Prologis, Inc.
$142.85
+1.7%Prologis, Inc. is the global leader in logistics real estate with a focus on high-barrier, high-growth markets. As of December 31, 2020, the company owned or had investments in, on a wholly owned basis or through co-investment ventures, properties and development projects expected to total approximately 984 million square feet (91 million square meters) in 19 countries. Prologis leases modern logistics facilities to a diverse base of approximately 5,500 customers principally across two major categories: business-to-business and retail/online fulfillment.
At a Glance
Live SnapshotIntrinsic Alpha Methodology
Thesis Lenses
Signal
High confidenceValuation multiple is elevated (P/E 40.0).
Valuation inputs: P/E 40.0, earnings yield +2.5%, momentum +1.7%.
If multiples stay elevated while momentum fades, downside repricing risk rises.
Driver
High confidenceReturn profile is soft (ROE +6.4%, ROIC +3.6%).
Profitability stack: net margin +38.8%, ROE +6.4%, ROIC +3.6%.
Quality deterioration often appears in margins before it shows up in headline EPS.
Risk
High confidenceDownside profile looks controlled across current risk inputs.
Risk factors: liabilities/assets +41.5%, momentum +1.7%, net margin +38.8%.
Higher leverage with weak momentum and thin margins can amplify drawdown severity.
Prologis, Inc. Market vs Earnings Trajectory
Performance Analysis
EPS Growth
Positive earnings growth shows the company is improving its profitability over time.
Price-EPS Relationship
Stock price is moving in line with earnings growthโa healthy sign of fundamental-driven valuation.
Stock Price Change
Over the 1Y period, stock price has increased by 30.8%.
P/E Ratio (TTM)
Very high P/E suggests premium valuation or high growth expectations.
Prologis, Inc. Fair Value Envelope
Prologis, Inc. Profit Bridge
Profitability Analysis
Gross Margin
Exceptional pricing power and cost management. The company retains over half of revenue after direct costs.
Operating Margin
Outstanding operational efficiency. The company generates substantial profit from core operations.
Net Profit Margin
Exceptional profitability. The company converts a significant portion of revenue to bottom-line earnings.
Effective Tax Rate
Below-average tax rate suggests effective tax planning, favorable jurisdictions, or tax credits.
Profitability Insight
Exceptional profitability across all levels: Strong pricing power, efficient operations, and healthy bottom line indicate a high-quality business with sustainable competitive advantages.
Prologis, Inc. Cash Conversion Engine
Cash Flow Quality Analysis
FCF Conversion Rate
Excellent cash generation. The company converts earnings to cash at or above 100%, indicating high-quality earnings.
FCF Growth Trend
Flat FCF growth. Stable but not expandingโmonitor for signs of business maturity or temporary headwinds.
Working Capital Impact
Neutral working capital impact. Changes in current assets and liabilities balanced out.
Cash Flow Quality Insight
Asset-light with strong cash conversion: Low capital requirements combined with efficient cash generation creates significant shareholder value through dividends, buybacks, or strategic investments.
Prologis, Inc. Funding & Solvency Profile
Financial Health Analysis
Current Ratio
Warning: Liquidity concerns. Current assets may not be sufficient to cover short-term obligations.
Debt-to-Equity Ratio
Balanced capital structure with moderate leverage. Equity exceeds debt, suggesting healthy financial stability.
Working Capital
Negative working capital indicates short-term liabilities exceed short-term assetsโpotential liquidity stress.
Asset Composition
Capital-intensive business with significant long-term investments in property, equipment, or intangibles.
Financial Health Insight
Negative working capital with limited cash reserves requires immediate attentionโpotential liquidity crisis if not addressed promptly.
Prologis, Inc. Street Expectations Map
Wall Street analysts project that PLD stock may experience modest gains over the coming 12 months. The consensus 1-year price target stands at 145.57, with estimates ranging from a low of 123.00 to a high of 161.00.
The consensus 1-year price target stands at 145.57, with estimates ranging from a low of 123.00 to a high of 161.00.
Analyst Consensus Analysis
Upside Potential
Fair value territory. Stock trading near consensus target suggests limited near-term catalysts. Focus on fundamental developments.
Analyst Agreement
Good consensus alignment. Moderate target spread reflects general agreement on value drivers with some variance in assumptions.
Risk-Reward Profile
Unfavorable risk-reward. Downside risk exceeds upside potential. Consider defensive positioning or alternative opportunities.
Analyst Conviction
Neutral sentiment. Fair value pricing with moderate agreement suggests wait-and-see approach or catalyst-driven opportunity.
Market Sentiment Insight
Monitor and evaluate: Current analyst consensus suggests limited conviction or near-term catalysts. Stay informed on company developments and reassess positioning as new information emerges.
Prologis, Inc. Insider Positioning
During the last 12 months, insiders have sold $13.23M worth of PLD shares, with no buying activity reported.
3 Months
0
0.00
0
0.00
+0
+$0
3-6 Months
0
0.00
10
1.27K
-1K
-$1K
6-9 Months
0
0.00
81.7K
10.33M
-10.3M
-$10.33M
9-12 Months
0
0.00
26.0K
2.90M
-2.9M
-$2.90M
Top Buyers
No buying activity
Top Sellers
Connor James B.
Director
$10.13M
Palazzolo Lori A
Officer: Chief Accounting Officer/Md
$2.78M
Bita Cristina Gabriela
Director
$310K
Slusser Sarah A
Director
$13K
Insider Activity Analysis
Net Insider Sentiment
Strong bearish signal with $13.23M net selling. Heavy insider selling may indicate concerns about valuation or near-term prospects.
Buy/Sell Ratio
Very poor ratio. Heavy selling with minimal buying suggests insiders may be concerned about valuation or outlook.
Insider Participation
4 insider sellers vs. 0 buyers. Widespread selling across multiple insiders may signal concerns.
pld Dividend History
Learning Layer
Related Guides
Build conviction on PLD by pairing this stock hub with focused valuation guides.
Research Paths
Snapshot
Start with context, operating signals, and key market metrics.
Value Model
Stress test fair value across bear, base, and bull assumptions.
Statements
Validate revenue quality, margins, and balance sheet durability.
Earnings Call
Read management commentary and compare it with reported outcomes.
Dividends
Check payout sustainability and long-term distribution behavior.
Analyst Expectations
Review consensus spread and where estimate risk is concentrated.