Pebblebrook Hotel Trust
$16.08
+2.0%Pebblebrook Hotel Trust (NYSE: PEB) is a publicly traded real estate investment trust (REIT) and the largest owner of urban and resort lifestyle hotels in the United States. The Company owns 53 hotels, totaling approximately 13,200 guestrooms across 14 urban and resort markets, with a focus on the west coast gateway cities.
At a Glance
Live SnapshotIntrinsic Alpha Methodology
Thesis Lenses
Signal
Medium confidenceValuation multiple is compressed (P/E -17.9).
Valuation inputs: P/E -17.9, earnings yield N/A, momentum +2.0%.
If multiples stay elevated while momentum fades, downside repricing risk rises.
Driver
High confidenceReturn profile is soft (ROE -2.7%, ROIC +1.5%).
Profitability stack: net margin -4.5%, ROE -2.7%, ROIC +1.5%.
Quality deterioration often appears in margins before it shows up in headline EPS.
Risk
High confidenceRisk profile is balanced but has notable pressure points to monitor.
Risk factors: liabilities/assets +52.1%, momentum +2.0%, net margin -4.5%.
Higher leverage with weak momentum and thin margins can amplify drawdown severity.
Pebblebrook Hotel Trust Market vs Earnings Trajectory
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Pebblebrook Hotel Trust Fair Value Envelope
Pebblebrook Hotel Trust Profit Bridge
Profitability Analysis
Gross Margin
Negative gross margin indicates the company is losing money on each sale—unsustainable long-term.
Operating Margin
Acceptable margins but limited operational leverage. Operating expense control is important.
Net Profit Margin
Net losses indicate the company is burning cash. Sustainability depends on path to profitability.
Profitability Insight
Non-operating losses: Core business is profitable but other expenses (interest, taxes, one-time items) are driving net losses. Review capital structure and non-operating items.
Pebblebrook Hotel Trust Cash Conversion Engine
Cash Flow Quality Analysis
FCF Conversion Rate
Negative free cash flow despite positive earnings raises concerns about cash generation ability or heavy capital requirements.
CapEx Intensity
Moderate capital requirements typical of many stable businesses. Healthy balance between reinvestment and cash generation.
FCF Growth Trend
Significant FCF decline raises concerns. Urgent review needed of operational performance and capital allocation.
Working Capital Impact
Working capital inflow boosted cash flow. Efficient management of receivables, inventory, and payables contributing positively.
Cash Flow Quality Insight
Deteriorating cash generation: Both declining FCF and weak conversion rate signal fundamental challenges. Investigate margin pressure, rising costs, or working capital issues.
Pebblebrook Hotel Trust Funding & Solvency Profile
Financial Health Analysis
Current Ratio
Warning: Liquidity concerns. Current assets may not be sufficient to cover short-term obligations.
Debt-to-Equity Ratio
Elevated leverage. Debt exceeds equity, which amplifies both gains and risks. Monitor debt servicing ability.
Working Capital
Negative working capital indicates short-term liabilities exceed short-term assets—potential liquidity stress.
Asset Composition
Capital-intensive business with significant long-term investments in property, equipment, or intangibles.
Financial Health Insight
Negative working capital with limited cash reserves requires immediate attention—potential liquidity crisis if not addressed promptly.
Pebblebrook Hotel Trust Street Expectations Map
Wall Street analysts project that PEB stock may see slight declines over the coming 12 months. The consensus 1-year price target stands at 14.78, with estimates ranging from a low of 12.00 to a high of 17.00.
The consensus 1-year price target stands at 14.78, with estimates ranging from a low of 12.00 to a high of 17.00.
Analyst Consensus Analysis
Upside Potential
Downside risk. Current price above analyst targets indicates potential overvaluation. Exercise caution and review catalysts.
Analyst Agreement
Good consensus alignment. Moderate target spread reflects general agreement on value drivers with some variance in assumptions.
Risk-Reward Profile
Unfavorable risk-reward. Downside risk exceeds upside potential. Consider defensive positioning or alternative opportunities.
Analyst Conviction
Bearish or uncertain outlook. Limited upside or poor consensus suggests challenges ahead or fundamental concerns.
Market Sentiment Insight
Monitor and evaluate: Current analyst consensus suggests limited conviction or near-term catalysts. Stay informed on company developments and reassess positioning as new information emerges.
Pebblebrook Hotel Trust Insider Positioning
During the last 12 months, insiders have purchased $257K and sold $563K worth of PEB shares, resulting in $306K of net selling activity.
3 Months
0
0.00
0
0.00
+0
+$0
3-6 Months
0
0.00
50.0K
563.15K
-563K
-$563K
6-9 Months
10.0K
108.50K
0
0.00
+109K
+$109K
9-12 Months
15.0K
148.30K
0
0.00
+148K
+$148K
Top Buyers
Schall Michael J
Director
$209K
Bortz Jon E
Director, Officer: Chairman And Ceo
$48K
Top Sellers
Bortz Jon E
Director, Officer: Chairman And Ceo
$563K
Insider Activity Analysis
Net Insider Sentiment
Negative insider sentiment with $306K net selling. Selling notably exceeds buying, warranting closer scrutiny of company fundamentals.
Buy/Sell Ratio
Weak buy/sell ratio. Selling significantly exceeds buying—monitor for potential fundamental concerns.
Insider Participation
2 insider buyers vs. 1 sellers. More insiders buying than selling indicates positive sentiment.
peb Dividend History
Learning Layer
Related Guides
Build conviction on PEB by pairing this stock hub with focused valuation guides.
Research Paths
Snapshot
Start with context, operating signals, and key market metrics.
Value Model
Stress test fair value across bear, base, and bull assumptions.
Statements
Validate revenue quality, margins, and balance sheet durability.
Earnings Call
Read management commentary and compare it with reported outcomes.
Dividends
Check payout sustainability and long-term distribution behavior.
Analyst Expectations
Review consensus spread and where estimate risk is concentrated.