Prologis, Inc.

Prologis, Inc.

PLDยทNYSE

$142.85

+1.7%
Real EstateREIT - Industrial

Prologis, Inc. is the global leader in logistics real estate with a focus on high-barrier, high-growth markets. As of December 31, 2020, the company owned or had investments in, on a wholly owned basis or through co-investment ventures, properties and development projects expected to total approximately 984 million square feet (91 million square meters) in 19 countries. Prologis leases modern logistics facilities to a diverse base of approximately 5,500 customers principally across two major categories: business-to-business and retail/online fulfillment.

At a Glance

Live Snapshot
Market Cap$133.18B
EPS3.5700
P/E Ratio40.01
Earnings Date07/15/2026

Intrinsic Alpha Methodology

Thesis Lenses

Signal ยท Driver ยท Risk

Signal

High confidence

Valuation multiple is elevated (P/E 40.0).

Valuation inputs: P/E 40.0, earnings yield +2.5%, momentum +1.7%.

If multiples stay elevated while momentum fades, downside repricing risk rises.

Driver

High confidence

Return profile is soft (ROE +6.4%, ROIC +3.6%).

Profitability stack: net margin +38.8%, ROE +6.4%, ROIC +3.6%.

Quality deterioration often appears in margins before it shows up in headline EPS.

Risk

High confidence

Downside profile looks controlled across current risk inputs.

Risk factors: liabilities/assets +41.5%, momentum +1.7%, net margin +38.8%.

Higher leverage with weak momentum and thin margins can amplify drawdown severity.

pld

Prologis, Inc. Market vs Earnings Trajectory

PLD ยท NYSE
Current Price
$142.85
EPS (TTM)
$3.97

Performance Analysis

EPS Growth

+6.7%

Positive earnings growth shows the company is improving its profitability over time.

Price-EPS Relationship

Aligned

Stock price is moving in line with earnings growthโ€”a healthy sign of fundamental-driven valuation.

Stock Price Change

+30.8%

Over the 1Y period, stock price has increased by 30.8%.

P/E Ratio (TTM)

40.0x

Very high P/E suggests premium valuation or high growth expectations.

Prologis, Inc.

Prologis, Inc. Fair Value Envelope

PLD ยท NYSE

Our analysis suggests that PLD has a fair value of HIDDEN per share in the Base Case projection. With shares currently trading at $142.85, this represents a potential HIDDEN relative to our calculated worth for Prologis, Inc..

Intrinsic Value
Current Price: $142.85
3Y-14.0%
5Y+81.0%
10Y+56.0%
3Y+47.0%
5Y+98.0%
10Y+247.0%
3Y+1.0%
5Y+130.0%
10Y+182.0%
3Y+21.0%
5Y+71.0%
10Y+253.0%
3Y+40.0%
5Y+197.0%
10Y+281.0%
3Y+12.0%
5Y+76.0%
10Y+226.0%
Prologis, Inc.

Prologis, Inc. Profit Bridge

PLD ยท NYSE
Revenue8.79B
Cost of Goods Sold (3.55B)
Gross Profit5.24B
Operating Expenses (1.70B)
Operating Income3.54B
Interest Expense (1.00B)
Other Income/Expense233.24M
Pretax Income3.77B
Income Tax (204.02M)
Net Income3.41B
Net Income
3.41B

Profitability Analysis

Gross Margin

59.6%

Exceptional pricing power and cost management. The company retains over half of revenue after direct costs.

Operating Margin

40.2%

Outstanding operational efficiency. The company generates substantial profit from core operations.

Net Profit Margin

38.8%

Exceptional profitability. The company converts a significant portion of revenue to bottom-line earnings.

Effective Tax Rate

5.4%

Below-average tax rate suggests effective tax planning, favorable jurisdictions, or tax credits.

Profitability Insight

Exceptional profitability across all levels: Strong pricing power, efficient operations, and healthy bottom line indicate a high-quality business with sustainable competitive advantages.

59.60%
Gross Profit Margin
-20%
3Y-20.0%
5Y-19.0%
10Y-18.0%
40.23%
Operating Profit Margin
-25%
3Y-31.0%
5Y-16.0%
10Y+52.0%
38.80%
Net Profit Margin
-15%
3Y-31.0%
5Y+16.0%
10Y-19.0%
6.41%
Return on Equity
-7%
3Y+1.0%
5Y+38.0%
10Y-21.0%
3.45%
Return on Assets
-12%
3Y-10.0%
5Y+31.0%
10Y-14.0%
3.60%
Return on Invested Capital
-21%
3Y-7.0%
5Y-
10Y+66.0%
PLD

Prologis, Inc. Cash Conversion Engine

PLD ยท NYSE
Net Income3.41B
Depreciation & Amortization2.63B
Stock-Based Compensation185.47M
Change in Working Capital0.00
Others-1.22B
Capital Expenditures0.00
Free Cash Flow5.01B

Cash Flow Quality Analysis

FCF Conversion Rate

146.8%

Excellent cash generation. The company converts earnings to cash at or above 100%, indicating high-quality earnings.

