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Redwood Trust, Inc. 9.125% Seni

RWTNยทNYSE

$24.75

-0.68%
Real EstateREIT - Mortgage

Redwood Trust, Inc., together with its subsidiaries, operates as a specialty finance company in the United States. The company operates through three segments: Residential Mortgage Banking, Business Purpose Mortgage Banking, and Investment Portfolio. The Residential Mortgage Banking segment operates a mortgage loan conduit that acquires residential loans from third-party originators for subsequent sale, securitization, or transfer to its investment portfolio. This segment also offers derivative financial instruments to manage risks associated with residential loans. The Business Purpose Mortgage Banking segment operates a platform that originates and acquires business purpose loans, such as single-family rental and bridge loans for subsequent securitization, sale, or transfer into its investment portfolio. The Investment Portfolio segment invests in securities retained from residential and business purpose securitization activities, and residential and small-balance multifamily bridge loans, as well as residential mortgage-backed securities issued by third parties, Freddie Mac K-Series multifamily loan securitizations and reperforming loan securitizations, servicer advance investments, home equity investments, and other housing-related investments. The company qualifies as a real estate investment trust (REIT) for federal income tax purposes. As a REIT, it intends to distribute at least 90% of its taxable income as dividends to shareholders. Redwood Trust, Inc. was incorporated in 1994 and is headquartered in Mill Valley, California.

At a Glance

Live Snapshot
Market Cap$3.10B
EPS-0.6200
P/E Ratio-39.92
Earnings Date07/23/2026

Intrinsic Alpha Methodology

Thesis Lenses

Signal ยท Driver ยท Risk

Signal

Medium confidence

Valuation multiple is compressed (P/E -39.9).

Valuation inputs: P/E -39.9, earnings yield N/A, momentum -0.7%.

If multiples stay elevated while momentum fades, downside repricing risk rises.

Driver

High confidence

Return profile is soft (ROE -7.1%, ROIC -0.1%).

Profitability stack: net margin -25.5%, ROE -7.1%, ROIC -0.1%.

Quality deterioration often appears in margins before it shows up in headline EPS.

Risk

High confidence

Downside profile is elevated and scenario stress-testing is essential.

Risk factors: liabilities/assets +95.9%, momentum -0.7%, net margin -25.5%.

Higher leverage with weak momentum and thin margins can amplify drawdown severity.

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Redwood Trust, Inc. 9.125% Seni Market vs Earnings Trajectory

RWTN ยท NYSE

Loading price and EPS data...

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Redwood Trust, Inc. 9.125% Seni Fair Value Envelope

RWTN ยท NYSE

Our analysis suggests that RWTN has a fair value of HIDDEN per share in the Base Case projection. With shares currently trading at $24.75, this represents a potential HIDDEN relative to our calculated worth for Redwood Trust, Inc. 9.125% Seni.

Intrinsic Value
Current Price: $24.75
3Y-57.0%
5Y-88.0%
10Y-140.0%
3Y-1343.0%
5Y-186.0%
10Y+6.0%
3Y-57.0%
5Y-88.0%
10Y-155.0%
3Y+7155.0%
5Y+1897.0%
10Y+1750.0%
3Y+7155.0%
5Y+1897.0%
10Y+1750.0%
3Y+82.0%
5Y+129.0%
10Y+332.0%
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Redwood Trust, Inc. 9.125% Seni Profit Bridge

RWTN ยท NYSE
Revenue274.78M
Cost of Goods Sold (28.30M)
Gross Profit246.48M
Operating Expenses (273.15M)
Operating Income-26.67M
Interest Expense (18.10M)
Other Income/Expense-18.20M
Pretax Income-44.87M
Income Tax (25.18M)
Net Income-70.05M
Net Income
-70.05M

Profitability Analysis

Gross Margin

89.7%

Exceptional pricing power and cost management. The company retains over half of revenue after direct costs.

Operating Margin

-9.7%

Operating losses indicate the core business is unprofitable. Requires restructuring or revenue growth.

