SM

Summit Midstream Corp.

SMCยทNYSE

$30.06

+2.8%
EnergyOil & Gas Midstream

Summit Midstream Corporation focuses on owning, developing, and operating midstream energy infrastructure assets primarily shale formations in the continental United States. It operates natural gas, crude oil, and produced water gathering systems in four unconventional resource basins, including the Williston Basin in North Dakota, which includes the Bakken and Three Forks shale formations; the Denver-Julesburg Basin that consists of the Niobrara and Codell shale formations in Colorado and Wyoming; the Fort Worth Basin in Texas, which comprises the Barnett Shale formation; and the Piceance Basin in Colorado, which includes the Mesaverde formation, as well as the emerging Mancos and Niobrara Shale formations. It serves natural gas and crude oil producers. Summit Midstream Corporation was founded in 2012 and is based in Houston, Texas.

At a Glance

Live Snapshot
Market Cap$415.26M
EPS-1.6100
P/E Ratio-18.67
Earnings Date06/15/2026

Intrinsic Alpha Methodology

Thesis Lenses

Signal ยท Driver ยท Risk

Signal

Medium confidence

Valuation multiple is compressed (P/E -18.7).

Valuation inputs: P/E -18.7, earnings yield N/A, momentum +2.8%.

If multiples stay elevated while momentum fades, downside repricing risk rises.

Driver

High confidence

Return profile is soft (ROE -0.3%, ROIC +3.1%).

Profitability stack: net margin -0.3%, ROE -0.3%, ROIC +3.1%.

Quality deterioration often appears in margins before it shows up in headline EPS.

Risk

High confidence

Risk profile is balanced but has notable pressure points to monitor.

Risk factors: liabilities/assets +54.4%, momentum +2.8%, net margin -0.3%.

Higher leverage with weak momentum and thin margins can amplify drawdown severity.

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Summit Midstream Corp. Market vs Earnings Trajectory

SMC ยท NYSE

Loading price and EPS data...

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Summit Midstream Corp. Fair Value Envelope

SMC ยท NYSE

Our analysis suggests that SMC has a fair value of HIDDEN per share in the Base Case projection. With shares currently trading at $30.06, this represents a potential HIDDEN relative to our calculated worth for Summit Midstream Corp..

Intrinsic Value
Current Price: $30.06
3Y-87.0%
5Y-102.0%
10Y-96.0%
3Y+52.0%
5Y+47.0%
10Y+26.0%
3Y-98.0%
5Y-101.0%
10Y-99.0%
3Y+35.0%
5Y-33.0%
10Y-17.0%
3Y-35.0%
5Y-71.0%
10Y-317.0%
3Y-7.0%
5Y-4.0%
10Y-7.0%
SM

Summit Midstream Corp. Profit Bridge

SMC ยท NYSE
Revenue562.09M
Cost of Goods Sold (412.44M)
Gross Profit149.65M
Operating Expenses (61.02M)
Operating Income88.64M
Interest Expense (94.74M)
Other Income/Expense-91.04M
Pretax Income-2.41M
Income Tax (-501.00K)
Net Income-1.91M
Net Income
-1.91M

Profitability Analysis

Gross Margin

26.6%

Moderate margins typical of competitive industries. Monitor for pricing pressure or rising costs.

Operating Margin

15.8%

Healthy operating margins demonstrate effective cost control and strong business fundamentals.

Net Profit Margin

-0.3%

Net losses indicate the company is burning cash. Sustainability depends on path to profitability.

Profitability Insight

Interest or tax burden: Strong operational performance but thin net margins indicate high interest expenses or unfavorable tax position eating into profits.

26.62%
Gross Profit Margin
1%
3Y+10.0%
5Y-28.0%
10Y-58.0%
15.77%
Operating Profit Margin
18%
3Y+31.0%
5Y-13.0%
10Y-42.0%
-0.34%
Net Profit Margin
-99%
3Y-99.0%
5Y-101.0%
10Y-99.0%
-0.28%
Return on Equity
-99%
3Y-98.0%
5Y-101.0%
10Y-99.0%
-0.08%
Return on Assets
-98%
3Y-98.0%
5Y-101.0%
10Y-99.0%
3.14%
Return on Invested Capital
-136%
3Y+73.0%
5Y+10.0%
10Y-33.0%
S

Summit Midstream Corp. Cash Conversion Engine

SMC ยท NYSE
Net Income-1.91M
Depreciation & Amortization115.10M
Stock-Based Compensation7.80M
Change in Working Capital-12.76M
Others26.06M
Capital Expenditures-89.04M
Free Cash Flow44.55M

Cash Flow Quality Analysis

FCF Conversion Rate

-2337.5%

Negative free cash flow despite positive earnings raises concerns about cash generation ability or heavy capital requirements.

