Tronox Holdings plc
$7.81
-8.3%Tronox Holdings plc operates as a vertically integrated manufacturer of TiO2 pigment in North America, South and Central America, Europe, the Middle East, Africa, and the Asia Pacific. The company operates titanium-bearing mineral sand mines; and engages in beneficiation and smelting operations. It offers TiO2 pigment; ultrafine specialty TiO2; zircon; feedstock; pig iron; titanium tetrachloride; and other products. The company's products are used for the manufacture of paints, coatings, plastics, and paper, as well as various other applications. Tronox Holdings plc is based in Stamford, Connecticut.
At a Glance
Live SnapshotIntrinsic Alpha Methodology
Thesis Lenses
Signal
Medium confidenceValuation multiple is compressed (P/E -2.6).
Valuation inputs: P/E -2.6, earnings yield N/A, momentum -8.3%.
If multiples stay elevated while momentum fades, downside repricing risk rises.
Driver
High confidenceReturn profile is soft (ROE -33.1%, ROIC -0.4%).
Profitability stack: net margin -16.2%, ROE -33.1%, ROIC -0.4%.
Quality deterioration often appears in margins before it shows up in headline EPS.
Risk
High confidenceDownside profile is elevated and scenario stress-testing is essential.
Risk factors: liabilities/assets +76.7%, momentum -8.3%, net margin -16.2%.
Higher leverage with weak momentum and thin margins can amplify drawdown severity.
Tronox Holdings plc Market vs Earnings Trajectory
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Tronox Holdings plc Fair Value Envelope
Tronox Holdings plc Profit Bridge
Profitability Analysis
Gross Margin
Thin margins leave little room for error. Cost management and pricing strategy are critical.
Operating Margin
Operating losses indicate the core business is unprofitable. Requires restructuring or revenue growth.
Net Profit Margin
Net losses indicate the company is burning cash. Sustainability depends on path to profitability.
Tronox Holdings plc Cash Conversion Engine
Cash Flow Quality Analysis
FCF Conversion Rate
Weak cash conversion. Significant portion of earnings not converting to cash—review working capital trends and capital intensity.
CapEx Intensity
Very high capital intensity consumes most operating cash flow. Limited flexibility for dividends or debt reduction.
FCF Growth Trend
Strong FCF growth demonstrates improving cash generation and business momentum. Positive signal for sustainability.
Working Capital Impact
Significant working capital drain. Growth may be consuming cash through inventory buildup or receivables extension—monitor closely.
Cash Flow Quality Insight
Working capital strain: Significant cash tied up in operations. Monitor receivables collection, inventory turns, and payment terms to optimize cash conversion cycle.
Tronox Holdings plc Funding & Solvency Profile
Financial Health Analysis
Current Ratio
Excellent liquidity position. The company can easily cover its short-term obligations with substantial cushion.
Debt-to-Equity Ratio
High financial leverage. Heavy reliance on debt may indicate increased financial risk and potential solvency concerns.
Working Capital
Strong working capital position provides significant operational flexibility and financial cushion.
Asset Composition
Capital-intensive business with significant long-term investments in property, equipment, or intangibles.
Financial Health Insight
Mixed signals: Strong short-term liquidity provides comfort, but high overall leverage requires careful monitoring of debt servicing capabilities and refinancing risk.
Tronox Holdings plc Street Expectations Map
Wall Street analysts project that TROX stock may experience modest gains over the coming 12 months. The consensus 1-year price target stands at 8.00, with estimates ranging from a low of 4.00 to a high of 10.00.
The consensus 1-year price target stands at 8.00, with estimates ranging from a low of 4.00 to a high of 10.00.
Analyst Consensus Analysis
Upside Potential
Fair value territory. Stock trading near consensus target suggests limited near-term catalysts. Focus on fundamental developments.
Analyst Agreement
High uncertainty. Very wide target spread indicates significant disagreement among analysts—major valuation uncertainty or transformation underway.
Risk-Reward Profile
Unfavorable risk-reward. Downside risk exceeds upside potential. Consider defensive positioning or alternative opportunities.
Analyst Conviction
High uncertainty: Wide dispersion indicates analysts struggle to agree on valuation—proceed with caution and independent analysis.
Market Sentiment Insight
Extreme uncertainty: Massive dispersion in price targets reflects fundamental disagreement on business trajectory. This could signal transformation, disruption, or complex valuation—requires deep sector expertise and contrarian mindset.
Tronox Holdings plc Insider Positioning
During the last 12 months, insiders have purchased $102K and sold $1.27M worth of TROX shares, resulting in $1.17M of net selling activity.
3 Months
0
0.00
185.2K
1.22M
-1.2M
-$1.22M
3-6 Months
0
0.00
7.0K
52.85K
-53K
-$53K
6-9 Months
0
0.00
0
0.00
+0
+$0
9-12 Months
31.7K
101.52K
0
0.00
+102K
+$102K
Top Buyers
Johnston Peter
Director
$64K
Turgeon Jean Francois
Director
$37K
Top Sellers
Romano John D
Director, Officer: Ceo And Director
$670K
Neuman Jeffrey N
Officer: Svp, General Counsel & Sec.
$151K
Srivisal John
Officer: Svp, Chief Financial Officer
$128K
Turgeon Jean Francois
Director
$122K
Flood Jonathan
Officer: Principal Accounting Officer
$106K
Insider Activity Analysis
Net Insider Sentiment
Strong bearish signal with $1.17M net selling. Heavy insider selling may indicate concerns about valuation or near-term prospects.
Buy/Sell Ratio
Very poor ratio. Heavy selling with minimal buying suggests insiders may be concerned about valuation or outlook.
Recent Trend (3 Months)
Heavy recent selling activity. Recent insider sales notably exceed purchases—may warrant investigation into company developments.
Insider Participation
5 insider sellers vs. 2 buyers. Widespread selling across multiple insiders may signal concerns.
Insider Activity Insight
Multiple red flags: Heavy selling, numerous sellers, and continued recent selling create a concerning pattern. Investigate fundamental drivers and consider whether company guidance or industry conditions have deteriorated.
trox Dividend History
Learning Layer
Related Guides
Build conviction on TROX by pairing this stock hub with focused valuation guides.
Research Paths
Snapshot
Start with context, operating signals, and key market metrics.
Value Model
Stress test fair value across bear, base, and bull assumptions.
Statements
Validate revenue quality, margins, and balance sheet durability.
Earnings Call
Read management commentary and compare it with reported outcomes.
Dividends
Check payout sustainability and long-term distribution behavior.
Analyst Expectations
Review consensus spread and where estimate risk is concentrated.