Net Profit Margin

-25.5%

Net losses indicate the company is burning cash. Sustainability depends on path to profitability.

Profitability Insight

Margin squeeze alert: Healthy gross margins but weak operating margins suggest excessive operating expenses. Cost optimization could unlock significant value.

89.70%
Gross Profit Margin
-10%
3Y-10.0%
5Y-10.0%
10Y-10.0%
-9.71%
Operating Profit Margin
-122%
3Y-101.0%
5Y-107.0%
10Y-117.0%
-25.49%
Net Profit Margin
-214%
3Y-103.0%
5Y-114.0%
10Y-152.0%
-7.13%
Return on Equity
-257%
3Y-53.0%
5Y-86.0%
10Y-164.0%
-0.30%
Return on Assets
-200%
3Y-76.0%
5Y-95.0%
10Y-113.0%
-0.10%
Return on Invested Capital
-102%
3Y-91.0%
5Y-98.0%
10Y-104.0%
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Redwood Trust, Inc. 9.125% Seni Cash Conversion Engine

RWTN ยท NYSE
Net Income0.00
Depreciation & Amortization0.00
Stock-Based Compensation0.00
Change in Working Capital85.54M
Others-10.18B
Capital Expenditures0.00
Free Cash Flow-10.09B

Cash Flow Quality Analysis

FCF Growth Trend

-72.2%

Significant FCF decline raises concerns. Urgent review needed of operational performance and capital allocation.

Working Capital Impact

+$85.54M

Working capital inflow boosted cash flow. Efficient management of receivables, inventory, and payables contributing positively.

Cash Flow Quality Insight

Deteriorating cash generation: Both declining FCF and weak conversion rate signal fundamental challenges. Investigate margin pressure, rising costs, or working capital issues.

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Redwood Trust, Inc. 9.125% Seni Funding & Solvency Profile

RWTN ยท NYSE
Cash & Cash Equivalents202.00M
Net Receivables0.00
Inventory0.00
Other Current Assets0.00
Total Current Assets202 M
Property, Plant & Equipment0.00
Goodwill & Intangible Assets0.00
Long-Term Investments25.84B
Other Non-Current Assets779.00M
Total Non-Current Assets27 B
Total Assets
26.82B

Financial Health Analysis

Debt-to-Equity Ratio

27.02x

High financial leverage. Heavy reliance on debt may indicate increased financial risk and potential solvency concerns.

Working Capital

202 M

Strong working capital position provides significant operational flexibility and financial cushion.

Asset Composition

1% Current

Capital-intensive business with significant long-term investments in property, equipment, or intangibles.

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Redwood Trust, Inc. 9.125% Seni Street Expectations Map

RWTN ยท NYSE

No Target Data

No analyst price targets available for rwtn.

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Redwood Trust, Inc. 9.125% Seni Insider Positioning

RWTN ยท NYSE

During the last 12 months, there has been no insider trading activity reported for RWTN.

3 Months

Bought

0

0.00

Sold

0

0.00

Net Activity

+0

+$0

3-6 Months

Bought

0

0.00

Sold

0

0.00

Net Activity

+0

+$0

6-9 Months

Bought

0

0.00

Sold

0

0.00

Net Activity

+0

+$0

9-12 Months

Bought

0

0.00

Sold

0

0.00

Net Activity

+0

+$0

Top Buyers

No buying activity

Top Sellers

No selling activity

Insider Activity Analysis

Net Insider Sentiment

Neutral

No insider trading activity reported. This could indicate blackout periods, lack of conviction, or regulatory restrictions.

Insider Participation

No Activity

No insider trading activity reported from any insiders in the past year.

2.33%
Dividend Yield
94%
3Y+141.0%
5Y+311.0%
10Y+121.0%
ย 

rwtn Dividend History

RWTN
10Y CAGR 4%
Latest $0.57
Annual $2.8515
Stable dividend payments
Last Period: +0%