Snowflake Inc.
$241.28
-14%Snowflake Inc. provides a cloud-based data platform in the United States and internationally. The company's platform offers Data Cloud, which enables customers to consolidate data into a single source of truth to drive meaningful business insights, build data-driven applications, and share data. Its platform is used by various organizations of sizes in a range of industries. The company was formerly known as Snowflake Computing, Inc. and changed its name to Snowflake Inc. in April 2019. Snowflake Inc. was incorporated in 2012 and is based in Bozeman, Montana.
At a Glance
Live SnapshotIntrinsic Alpha Methodology
Thesis Lenses
Signal
Medium confidenceValuation multiple is compressed (P/E -61.1).
Valuation inputs: P/E -61.1, earnings yield N/A, momentum -13.9%.
If multiples stay elevated while momentum fades, downside repricing risk rises.
Driver
High confidenceReturn profile is soft (ROE -69.2%, ROIC -30.1%).
Profitability stack: net margin -28.4%, ROE -69.2%, ROIC -30.1%.
Quality deterioration often appears in margins before it shows up in headline EPS.
Risk
High confidenceDownside profile is elevated and scenario stress-testing is essential.
Risk factors: liabilities/assets +78.9%, momentum -13.9%, net margin -28.4%.
Higher leverage with weak momentum and thin margins can amplify drawdown severity.
Snowflake Inc. Market vs Earnings Trajectory
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Snowflake Inc. Fair Value Envelope
Snowflake Inc. Profit Bridge
Profitability Analysis
Gross Margin
Exceptional pricing power and cost management. The company retains over half of revenue after direct costs.
Operating Margin
Operating losses indicate the core business is unprofitable. Requires restructuring or revenue growth.
Net Profit Margin
Net losses indicate the company is burning cash. Sustainability depends on path to profitability.
Profitability Insight
Margin squeeze alert: Healthy gross margins but weak operating margins suggest excessive operating expenses. Cost optimization could unlock significant value.
Snowflake Inc. Cash Conversion Engine
Cash Flow Quality Analysis
FCF Conversion Rate
Negative free cash flow despite positive earnings raises concerns about cash generation ability or heavy capital requirements.
CapEx Intensity
Asset-light business model. Low capital requirements leave more cash available for shareholders and growth investments.
FCF Growth Trend
Strong FCF growth demonstrates improving cash generation and business momentum. Positive signal for sustainability.
Working Capital Impact
Working capital inflow boosted cash flow. Efficient management of receivables, inventory, and payables contributing positively.
Snowflake Inc. Funding & Solvency Profile
Financial Health Analysis
Current Ratio
Acceptable liquidity, but monitor closely. Current assets just barely cover current liabilities.
Debt-to-Equity Ratio
High financial leverage. Heavy reliance on debt may indicate increased financial risk and potential solvency concerns.
Working Capital
Positive working capital, but relatively tight. The company should monitor cash flow carefully.
Asset Composition
Balanced asset mix between current and non-current assets, typical of many stable businesses.
Snowflake Inc. Street Expectations Map
Wall Street analysts project that SNOW stock may rise significantly over the coming 12 months. The consensus 1-year price target stands at 275.29, with estimates ranging from a low of 177.00 to a high of 325.00.
The consensus 1-year price target stands at 275.29, with estimates ranging from a low of 177.00 to a high of 325.00.
Analyst Consensus Analysis
Upside Potential
Moderate upside. Analysts expect positive returns but with limited margin of safety. Consider entry timing.
Analyst Agreement
Mixed analyst views. Wide target range suggests differing opinions on key value drivers, growth prospects, or risk factors.
Risk-Reward Profile
Balanced risk-reward. Upside and downside potential relatively symmetric. Suitable for moderate risk tolerance with conviction in thesis.
Analyst Conviction
Bearish or uncertain outlook. Limited upside or poor consensus suggests challenges ahead or fundamental concerns.
Market Sentiment Insight
Monitor and evaluate: Current analyst consensus suggests limited conviction or near-term catalysts. Stay informed on company developments and reassess positioning as new information emerges.
Snowflake Inc. Insider Positioning
During the last 12 months, insiders have sold $254.27M worth of SNOW shares, with no buying activity reported.
3 Months
0
0.00
435.3K
84.27M
-84.3M
-$84.27M
3-6 Months
0
0.00
165.0K
33.92M
-33.9M
-$33.92M
6-9 Months
0
0.00
223.5K
54.62M
-54.6M
-$54.62M
9-12 Months
0
0.00
369.7K
81.46M
-81.5M
-$81.46M
Top Buyers
No buying activity
Top Sellers
Slootman Frank
Director
$119.60M
Dageville Benoit
Director, Officer: Founder And Chief Architect
$72.73M
Kleinerman Christian
Officer: Evp, Product Management
$30.59M
Speiser Michael L
Director
$20.23M
Raghunathan Vivek
Officer: Svp, Engineering
$5.83M
Insider Activity Analysis
Net Insider Sentiment
Strong bearish signal with $254.27M net selling. Heavy insider selling may indicate concerns about valuation or near-term prospects.
Buy/Sell Ratio
Very poor ratio. Heavy selling with minimal buying suggests insiders may be concerned about valuation or outlook.
Recent Trend (3 Months)
Heavy recent selling activity. Recent insider sales notably exceed purchases—may warrant investigation into company developments.
Insider Participation
5 insider sellers vs. 0 buyers. Widespread selling across multiple insiders may signal concerns.
Insider Activity Insight
Multiple red flags: Heavy selling, numerous sellers, and continued recent selling create a concerning pattern. Investigate fundamental drivers and consider whether company guidance or industry conditions have deteriorated.
No Dividend Yield Data
SNOW has not reported any dividend yield values in the available annual periods.
snow Dividend History
Learning Layer
Related Guides
Build conviction on SNOW by pairing this stock hub with focused valuation guides.
Research Paths
Snapshot
Start with context, operating signals, and key market metrics.
Value Model
Stress test fair value across bear, base, and bull assumptions.
Statements
Validate revenue quality, margins, and balance sheet durability.
Earnings Call
Read management commentary and compare it with reported outcomes.
Dividends
Check payout sustainability and long-term distribution behavior.
Analyst Expectations
Review consensus spread and where estimate risk is concentrated.