GrabAGun Digital Holdings Inc.
$2.56
-1.2%GrabAGun Digital Holdings Inc. operates as a eCommerce retailer of firearms and ammunition, related accessories, and other outdoor enthusiast products. The company is headquartered in Coppell, Texas.
At a Glance
Live SnapshotIntrinsic Alpha Methodology
Thesis Lenses
Signal
Medium confidenceValuation multiple is compressed (P/E -19.7).
Valuation inputs: P/E -19.7, earnings yield N/A, momentum -1.2%.
If multiples stay elevated while momentum fades, downside repricing risk rises.
Driver
High confidenceReturn profile is soft (ROE -2.3%, ROIC -3.8%).
Profitability stack: net margin -2.6%, ROE -2.3%, ROIC -3.8%.
Quality deterioration often appears in margins before it shows up in headline EPS.
Risk
High confidenceRisk profile is balanced but has notable pressure points to monitor.
Risk factors: liabilities/assets +18.0%, momentum -1.2%, net margin -2.6%.
Higher leverage with weak momentum and thin margins can amplify drawdown severity.
GrabAGun Digital Holdings Inc. Market vs Earnings Trajectory
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GrabAGun Digital Holdings Inc. Fair Value Envelope
GrabAGun Digital Holdings Inc. Profit Bridge
Profitability Analysis
Gross Margin
Thin margins leave little room for error. Cost management and pricing strategy are critical.
Operating Margin
Operating losses indicate the core business is unprofitable. Requires restructuring or revenue growth.
Net Profit Margin
Net losses indicate the company is burning cash. Sustainability depends on path to profitability.
GrabAGun Digital Holdings Inc. Cash Conversion Engine
Cash Flow Quality Analysis
FCF Conversion Rate
Excellent cash generation. The company converts earnings to cash at or above 100%, indicating high-quality earnings.
CapEx Intensity
Asset-light business model. Low capital requirements leave more cash available for shareholders and growth investments.
FCF Growth Trend
Significant FCF decline raises concerns. Urgent review needed of operational performance and capital allocation.
Working Capital Impact
Moderate working capital outflow. Typical for growing businesses, but ensure it's supporting revenue growth, not inefficiency.
Cash Flow Quality Insight
Working capital strain: Significant cash tied up in operations. Monitor receivables collection, inventory turns, and payment terms to optimize cash conversion cycle.
GrabAGun Digital Holdings Inc. Funding & Solvency Profile
Financial Health Analysis
Current Ratio
Excellent liquidity position. The company can easily cover its short-term obligations with substantial cushion.
Debt-to-Equity Ratio
Conservative capital structure. The company relies primarily on equity financing, indicating low financial risk.
Working Capital
Strong working capital position provides significant operational flexibility and financial cushion.
Asset Composition
Asset-light business model with high liquidity. Majority of assets are easily convertible to cash.
Financial Health Insight
Strong financial foundation: Excellent liquidity combined with conservative leverage suggests the company is well-positioned to weather economic uncertainties and fund growth opportunities.
GrabAGun Digital Holdings Inc. Street Expectations Map
Wall Street analysts project that PEW stock may rise significantly over the coming 12 months. The consensus 1-year price target stands at 6.75, with estimates ranging from a low of 6.75 to a high of 6.75.
The consensus 1-year price target stands at 6.75, with estimates ranging from a low of 6.75 to a high of 6.75.
Analyst Consensus Analysis
Upside Potential
Substantial upside potential. Analysts see significant value gap, suggesting the stock may be materially undervalued at current levels.
Analyst Agreement
High analyst agreement. Narrow target range indicates strong consensus on valuation, suggesting clear investment thesis and predictable outlook.
Analyst Conviction
Strong buy conviction: High upside with tight consensus suggests compelling investment opportunity backed by analyst confidence.
Market Sentiment Insight
Rare opportunity: Exceptional upside potential with strong analyst consensus creates a compelling setup. The combination of significant price target premium and tight agreement suggests high-conviction undervaluation that may attract institutional capital.
GrabAGun Digital Holdings Inc. Insider Positioning
During the last 12 months, insiders have purchased $389K and sold $31K worth of PEW shares, resulting in $357K of net buying activity.
3 Months
0
0.00
8.2K
24.34K
-24K
-$24K
3-6 Months
0
0.00
2.5K
7.07K
-7K
-$7K
6-9 Months
100.0K
388.77K
0
0.00
+389K
+$389K
9-12 Months
0
0.00
0
0.00
+0
+$0
Top Buyers
Nemati Marc A.
Director, Officer: President And Ceo
$389K
Top Sellers
Vittitow Matthew W.
Director, Officer: Chief Operating Officer
$13K
Nemati Marc A.
Director, Officer: President And Ceo
$12K
Hilty Justin C.
Officer: Chief Financial Officer
$6K
Insider Activity Analysis
Net Insider Sentiment
Strong bullish signal with $357K net buying. Insiders are aggressively accumulating shares, suggesting significant confidence in future prospects.
Buy/Sell Ratio
Exceptional buy/sell ratio. Buying dramatically outweighs selling—one of the strongest possible insider signals.
Recent Trend (3 Months)
Heavy recent selling activity. Recent insider sales notably exceed purchases—may warrant investigation into company developments.
Insider Participation
3 insider sellers vs. 1 buyers. Widespread selling across multiple insiders may signal concerns.
No Dividend Yield Data
PEW has not reported any dividend yield values in the available annual periods.
pew Dividend History
Learning Layer
Related Guides
Build conviction on PEW by pairing this stock hub with focused valuation guides.
Research Paths
Snapshot
Start with context, operating signals, and key market metrics.
Value Model
Stress test fair value across bear, base, and bull assumptions.
Statements
Validate revenue quality, margins, and balance sheet durability.
Earnings Call
Read management commentary and compare it with reported outcomes.
Dividends
Check payout sustainability and long-term distribution behavior.
Analyst Expectations
Review consensus spread and where estimate risk is concentrated.