Southwest Gas Holdings, Inc.

Southwest Gas Holdings, Inc.

SWXยทNYSE

$87.17

+1.7%
UtilitiesRegulated Gas

Southwest Gas Holdings, Inc., through its subsidiaries, distributes and transports natural gas in Arizona, Nevada, and California. The company operates through Natural Gas Distribution, Utility Infrastructure Services, and Pipeline and Storage segments. It also provides trenching, installation, and replacement of underground pipes, as well as maintenance services for energy distribution systems. As of December 31, 2021, it had 2,159,000 residential, commercial, industrial, and other natural gas customers. Southwest Gas Holdings, Inc. was incorporated in 1931 and is headquartered in Las Vegas, Nevada.

At a Glance

Live Snapshot
Market Cap$6.31B
EPS6.0900
P/E Ratio14.31
Earnings Date08/05/2026

Intrinsic Alpha Methodology

Thesis Lenses

Signal ยท Driver ยท Risk

Signal

High confidence

Valuation multiple is mid-range (P/E 14.3).

Valuation inputs: P/E 14.3, earnings yield +7.0%, momentum +1.7%.

If multiples stay elevated while momentum fades, downside repricing risk rises.

Driver

High confidence

Return profile is soft (ROE +11.1%, ROIC +3.5%).

Profitability stack: net margin +22.7%, ROE +11.1%, ROIC +3.5%.

Quality deterioration often appears in margins before it shows up in headline EPS.

Risk

High confidence

Downside profile looks controlled across current risk inputs.

Risk factors: liabilities/assets +62.0%, momentum +1.7%, net margin +22.7%.

Higher leverage with weak momentum and thin margins can amplify drawdown severity.

swx

Southwest Gas Holdings, Inc. Market vs Earnings Trajectory

SWX ยท NYSE

Loading price and EPS data...

Southwest Gas Holdings, Inc.

Southwest Gas Holdings, Inc. Fair Value Envelope

SWX ยท NYSE

Our analysis suggests that SWX has a fair value of HIDDEN per share in the Base Case projection. With shares currently trading at $87.17, this represents a potential HIDDEN relative to our calculated worth for Southwest Gas Holdings, Inc..

Intrinsic Value
Current Price: $87.17
3Y-125.0%
5Y+47.0%
10Y+90.0%
3Y-61.0%
5Y-41.0%
10Y-21.0%
3Y-316.0%
5Y+89.0%
10Y+189.0%
3Y+36.0%
5Y-11.0%
10Y-7.0%
3Y-44.0%
5Y+27.0%
10Y-466.0%
3Y-21.0%
5Y+19.0%
10Y+87.0%
Southwest Gas Holdings, Inc.

Southwest Gas Holdings, Inc. Profit Bridge

SWX ยท NYSE
Revenue1.94B
Cost of Goods Sold (1.37B)
Gross Profit567.96M
Operating Expenses (94.07M)
Operating Income473.89M
Interest Expense (203.08M)
Other Income/Expense-143.01M
Pretax Income330.87M
Income Tax (96.04M)
Net Income439.83M
Net Income
439.83M

Profitability Analysis

Gross Margin

29.3%

Moderate margins typical of competitive industries. Monitor for pricing pressure or rising costs.

Operating Margin

24.4%

Healthy operating margins demonstrate effective cost control and strong business fundamentals.

Net Profit Margin

22.7%

Exceptional profitability. The company converts a significant portion of revenue to bottom-line earnings.

Effective Tax Rate

29.0%

Higher tax burden may reflect limited tax optimization or operations in high-tax jurisdictions.

Profitability Insight

Efficient profit conversion: Minimal margin compression from gross to net indicates lean operations and favorable tax/interest environment.

29.27%
Gross Profit Margin
48%
3Y+46.0%
5Y+18.0%
10Y+13.0%
24.42%
Operating Profit Margin
158%
3Y-5065.0%
5Y+90.0%
10Y+103.0%
22.67%
Net Profit Margin
483%
3Y-653.0%
5Y+222.0%
10Y+267.0%
11.10%
Return on Equity
96%
3Y-267.0%
5Y+28.0%
10Y+21.0%
4.22%
Return on Assets
155%
3Y-374.0%
5Y+59.0%
10Y+55.0%
3.51%
Return on Invested Capital
-7%
3Y-2362.0%
5Y-16.0%
10Y-10.0%
SWX

Southwest Gas Holdings, Inc. Cash Conversion Engine

SWX ยท NYSE
Net Income239.48M
Depreciation & Amortization330.72M
Stock-Based Compensation12.99M
Change in Working Capital-96.73M
Others-100.93M
Capital Expenditures-807.87M
Free Cash Flow-251.79M

Cash Flow Quality Analysis

FCF Conversion Rate

-105.1%

Negative free cash flow despite positive earnings raises concerns about cash generation ability or heavy capital requirements.

