INNOVATE Corp.

INNOVATE Corp.

VATEยทNYSE

$16.54

+7.1%
IndustrialsEngineering & Construction

INNOVATE Corp., through its subsidiaries, operates in infrastructure, life sciences, and spectrum areas in the United States. It provides industrial construction, structural steel, and facility maintenance services for use in commercial, industrial, and infrastructure construction projects, such as buildings and office complexes, hotels and casinos, convention centers, sports arenas and stadiums, shopping malls, hospitals, dams, bridges, mines, metal processing, refineries, pulp and paper mills, and power plants. The company also fabricates trusses and girders; and fabricates and erects water pipe, water storage tanks, tunnel liners, pressure vessels, strainers, filters, separators, and other customized products. In addition, it offers integrated solutions for digital engineering, modeling and detailing, construction, heavy equipment installation, and facility services; and steel and rebar detailing, and BIM modeling and management services, as well as equipment used in the oil, gas, petrochemical, and pipeline industries. Further, the company develops products for early osteoarthritis of the knee, and aesthetic and medical technologies for the skin. Additionally, it operates over-the-air broadcasting stations and Azteca America, a Spanish-language broadcast network. The company was formerly known as HC2 Holdings, Inc. and changed its name to INNOVATE Corp. in September 2021. The company was incorporated in 1994 and is headquartered in New York, New York.

At a Glance

Live Snapshot
Market Cap$225.64M
EPS-4.8400
P/E Ratio-3.42
Earnings Date08/05/2026

Intrinsic Alpha Methodology

Thesis Lenses

Signal ยท Driver ยท Risk

Signal

Medium confidence

Valuation multiple is compressed (P/E -3.4).

Valuation inputs: P/E -3.4, earnings yield N/A, momentum +7.1%.

If multiples stay elevated while momentum fades, downside repricing risk rises.

Driver

High confidence

Return profile is strong (ROE +26.3%, ROIC +6.7%).

Profitability stack: net margin -4.9%, ROE +26.3%, ROIC +6.7%.

Quality deterioration often appears in margins before it shows up in headline EPS.

Risk

High confidence

Downside profile is elevated and scenario stress-testing is essential.

Risk factors: liabilities/assets +122.7%, momentum +7.1%, net margin -4.9%.

Higher leverage with weak momentum and thin margins can amplify drawdown severity.

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INNOVATE Corp. Market vs Earnings Trajectory

VATE ยท NYSE

Loading price and EPS data...

INNOVATE Corp.

INNOVATE Corp. Fair Value Envelope

VATE ยท NYSE

Our analysis suggests that VATE has a fair value of HIDDEN per share in the Base Case projection. With shares currently trading at $16.54, this represents a potential HIDDEN relative to our calculated worth for INNOVATE Corp..

Intrinsic Value
Current Price: $16.54
3Y-8.0%
5Y-48.0%
10Y-70.0%
3Y-24.0%
5Y+74.0%
10Y-20.0%
3Y+69.0%
5Y-34.0%
10Y-43.0%
3Y-1643.0%
5Y+257.0%
10Y+85.0%
3Y-499.0%
5Y+417.0%
10Y+141.0%
3Y-18.0%
5Y-86.0%
10Y-66.0%
INNOVATE Corp.

INNOVATE Corp. Profit Bridge

VATE ยท NYSE
Revenue1.25B
Cost of Goods Sold (1.06B)
Gross Profit182.20M
Operating Expenses (148.00M)
Operating Income34.20M
Interest Expense (89.00M)
Other Income/Expense-95.70M
Pretax Income-61.50M
Income Tax (2.50M)
Net Income-60.60M
Net Income
-60.60M

Profitability Analysis

Gross Margin

14.6%

Thin margins leave little room for error. Cost management and pricing strategy are critical.

Operating Margin

2.7%

Minimal operating profit suggests high operating costs or pricing challenges. Scalability is concerning.

Net Profit Margin

-4.9%

Net losses indicate the company is burning cash. Sustainability depends on path to profitability.

Profitability Insight

Non-operating losses: Core business is profitable but other expenses (interest, taxes, one-time items) are driving net losses. Review capital structure and non-operating items.