CapEx Intensity

66.7%

Very high capital intensity consumes most operating cash flow. Limited flexibility for dividends or debt reduction.

FCF Growth Trend

+446.0%

Strong FCF growth demonstrates improving cash generation and business momentum. Positive signal for sustainability.

Working Capital Impact

-$12.76M

Moderate working capital outflow. Typical for growing businesses, but ensure it's supporting revenue growth, not inefficiency.

Cash Flow Quality Insight

Capital-intensive growth: Heavy reinvestment limits current cash available but may drive future returns. Assess whether CapEx supports compelling growth opportunities with adequate ROI.

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Summit Midstream Corp. Funding & Solvency Profile

SMC ยท NYSE
Cash & Cash Equivalents43.39M
Net Receivables74.19M
Inventory0.00
Other Current Assets12.39M
Total Current Assets130 M
Property, Plant & Equipment1.84B
Goodwill & Intangible Assets150.89M
Long-Term Investments0.00
Other Non-Current Assets289.18M
Total Non-Current Assets2 B
Total Assets
2.41B

Financial Health Analysis

Current Ratio

1.20x

Acceptable liquidity, but monitor closely. Current assets just barely cover current liabilities.

Debt-to-Equity Ratio

1.63x

Elevated leverage. Debt exceeds equity, which amplifies both gains and risks. Monitor debt servicing ability.

Working Capital

22 M

Positive working capital, but relatively tight. The company should monitor cash flow carefully.

Asset Composition

5% Current

Capital-intensive business with significant long-term investments in property, equipment, or intangibles.

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Summit Midstream Corp. Street Expectations Map

SMC ยท NYSE

Wall Street analysts project that SMC stock may rise significantly over the coming 12 months. The consensus 1-year price target stands at 47.00, with estimates ranging from a low of 47.00 to a high of 47.00.

Lowest Target
47.00
56.35%
Consensus Target
47.00
56.35%
Highest Target
47.00
56.35%

The consensus 1-year price target stands at 47.00, with estimates ranging from a low of 47.00 to a high of 47.00.

Analyst Consensus Analysis

Upside Potential

+56.4%

Substantial upside potential. Analysts see significant value gap, suggesting the stock may be materially undervalued at current levels.

Analyst Agreement

0.0% spread

High analyst agreement. Narrow target range indicates strong consensus on valuation, suggesting clear investment thesis and predictable outlook.

Analyst Conviction

Very High

Strong buy conviction: High upside with tight consensus suggests compelling investment opportunity backed by analyst confidence.

Market Sentiment Insight

Rare opportunity: Exceptional upside potential with strong analyst consensus creates a compelling setup. The combination of significant price target premium and tight agreement suggests high-conviction undervaluation that may attract institutional capital.

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Summit Midstream Corp. Insider Positioning

SMC ยท NYSE

During the last 12 months, insiders have purchased $40.96M and sold $320K worth of SMC shares, resulting in $40.64M of net buying activity.

3 Months

Bought

1.2M

37.95M

Sold

10.0K

320.00K

Net Activity

+37.6M

+$37.63M

3-6 Months

Bought

0

0.00

Sold

0

0.00

Net Activity

+0

+$0

6-9 Months

Bought

0

0.00

Sold

0

0.00

Net Activity

+0

+$0

9-12 Months

Bought

146.5K

3.01M

Sold

0

0.00

Net Activity

+3.0M

+$3.01M

Top Buyers

1
CML

Connect Midstream, Llc

10 Percent Owner

1.4M sharesโ€ข4 transactions

$40.96M

Top Sellers

1
PJL

Peters Jerry L

Director

10.0K sharesโ€ข1 transactions

$320K

Insider Activity Analysis

Net Insider Sentiment

Bullish

Strong bullish signal with $40.64M net buying. Insiders are aggressively accumulating shares, suggesting significant confidence in future prospects.

Buy/Sell Ratio

127.99:1

Exceptional buy/sell ratio. Buying dramatically outweighs sellingโ€”one of the strongest possible insider signals.

Recent Trend (3 Months)

$37.63M

Very strong recent buying momentum. Recent insider purchases significantly outpace sales, suggesting near-term optimism.

Insider Participation

Balanced

1 insider buyers and 1 sellers. Equal participation suggests mixed or neutral insider views.

Insider Activity Insight

Sustained buying momentum: Consistent net buying over multiple quarters suggests insiders maintain conviction in the company's prospects. This is particularly meaningful if buying continued through market volatility.

0.00%
Dividend Yield
-100%
3Y-100.0%
5Y-
10Y-
ย 

smc Dividend History

SMC
10Y CAGR 11%
Latest $1.875
Annual $23.43739
Dividend decline trend
Last Period: 57%