VLO - NYSE
Valero Energy Corporation
$261.45
+1.2%Valero Energy Corporation manufactures, markets, and sells transportation fuels and petrochemical products in the United States, Canada, the United Kingdom, Ireland, and internationally. The company operates through three segments: Refining, Renewable Diesel, and Ethanol. It produces conventional, premium, and reformulated gasolines; gasoline meeting the specifications of the California Air Resources Board (CARB); diesel fuels, and low-sulfur and ultra-low-sulfur diesel fuels; CARB diesel; other distillates; jet fuels; blendstocks; and asphalts, petrochemicals, lubricants, and other refined petroleum products, as well as sells lube oils and natural gas liquids. As of December 31, 2021, the company owned 15 petroleum refineries with a combined throughput capacity of approximately 3.2 million barrels per day; and 12 ethanol plants with a combined ethanol production capacity of approximately 1.6 billion gallons per year. It sells its refined products through wholesale rack and bulk markets; and through approximately 7,000 outlets under the Valero, Beacon, Diamond Shamrock, Shamrock, Ultramar, and Texaco brands. The company also produces and sells ethanol, dry distiller grains, syrup, and inedible corn oil primarily to animal feed customers. In addition, it owns and operates crude oil and refined petroleum products pipelines, terminals, tanks, marine docks, truck rack bays, and other logistics assets; and owns and operates a plant that processes animal fats, used cooking oils, and inedible distillers corn oils into renewable diesel. The company was formerly known as Valero Refining and Marketing Company and changed its name to Valero Energy Corporation in August 1997. Valero Energy Corporation was founded in 1980 and is headquartered in San Antonio, Texas.
At a Glance
Live SnapshotValero Energy Corporation Street Expectations Map
Wall Street analysts project that VLO stock may decline over the coming 12 months. The consensus 1-year price target stands at 230.00, with estimates ranging from a low of 178.00 to a high of 289.00.
The consensus 1-year price target stands at 230.00, with estimates ranging from a low of 178.00 to a high of 289.00.
Analyst Consensus Analysis
Upside Potential
Downside risk. Current price above analyst targets indicates potential overvaluation. Exercise caution and review catalysts.
Analyst Agreement
Mixed analyst views. Wide target range suggests differing opinions on key value drivers, growth prospects, or risk factors.
Risk-Reward Profile
Unfavorable risk-reward. Downside risk exceeds upside potential. Consider defensive positioning or alternative opportunities.
Analyst Conviction
Bearish or uncertain outlook. Limited upside or poor consensus suggests challenges ahead or fundamental concerns.
Market Sentiment Insight
Monitor and evaluate: Current analyst consensus suggests limited conviction or near-term catalysts. Stay informed on company developments and reassess positioning as new information emerges.
Valero Energy Corporation Forward Estimates of Revenue
Forward Growth Analysis
Declining expectations indicate headwinds—investigate whether temporary or structural issues.
Moderate coverage—sufficient for guidance but may lack depth of large-cap analysis.
Narrow estimate range signals strong analyst consensus and predictable business outlook.
Generally favorable outlook with reasonable growth prospects and analyst support.
Valero Energy Corporation Forward Estimates of Net Income
Forward Growth Analysis
Strong growth expectations signal robust business momentum and market opportunity expansion.
Moderate coverage—sufficient for guidance but may lack depth of large-cap analysis.
Wide estimate range reveals significant forecast uncertainty and potential volatility.
Generally favorable outlook with reasonable growth prospects and analyst support.
Key Insight
High forecast uncertainty: Wide estimate range indicates analysts struggling to predict outcomes—suggests elevated risk and potential volatility.
Valero Energy Corporation Forward Estimates of EPS
Forward Growth Analysis
Strong growth expectations signal robust business momentum and market opportunity expansion.
Good analyst coverage ensures reliable estimates with diverse professional perspectives.
Wide estimate range reveals significant forecast uncertainty and potential volatility.
Generally favorable outlook with reasonable growth prospects and analyst support.
Key Insight
High forecast uncertainty: Wide estimate range indicates analysts struggling to predict outcomes—suggests elevated risk and potential volatility.
Valero Energy Corporation Forward Estimates of EBIT
Forward Growth Analysis
Strong growth expectations signal robust business momentum and market opportunity expansion.
Moderate coverage—sufficient for guidance but may lack depth of large-cap analysis.
Narrow estimate range signals strong analyst consensus and predictable business outlook.
Positive analyst consensus with strong growth expectations and forecast confidence.
Key Insight
Compelling growth story with analyst consensus: Strong projected growth combined with narrow estimate spread suggests high-conviction opportunity.
Valero Energy Corporation Forward Estimates of EBITDA
Forward Growth Analysis
Moderate growth expected, typical for mature businesses with stable market positions.
Moderate coverage—sufficient for guidance but may lack depth of large-cap analysis.
Narrow estimate range signals strong analyst consensus and predictable business outlook.
Positive analyst consensus with strong growth expectations and forecast confidence.
Valero Energy Corporation Forward Estimates of SG&A Expense
Forward Growth Analysis
Significant contraction projected—major business challenges or industry disruption likely.
Moderate coverage—sufficient for guidance but may lack depth of large-cap analysis.
Narrow estimate range signals strong analyst consensus and predictable business outlook.
Generally favorable outlook with reasonable growth prospects and analyst support.
Valero Energy Corporation Insider Positioning
During the last 12 months, insiders have sold $5.56M worth of VLO shares, with no buying activity reported.
3 Months
0
0.00
16.0K
3.83M
-3.8M
-$3.83M
3-6 Months
0
0.00
0
0.00
+0
+$0
6-9 Months
0
0.00
9.9K
1.73M
-1.7M
-$1.73M
9-12 Months
0
0.00
0
0.00
+0
+$0
Top Buyers
No buying activity
Top Sellers
Fisher Eric A
Officer: Svp
$3.83M
Fraser Jason W.
Officer: Evp & Cfo
$1.73M
Insider Activity Analysis
Net Insider Sentiment
Strong bearish signal with $5.56M net selling. Heavy insider selling may indicate concerns about valuation or near-term prospects.
Buy/Sell Ratio
Very poor ratio. Heavy selling with minimal buying suggests insiders may be concerned about valuation or outlook.
Recent Trend (3 Months)
Heavy recent selling activity. Recent insider sales notably exceed purchases—may warrant investigation into company developments.
Insider Participation
2 insider sellers vs. 0 buyers. Widespread selling across multiple insiders may signal concerns.
Insider Activity Insight
Persistent selling pressure: Consistent insider selling with weak buy/sell ratio suggests insiders may be capitalizing on current valuation. Exercise caution and review recent earnings quality and management commentary.
Related Guides
Continue your VLO research with focused valuation guides.
Research Paths
Snapshot
Start with context, operating signals, and key market metrics.
Value Model
Stress test fair value across bear, base, and bull assumptions.
Statements
Validate revenue quality, margins, and balance sheet durability.
Earnings Call
Read management commentary and compare it with reported outcomes.
Dividends
Check payout sustainability and long-term distribution behavior.
Analyst Expectations
Review consensus spread and where estimate risk is concentrated.