Venture Global, Inc.
$12.52
-1.3%Venture Global, Inc. supplies natural gas products. The Company specializes in commissioning, constructing, and developing natural gas liquefaction and export projects.
At a Glance
Live SnapshotIntrinsic Alpha Methodology
Thesis Lenses
Signal
High confidenceValuation multiple is compressed (P/E 13.5).
Valuation inputs: P/E 13.5, earnings yield +7.4%, momentum -1.3%.
If multiples stay elevated while momentum fades, downside repricing risk rises.
Driver
High confidenceReturn profile is strong (ROE +32.0%, ROIC +8.2%).
Profitability stack: net margin +19.6%, ROE +32.0%, ROIC +8.2%.
Quality deterioration often appears in margins before it shows up in headline EPS.
Risk
High confidenceRisk profile is balanced but has notable pressure points to monitor.
Risk factors: liabilities/assets +77.6%, momentum -1.3%, net margin +19.6%.
Higher leverage with weak momentum and thin margins can amplify drawdown severity.
Venture Global, Inc. Market vs Earnings Trajectory
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Venture Global, Inc. Fair Value Envelope
Venture Global, Inc. Profit Bridge
Profitability Analysis
Gross Margin
Strong gross margins indicate healthy pricing and efficient production or service delivery.
Operating Margin
Outstanding operational efficiency. The company generates substantial profit from core operations.
Net Profit Margin
Strong net margins indicate efficient operations and favorable tax/interest management.
Effective Tax Rate
Moderate tax rate typical for most corporations. Represents standard tax burden on profits.
Profitability Insight
Exceptional profitability across all levels: Strong pricing power, efficient operations, and healthy bottom line indicate a high-quality business with sustainable competitive advantages.
Venture Global, Inc. Cash Conversion Engine
Cash Flow Quality Analysis
FCF Conversion Rate
Negative free cash flow despite positive earnings raises concerns about cash generation ability or heavy capital requirements.
CapEx Intensity
Very high capital intensity consumes most operating cash flow. Limited flexibility for dividends or debt reduction.
FCF Growth Trend
Strong FCF growth demonstrates improving cash generation and business momentum. Positive signal for sustainability.
Working Capital Impact
Working capital inflow boosted cash flow. Efficient management of receivables, inventory, and payables contributing positively.
Cash Flow Quality Insight
Cash flow concerns: Despite profitability, the company is burning cash. Review working capital management, CapEx levels, and sustainability of current operations.
Venture Global, Inc. Funding & Solvency Profile
Financial Health Analysis
Current Ratio
Warning: Liquidity concerns. Current assets may not be sufficient to cover short-term obligations.
Debt-to-Equity Ratio
High financial leverage. Heavy reliance on debt may indicate increased financial risk and potential solvency concerns.
Working Capital
Negative working capital indicates short-term liabilities exceed short-term assets—potential liquidity stress.
Asset Composition
Capital-intensive business with significant long-term investments in property, equipment, or intangibles.
Financial Health Insight
Financial stress indicators: Both liquidity and leverage metrics raise concerns. The company may face challenges meeting obligations and should focus on strengthening its balance sheet.
Venture Global, Inc. Street Expectations Map
Wall Street analysts project that VG stock may rise significantly over the coming 12 months. The consensus 1-year price target stands at 14.60, with estimates ranging from a low of 8.00 to a high of 22.00.
The consensus 1-year price target stands at 14.60, with estimates ranging from a low of 8.00 to a high of 22.00.
Analyst Consensus Analysis
Upside Potential
Strong upside potential. Consensus indicates attractive return opportunity with favorable risk-reward profile.
Analyst Agreement
High uncertainty. Very wide target spread indicates significant disagreement among analysts—major valuation uncertainty or transformation underway.
Risk-Reward Profile
Favorable risk-reward. Potential upside significantly exceeds downside risk, offering asymmetric return profile attractive for risk-tolerant investors.
Analyst Conviction
High uncertainty: Wide dispersion indicates analysts struggle to agree on valuation—proceed with caution and independent analysis.
Market Sentiment Insight
High risk, high reward: Substantial upside potential exists, but wide analyst disagreement signals execution risk or unclear catalysts. Thorough due diligence essential before committing capital.
Venture Global, Inc. Insider Positioning
During the last 12 months, insiders have purchased $20K and sold $235.26M worth of VG shares, resulting in $235.24M of net selling activity.
3 Months
0
0.00
12.1M
170.29M
-170.3M
-$170.29M
3-6 Months
0
0.00
1.1M
12.69M
-12.7M
-$12.69M
6-9 Months
0
0.00
4.8M
45.91M
-45.9M
-$45.91M
9-12 Months
1.2K
19.55K
489.0K
6.37M
-6.4M
-$6.35M
Top Buyers
Pender Robert B
Director, 10 Percent Owner, Officer: See Remarks
$20K
Top Sellers
Larson Keith D
Officer: General Counsel And Secretary
$116.03M
Musser Fory
Officer: Senior Vp, Development
$58.05M
Earl Thomas
Officer: Chief Commercial Officer
$39.90M
Cothran Brian
Officer: Chief Operating Officer
$9.22M
Blake Sarah
Officer: Svp, Chief Accounting Officer
$6.53M
Insider Activity Analysis
Net Insider Sentiment
Strong bearish signal with $235.24M net selling. Heavy insider selling may indicate concerns about valuation or near-term prospects.
Buy/Sell Ratio
Very poor ratio. Heavy selling with minimal buying suggests insiders may be concerned about valuation or outlook.
Recent Trend (3 Months)
Heavy recent selling activity. Recent insider sales notably exceed purchases—may warrant investigation into company developments.
Insider Participation
5 insider sellers vs. 1 buyers. Widespread selling across multiple insiders may signal concerns.
Insider Activity Insight
Multiple red flags: Heavy selling, numerous sellers, and continued recent selling create a concerning pattern. Investigate fundamental drivers and consider whether company guidance or industry conditions have deteriorated.
vg Dividend History
Learning Layer
Related Guides
Build conviction on VG by pairing this stock hub with focused valuation guides.
Research Paths
Snapshot
Start with context, operating signals, and key market metrics.
Value Model
Stress test fair value across bear, base, and bull assumptions.
Statements
Validate revenue quality, margins, and balance sheet durability.
Earnings Call
Read management commentary and compare it with reported outcomes.
Dividends
Check payout sustainability and long-term distribution behavior.
Analyst Expectations
Review consensus spread and where estimate risk is concentrated.