$32.10
+0.56%Trinity Industries, Inc. provides rail transportation products and services under the TrinityRail name in North America. It operates in two segments, Railcar Leasing and Management Services Group, and Rail Products Group. The Railcar Leasing and Management Services Group segment leases freight and tank railcars; originates and manages railcar leases for third-party investors; and provides fleet maintenance and management services. As of December 31, 2021, it had a fleet of 106,970 owned or leased railcars. This segment serves industrial shipper and railroad companies operating in agriculture, construction and metals, consumer products, energy, and refined products and chemicals markets. The Rail Products Group segment manufactures freight and tank railcars for transporting various liquids, gases, and dry cargo; and offers railcar maintenance and modification services. This segment serves railroads, leasing companies, and industrial shippers of products in the agriculture, construction and metals, consumer products, energy, and refined products and chemicals markets. It sells or leases products and services through its own sales personnel and independent sales representatives. Trinity Industries, Inc. was incorporated in 1933 and is headquartered in Dallas, Texas.
Warren Buffett's Owner Earnings DCF analysis for intrinsic value calculation
Base year metrics used for projections
Forecast period and terminal assumptions
Calculation flow from present value to intrinsic value per share
Operating Cash Flow - Maintenance CapEx = Owner Earnings
| Metric | Year 1 | Year 2 | Year 3 | Year 4 | Year 5 | Year 6 | Year 7 | Year 8 | Year 9 | Year 10 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Operating Cash Flow | $179.9M | $89.9M | $45.0M | $22.5M | $11.2M | $5.6M | $2.8M | $1.4M | $702.5K | $351.3K |
| Maintenance CapEx | -$79.5M | -$39.7M | -$19.9M | -$9.9M | -$5.0M | -$2.5M | -$1.2M | -$621.0K | -$310.5K | -$155.3K |
| Owner Earnings | $100.4M | $50.2M | $25.1M | $12.5M | $6.3M | $3.1M | $1.6M | $784.1K | $392.0K | $196.0K |
| Discount Factor | 0.926 | 0.857 | 0.794 | 0.735 | 0.681 | 0.630 | 0.583 | 0.540 | 0.500 | 0.463 |
| Present Value | $92.9M | $43.0M | $19.9M | $9.2M | $4.3M | $2.0M | $915.0K | $423.6K | $196.1K | $90.8K |
Snapshot
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Value Model
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Statements
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Earnings Call
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Dividends
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Analyst Expectations
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