Spotify Technology S.A.

Spotify Technology S.A.

SPOT·NYSE

$487.54

-2.8%
Communication ServicesInternet Content & Information

Spotify Technology S.A., together with its subsidiaries, provides audio streaming services worldwide. It operates through Premium and Ad-Supported segments. The Premium segment offers unlimited online and offline streaming access to its catalog of music and podcasts without commercial breaks to its subscribers. The Ad-Supported segment provides on-demand online access to its catalog of music and unlimited online access to the catalog of podcasts to its subscribers on their computers, tablets, and compatible mobile devices. The company also offers sales, marketing, contract research and development, and customer support services. As of December 31, 2021, its platform included 406 million monthly active users and 180 million premium subscribers in 184 countries and territories. The company was incorporated in 2006 and is based in Luxembourg, Luxembourg.

At a Glance

Live Snapshot
Market Cap$100.25B
EPS10.7700
P/E Ratio45.27
Earnings Date07/28/2026
spot

Spotify Technology S.A. Street Expectations Map

SPOT · NYSE

Wall Street analysts project that SPOT stock may rise significantly over the coming 12 months. The consensus 1-year price target stands at 614.57, with estimates ranging from a low of 420.00 to a high of 750.00.

Lowest Target
420.00
-13.85%
Consensus Target
614.57
26.06%
Highest Target
750.00
53.83%

The consensus 1-year price target stands at 614.57, with estimates ranging from a low of 420.00 to a high of 750.00.

Analyst Consensus Analysis

Upside Potential

+26.1%

Substantial upside potential. Analysts see significant value gap, suggesting the stock may be materially undervalued at current levels.

Analyst Agreement

53.7% spread

Mixed analyst views. Wide target range suggests differing opinions on key value drivers, growth prospects, or risk factors.

Risk-Reward Profile

3.89x

Favorable risk-reward. Potential upside significantly exceeds downside risk, offering asymmetric return profile attractive for risk-tolerant investors.

Analyst Conviction

Low

Bearish or uncertain outlook. Limited upside or poor consensus suggests challenges ahead or fundamental concerns.

Market Sentiment Insight

High risk, high reward: Substantial upside potential exists, but wide analyst disagreement signals execution risk or unclear catalysts. Thorough due diligence essential before committing capital.

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Spotify Technology S.A. Forward Estimates of Revenue

SPOT · NYSE
Latest Revenue
17.19B
FY 2025
Avg Estimate
19.72B
FY 2026
Estimate Range
19.50B - 19.99B
Analyst Spread

Forward Growth Analysis

Projected Growth+14.7%

Solid growth trajectory indicates healthy business performance and competitive positioning.

Analyst Coverage25 Analysts

Extensive analyst coverage provides high-quality consensus estimates and market transparency.

Estimate Spread2%

Narrow estimate range signals strong analyst consensus and predictable business outlook.

OutlookStrong

Positive analyst consensus with strong growth expectations and forecast confidence.

Key Insight

Well-supported growth expectations: Strong analyst coverage combined with positive growth projections provides confidence in forward outlook.

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Spotify Technology S.A. Forward Estimates of Net Income

SPOT · NYSE
Latest Net Income
2.21B
FY 2025
Avg Estimate
2.83B
FY 2026
Estimate Range
2.45B - 3.20B
Analyst Spread

Forward Growth Analysis

Projected Growth+27.8%

Strong growth expectations signal robust business momentum and market opportunity expansion.

Analyst Coverage25 Analysts

Extensive analyst coverage provides high-quality consensus estimates and market transparency.

Estimate Spread27%

Moderate uncertainty in forecasts—typical for companies with evolving business models.

OutlookStrong

Positive analyst consensus with strong growth expectations and forecast confidence.

Key Insight

Well-supported growth expectations: Strong analyst coverage combined with positive growth projections provides confidence in forward outlook.

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Spotify Technology S.A. Forward Estimates of EPS

SPOT · NYSE
Latest EPS
10.77
FY 2025
Avg Estimate
$12.89
FY 2026
Estimate Range
$11.64 - $15.22
Analyst Spread

Forward Growth Analysis

Projected Growth+19.7%

Solid growth trajectory indicates healthy business performance and competitive positioning.

Analyst Coverage23 Analysts

Extensive analyst coverage provides high-quality consensus estimates and market transparency.

Estimate Spread28%

Moderate uncertainty in forecasts—typical for companies with evolving business models.

OutlookStrong

Positive analyst consensus with strong growth expectations and forecast confidence.

