Sempra

Sempra

SREยทNYSE

$90.34

+0.88%
UtilitiesDiversified Utilities

Sempra operates as an energy-services holding company in the United States and internationally. The company's San Diego Gas & Electric Company segment provides electric services; and supplies natural gas. It offers electric services to approximately 3.6 million population and natural gas services to approximately 3.3 million population that covers 4,100 square miles. Its Southern California Gas Company segment owns and operates a natural gas distribution, transmission, and storage system that supplies natural gas to a population of approximately 22 million covering an area of 24,000 square miles. The company's Sempra Texas Utilities segment engages in the regulated transmission and distribution of electricity serving 3.8 million homes and businesses, and operation of 140,000 miles of transmission and distribution lines. Its transmission system includes 18,249 circuit miles of transmission lines, a total of 1,174 transmission and distribution substations, and interconnection to 130 third-party generation facilities totaling 45,403 megawatts. The company was formerly known as Sempra Energy and changed its name to Sempra in July 2021. Sempra was founded in 1998 and is headquartered in San Diego, California.

At a Glance

Live Snapshot
Market Cap$59.05B
EPS2.7500
P/E Ratio32.85
Earnings Date08/06/2026

Intrinsic Alpha Methodology

Thesis Lenses

Signal ยท Driver ยท Risk

Signal

High confidence

Valuation multiple is elevated (P/E 32.9).

Valuation inputs: P/E 32.9, earnings yield +3.0%, momentum +0.9%.

If multiples stay elevated while momentum fades, downside repricing risk rises.

Driver

High confidence

Return profile is soft (ROE +5.8%, ROIC +2.6%).

Profitability stack: net margin +13.4%, ROE +5.8%, ROIC +2.6%.

Quality deterioration often appears in margins before it shows up in headline EPS.

Risk

High confidence

Downside profile looks controlled across current risk inputs.

Risk factors: liabilities/assets +62.1%, momentum +0.9%, net margin +13.4%.

Higher leverage with weak momentum and thin margins can amplify drawdown severity.

sre

Sempra Market vs Earnings Trajectory

SRE ยท NYSE

Loading price and EPS data...

Sempra

Sempra Fair Value Envelope

SRE ยท NYSE

Our analysis suggests that SRE has a fair value of HIDDEN per share in the Base Case projection. With shares currently trading at $90.34, this represents a potential HIDDEN relative to our calculated worth for Sempra.

Intrinsic Value
Current Price: $90.34
3Y-17.0%
5Y-57.0%
10Y-
3Y-12.0%
5Y+21.0%
10Y+34.0%
3Y-14.0%
5Y-53.0%
10Y+34.0%
3Y+300.0%
5Y+76.0%
10Y+98.0%
3Y+43.0%
5Y+190.0%
10Y+218.0%
3Y+41.0%
5Y+66.0%
10Y+132.0%
Sempra

Sempra Profit Bridge

SRE ยท NYSE
Revenue13.71B
Cost of Goods Sold (9.71B)
Gross Profit4.00B
Operating Expenses (744.00M)
Operating Income3.25B
Interest Expense (1.53B)
Other Income/Expense-480.00M
Pretax Income2.77B
Income Tax (701.00M)
Net Income1.84B
Net Income
1.84B

Profitability Analysis

Gross Margin

29.1%

Moderate margins typical of competitive industries. Monitor for pricing pressure or rising costs.

Operating Margin

23.7%

Healthy operating margins demonstrate effective cost control and strong business fundamentals.

Net Profit Margin

13.4%

Strong net margins indicate efficient operations and favorable tax/interest management.

Effective Tax Rate

25.3%

Higher tax burden may reflect limited tax optimization or operations in high-tax jurisdictions.

Profitability Insight

Efficient profit conversion: Minimal margin compression from gross to net indicates lean operations and favorable tax/interest environment.

29.15%
Gross Profit Margin
7%
3Y+9.0%
5Y+1.0%
10Y+41.0%
23.72%
Operating Profit Margin
9%
3Y+5.0%
5Y-2.0%
10Y+43.0%
13.40%
Net Profit Margin
-39%
3Y-3.0%
5Y-61.0%
10Y-
5.81%
Return on Equity
-37%
3Y-26.0%
5Y-65.0%
10Y-45.0%
1.66%
Return on Assets
-44%
3Y-39.0%
5Y-72.0%
10Y-42.0%
2.56%
Return on Invested Capital
-13%
3Y-34.0%
5Y-35.0%
10Y-15.0%
SRE

Sempra Cash Conversion Engine

SRE ยท NYSE
Net Income866.00M
Depreciation & Amortization2.56B
Stock-Based Compensation0.00
Change in Working Capital145.00M
Others458.00M
Capital Expenditures-10.61B
Free Cash Flow-6.05B

Cash Flow Quality Analysis

FCF Conversion Rate

-698.3%

Negative free cash flow despite positive earnings raises concerns about cash generation ability or heavy capital requirements.

CapEx Intensity

232.5%

Very high capital intensity consumes most operating cash flow. Limited flexibility for dividends or debt reduction.

