Par Pacific Holdings, Inc.

Par Pacific Holdings, Inc.

PARRยทNYSE

$57.19

+0.16%
EnergyOil & Gas Refining & Marketing

Par Pacific Holdings, Inc. owns and operates energy and infrastructure businesses. The company operates through three segments: Refining, Retail, and Logistics. The Refining segment owns and operates three refineries that produces ultra-low sulfur diesel, gasoline, jet fuel, marine fuel, distillate, asphalt, low sulfur fuel oil, and other associated refined products primarily for consumption in Hawaii, Pacific Northwest, Wyoming, and South Dakota. The Retail segment operates 119 fuel retail outlets, which sell merchandise, such as soft drinks, prepared foods, and other sundries in Hawaii under the Hele, 76, and nomnom brands; and gasoline, diesel, and retail merchandise in Washington and Idaho under the Cenex, nomnom, and Zip Trip brand names. The Logistics segment owns and operates terminals, pipelines, a single point mooring, and trucking operations to distribute refined products throughout the island of Oahu, Maui, Hawaii, Molokai, and Kauai. It also leases marine vessels; owns and operates a crude oil pipeline gathering system, a refined products pipeline, storage facilities, and loading racks in Wyoming; and a jet fuel storage facility and pipeline that serves Ellsworth Air Force Base in South Dakota. In addition, this segment owns and operates a marine terminal, a unit train-capable rail loading terminal, storage facilities, a truck rack, and a proprietary pipeline that serves Joint Base Lewis McChord. The company was formerly known as Par Petroleum Corporation and changed its name to Par Pacific Holdings, Inc. in October 2015. Par Pacific Holdings, Inc. was incorporated in 1984 and is headquartered in Houston, Texas.

At a Glance

Live Snapshot
Market Cap$2.87B
EPS7.2800
P/E Ratio7.86
Earnings Date08/04/2026

Intrinsic Alpha Methodology

Thesis Lenses

Signal ยท Driver ยท Risk

Signal

High confidence

Valuation multiple is compressed (P/E 7.9).

Valuation inputs: P/E 7.9, earnings yield +12.7%, momentum +0.2%.

If multiples stay elevated while momentum fades, downside repricing risk rises.

Driver

High confidence

Return profile is strong (ROE +24.4%, ROIC +12.8%).

Profitability stack: net margin +5.0%, ROE +24.4%, ROIC +12.8%.

Quality deterioration often appears in margins before it shows up in headline EPS.

Risk

High confidence

Risk profile is balanced but has notable pressure points to monitor.

Risk factors: liabilities/assets +61.9%, momentum +0.2%, net margin +5.0%.

Higher leverage with weak momentum and thin margins can amplify drawdown severity.

parr

Par Pacific Holdings, Inc. Market vs Earnings Trajectory

PARR ยท NYSE

Loading price and EPS data...

Par Pacific Holdings, Inc.

Par Pacific Holdings, Inc. Fair Value Envelope

PARR ยท NYSE

Our analysis suggests that PARR has a fair value of HIDDEN per share in the Base Case projection. With shares currently trading at $57.19, this represents a potential HIDDEN relative to our calculated worth for Par Pacific Holdings, Inc..

Intrinsic Value
Current Price: $57.19
3Y+19.0%
5Y-195.0%
10Y-774.0%
3Y+2.0%
5Y+139.0%
10Y+300.0%
3Y+1.0%
5Y-190.0%
10Y-906.0%
3Y-2.0%
5Y-1297.0%
10Y-2004.0%
3Y-26.0%
5Y-394.0%
10Y-715.0%
3Y+24.0%
5Y+91.0%
10Y+255.0%
Par Pacific Holdings, Inc.

Par Pacific Holdings, Inc. Profit Bridge

PARR ยท NYSE
Revenue7.46B
Cost of Goods Sold (6.11B)
Gross Profit1.35B
Operating Expenses (816.07M)
Operating Income538.76M
Interest Expense (82.38M)
Other Income/Expense-60.89M
Pretax Income477.87M
Income Tax (110.78M)
Net Income369.39M
Net Income
369.39M

Profitability Analysis

Gross Margin

18.1%

Thin margins leave little room for error. Cost management and pricing strategy are critical.

Operating Margin

7.2%

Acceptable margins but limited operational leverage. Operating expense control is important.

Net Profit Margin

4.9%

Minimal profitability after all expenses. Limited financial flexibility for reinvestment or shareholder returns.

Effective Tax Rate

23.2%

Moderate tax rate typical for most corporations. Represents standard tax burden on profits.

Profitability Insight

Efficient profit conversion: Minimal margin compression from gross to net indicates lean operations and favorable tax/interest environment.

18.15%
Gross Profit Margin
95%
3Y+57.0%
5Y+551.0%
10Y+72.0%
7.22%
Operating Profit Margin
1108%
3Y+21.0%
5Y-171.0%
10Y-785.0%
4.95%
Net Profit Margin
-1284%
3Y-1.0%
5Y-138.0%
10Y-301.0%
24.44%
Return on Equity
-974%
3Y-57.0%
5Y-115.0%
10Y-297.0%
9.08%
Return on Assets
-1143%
3Y-18.0%
5Y-147.0%
10Y-327.0%
12.80%
Return on Invested Capital
787%
3Y-54.0%
5Y-158.0%
10Y-870.0%
PARR

Par Pacific Holdings, Inc. Cash Conversion Engine

PARR ยท NYSE
Net Income369.39M
Depreciation & Amortization144.32M
Stock-Based Compensation0.00
Change in Working Capital-62.60M
Others-16.14M
Capital Expenditures-148.87M
Free Cash Flow296.46M

Cash Flow Quality Analysis

FCF Conversion Rate

80.3%

Strong cash conversion. Most reported earnings translate into actual cash flow, suggesting solid fundamentals.