CapEx Intensity

145.3%

Very high capital intensity consumes most operating cash flow. Limited flexibility for dividends or debt reduction.

FCF Growth Trend

-161.4%

Significant FCF decline raises concerns. Urgent review needed of operational performance and capital allocation.

Working Capital Impact

-$96.73M

Moderate working capital outflow. Typical for growing businesses, but ensure it's supporting revenue growth, not inefficiency.

Cash Flow Quality Insight

Cash flow concerns: Despite profitability, the company is burning cash. Review working capital management, CapEx levels, and sustainability of current operations.

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Southwest Gas Holdings, Inc. Funding & Solvency Profile

SWX ยท NYSE
Cash & Cash Equivalents60.27M
Net Receivables217.87M
Inventory93.66M
Other Current Assets135.98M
Total Current Assets675 M
Property, Plant & Equipment0.00
Goodwill & Intangible Assets11.15M
Long-Term Investments0.00
Other Non-Current Assets351.15M
Total Non-Current Assets351 M
Total Assets
10.01B

Financial Health Analysis

Current Ratio

0.92x

Warning: Liquidity concerns. Current assets may not be sufficient to cover short-term obligations.

Debt-to-Equity Ratio

1.73x

Elevated leverage. Debt exceeds equity, which amplifies both gains and risks. Monitor debt servicing ability.

Working Capital

-58478000

Negative working capital indicates short-term liabilities exceed short-term assetsโ€”potential liquidity stress.

Asset Composition

7% Current

Capital-intensive business with significant long-term investments in property, equipment, or intangibles.

Financial Health Insight

Financial stress indicators: Both liquidity and leverage metrics raise concerns. The company may face challenges meeting obligations and should focus on strengthening its balance sheet.

swx

Southwest Gas Holdings, Inc. Street Expectations Map

SWX ยท NYSE

Wall Street analysts project that SWX stock may rise significantly over the coming 12 months. The consensus 1-year price target stands at 100.33, with estimates ranging from a low of 96.00 to a high of 105.00.

Lowest Target
96.00
10.13%
Consensus Target
100.33
15.10%
Highest Target
105.00
20.45%

The consensus 1-year price target stands at 100.33, with estimates ranging from a low of 96.00 to a high of 105.00.

Analyst Consensus Analysis

Upside Potential

+15.1%

Strong upside potential. Consensus indicates attractive return opportunity with favorable risk-reward profile.

Analyst Agreement

9.0% spread

High analyst agreement. Narrow target range indicates strong consensus on valuation, suggesting clear investment thesis and predictable outlook.

Analyst Conviction

Very High

Strong buy conviction: High upside with tight consensus suggests compelling investment opportunity backed by analyst confidence.

Market Sentiment Insight

Monitor and evaluate: Current analyst consensus suggests limited conviction or near-term catalysts. Stay informed on company developments and reassess positioning as new information emerges.

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Southwest Gas Holdings, Inc. Insider Positioning

SWX ยท NYSE

During the last 12 months, insiders have purchased $2K and sold $117.64M worth of SWX shares, resulting in $117.63M of net selling activity.

3 Months

Bought

0

0.00

Sold

0

0.00

Net Activity

+0

+$0

3-6 Months

Bought

0

0.00

Sold

3.0K

245.51K

Net Activity

-246K

-$246K

6-9 Months

Bought

24

1.89K

Sold

1.5M

116.86M

Net Activity

-116.9M

-$116.86M

9-12 Months

Bought

0

0.00

Sold

7.0K

525.00K

Net Activity

-525K

-$525K

Top Buyers

1
SBE

Sandoval Brian E

Director

24 sharesโ€ข1 transactions

$2K

Top Sellers

1
ICC

Icahn Carl C

10 Percent Owner

1.5M sharesโ€ข1 transactions

$116.86M

2
SRJ

Stefani Robert J

Officer: Svp/Cfo/Controller

7.0K sharesโ€ข1 transactions

$525K

3
BJL

Brown Justin L

Officer: President/Southwest Gas Corp.

3.0K sharesโ€ข1 transactions

$246K

Insider Activity Analysis

Net Insider Sentiment

Bearish

Strong bearish signal with $117.63M net selling. Heavy insider selling may indicate concerns about valuation or near-term prospects.

Buy/Sell Ratio

0.00:1

Very poor ratio. Heavy selling with minimal buying suggests insiders may be concerned about valuation or outlook.

Insider Participation

High Selling

3 insider sellers vs. 1 buyers. Widespread selling across multiple insiders may signal concerns.

0.71%
Dividend Yield
-8%
3Y-27.0%
5Y-13.0%
10Y+25.0%
ย 

swx Dividend History

SWX
10Y CAGR +4%
Latest $0.645
Annual $3.125
5 year growth trend
Last Period: +4%