FCF Growth Trend

-82.8%

Significant FCF decline raises concerns. Urgent review needed of operational performance and capital allocation.

Working Capital Impact

+$145.00M

Working capital inflow boosted cash flow. Efficient management of receivables, inventory, and payables contributing positively.

Cash Flow Quality Insight

Cash flow concerns: Despite profitability, the company is burning cash. Review working capital management, CapEx levels, and sustainability of current operations.

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Sempra Funding & Solvency Profile

SRE ยท NYSE
Cash & Cash Equivalents176.00M
Net Receivables475.00M
Inventory104.00M
Other Current Assets0.00
Total Current Assets755 M
Property, Plant & Equipment22.63B
Goodwill & Intangible Assets1.88B
Long-Term Investments2.55B
Other Non-Current Assets0.00
Total Non-Current Assets25 B
Total Assets
31.86B

Financial Health Analysis

Current Ratio

0.04x

Warning: Liquidity concerns. Current assets may not be sufficient to cover short-term obligations.

Working Capital

-20684000000

Negative working capital indicates short-term liabilities exceed short-term assetsโ€”potential liquidity stress.

Asset Composition

2% Current

Capital-intensive business with significant long-term investments in property, equipment, or intangibles.

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Sempra Street Expectations Map

SRE ยท NYSE

Wall Street analysts project that SRE stock may rise significantly over the coming 12 months. The consensus 1-year price target stands at 106.20, with estimates ranging from a low of 100.00 to a high of 118.00.

Lowest Target
100.00
10.69%
Consensus Target
106.20
17.56%
Highest Target
118.00
30.62%

The consensus 1-year price target stands at 106.20, with estimates ranging from a low of 100.00 to a high of 118.00.

Analyst Consensus Analysis

Upside Potential

+17.6%

Strong upside potential. Consensus indicates attractive return opportunity with favorable risk-reward profile.

Analyst Agreement

16.9% spread

High analyst agreement. Narrow target range indicates strong consensus on valuation, suggesting clear investment thesis and predictable outlook.

Analyst Conviction

Very High

Strong buy conviction: High upside with tight consensus suggests compelling investment opportunity backed by analyst confidence.

Market Sentiment Insight

Monitor and evaluate: Current analyst consensus suggests limited conviction or near-term catalysts. Stay informed on company developments and reassess positioning as new information emerges.

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Sempra Insider Positioning

SRE ยท NYSE

During the last 12 months, insiders have purchased $577K and sold $6.17M worth of SRE shares, resulting in $5.60M of net selling activity.

3 Months

Bought

6.2K

576.98K

Sold

9.6K

882.83K

Net Activity

-306K

-$306K

3-6 Months

Bought

0

0.00

Sold

2.4K

211.41K

Net Activity

-211K

-$211K

6-9 Months

Bought

0

0.00

Sold

51.1K

4.53M

Net Activity

-4.5M

-$4.53M

9-12 Months

Bought

0

0.00

Sold

6.7K

545.48K

Net Activity

-545K

-$545K

Top Buyers

1
MRJ

Mark Richard J

Director

2.7K sharesโ€ข1 transactions

$251K

2
WCJ

Warner Cynthia J

Director

2.5K sharesโ€ข1 transactions

$232K

3
KJM

Kirk Jennifer M

Director

1.0K sharesโ€ข1 transactions

$93K

Top Sellers

1
SKC

Sagara Kevin C.

Director

31.7K sharesโ€ข2 transactions

$2.75M

2
WCA

Winn Caroline Ann

Officer: Executive Vice President

11.1K sharesโ€ข3 transactions

$969K

3
SKL

Sedgwick Karen L

Officer: Executive Vp And Cfo

8.6K sharesโ€ข2 transactions

$788K

4
LAL

Larroque Alexander Lisa

Officer: Svp, Corp Affairs And Hr

5.9K sharesโ€ข2 transactions

$526K

5
DDL

Day Diana L

Officer: Chief Legal Counsel

3.3K sharesโ€ข1 transactions

$304K

Insider Activity Analysis

Net Insider Sentiment

Bearish

Strong bearish signal with $5.60M net selling. Heavy insider selling may indicate concerns about valuation or near-term prospects.

Buy/Sell Ratio

0.09:1

Very poor ratio. Heavy selling with minimal buying suggests insiders may be concerned about valuation or outlook.

Recent Trend (3 Months)

$306K

Negative recent trend with net selling. Insiders have reduced positions in recent months, which could signal caution.

Insider Participation

Moderate Selling

5 insider sellers vs. 3 buyers. More insiders selling than buying suggests cautious or negative sentiment.

Insider Activity Insight

Multiple red flags: Heavy selling, numerous sellers, and continued recent selling create a concerning pattern. Investigate fundamental drivers and consider whether company guidance or industry conditions have deteriorated.

0.64%
Dividend Yield
-13%
3Y-15.0%
5Y-24.0%
10Y+6.0%
ย 

sre Dividend History

SRE
10Y CAGR +6%
Latest $0.658
Annual $3.25
5 year growth trend
Last Period: +0%