Key Insight

Well-supported growth expectations: Strong analyst coverage combined with positive growth projections provides confidence in forward outlook.

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Spotify Technology S.A. Forward Estimates of EBIT

SPOT · NYSE
Latest EBIT
2.25B
FY 2025
Avg Estimate
5.27B
FY 2026
Estimate Range
5.21B - 5.34B
Analyst Spread

Forward Growth Analysis

Projected Growth+133.6%

Strong growth expectations signal robust business momentum and market opportunity expansion.

Analyst Coverage25 Analysts

Extensive analyst coverage provides high-quality consensus estimates and market transparency.

Estimate Spread2%

Narrow estimate range signals strong analyst consensus and predictable business outlook.

OutlookStrong

Positive analyst consensus with strong growth expectations and forecast confidence.

Key Insight

Compelling growth story with analyst consensus: Strong projected growth combined with narrow estimate spread suggests high-conviction opportunity.

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Spotify Technology S.A. Forward Estimates of EBITDA

SPOT · NYSE
Latest EBITDA
2.36B
FY 2025
Avg Estimate
5.23B
FY 2026
Estimate Range
5.17B - 5.30B
Analyst Spread

Forward Growth Analysis

Projected Growth+121.8%

Strong growth expectations signal robust business momentum and market opportunity expansion.

Analyst Coverage25 Analysts

Extensive analyst coverage provides high-quality consensus estimates and market transparency.

Estimate Spread2%

Narrow estimate range signals strong analyst consensus and predictable business outlook.

OutlookStrong

Positive analyst consensus with strong growth expectations and forecast confidence.

Key Insight

Compelling growth story with analyst consensus: Strong projected growth combined with narrow estimate spread suggests high-conviction opportunity.

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Spotify Technology S.A. Forward Estimates of SG&A Expense

SPOT · NYSE
Latest SG&A Expense
1.91B
FY 2025
Avg Estimate
2.92B
FY 2026
Estimate Range
2.89B - 2.96B
Analyst Spread

Forward Growth Analysis

Projected Growth+53.5%

Strong growth expectations signal robust business momentum and market opportunity expansion.

Analyst Coverage25 Analysts

Extensive analyst coverage provides high-quality consensus estimates and market transparency.

Estimate Spread2%

Narrow estimate range signals strong analyst consensus and predictable business outlook.

OutlookStrong

Positive analyst consensus with strong growth expectations and forecast confidence.

Key Insight

Compelling growth story with analyst consensus: Strong projected growth combined with narrow estimate spread suggests high-conviction opportunity.

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Spotify Technology S.A. Insider Positioning

SPOT · NYSE

During the last 12 months, insiders have sold $46.66M worth of SPOT shares, with no buying activity reported.

3 Months

Bought

0

0.00

Sold

96.0K

46.66M

Net Activity

-46.7M

-$46.66M

3-6 Months

Bought

0

0.00

Sold

0

0.00

Net Activity

+0

+$0

6-9 Months

Bought

0

0.00

Sold

0

0.00

Net Activity

+0

+$0

9-12 Months

Bought

0

0.00

Sold

0

0.00

Net Activity

+0

+$0

Top Buyers

No buying activity

Top Sellers

1
SG

Soderstrom Gustav

Director, Officer: Co-Chief Executive Officer

41.7K shares2 transactions

$18.84M

2
LSHM

Lorentzon Sven Hans Martin

Director

35.4K shares1 transactions

$18.60M

3
NA

Norstrom Alex

Director, Officer: Co-Chief Executive Officer

10.9K shares2 transactions

$4.96M

4
STO

Staggs Thomas O

Director

5.5K shares1 transactions

$2.88M

5
MCP

Marshall Christopher P

Director

2.6K shares1 transactions

$1.38M

Insider Activity Analysis

Net Insider Sentiment

Bearish

Strong bearish signal with $46.66M net selling. Heavy insider selling may indicate concerns about valuation or near-term prospects.

Buy/Sell Ratio

0.00:1

Very poor ratio. Heavy selling with minimal buying suggests insiders may be concerned about valuation or outlook.

Recent Trend (3 Months)

$46.66M

Heavy recent selling activity. Recent insider sales notably exceed purchases—may warrant investigation into company developments.

Insider Participation

High Selling

5 insider sellers vs. 0 buyers. Widespread selling across multiple insiders may signal concerns.

Insider Activity Insight

Multiple red flags: Heavy selling, numerous sellers, and continued recent selling create a concerning pattern. Investigate fundamental drivers and consider whether company guidance or industry conditions have deteriorated.