Penske Automotive Group, Inc.

Penske Automotive Group, Inc.

PAGยทNYSE

$171.88

-0.28%
Consumer CyclicalAuto - Dealerships

Penske Automotive Group, Inc., a diversified transportation services company, operates automotive and commercial truck dealerships. The company operates through four segments: Retail Automotive, Retail Commercial Truck, Other, and Non-Automotive Investments. It operates dealerships under franchise agreements with various automotive manufacturers and distributors. The company engages in the sale of new and used motor vehicles, and related products and services comprise vehicle and collision repair services, as well as placement of finance and lease contracts, third-party insurance products, and other aftermarket products; and wholesale of parts. It also operates a heavy and medium duty truck dealership, which offers Freightliner and Western Star branded trucks, as well as a range of used trucks, and maintenance and repair services. In addition, it imports and distributes Western Star heavy-duty trucks, MAN heavy and medium duty trucks, buses, and Dennis Eagle refuse collection vehicles with associated parts in Australia, New Zealand, and portions of the Pacific. Further, the company distributes diesel and gas engines, and power systems. The company operates 320 retail automotive franchises, including 146 franchises located in the United States and 174 franchises located outside of the United States; 23 CarShop used vehicle dealerships in the United States and the United Kingdom; and 37 commercial truck dealerships in Texas, Oklahoma, Tennessee, Georgia, Utah, Idaho, Kansas, Missouri, and Oregon, as well as Canada. Penske Automotive Group, Inc. was incorporated in 1990 and is headquartered in Bloomfield Hills, Michigan.

At a Glance

Live Snapshot
Market Cap$11.30B
EPS14.1300
P/E Ratio12.16
Earnings Date07/29/2026
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Penske Automotive Group, Inc. Street Expectations Map

PAG ยท NYSE

Wall Street analysts project that PAG stock may experience modest gains over the coming 12 months. The consensus 1-year price target stands at 176.75, with estimates ranging from a low of 160.00 to a high of 190.00.

Lowest Target
160.00
-6.91%
Consensus Target
176.75
2.83%
Highest Target
190.00
10.54%

The consensus 1-year price target stands at 176.75, with estimates ranging from a low of 160.00 to a high of 190.00.

Analyst Consensus Analysis

Upside Potential

+2.8%

Fair value territory. Stock trading near consensus target suggests limited near-term catalysts. Focus on fundamental developments.

Analyst Agreement

17.0% spread

High analyst agreement. Narrow target range indicates strong consensus on valuation, suggesting clear investment thesis and predictable outlook.

Risk-Reward Profile

1.53x

Balanced risk-reward. Upside and downside potential relatively symmetric. Suitable for moderate risk tolerance with conviction in thesis.

Analyst Conviction

Moderate

Neutral sentiment. Fair value pricing with moderate agreement suggests wait-and-see approach or catalyst-driven opportunity.

Market Sentiment Insight

Efficient pricing: Stock trading at fair value with strong consensus suggests market has priced in expectations. Look for fundamental inflection points or new catalysts to drive meaningful moves.

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Penske Automotive Group, Inc. Forward Estimates of Revenue

PAG ยท NYSE
Latest Revenue
31.81B
FY 2025
Avg Estimate
31.48B
FY 2026
Estimate Range
30.83B - 32.35B
Analyst Spread

Forward Growth Analysis

Projected Growth-1.0%

Declining expectations indicate headwindsโ€”investigate whether temporary or structural issues.

Analyst Coverage7 Analysts

Moderate coverageโ€”sufficient for guidance but may lack depth of large-cap analysis.

Estimate Spread5%

Narrow estimate range signals strong analyst consensus and predictable business outlook.

OutlookNeutral

Mixed signalsโ€”some positive indicators offset by concerns about growth or uncertainty.

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Penske Automotive Group, Inc. Forward Estimates of Net Income

PAG ยท NYSE
Latest Net Income
935.40M
FY 2025
Avg Estimate
943.96M
FY 2026
Estimate Range
898.70M - 989.23M
Analyst Spread

Forward Growth Analysis

Projected Growth+0.9%

Flat growth suggests market maturity or near-term challenges offsetting expansion efforts.

Analyst Coverage7 Analysts

Moderate coverageโ€”sufficient for guidance but may lack depth of large-cap analysis.

Estimate Spread10%

Narrow estimate range signals strong analyst consensus and predictable business outlook.

OutlookPositive

Generally favorable outlook with reasonable growth prospects and analyst support.

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Penske Automotive Group, Inc. Forward Estimates of EPS

PAG ยท NYSE
Latest EPS
14.13
FY 2025
Avg Estimate
$13.97
FY 2026
Estimate Range
$13.43 - $14.79
Analyst Spread

Forward Growth Analysis

Projected Growth-1.2%

Declining expectations indicate headwindsโ€”investigate whether temporary or structural issues.

