.5%

Solid growth trajectory indicates healthy business performance and competitive positioning.

Analyst Coverage10 Analysts

Good analyst coverage ensures reliable estimates with diverse professional perspectives.

Estimate Spread28%

Moderate uncertainty in forecastsโ€”typical for companies with evolving business models.

OutlookPositive

Generally favorable outlook with reasonable growth prospects and analyst support.

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Vistra Corp. Insider Positioning

VST ยท NYSE

During the last 12 months, insiders have sold $158.69M worth of VST shares, with no buying activity reported.

3 Months

Bought

0

0.00

Sold

15.0K

2.43M

Net Activity

-2.4M

-$2.43M

3-6 Months

Bought

0

0.00

Sold

22.3K

3.61M

Net Activity

-3.6M

-$3.61M

6-9 Months

Bought

0

0.00

Sold

671.7K

133.43M

Net Activity

-133.4M

-$133.43M

9-12 Months

Bought

0

0.00

Sold

109.9K

19.22M

Net Activity

-19.2M

-$19.22M

Top Buyers

No buying activity

Top Sellers

1
BJA

Burke James A

Director, Officer: President And Ceo

571.5K sharesโ€ข37 transactions

$115.97M

2
KCL

Kirby Carrie Lee

Officer: Evp And Chief Admin. Officer

58.3K sharesโ€ข1 transactions

$10.18M

3
HSA

Hudson Scott A

Officer: Evp & President Vistra Retail

56.0K sharesโ€ข1 transactions

$9.46M

4
HSB

Helm Scott B

Director

50.0K sharesโ€ข1 transactions

$8.64M

5
MKE

Moldovan Kristopher E.

Officer: Evp And Cfo

34.9K sharesโ€ข1 transactions

$6.29M

Insider Activity Analysis

Net Insider Sentiment

Bearish

Strong bearish signal with $158.69M net selling. Heavy insider selling may indicate concerns about valuation or near-term prospects.

Buy/Sell Ratio

0.00:1

Very poor ratio. Heavy selling with minimal buying suggests insiders may be concerned about valuation or outlook.

Recent Trend (3 Months)

$2.43M

Heavy recent selling activity. Recent insider sales notably exceed purchasesโ€”may warrant investigation into company developments.

Insider Participation

High Selling

5 insider sellers vs. 0 buyers. Widespread selling across multiple insiders may signal concerns.

Insider Activity Insight

Multiple red flags: Heavy selling, numerous sellers, and continued recent selling create a concerning pattern. Investigate fundamental drivers and consider whether company guidance or industry conditions have deteriorated.