Trane Technologies plc

Trane Technologies plc

TTยทNYSE

$465.84

+3.9%
IndustrialsConstruction

Trane Technologies plc, together with its subsidiaries, engages in the designing, manufacturing, selling, and servicing of solutions for heating, ventilation, air conditioning, and transport refrigeration. It offers air conditioners, exchangers, and handlers; airside and terminal devices; auxiliary power units; chillers; coils and condensers; gensets; furnaces; heat pumps; home automation products; humidifiers; hybrid and non-diesel transport refrigeration, and ice energy storage solutions; indoor air quality assessments and related products; large and light commercial unitary products; motor replacements; refrigerant reclamation products; thermostats/controls; transport heater products; variable refrigerant flow products; and water source heat pumps. The company also provides building management, control, ductless, geothermal, package heating and cooling, temporary heating and cooling, and unitary systems; bus, rail, and multi-pipe heating, ventilation, and air conditioning systems; and container, cryogenic, diesel-powered, electric-powered trailer and truck, hybrid-powered trailer, industrial, rail, self-powered truck, trailer, and vehicle-powered truck refrigeration systems, as well as aftermarket and OEM parts and supplies. In addition, it offers energy and facility management, installation and performance contracting, repair and maintenance, and rental services. It markets and sells its products under the Trane and Thermo King brands through sales offices, distributors, and dealers in the United States; and through sales and service companies with a supporting chain of distributors worldwide. The company was formerly known as Ingersoll-Rand Plc and changed its name to Trane Technologies plc in March 2020. Trane Technologies plc was founded in 1885 and is headquartered in Swords, Ireland.

At a Glance

Live Snapshot
Market Cap$102.98B
EPS13.0900
P/E Ratio35.59
Earnings Date07/29/2026

Intrinsic Alpha Methodology

Thesis Lenses

Signal ยท Driver ยท Risk

Signal

High confidence

Valuation multiple is elevated (P/E 35.6).

Valuation inputs: P/E 35.6, earnings yield +2.8%, momentum +3.9%.

If multiples stay elevated while momentum fades, downside repricing risk rises.

Driver

High confidence

Return profile is strong (ROE +33.9%, ROIC +20.3%).

Profitability stack: net margin +13.7%, ROE +33.9%, ROIC +20.3%.

Quality deterioration often appears in margins before it shows up in headline EPS.

Risk

High confidence

Downside profile looks controlled across current risk inputs.

Risk factors: liabilities/assets +59.8%, momentum +3.9%, net margin +13.7%.

Higher leverage with weak momentum and thin margins can amplify drawdown severity.

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Trane Technologies plc Market vs Earnings Trajectory

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Loading price and EPS data...

Trane Technologies plc

Trane Technologies plc Fair Value Envelope

TT ยท NYSE

Our analysis suggests that TT has a fair value of HIDDEN per share in the Base Case projection. With shares currently trading at $465.84, this represents a potential HIDDEN relative to our calculated worth for Trane Technologies plc.

Intrinsic Value
Current Price: $465.84
3Y+73.0%
5Y+268.0%
10Y+130.0%
3Y+33.0%
5Y+71.0%
10Y+58.0%
3Y+66.0%
5Y+241.0%
10Y+98.0%
3Y+112.0%
5Y+123.0%
10Y+113.0%
3Y+132.0%
5Y+118.0%
10Y+113.0%
3Y+18.0%
5Y+18.0%
10Y+23.0%
Trane Technologies plc

Trane Technologies plc Profit Bridge

TT ยท NYSE
Revenue21.32B
Cost of Goods Sold (13.61B)
Gross Profit7.71B
Operating Expenses (3.74B)
Operating Income3.97B
Interest Expense (227.50M)
Other Income/Expense-288.80M
Pretax Income3.68B
Income Tax (705.90M)
Net Income2.92B
Net Income
2.92B

Profitability Analysis

Gross Margin

36.2%

Strong gross margins indicate healthy pricing and efficient production or service delivery.

Operating Margin

18.6%

Healthy operating margins demonstrate effective cost control and strong business fundamentals.

Net Profit Margin

13.7%

Strong net margins indicate efficient operations and favorable tax/interest management.

Effective Tax Rate

19.2%

Moderate tax rate typical for most corporations. Represents standard tax burden on profits.

Profitability Insight

Room for improvement: Moderate profitability with opportunities to enhance margins through better cost management or pricing strategy.

36.16%
Gross Profit Margin
1%
3Y+16.0%
5Y+18.0%
10Y+16.0%
18.61%
Operating Profit Margin
5%
3Y+23.0%
5Y+51.0%
10Y+57.0%
13.69%
Net Profit Margin
6%
3Y+25.0%
5Y+99.0%
10Y+25.0%
33.93%
Return on Equity
-1%
3Y+18.0%
5Y+155.0%
10Y+54.0%
13.63%
Return on Assets
7%
3Y+40.0%
5Y+189.0%
10Y+61.0%
20.26%
Return on Invested Capital
6%
3Y+36.0%
5Y+151.0%
10Y+114.0%
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Trane Technologies plc Cash Conversion Engine

TT ยท NYSE
Net Income2.96B
Depreciation & Amortization376.30M
Stock-Based Compensation0.00
Change in Working Capital-281.60M
Others144.20M
Capital Expenditures-383.00M
Free Cash Flow2.81B

Cash Flow Quality Analysis

FCF Conversion Rate

95.1%

Strong cash conversion. Most reported earnings translate into actual cash flow, suggesting solid fundamentals.

