T1 Energy Inc
$11.50
+10%T1 Energy Inc engages in the production and sale of battery cells for stationary energy storage, electric mobility, and marine applications in Europe and internationally. The company designs and manufactures lithium-ion based battery cell facilities. The company was founded in 2018 and is based in Luxembourg.
At a Glance
Live SnapshotIntrinsic Alpha Methodology
Thesis Lenses
Signal
Medium confidenceValuation multiple is compressed (P/E -5.3).
Valuation inputs: P/E -5.3, earnings yield N/A, momentum +10.5%.
If multiples stay elevated while momentum fades, downside repricing risk rises.
Driver
High confidenceReturn profile is soft (ROE -1.1%, ROIC -17.8%).
Profitability stack: net margin -48.7%, ROE -1.1%, ROIC -17.8%.
Quality deterioration often appears in margins before it shows up in headline EPS.
Risk
High confidenceRisk profile is balanced but has notable pressure points to monitor.
Risk factors: liabilities/assets +76.5%, momentum +10.5%, net margin -48.7%.
Higher leverage with weak momentum and thin margins can amplify drawdown severity.
T1 Energy Inc Market vs Earnings Trajectory
Performance Analysis
EPS Growth
Strong earnings growth indicates robust business expansion and improving profitability.
Price-EPS Relationship
Stock price is moving in line with earnings growth—a healthy sign of fundamental-driven valuation.
Stock Price Change
Over the 1Y period, stock price has increased by 917.7%.
P/E Ratio (TTM)
Relatively low P/E may indicate undervaluation or lower growth expectations.
Key Insight
Stock price (+917.7%) is outpacing earnings growth (+30.5%), suggesting the market may be pricing in future growth. Monitor if earnings can catch up to justify the valuation.
T1 Energy Inc Fair Value Envelope
T1 Energy Inc Profit Bridge
Profitability Analysis
Gross Margin
Thin margins leave little room for error. Cost management and pricing strategy are critical.
Operating Margin
Operating losses indicate the core business is unprofitable. Requires restructuring or revenue growth.
Net Profit Margin
Net losses indicate the company is burning cash. Sustainability depends on path to profitability.
Profitability Insight
High margin compression: Large gap between gross and net margins suggests operational inefficiencies or heavy debt burden. Focus on expense management and deleveraging.
T1 Energy Inc Cash Conversion Engine
Cash Flow Quality Analysis
FCF Conversion Rate
Negative free cash flow despite positive earnings raises concerns about cash generation ability or heavy capital requirements.
CapEx Intensity
Very high capital intensity consumes most operating cash flow. Limited flexibility for dividends or debt reduction.
FCF Growth Trend
Strong FCF growth demonstrates improving cash generation and business momentum. Positive signal for sustainability.
Working Capital Impact
Working capital inflow boosted cash flow. Efficient management of receivables, inventory, and payables contributing positively.
Cash Flow Quality Insight
Capital-intensive growth: Heavy reinvestment limits current cash available but may drive future returns. Assess whether CapEx supports compelling growth opportunities with adequate ROI.
T1 Energy Inc Funding & Solvency Profile
Financial Health Analysis
Current Ratio
Acceptable liquidity, but monitor closely. Current assets just barely cover current liabilities.
Debt-to-Equity Ratio
High financial leverage. Heavy reliance on debt may indicate increased financial risk and potential solvency concerns.
Working Capital
Positive working capital, but relatively tight. The company should monitor cash flow carefully.
Asset Composition
Balanced asset mix between current and non-current assets, typical of many stable businesses.
T1 Energy Inc Street Expectations Map
Wall Street analysts project that TE stock may rise significantly over the coming 12 months. The consensus 1-year price target stands at 13.17, with estimates ranging from a low of 8.50 to a high of 16.00.
The consensus 1-year price target stands at 13.17, with estimates ranging from a low of 8.50 to a high of 16.00.
Analyst Consensus Analysis
Upside Potential
Moderate upside. Analysts expect positive returns but with limited margin of safety. Consider entry timing.
Analyst Agreement
Mixed analyst views. Wide target range suggests differing opinions on key value drivers, growth prospects, or risk factors.
Risk-Reward Profile
Balanced risk-reward. Upside and downside potential relatively symmetric. Suitable for moderate risk tolerance with conviction in thesis.
Analyst Conviction
Bearish or uncertain outlook. Limited upside or poor consensus suggests challenges ahead or fundamental concerns.
Market Sentiment Insight
Monitor and evaluate: Current analyst consensus suggests limited conviction or near-term catalysts. Stay informed on company developments and reassess positioning as new information emerges.
T1 Energy Inc Insider Positioning
During the last 12 months, insiders have purchased $215.05M and sold $78.18M worth of TE shares, resulting in $136.87M of net buying activity.
3 Months
0
0.00
8.8M
76.30M
-76.3M
-$76.30M
3-6 Months
0
0.00
0
0.00
+0
+$0
6-9 Months
21.5M
215.05M
975.0K
1.87M
+213.2M
+$213.18M
9-12 Months
0
0.00
0
0.00
+0
+$0
Top Buyers
Encompass Capital Advisors Llc
Director, 10 Percent Owner, Other: See Remarks
$215.05M
Top Sellers
Trina Solar (Schweiz) Ag
10 Percent Owner
$76.30M
Slettemoen Tore Ivar
Director
$1.87M
Insider Activity Analysis
Net Insider Sentiment
Positive insider sentiment with $136.87M net buying. Buying activity substantially exceeds selling, indicating insider confidence.
Buy/Sell Ratio
Strong buy/sell ratio. Buying is at least double the selling activity, suggesting robust insider confidence.
Recent Trend (3 Months)
Heavy recent selling activity. Recent insider sales notably exceed purchases—may warrant investigation into company developments.
Insider Participation
2 insider sellers vs. 1 buyers. More insiders selling than buying suggests cautious or negative sentiment.
No Dividend Yield Data
TE has not reported any dividend yield values in the available annual periods.
te Dividend History
Learning Layer
Related Guides
Build conviction on TE by pairing this stock hub with focused valuation guides.
Research Paths
Snapshot
Start with context, operating signals, and key market metrics.
Value Model
Stress test fair value across bear, base, and bull assumptions.
Statements
Validate revenue quality, margins, and balance sheet durability.
Earnings Call
Read management commentary and compare it with reported outcomes.
Dividends
Check payout sustainability and long-term distribution behavior.
Analyst Expectations
Review consensus spread and where estimate risk is concentrated.