14.62%
Gross Profit Margin
-22%
3Y+8.0%
5Y-18.0%
10Y+26.0%
2.74%
Operating Profit Margin
-24%
3Y+235.0%
5Y-170.0%
10Y-3110.0%
-4.86%
Net Profit Margin
56%
3Y+122.0%
5Y-62.0%
10Y-28.0%
26.26%
Return on Equity
37%
3Y-24.0%
5Y-263.0%
10Y-111.0%
-6.38%
Return on Assets
64%
3Y+105.0%
5Y+366.0%
10Y+72.0%
6.70%
Return on Invested Capital
-2%
3Y+291.0%
5Y-393.0%
10Y-5732.0%
VATE

INNOVATE Corp. Cash Conversion Engine

VATE ยท NYSE
Net Income-64.00M
Depreciation & Amortization30.40M
Stock-Based Compensation2.70M
Change in Working Capital151.20M
Others26.40M
Capital Expenditures-26.10M
Free Cash Flow120.50M

Cash Flow Quality Analysis

FCF Conversion Rate

-188.3%

Negative free cash flow despite positive earnings raises concerns about cash generation ability or heavy capital requirements.

CapEx Intensity

17.8%

Asset-light business model. Low capital requirements leave more cash available for shareholders and growth investments.

FCF Growth Trend

+1317.2%

Strong FCF growth demonstrates improving cash generation and business momentum. Positive signal for sustainability.

Working Capital Impact

+$151.20M

Working capital inflow boosted cash flow. Efficient management of receivables, inventory, and payables contributing positively.

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INNOVATE Corp. Funding & Solvency Profile

VATE ยท NYSE
Cash & Cash Equivalents134.60M
Net Receivables186.00M
Inventory15.40M
Other Current Assets69.90M
Total Current Assets406 M
Property, Plant & Equipment148.10M
Goodwill & Intangible Assets290.80M
Long-Term Investments1.80M
Other Non-Current Assets88.20M
Total Non-Current Assets238 M
Total Assets
936.80M

Financial Health Analysis

Current Ratio

0.40x

Warning: Liquidity concerns. Current assets may not be sufficient to cover short-term obligations.

Working Capital

-613900000

Negative working capital indicates short-term liabilities exceed short-term assetsโ€”potential liquidity stress.

Asset Composition

43% Current

Balanced asset mix between current and non-current assets, typical of many stable businesses.

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INNOVATE Corp. Street Expectations Map

VATE ยท NYSE

No Target Data

No analyst price targets available for vate.

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INNOVATE Corp. Insider Positioning

VATE ยท NYSE

During the last 12 months, insiders have purchased $1.57M worth of VATE shares, with no selling activity reported.

3 Months

Bought

0

0.00

Sold

0

0.00

Net Activity

+0

+$0

3-6 Months

Bought

0

0.00

Sold

0

0.00

Net Activity

+0

+$0

6-9 Months

Bought

100.0K

567.00K

Sold

0

0.00

Net Activity

+567K

+$567K

9-12 Months

Bought

176.1K

1000.00K

Sold

0

0.00

Net Activity

+1000K

+$1000K

Top Buyers

1
VP

Voigt Paul

Officer: Interim Ceo

276.1K sharesโ€ข2 transactions

$1.57M

2
GAA

Glazer Avram A

Director, 10 Percent Owner:

0 sharesโ€ข1 transactions

$0

Top Sellers

No selling activity

Insider Activity Analysis

Net Insider Sentiment

Bullish

Strong bullish signal with $1.57M net buying. Insiders are aggressively accumulating shares, suggesting significant confidence in future prospects.

Buy/Sell Ratio

โˆž:1

Perfect buy/sell ratio. Only buying activity with zero sellingโ€”the most bullish possible insider signal.

Insider Participation

High Buying

2 insider buyers vs. 0 sellers. Broad-based buying across management team suggests widespread confidence.

Insider Activity Insight

Compelling insider conviction: The combination of strong buy/sell ratio and multiple buyers suggests insiders see attractive risk/reward. Consider this alongside fundamental analysis for confirmation.

0.53%
Dividend Yield
-55%
3Y+1.0%
5Y-
10Y+50.0%
ย 

vate Dividend History

VATE
10Y CAGR 23%
Latest $0.78
Annual $0.78
Dividend decline trend
Last Period: 84%