CapEx Intensity

12.0%

Asset-light business model. Low capital requirements leave more cash available for shareholders and growth investments.

FCF Growth Trend

+1.3%

Flat FCF growth. Stable but not expandingโ€”monitor for signs of business maturity or temporary headwinds.

Working Capital Impact

-$281.60M

Minimal working capital impact on FCF. Changes in operating assets and liabilities well-managed.

Cash Flow Quality Insight

Asset-light with strong cash conversion: Low capital requirements combined with efficient cash generation creates significant shareholder value through dividends, buybacks, or strategic investments.

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Trane Technologies plc Funding & Solvency Profile

TT ยท NYSE
Cash & Cash Equivalents1.07B
Net Receivables3.77B
Inventory2.40B
Other Current Assets757.60M
Total Current Assets8 B
Property, Plant & Equipment2.34B
Goodwill & Intangible Assets10.52B
Long-Term Investments0.00
Other Non-Current Assets1.89B
Total Non-Current Assets4 B
Total Assets
22.75B

Financial Health Analysis

Current Ratio

1.10x

Acceptable liquidity, but monitor closely. Current assets just barely cover current liabilities.

Debt-to-Equity Ratio

1.64x

Elevated leverage. Debt exceeds equity, which amplifies both gains and risks. Monitor debt servicing ability.

Working Capital

695 M

Positive working capital, but relatively tight. The company should monitor cash flow carefully.

Asset Composition

35% Current

Capital-intensive business with significant long-term investments in property, equipment, or intangibles.

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Trane Technologies plc Street Expectations Map

TT ยท NYSE

Wall Street analysts project that TT stock may rise significantly over the coming 12 months. The consensus 1-year price target stands at 522.73, with estimates ranging from a low of 450.00 to a high of 585.00.

Lowest Target
450.00
-3.40%
Consensus Target
522.73
12.21%
Highest Target
585.00
25.58%

The consensus 1-year price target stands at 522.73, with estimates ranging from a low of 450.00 to a high of 585.00.

Analyst Consensus Analysis

Upside Potential

+12.2%

Moderate upside. Analysts expect positive returns but with limited margin of safety. Consider entry timing.

Analyst Agreement

25.8% spread

Good consensus alignment. Moderate target spread reflects general agreement on value drivers with some variance in assumptions.

Risk-Reward Profile

7.52x

Favorable risk-reward. Potential upside significantly exceeds downside risk, offering asymmetric return profile attractive for risk-tolerant investors.

Analyst Conviction

High

Positive outlook with reasonable agreement. Analysts generally optimistic about prospects with manageable uncertainty.

Market Sentiment Insight

Asymmetric upside: Strong return potential with favorable risk-reward profile. The limited downside relative to upside makes this an attractive risk-adjusted opportunity for growth-oriented portfolios.

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Trane Technologies plc Insider Positioning

TT ยท NYSE

During the last 12 months, insiders have sold $27.63M worth of TT shares, with no buying activity reported.

3 Months

Bought

0

0.00

Sold

53.7K

23.27M

Net Activity

-23.3M

-$23.27M

3-6 Months

Bought

0

0.00

Sold

9.2K

4.36M

Net Activity

-4.4M

-$4.36M

6-9 Months

Bought

0

0.00

Sold

0

0.00

Net Activity

+0

+$0

9-12 Months

Bought

0

0.00

Sold

0

0.00

Net Activity

+0

+$0

Top Buyers

No buying activity

Top Sellers

1
RDS

Regnery David S

Director, Officer: Chair And Ceo

36.0K sharesโ€ข1 transactions

$15.24M

2
SDE

Simmons Donald E.

Officer: Group President, Americas

16.0K sharesโ€ข3 transactions

$7.53M

3
KCJ

Kuehn Christopher J

Officer: Executive Vice President & Cfo

10.2K sharesโ€ข2 transactions

$4.60M

4
EEA

Elwell Elizabeth A.

Officer: Vp & Chief Accounting Officer

635 sharesโ€ข1 transactions

$268K

Insider Activity Analysis

Net Insider Sentiment

Bearish

Strong bearish signal with $27.63M net selling. Heavy insider selling may indicate concerns about valuation or near-term prospects.

Buy/Sell Ratio

0.00:1

Very poor ratio. Heavy selling with minimal buying suggests insiders may be concerned about valuation or outlook.

Recent Trend (3 Months)

$23.27M

Heavy recent selling activity. Recent insider sales notably exceed purchasesโ€”may warrant investigation into company developments.

Insider Participation

High Selling

4 insider sellers vs. 0 buyers. Widespread selling across multiple insiders may signal concerns.

Insider Activity Insight

Multiple red flags: Heavy selling, numerous sellers, and continued recent selling create a concerning pattern. Investigate fundamental drivers and consider whether company guidance or industry conditions have deteriorated.

0.25%
Dividend Yield
7%
3Y-37.0%
5Y-28.0%
10Y-60.0%
ย 

tt Dividend History

TT
10Y CAGR +13%
Latest $1.05
Annual $4.92
5 year growth trend
Last Period: +0%