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Tamboran Resources Corp

TBNยทNYSE

$34.75

+6.5%
EnergyOil & Gas Exploration & Production

Tamboran Resources Corporation, a natural gas company, focuses on developing unconventional gas resources in the northern territory of Australia. Its assets include a 25% non-operated working interest in EP 161; a 38.75% working interest in EPs 76, 98, and 117; and a 100% working interest in EPs 136 and 143, as well as EP (A) 197, located in the Betaloo Basin. Tamboran Resources Corporation was founded in 2009 and is headquartered in Sydney, Australia.

At a Glance

Live Snapshot
Market Cap$984.02M
EPS-2516.9400
P/E Ratio-0.01
Earnings Date09/24/2026

Intrinsic Alpha Methodology

Thesis Lenses

Signal ยท Driver ยท Risk

Signal

Medium confidence

Valuation multiple is compressed (P/E -0.0).

Valuation inputs: P/E -0.0, earnings yield N/A, momentum +6.5%.

If multiples stay elevated while momentum fades, downside repricing risk rises.

Driver

High confidence

Return profile is soft (ROE -12.8%, ROIC -9.2%).

Profitability stack: net margin 0.0%, ROE -12.8%, ROIC -9.2%.

Quality deterioration often appears in margins before it shows up in headline EPS.

Risk

High confidence

Risk profile is balanced but has notable pressure points to monitor.

Risk factors: liabilities/assets +12.8%, momentum +6.5%, net margin 0.0%.

Higher leverage with weak momentum and thin margins can amplify drawdown severity.

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Tamboran Resources Corp Market vs Earnings Trajectory

TBN ยท NYSE

Loading price and EPS data...

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Tamboran Resources Corp Fair Value Envelope

TBN ยท NYSE

Our analysis suggests that TBN has a fair value of HIDDEN per share in the Base Case projection. With shares currently trading at $34.75, this represents a potential HIDDEN relative to our calculated worth for Tamboran Resources Corp.

Intrinsic Value
Current Price: $34.75
3Y+16450488.0%
5Y+1572988.0%
10Y+5593100.0%

No Revenue Data

TBN has not reported any revenue values in the available annual periods.

3Y+371.0%
5Y+154.0%
10Y+777.0%
3Y+168.0%
5Y+232.0%
10Y+563.0%
3Y+112.0%
5Y+569.0%
10Y+3028.0%
3Y+233.0%
5Y+1680.0%
10Y+13925.0%
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Tamboran Resources Corp Profit Bridge

TBN ยท NYSE
Revenue0.00
Cost of Goods Sold (1.13M)
Gross Profit-1.13M
Operating Expenses (37.81M)
Operating Income-38.94M
Interest Expense (0.00)
Other Income/Expense-684.02K
Pretax Income-39.62M
Income Tax (0.00)
Net Income-36.90M
Net Income
-36.90M

Profitability Analysis

No Gross Profit Margin Data

TBN has not reported any gross profit margin values in the available annual periods.

No Operating Profit Margin Data

TBN has not reported any operating profit margin values in the available annual periods.

No Net Profit Margin Data

TBN has not reported any net profit margin values in the available annual periods.

-12.83%
Return on Equity
54%
3Y+111.0%
5Y-135.0%
10Y-134.0%
-8.27%
Return on Assets
35%
3Y+41.0%
5Y-86.0%
10Y-94.0%
-9.15%
Return on Invested Capital
53%
3Y+45.0%
5Y-85.0%
10Y-95.0%
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Tamboran Resources Corp Cash Conversion Engine

TBN ยท NYSE
Net Income-39.62M
Depreciation & Amortization85.95K
Stock-Based Compensation4.35M
Change in Working Capital-4.79M
Others10.33M
Capital Expenditures-110.13M
Free Cash Flow-139.77M

Cash Flow Quality Analysis

FCF Conversion Rate

352.7%

Excellent cash generation. The company converts earnings to cash at or above 100%, indicating high-quality earnings.

CapEx Intensity

-371.6%

Asset-light business model. Low capital requirements leave more cash available for shareholders and growth investments.

FCF Growth Trend

-86.1%

Significant FCF decline raises concerns. Urgent review needed of operational performance and capital allocation.

Working Capital Impact

-$4.79M

Minimal working capital impact on FCF. Changes in operating assets and liabilities well-managed.

Cash Flow Quality Insight

Working capital strain: Significant cash tied up in operations. Monitor receivables collection, inventory turns, and payment terms to optimize cash conversion cycle.

