Spire Global, Inc.
$19.04
-11%Spire Global, Inc. develops a hardware and intelligent analytics platform that tracks the oceans, skies, and weather. It serves maritime, weather, aviation, space services, earth intelligence, and federal industries. Spire Global, Inc. has a strategic partnership with TAC Index Limited. Spire Global, Inc. was formerly known as Nanosatisfi, Inc. and changed its name to Spire Global, Inc. in July 2014. The company was incorporated in 2012 and is based in San Francisco, California with additional offices in Boulder, Colorado; Washington, D.C.; Glasgow, United Kingdom; Luxembourg; and Singapore.
At a Glance
Live SnapshotIntrinsic Alpha Methodology
Thesis Lenses
Signal
High confidenceValuation multiple is compressed (P/E 11.5).
Valuation inputs: P/E 11.5, earnings yield +8.7%, momentum -10.8%.
If multiples stay elevated while momentum fades, downside repricing risk rises.
Driver
High confidenceReturn profile is soft (ROE +45.4%, ROIC -58.5%).
Profitability stack: net margin +71.7%, ROE +45.4%, ROIC -58.5%.
Quality deterioration often appears in margins before it shows up in headline EPS.
Risk
High confidenceRisk profile is balanced but has notable pressure points to monitor.
Risk factors: liabilities/assets +46.5%, momentum -10.8%, net margin +71.7%.
Higher leverage with weak momentum and thin margins can amplify drawdown severity.
Spire Global, Inc. Market vs Earnings Trajectory
Loading price and EPS data...
Spire Global, Inc. Fair Value Envelope
Spire Global, Inc. Profit Bridge
Profitability Analysis
Gross Margin
Strong gross margins indicate healthy pricing and efficient production or service delivery.
Operating Margin
Operating losses indicate the core business is unprofitable. Requires restructuring or revenue growth.
Net Profit Margin
Exceptional profitability. The company converts a significant portion of revenue to bottom-line earnings.
Effective Tax Rate
Below-average tax rate suggests effective tax planning, favorable jurisdictions, or tax credits.
Profitability Insight
Margin squeeze alert: Healthy gross margins but weak operating margins suggest excessive operating expenses. Cost optimization could unlock significant value.
Spire Global, Inc. Cash Conversion Engine
Cash Flow Quality Analysis
FCF Conversion Rate
Negative free cash flow despite positive earnings raises concerns about cash generation ability or heavy capital requirements.
CapEx Intensity
Asset-light business model. Low capital requirements leave more cash available for shareholders and growth investments.
FCF Growth Trend
Significant FCF decline raises concerns. Urgent review needed of operational performance and capital allocation.
Working Capital Impact
Working capital inflow boosted cash flow. Efficient management of receivables, inventory, and payables contributing positively.
Cash Flow Quality Insight
Cash flow concerns: Despite profitability, the company is burning cash. Review working capital management, CapEx levels, and sustainability of current operations.
Spire Global, Inc. Funding & Solvency Profile
Financial Health Analysis
Current Ratio
Warning: Liquidity concerns. Current assets may not be sufficient to cover short-term obligations.
Debt-to-Equity Ratio
Elevated leverage. Debt exceeds equity, which amplifies both gains and risks. Monitor debt servicing ability.
Working Capital
Negative working capital indicates short-term liabilities exceed short-term assets—potential liquidity stress.
Asset Composition
Capital-intensive business with significant long-term investments in property, equipment, or intangibles.
Financial Health Insight
Negative working capital with limited cash reserves requires immediate attention—potential liquidity crisis if not addressed promptly.
Spire Global, Inc. Street Expectations Map
Wall Street analysts project that SPIR stock may experience modest gains over the coming 12 months. The consensus 1-year price target stands at 19.63, with estimates ranging from a low of 15.00 to a high of 22.50.
The consensus 1-year price target stands at 19.63, with estimates ranging from a low of 15.00 to a high of 22.50.
Analyst Consensus Analysis
Upside Potential
Fair value territory. Stock trading near consensus target suggests limited near-term catalysts. Focus on fundamental developments.
Analyst Agreement
Good consensus alignment. Moderate target spread reflects general agreement on value drivers with some variance in assumptions.
Risk-Reward Profile
Unfavorable risk-reward. Downside risk exceeds upside potential. Consider defensive positioning or alternative opportunities.
Analyst Conviction
Neutral sentiment. Fair value pricing with moderate agreement suggests wait-and-see approach or catalyst-driven opportunity.
Market Sentiment Insight
Monitor and evaluate: Current analyst consensus suggests limited conviction or near-term catalysts. Stay informed on company developments and reassess positioning as new information emerges.
Spire Global, Inc. Insider Positioning
During the last 12 months, insiders have purchased $286K and sold $5.60M worth of SPIR shares, resulting in $5.32M of net selling activity.
3 Months
0
0.00
7.9K
129.48K
-129K
-$129K
3-6 Months
0
0.00
138.0K
1.19M
-1.2M
-$1.19M
6-9 Months
2.1K
24.11K
217.2K
1.77M
-1.7M
-$1.74M
9-12 Months
23.7K
261.48K
302.0K
2.52M
-2.3M
-$2.26M
Top Buyers
Hoke Dirk
Director
$238K
Porteous William
Director
$47K
Top Sellers
Platzer Peter
Director, Officer: Executive Chairman
$4.04M
Condor Theresa
Director, Officer: Chief Executive Officer
$1.11M
Messer Stephen
Director
$181K
Pelez Perez Celia
Officer: Chief Operating Officer
$163K
Oehme Johann Gabriel
Officer: Chief Technology Officer
$109K
Insider Activity Analysis
Net Insider Sentiment
Strong bearish signal with $5.32M net selling. Heavy insider selling may indicate concerns about valuation or near-term prospects.
Buy/Sell Ratio
Very poor ratio. Heavy selling with minimal buying suggests insiders may be concerned about valuation or outlook.
Recent Trend (3 Months)
Heavy recent selling activity. Recent insider sales notably exceed purchases—may warrant investigation into company developments.
Insider Participation
5 insider sellers vs. 2 buyers. Widespread selling across multiple insiders may signal concerns.
Insider Activity Insight
Multiple red flags: Heavy selling, numerous sellers, and continued recent selling create a concerning pattern. Investigate fundamental drivers and consider whether company guidance or industry conditions have deteriorated.
No Dividend Yield Data
SPIR has not reported any dividend yield values in the available annual periods.
spir Dividend History
Learning Layer
Related Guides
Build conviction on SPIR by pairing this stock hub with focused valuation guides.
Research Paths
Snapshot
Start with context, operating signals, and key market metrics.
Value Model
Stress test fair value across bear, base, and bull assumptions.
Statements
Validate revenue quality, margins, and balance sheet durability.
Earnings Call
Read management commentary and compare it with reported outcomes.
Dividends
Check payout sustainability and long-term distribution behavior.
Analyst Expectations
Review consensus spread and where estimate risk is concentrated.