FCF Growth Trend

+2.0%

Flat FCF growth. Stable but not expandingโ€”monitor for signs of business maturity or temporary headwinds.

Working Capital Impact

+$0.00

Neutral working capital impact. Changes in current assets and liabilities balanced out.

Cash Flow Quality Insight

Asset-light with strong cash conversion: Low capital requirements combined with efficient cash generation creates significant shareholder value through dividends, buybacks, or strategic investments.

pld

Prologis, Inc. Funding & Solvency Profile

PLD ยท NYSE
Cash & Cash Equivalents1.15B
Net Receivables0.00
Inventory0.00
Other Current Assets203.34M
Total Current Assets1 B
Property, Plant & Equipment80.40B
Goodwill & Intangible Assets0.00
Long-Term Investments11.09B
Other Non-Current Assets5.88B
Total Non-Current Assets97 B
Total Assets
98.72B

Financial Health Analysis

Current Ratio

0.23x

Warning: Liquidity concerns. Current assets may not be sufficient to cover short-term obligations.

Debt-to-Equity Ratio

0.71x

Balanced capital structure with moderate leverage. Equity exceeds debt, suggesting healthy financial stability.

Working Capital

-4584184000

Negative working capital indicates short-term liabilities exceed short-term assetsโ€”potential liquidity stress.

Asset Composition

1% Current

Capital-intensive business with significant long-term investments in property, equipment, or intangibles.

Financial Health Insight

Negative working capital with limited cash reserves requires immediate attentionโ€”potential liquidity crisis if not addressed promptly.

pld

Prologis, Inc. Street Expectations Map

PLD ยท NYSE

Wall Street analysts project that PLD stock may experience modest gains over the coming 12 months. The consensus 1-year price target stands at 145.57, with estimates ranging from a low of 123.00 to a high of 161.00.

Lowest Target
123.00
-13.90%
Consensus Target
145.57
1.90%
Highest Target
161.00
12.71%

The consensus 1-year price target stands at 145.57, with estimates ranging from a low of 123.00 to a high of 161.00.

Analyst Consensus Analysis

Upside Potential

+1.9%

Fair value territory. Stock trading near consensus target suggests limited near-term catalysts. Focus on fundamental developments.

Analyst Agreement

26.1% spread

Good consensus alignment. Moderate target spread reflects general agreement on value drivers with some variance in assumptions.

Risk-Reward Profile

0.91x

Unfavorable risk-reward. Downside risk exceeds upside potential. Consider defensive positioning or alternative opportunities.

Analyst Conviction

Moderate

Neutral sentiment. Fair value pricing with moderate agreement suggests wait-and-see approach or catalyst-driven opportunity.

Market Sentiment Insight

Monitor and evaluate: Current analyst consensus suggests limited conviction or near-term catalysts. Stay informed on company developments and reassess positioning as new information emerges.

pld

Prologis, Inc. Insider Positioning

PLD ยท NYSE

During the last 12 months, insiders have sold $13.23M worth of PLD shares, with no buying activity reported.

3 Months

Bought

0

0.00

Sold

0

0.00

Net Activity

+0

+$0

3-6 Months

Bought

0

0.00

Sold

10

1.27K

Net Activity

-1K

-$1K

6-9 Months

Bought

0

0.00

Sold

81.7K

10.33M

Net Activity

-10.3M

-$10.33M

9-12 Months

Bought

0

0.00

Sold

26.0K

2.90M

Net Activity

-2.9M

-$2.90M

Top Buyers

No buying activity

Top Sellers

1
CJB

Connor James B.

Director

80.0K sharesโ€ข1 transactions

$10.13M

2
PLA

Palazzolo Lori A

Officer: Chief Accounting Officer/Md

25.0K sharesโ€ข1 transactions

$2.78M

3
BCG

Bita Cristina Gabriela

Director

2.6K sharesโ€ข4 transactions

$310K

4
SSA

Slusser Sarah A

Director

111 sharesโ€ข5 transactions

$13K

Insider Activity Analysis

Net Insider Sentiment

Bearish

Strong bearish signal with $13.23M net selling. Heavy insider selling may indicate concerns about valuation or near-term prospects.

Buy/Sell Ratio

0.00:1

Very poor ratio. Heavy selling with minimal buying suggests insiders may be concerned about valuation or outlook.

Insider Participation

High Selling

4 insider sellers vs. 0 buyers. Widespread selling across multiple insiders may signal concerns.

0.81%
Dividend Yield
3%
3Y+19.0%
5Y+36.0%
10Y-6.0%
ย 

pld Dividend History

PLD
10Y CAGR +10%
Latest $1.07
Annual $5.17
5 year growth trend
Last Period: +0%