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Tamboran Resources Corp Funding & Solvency Profile

TBN ยท NYSE
Cash & Cash Equivalents88.15M
Net Receivables227.00K
Inventory0.00
Other Current Assets29.73M
Total Current Assets118 M
Property, Plant & Equipment18.96M
Goodwill & Intangible Assets0.00
Long-Term Investments0.00
Other Non-Current Assets535.00M
Total Non-Current Assets554 M
Total Assets
672.06M

Financial Health Analysis

Current Ratio

2.00x

Strong liquidity. The company has adequate resources to meet short-term liabilities.

Debt-to-Equity Ratio

0.23x

Conservative capital structure. The company relies primarily on equity financing, indicating low financial risk.

Working Capital

59 M

Strong working capital position provides significant operational flexibility and financial cushion.

Asset Composition

18% Current

Capital-intensive business with significant long-term investments in property, equipment, or intangibles.

Financial Health Insight

Strong financial foundation: Excellent liquidity combined with conservative leverage suggests the company is well-positioned to weather economic uncertainties and fund growth opportunities.

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Tamboran Resources Corp Street Expectations Map

TBN ยท NYSE

Wall Street analysts project that TBN stock may rise significantly over the coming 12 months. The consensus 1-year price target stands at 51.00, with estimates ranging from a low of 47.00 to a high of 55.00.

Lowest Target
47.00
35.25%
Consensus Target
51.00
46.76%
Highest Target
55.00
58.27%

The consensus 1-year price target stands at 51.00, with estimates ranging from a low of 47.00 to a high of 55.00.

Analyst Consensus Analysis

Upside Potential

+46.8%

Substantial upside potential. Analysts see significant value gap, suggesting the stock may be materially undervalued at current levels.

Analyst Agreement

15.7% spread

High analyst agreement. Narrow target range indicates strong consensus on valuation, suggesting clear investment thesis and predictable outlook.

Analyst Conviction

Very High

Strong buy conviction: High upside with tight consensus suggests compelling investment opportunity backed by analyst confidence.

Market Sentiment Insight

Rare opportunity: Exceptional upside potential with strong analyst consensus creates a compelling setup. The combination of significant price target premium and tight agreement suggests high-conviction undervaluation that may attract institutional capital.

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Tamboran Resources Corp Insider Positioning

TBN ยท NYSE

During the last 12 months, insiders have purchased $10.90M worth of TBN shares, with no selling activity reported.

3 Months

Bought

17.0K

621.64K

Sold

0

0.00

Net Activity

+622K

+$622K

3-6 Months

Bought

0

0.00

Sold

0

0.00

Net Activity

+0

+$0

6-9 Months

Bought

2.0K

47.00K

Sold

0

0.00

Net Activity

+47K

+$47K

9-12 Months

Bought

576.5K

10.23M

Sold

0

0.00

Net Activity

+10.2M

+$10.23M

Top Buyers

1
SB

Sheffield Bryan

10 Percent Owner

563.7K sharesโ€ข1 transactions

$10.00M

2
PPZ

Pace Phillip Z

Director

12.0K sharesโ€ข2 transactions

$417K

3
SSD

Sheffield Scott D

Director

7.0K sharesโ€ข1 transactions

$252K

4
SDN

Siegel David N

Director

10.0K sharesโ€ข1 transactions

$177K

5
SRK

Stoneburner Richard K

Director

2.8K sharesโ€ข1 transactions

$50K

Top Sellers

No selling activity

Insider Activity Analysis

Net Insider Sentiment

Bullish

Strong bullish signal with $10.90M net buying. Insiders are aggressively accumulating shares, suggesting significant confidence in future prospects.

Buy/Sell Ratio

โˆž:1

Perfect buy/sell ratio. Only buying activity with zero sellingโ€”the most bullish possible insider signal.

Recent Trend (3 Months)

$622K

Very strong recent buying momentum. Recent insider purchases significantly outpace sales, suggesting near-term optimism.

Insider Participation

High Buying

5 insider buyers vs. 0 sellers. Broad-based buying across management team suggests widespread confidence.

Insider Activity Insight

Strong confluence of bullish signals: High buy/sell ratio, multiple insiders participating, and recent buying momentum all point to significant insider confidence. This level of coordinated buying often precedes positive developments.

No Dividend Yield Data

TBN has not reported any dividend yield values in the available annual periods.

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tbn Dividend History

TBN
10Y CAGR +0%
Latest $0
Annual $0
Stable dividend payments
Last Period: +0%