Analyst Coverage5 Analysts

Moderate coverageโ€”sufficient for guidance but may lack depth of large-cap analysis.

Estimate Spread10%

Narrow estimate range signals strong analyst consensus and predictable business outlook.

OutlookNeutral

Mixed signalsโ€”some positive indicators offset by concerns about growth or uncertainty.

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Penske Automotive Group, Inc. Forward Estimates of EBIT

PAG ยท NYSE
Latest EBIT
1.53B
FY 2025
Avg Estimate
1.80B
FY 2026
Estimate Range
1.76B - 1.85B
Analyst Spread

Forward Growth Analysis

Projected Growth+17.9%

Solid growth trajectory indicates healthy business performance and competitive positioning.

Analyst Coverage7 Analysts

Moderate coverageโ€”sufficient for guidance but may lack depth of large-cap analysis.

Estimate Spread5%

Narrow estimate range signals strong analyst consensus and predictable business outlook.

OutlookStrong

Positive analyst consensus with strong growth expectations and forecast confidence.

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Penske Automotive Group, Inc. Forward Estimates of EBITDA

PAG ยท NYSE
Latest EBITDA
1.70B
FY 2025
Avg Estimate
1.96B
FY 2026
Estimate Range
1.92B - 2.01B
Analyst Spread

Forward Growth Analysis

Projected Growth+15.2%

Solid growth trajectory indicates healthy business performance and competitive positioning.

Analyst Coverage7 Analysts

Moderate coverageโ€”sufficient for guidance but may lack depth of large-cap analysis.

Estimate Spread5%

Narrow estimate range signals strong analyst consensus and predictable business outlook.

OutlookStrong

Positive analyst consensus with strong growth expectations and forecast confidence.

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Penske Automotive Group, Inc. Forward Estimates of SG&A Expense

PAG ยท NYSE
Latest SG&A Expense
3.76B
FY 2025
Avg Estimate
3.64B
FY 2026
Estimate Range
3.57B - 3.74B
Analyst Spread

Forward Growth Analysis

Projected Growth-3.2%

Declining expectations indicate headwindsโ€”investigate whether temporary or structural issues.

Analyst Coverage7 Analysts

Moderate coverageโ€”sufficient for guidance but may lack depth of large-cap analysis.

Estimate Spread5%

Narrow estimate range signals strong analyst consensus and predictable business outlook.

OutlookNeutral

Mixed signalsโ€”some positive indicators offset by concerns about growth or uncertainty.

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Penske Automotive Group, Inc. Insider Positioning

PAG ยท NYSE

During the last 12 months, insiders have sold $2.45M worth of PAG shares, with no buying activity reported.

3 Months

Bought

0

0.00

Sold

1.5K

238.11K

Net Activity

-238K

-$238K

3-6 Months

Bought

0

0.00

Sold

0

0.00

Net Activity

+0

+$0

6-9 Months

Bought

0

0.00

Sold

2.1K

336.35K

Net Activity

-336K

-$336K

9-12 Months

Bought

0

0.00

Sold

10.5K

1.87M

Net Activity

-1.9M

-$1.87M

Top Buyers

No buying activity

Top Sellers

1
SSM

Spradlin Shane M.

Officer: Evp, Gen. Counsel & Sec.

6.2K sharesโ€ข2 transactions

$1.08M

2
HM

Hulgrave Michelle

Officer: Evp & Cfo

3.2K sharesโ€ข2 transactions

$537K

3
PSE

Pierce Sandra E.

Director

1.6K sharesโ€ข1 transactions

$300K

4
DLA

Davis Lisa Ann

Director

1.6K sharesโ€ข1 transactions

$290K

5
SGC

Smith Greg C

Director

1.5K sharesโ€ข1 transactions

$238K

Insider Activity Analysis

Net Insider Sentiment

Bearish

Strong bearish signal with $2.45M net selling. Heavy insider selling may indicate concerns about valuation or near-term prospects.

Buy/Sell Ratio

0.00:1

Very poor ratio. Heavy selling with minimal buying suggests insiders may be concerned about valuation or outlook.

Recent Trend (3 Months)

$238K

Heavy recent selling activity. Recent insider sales notably exceed purchasesโ€”may warrant investigation into company developments.

Insider Participation

High Selling

5 insider sellers vs. 0 buyers. Widespread selling across multiple insiders may signal concerns.

Insider Activity Insight

Multiple red flags: Heavy selling, numerous sellers, and continued recent selling create a concerning pattern. Investigate fundamental drivers and consider whether company guidance or industry conditions have deteriorated.