Rubrik, Inc.
$79.46
-6.6%Rubrik, Inc. provides data security solutions to individuals and businesses worldwide. The company offers enterprise data protection, unstructured data protection, cloud data protection, and SaaS data protection solutions; data threat analytics; data security posture; and cyber recovery solutions. It serves financial, retail, trade, transportation, energy, industrial, healthcare and life science, education, technology, media, communications, and public sectors. Rubrik, Inc. was formerly known as Scaledata, Inc. and changed its name to Rubrik, Inc. in October 2014. The company was incorporated in 2013 and is based in Palo Alto, California.
At a Glance
Live SnapshotIntrinsic Alpha Methodology
Thesis Lenses
Signal
Medium confidenceValuation multiple is compressed (P/E -44.6).
Valuation inputs: P/E -44.6, earnings yield N/A, momentum -6.6%.
If multiples stay elevated while momentum fades, downside repricing risk rises.
Driver
High confidenceReturn profile is strong (ROE +67.1%, ROIC -23.8%).
Profitability stack: net margin -26.5%, ROE +67.1%, ROIC -23.8%.
Quality deterioration often appears in margins before it shows up in headline EPS.
Risk
High confidenceDownside profile is elevated and scenario stress-testing is essential.
Risk factors: liabilities/assets +118.8%, momentum -6.6%, net margin -26.5%.
Higher leverage with weak momentum and thin margins can amplify drawdown severity.
Rubrik, Inc. Market vs Earnings Trajectory
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Rubrik, Inc. Fair Value Envelope
Rubrik, Inc. Profit Bridge
Profitability Analysis
Gross Margin
Exceptional pricing power and cost management. The company retains over half of revenue after direct costs.
Operating Margin
Operating losses indicate the core business is unprofitable. Requires restructuring or revenue growth.
Net Profit Margin
Net losses indicate the company is burning cash. Sustainability depends on path to profitability.
Profitability Insight
Margin squeeze alert: Healthy gross margins but weak operating margins suggest excessive operating expenses. Cost optimization could unlock significant value.
Rubrik, Inc. Cash Conversion Engine
Cash Flow Quality Analysis
FCF Conversion Rate
Negative free cash flow despite positive earnings raises concerns about cash generation ability or heavy capital requirements.
CapEx Intensity
Asset-light business model. Low capital requirements leave more cash available for shareholders and growth investments.
FCF Growth Trend
Strong FCF growth demonstrates improving cash generation and business momentum. Positive signal for sustainability.
Working Capital Impact
Working capital inflow boosted cash flow. Efficient management of receivables, inventory, and payables contributing positively.
Rubrik, Inc. Funding & Solvency Profile
Financial Health Analysis
Current Ratio
Strong liquidity. The company has adequate resources to meet short-term liabilities.
Working Capital
Strong working capital position provides significant operational flexibility and financial cushion.
Asset Composition
Asset-light business model with high liquidity. Majority of assets are easily convertible to cash.
Rubrik, Inc. Street Expectations Map
Wall Street analysts project that RBRK stock may experience modest gains over the coming 12 months. The consensus 1-year price target stands at 86.64, with estimates ranging from a low of 65.00 to a high of 113.00.
The consensus 1-year price target stands at 86.64, with estimates ranging from a low of 65.00 to a high of 113.00.
Analyst Consensus Analysis
Upside Potential
Moderate upside. Analysts expect positive returns but with limited margin of safety. Consider entry timing.
Analyst Agreement
Mixed analyst views. Wide target range suggests differing opinions on key value drivers, growth prospects, or risk factors.
Risk-Reward Profile
Favorable risk-reward. Potential upside significantly exceeds downside risk, offering asymmetric return profile attractive for risk-tolerant investors.
Analyst Conviction
Bearish or uncertain outlook. Limited upside or poor consensus suggests challenges ahead or fundamental concerns.
Market Sentiment Insight
Monitor and evaluate: Current analyst consensus suggests limited conviction or near-term catalysts. Stay informed on company developments and reassess positioning as new information emerges.
Rubrik, Inc. Insider Positioning
During the last 12 months, insiders have purchased $502K and sold $152.97M worth of RBRK shares, resulting in $152.47M of net selling activity.
3 Months
10.6K
502.22K
162.7K
7.94M
-7.4M
-$7.44M
3-6 Months
0
0.00
129.0K
10.25M
-10.3M
-$10.25M
6-9 Months
0
0.00
685.1K
51.69M
-51.7M
-$51.69M
9-12 Months
0
0.00
907.2K
83.09M
-83.1M
-$83.09M
Top Buyers
Mclaughlin Mark D
Director
$502K
Top Sellers
Salem Enrique T
Director
$63.86M
Sinha Bipul
Director, 10 Percent Owner, Officer: Chairman Of The Board And Ceo
$46.57M
Choudary Kiran Kumar
Officer: Chief Financial Officer
$14.07M
Nithrakashyap Arvind
Director, Officer: Chief Technology Officer
$10.95M
Mhatre Ravi
Director
$9.50M
Insider Activity Analysis
Net Insider Sentiment
Strong bearish signal with $152.47M net selling. Heavy insider selling may indicate concerns about valuation or near-term prospects.
Buy/Sell Ratio
Very poor ratio. Heavy selling with minimal buying suggests insiders may be concerned about valuation or outlook.
Recent Trend (3 Months)
Heavy recent selling activity. Recent insider sales notably exceed purchases—may warrant investigation into company developments.
Insider Participation
5 insider sellers vs. 1 buyers. Widespread selling across multiple insiders may signal concerns.
Insider Activity Insight
Multiple red flags: Heavy selling, numerous sellers, and continued recent selling create a concerning pattern. Investigate fundamental drivers and consider whether company guidance or industry conditions have deteriorated.
No Dividend Yield Data
RBRK has not reported any dividend yield values in the available annual periods.
rbrk Dividend History
Learning Layer
Related Guides
Build conviction on RBRK by pairing this stock hub with focused valuation guides.
Research Paths
Snapshot
Start with context, operating signals, and key market metrics.
Value Model
Stress test fair value across bear, base, and bull assumptions.
Statements
Validate revenue quality, margins, and balance sheet durability.
Earnings Call
Read management commentary and compare it with reported outcomes.
Dividends
Check payout sustainability and long-term distribution behavior.
Analyst Expectations
Review consensus spread and where estimate risk is concentrated.