Performance Food Group Company

Performance Food Group Company

PFGCยทNYSE

$96.54

+0.34%
Consumer DefensiveFood Distribution

Performance Food Group Company, through its subsidiaries, markets and distributes food and food-related products in the United States. It operates through three segments: Foodservice, Vistar, and Convenience. The company offers a range of frozen foods, groceries, candy, snacks, beverages, cigarettes, and other tobacco products; beef, pork, poultry, and seafood; and health and beauty care products. It also sells disposables, cleaning and kitchen supplies, and related products. In addition, the company offers value-added services, such as product selection and procurement, menu development, and operational strategy. It serves independent and chain restaurants, schools, business and industry locations, hospitals, vending distributors, office coffee service distributors, retailers, convenience stores, theaters, hospitality providers, concessionaires, airport gift shops, college bookstores, corrections facilities, and impulse locations, as well as franchises and other institutional customers. Performance Food Group Company was founded in 1885 and is headquartered in Richmond, Virginia.

At a Glance

Live Snapshot
Market Cap$15.17B
EPS2.2000
P/E Ratio43.88
Earnings Date08/12/2026

Intrinsic Alpha Methodology

Thesis Lenses

Signal ยท Driver ยท Risk

Signal

High confidence

Valuation multiple is elevated (P/E 43.9).

Valuation inputs: P/E 43.9, earnings yield +2.3%, momentum +0.3%.

If multiples stay elevated while momentum fades, downside repricing risk rises.

Driver

High confidence

Return profile is soft (ROE +7.6%, ROIC +4.4%).

Profitability stack: net margin +0.5%, ROE +7.6%, ROIC +4.4%.

Quality deterioration often appears in margins before it shows up in headline EPS.

Risk

High confidence

Risk profile is balanced but has notable pressure points to monitor.

Risk factors: liabilities/assets +75.0%, momentum +0.3%, net margin +0.5%.

Higher leverage with weak momentum and thin margins can amplify drawdown severity.

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Performance Food Group Company Market vs Earnings Trajectory

PFGC ยท NYSE

Loading price and EPS data...

Performance Food Group Company

Performance Food Group Company Fair Value Envelope

PFGC ยท NYSE

Our analysis suggests that PFGC has a fair value of HIDDEN per share in the Base Case projection. With shares currently trading at $96.54, this represents a potential HIDDEN relative to our calculated worth for Performance Food Group Company.

Intrinsic Value
Current Price: $96.54
3Y+193.0%
5Y-318.0%
10Y+210.0%
3Y+24.0%
5Y+152.0%
10Y+293.0%
3Y+202.0%
5Y-398.0%
10Y+398.0%
3Y+338.0%
5Y+94.0%
10Y+430.0%
3Y+1054.0%
5Y+51.0%
10Y+547.0%
3Y+44.0%
5Y+132.0%
10Y+417.0%
Performance Food Group Company

Performance Food Group Company Profit Bridge

PFGC ยท NYSE
Revenue63.30B
Cost of Goods Sold (55.88B)
Gross Profit7.42B
Operating Expenses (6.60B)
Operating Income816.30M
Interest Expense (358.40M)
Other Income/Expense-357.50M
Pretax Income458.80M
Income Tax (118.60M)
Net Income340.20M
Net Income
340.20M

Profitability Analysis

Gross Margin

11.7%

Thin margins leave little room for error. Cost management and pricing strategy are critical.

Operating Margin

1.3%

Minimal operating profit suggests high operating costs or pricing challenges. Scalability is concerning.

Net Profit Margin

0.5%

Minimal profitability after all expenses. Limited financial flexibility for reinvestment or shareholder returns.

Effective Tax Rate

25.9%

Higher tax burden may reflect limited tax optimization or operations in high-tax jurisdictions.

Profitability Insight

Efficient profit conversion: Minimal margin compression from gross to net indicates lean operations and favorable tax/interest environment.

11.72%
Gross Profit Margin
4%
3Y+13.0%
5Y+2.0%
10Y-6.0%
1.29%
Operating Profit Margin
-9%
3Y+100.0%
5Y-427.0%
10Y+3.0%
0.54%
Net Profit Margin
-28%
3Y+143.0%
5Y-218.0%
10Y+27.0%
7.61%
Return on Equity
-28%
3Y+123.0%
5Y-234.0%
10Y-11.0%
1.90%
Return on Assets
-42%
3Y+109.0%
5Y-229.0%
10Y-4.0%
4.42%
Return on Invested Capital
-28%
3Y+79.0%
5Y-563.0%
10Y-22.0%
PFGC

Performance Food Group Company Cash Conversion Engine

PFGC ยท NYSE
Net Income340.20M
Depreciation & Amortization717.90M
Stock-Based Compensation47.80M
Change in Working Capital-20.70M
Others125.10M
Capital Expenditures-506.00M
Free Cash Flow704.10M

Cash Flow Quality Analysis

FCF Conversion Rate

207.0%

Excellent cash generation. The company converts earnings to cash at or above 100%, indicating high-quality earnings.