CapEx Intensity

33.4%

Moderate capital requirements typical of many stable businesses. Healthy balance between reinvestment and cash generation.

FCF Growth Trend

+672.7%

Strong FCF growth demonstrates improving cash generation and business momentum. Positive signal for sustainability.

Working Capital Impact

-$62.60M

Moderate working capital outflow. Typical for growing businesses, but ensure it's supporting revenue growth, not inefficiency.

Cash Flow Quality Insight

Solid cash generation: Positive free cash flow with reasonable earnings quality provides financial flexibility for growth investments, debt reduction, or shareholder returns.

parr

Par Pacific Holdings, Inc. Funding & Solvency Profile

PARR ยท NYSE
Cash & Cash Equivalents172.17M
Net Receivables0.00
Inventory0.00
Other Current Assets0.00
Total Current Assets172 M
Property, Plant & Equipment0.00
Goodwill & Intangible Assets0.00
Long-Term Investments0.00
Other Non-Current Assets0.00
Total Non-Current Assets0
Total Assets
172.17M

Financial Health Analysis

Debt-to-Equity Ratio

-0.89x

Conservative capital structure. The company relies primarily on equity financing, indicating low financial risk.

Working Capital

172 M

Strong working capital position provides significant operational flexibility and financial cushion.

Asset Composition

100% Current

Asset-light business model with high liquidity. Majority of assets are easily convertible to cash.

parr

Par Pacific Holdings, Inc. Street Expectations Map

PARR ยท NYSE

Wall Street analysts project that PARR stock may rise significantly over the coming 12 months. The consensus 1-year price target stands at 67.60, with estimates ranging from a low of 50.00 to a high of 79.00.

Lowest Target
50.00
-12.57%
Consensus Target
67.60
18.20%
Highest Target
79.00
38.14%

The consensus 1-year price target stands at 67.60, with estimates ranging from a low of 50.00 to a high of 79.00.

Analyst Consensus Analysis

Upside Potential

+18.2%

Strong upside potential. Consensus indicates attractive return opportunity with favorable risk-reward profile.

Analyst Agreement

42.9% spread

Mixed analyst views. Wide target range suggests differing opinions on key value drivers, growth prospects, or risk factors.

Risk-Reward Profile

3.03x

Favorable risk-reward. Potential upside significantly exceeds downside risk, offering asymmetric return profile attractive for risk-tolerant investors.

Analyst Conviction

Moderate

Neutral sentiment. Fair value pricing with moderate agreement suggests wait-and-see approach or catalyst-driven opportunity.

Market Sentiment Insight

Asymmetric upside: Strong return potential with favorable risk-reward profile. The limited downside relative to upside makes this an attractive risk-adjusted opportunity for growth-oriented portfolios.

parr

Par Pacific Holdings, Inc. Insider Positioning

PARR ยท NYSE

During the last 12 months, insiders have purchased $50K and sold $8.97M worth of PARR shares, resulting in $8.92M of net selling activity.

3 Months

Bought

0

0.00

Sold

53.3K

2.91M

Net Activity

-2.9M

-$2.91M

3-6 Months

Bought

0

0.00

Sold

58.6K

2.60M

Net Activity

-2.6M

-$2.60M

6-9 Months

Bought

1.5K

49.97K

Sold

81.5K

3.46M

Net Activity

-3.4M

-$3.41M

9-12 Months

Bought

0

0.00

Sold

0

0.00

Net Activity

+0

+$0

Top Buyers

1
AC

Anastasio Curt

Director

728 sharesโ€ข1 transactions

$25K

2
YEK

Yeaman Eric K

Director

728 sharesโ€ข1 transactions

$25K

Top Sellers

1
MW

Monteleone William

Director, Officer: President And Ceo

105.7K sharesโ€ข2 transactions

$5.00M

2
CR

Creamer Richard

Officer: Evp - Refining And Logistics

30.3K sharesโ€ข2 transactions

$1.27M

3
FSD

Flores Shawn David

Officer: See Remarks

15.4K sharesโ€ข2 transactions

$737K

4
HJR

Hollis Jeffrey Ryan

Officer: See Remarks

15.3K sharesโ€ข1 transactions

$639K

5
PT

Pitkin Terrill

Officer: Svp, Planning & Commercial

11.8K sharesโ€ข1 transactions

$606K

Insider Activity Analysis

Net Insider Sentiment

Bearish

Strong bearish signal with $8.92M net selling. Heavy insider selling may indicate concerns about valuation or near-term prospects.

Buy/Sell Ratio

0.01:1

Very poor ratio. Heavy selling with minimal buying suggests insiders may be concerned about valuation or outlook.

Recent Trend (3 Months)

$2.91M

Heavy recent selling activity. Recent insider sales notably exceed purchasesโ€”may warrant investigation into company developments.

Insider Participation

High Selling

5 insider sellers vs. 2 buyers. Widespread selling across multiple insiders may signal concerns.

Insider Activity Insight

Multiple red flags: Heavy selling, numerous sellers, and continued recent selling create a concerning pattern. Investigate fundamental drivers and consider whether company guidance or industry conditions have deteriorated.

No Dividend Yield Data

PARR has not reported any dividend yield values in the available annual periods.

ย 

parr Dividend History

PARR
10Y CAGR +0%
Latest $0
Annual $0
Stable dividend payments
Last Period: +0%