The Progressive Corporation

The Progressive Corporation

PGRยทNYSE

$193.46

-1.7%
Financial ServicesInsurance - Property & Casualty

The Progressive Corporation, an insurance holding company, provides personal and commercial auto, personal residential and commercial property, general liability, and other specialty property-casualty insurance products and related services in the United States. It operates in three segments: Personal Lines, Commercial Lines, and Property. The Personal Lines segment writes insurance for personal autos and recreational vehicles (RV). This segment's products include personal auto insurance; and special lines products, including insurance for motorcycles, ATVs, RVs, watercrafts, snowmobiles, and related products. The Commercial Lines segment provides auto-related primary liability and physical damage insurance, and business-related general liability and property insurance for autos, vans, pick-up trucks, and dump trucks used by small businesses; tractors, trailers, and straight trucks primarily used by regional general freight and expeditor-type businesses, and long-haul operators; dump trucks, log trucks, and garbage trucks used by dirt, sand and gravel, logging, and coal-type businesses; and tow trucks and wreckers used in towing services and gas/service station businesses; as well as non-fleet and airport taxis, and black-car services. The Property segment writes residential property insurance for homeowners, other property owners, and renters, as well as offers personal umbrella insurance, and primary and excess flood insurance. The company also offers policy issuance and claims adjusting services; and acts as an agent to homeowner general liability, workers' compensation insurance, and other products. In addition, it provides reinsurance services. The company sells its products through independent insurance agencies, as well as directly on Internet through mobile devices, and over the phone. The Progressive Corporation was founded in 1937 and is headquartered in Mayfield, Ohio.

At a Glance

Live Snapshot
Market Cap$113.05B
EPS19.2900
P/E Ratio10.03
Earnings Date07/15/2026
The Progressive Corporation

The Progressive Corporation Fair Value Envelope

PGR ยท NYSE

Our analysis suggests that PGR has a fair value of HIDDEN per share in the Base Case projection. With shares currently trading at $193.46, this represents a potential HIDDEN relative to our calculated worth for The Progressive Corporation.

Intrinsic Value
Current Price: $193.46

Owner Earnings Valuation Tool

Warren Buffett's Owner Earnings DCF analysis for intrinsic value calculation

Historical Financial Data

Base year metrics used for projections

$
%
$
%
$
$

Projection Settings

Forecast period and terminal assumptions

%
%

DCF Valuation Summary

Calculation flow from present value to intrinsic value per share

Present Value$868.3B
+ Cash & Equivalents$125.0M
Firm Value$868.4B
- Debt$6.9B
Equity Value$861.5B
/ Shares Outstanding586,314,692B
DCF Value$1.5K
UNDERVALUED BY 659%

Owner Earnings Projections

Operating Cash Flow - Maintenance CapEx = Owner Earnings

Metric
Year 1
Year 2
Year 3
Year 4
Year 5
Year 6
Year 7
Year 8
Year 9
Year 10
Operating Cash Flow
$20.3B
$23.6B
$27.4B
$31.7B
$36.8B
$42.6B
$49.4B
$57.3B
$66.5B
$77.1B
Maintenance CapEx
-$80.7M
-$93.6M
-$108.5M
-$125.8M
-$145.9M
-$169.1M
-$196.1M
-$227.4M
-$263.7M
-$305.7M
Owner Earnings
$20.3B
$23.5B
$27.2B
$31.6B
$36.6B
$42.5B
$49.2B
$57.1B
$66.2B
$76.8B
Discount Factor
0.926
0.857
0.794
0.735
0.681
0.630
0.583
0.540
0.500
0.463
Present Value
$18.8B
$20.1B
$21.6B
$23.2B
$24.9B
$26.8B
$28.7B
$30.9B
$33.1B
$35.6B
Terminal Value represents 69.6% of Enterprise Value