CapEx Intensity

41.8%

Capital-intensive operations require significant reinvestment. Monitor whether CapEx is maintenance or growth-oriented.

FCF Growth Trend

-8.2%

Declining FCF warrants attention. Investigate whether due to temporary factors or fundamental deterioration.

Working Capital Impact

-$20.70M

Minimal working capital impact on FCF. Changes in operating assets and liabilities well-managed.

Cash Flow Quality Insight

Solid cash generation: Positive free cash flow with reasonable earnings quality provides financial flexibility for growth investments, debt reduction, or shareholder returns.

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Performance Food Group Company Funding & Solvency Profile

PFGC ยท NYSE
Cash & Cash Equivalents45.90M
Net Receivables2.88B
Inventory4.07B
Other Current Assets369.20M
Total Current Assets7 B
Property, Plant & Equipment5.63B
Goodwill & Intangible Assets5.18B
Long-Term Investments0.00
Other Non-Current Assets236.60M
Total Non-Current Assets6 B
Total Assets
18.41B

Financial Health Analysis

Current Ratio

1.52x

Strong liquidity. The company has adequate resources to meet short-term liabilities.

Debt-to-Equity Ratio

2.90x

High financial leverage. Heavy reliance on debt may indicate increased financial risk and potential solvency concerns.

Working Capital

3 B

Strong working capital position provides significant operational flexibility and financial cushion.

Asset Composition

40% Current

Capital-intensive business with significant long-term investments in property, equipment, or intangibles.

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Performance Food Group Company Street Expectations Map

PFGC ยท NYSE

Wall Street analysts project that PFGC stock may rise significantly over the coming 12 months. The consensus 1-year price target stands at 116.00, with estimates ranging from a low of 108.00 to a high of 123.00.

Lowest Target
108.00
11.87%
Consensus Target
116.00
20.16%
Highest Target
123.00
27.41%

The consensus 1-year price target stands at 116.00, with estimates ranging from a low of 108.00 to a high of 123.00.

Analyst Consensus Analysis

Upside Potential

+20.2%

Strong upside potential. Consensus indicates attractive return opportunity with favorable risk-reward profile.

Analyst Agreement

12.9% spread

High analyst agreement. Narrow target range indicates strong consensus on valuation, suggesting clear investment thesis and predictable outlook.

Analyst Conviction

Very High

Strong buy conviction: High upside with tight consensus suggests compelling investment opportunity backed by analyst confidence.

Market Sentiment Insight

Rare opportunity: Exceptional upside potential with strong analyst consensus creates a compelling setup. The combination of significant price target premium and tight agreement suggests high-conviction undervaluation that may attract institutional capital.

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Performance Food Group Company Insider Positioning

PFGC ยท NYSE

During the last 12 months, insiders have sold $9.43M worth of PFGC shares, with no buying activity reported.

3 Months

Bought

0

0.00

Sold

10.5K

997.53K

Net Activity

-998K

-$998K

3-6 Months

Bought

0

0.00

Sold

1.8K

169.60K

Net Activity

-170K

-$170K

6-9 Months

Bought

0

0.00

Sold

0

0.00

Net Activity

+0

+$0

9-12 Months

Bought

0

0.00

Sold

83.0K

8.27M

Net Activity

-8.3M

-$8.27M

Top Buyers

No buying activity

Top Sellers

1
HGL

Holm George L

Director, Officer: See Remarks

39.9K sharesโ€ข4 transactions

$3.90M

2
KAB

King A Brent

Officer: See Remarks

29.0K sharesโ€ข6 transactions

$2.88M

3
DET

Davis Erika T

Officer: See Remarks

9.8K sharesโ€ข6 transactions

$1000K

4
HHP

Hatcher Hugh Patrick

Officer: See Remarks

8.5K sharesโ€ข3 transactions

$856K

5
BDS

Bulmer Donald S.

Officer: See Remarks

3.8K sharesโ€ข4 transactions

$383K

Insider Activity Analysis

Net Insider Sentiment

Bearish

Strong bearish signal with $9.43M net selling. Heavy insider selling may indicate concerns about valuation or near-term prospects.

Buy/Sell Ratio

0.00:1

Very poor ratio. Heavy selling with minimal buying suggests insiders may be concerned about valuation or outlook.

Recent Trend (3 Months)

$998K

Heavy recent selling activity. Recent insider sales notably exceed purchasesโ€”may warrant investigation into company developments.

Insider Participation

High Selling

5 insider sellers vs. 0 buyers. Widespread selling across multiple insiders may signal concerns.

Insider Activity Insight

Multiple red flags: Heavy selling, numerous sellers, and continued recent selling create a concerning pattern. Investigate fundamental drivers and consider whether company guidance or industry conditions have deteriorated.

No Dividend Yield Data

PFGC has not reported any dividend yield values in the available annual periods.

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pfgc Dividend History

PFGC
10Y CAGR +0%
Latest $0
Annual $0
Stable dividend payments
Last Period: +0%