Ranpak Holdings Corp.

Ranpak Holdings Corp.

PACKยทNYSE

$6.95

-2.4%
Consumer CyclicalPackaging & Containers

Ranpak Holdings Corp., together with its subsidiaries, provide product protection solutions for e-commerce and industrial supply chains in North America, Europe, and Asia. The company offers protective packaging solutions, such as void-fill protective systems that convert paper to fill empty spaces in secondary packages and protect objects under the FillPak brand; cushioning protective systems, which convert paper into cushioning pads under the PadPak brand; and wrapping protective systems that create pads or paper mesh to wrap and protect fragile items, as well as to line boxes and provide separation when shipping various objects under the WrapPak, Geami, and ReadyRoll brands. The company's products also include line automation products, which help end users automate the void filling and box closure processes after product packing is complete. It sells its products to end users primarily through a distributor network, and directly to select end users. Ranpak Holdings Corp. was founded in 1972 and is headquartered in Concord Township, Ohio.

At a Glance

Live Snapshot
Market Cap$594.54M
EPS-0.4500
P/E Ratio-15.44
Earnings Date08/04/2026

Intrinsic Alpha Methodology

Thesis Lenses

Signal ยท Driver ยท Risk

Signal

Medium confidence

Valuation multiple is compressed (P/E -15.4).

Valuation inputs: P/E -15.4, earnings yield N/A, momentum -2.4%.

If multiples stay elevated while momentum fades, downside repricing risk rises.

Driver

High confidence

Return profile is soft (ROE -7.2%, ROIC -1.9%).

Profitability stack: net margin -9.7%, ROE -7.2%, ROIC -1.9%.

Quality deterioration often appears in margins before it shows up in headline EPS.

Risk

High confidence

Risk profile is balanced but has notable pressure points to monitor.

Risk factors: liabilities/assets +52.4%, momentum -2.4%, net margin -9.7%.

Higher leverage with weak momentum and thin margins can amplify drawdown severity.

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Ranpak Holdings Corp. Market vs Earnings Trajectory

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Loading price and EPS data...

Ranpak Holdings Corp.

Ranpak Holdings Corp. Fair Value Envelope

PACK ยท NYSE

Our analysis suggests that PACK has a fair value of HIDDEN per share in the Base Case projection. With shares currently trading at $6.95, this represents a potential HIDDEN relative to our calculated worth for Ranpak Holdings Corp..

Intrinsic Value
Current Price: $6.95
3Y-12.0%
5Y+41.0%
10Y-167.0%
3Y+21.0%
5Y+32.0%
10Y+62.0%
3Y-7.0%
5Y+64.0%
10Y-238.0%
3Y+2000.0%
5Y-64.0%
10Y-50.0%
3Y-81.0%
5Y-127.0%
10Y-145.0%
3Y-1.0%
5Y-1.0%
10Y+129078.0%
Ranpak Holdings Corp.

Ranpak Holdings Corp. Profit Bridge

PACK ยท NYSE
Revenue395.00M
Cost of Goods Sold (300.30M)
Gross Profit94.70M
Operating Expenses (119.00M)
Operating Income-24.30M
Interest Expense (31.30M)
Other Income/Expense-23.20M
Pretax Income-47.50M
Income Tax (-9.20M)
Net Income-38.30M
Net Income
-38.30M

Profitability Analysis

Gross Margin

24.0%

Moderate margins typical of competitive industries. Monitor for pricing pressure or rising costs.

Operating Margin

-6.2%

Operating losses indicate the core business is unprofitable. Requires restructuring or revenue growth.

Net Profit Margin

-9.7%

Net losses indicate the company is burning cash. Sustainability depends on path to profitability.

23.97%
Gross Profit Margin
-37%
3Y-21.0%
5Y-42.0%
10Y-48.0%
-6.15%
Operating Profit Margin
77%
3Y-53.0%
5Y-257.0%
10Y-148.0%
-9.70%
Net Profit Margin
66%
3Y-24.0%
5Y+24.0%
10Y-185.0%
-7.16%
Return on Equity
83%
3Y+6.0%
5Y+60.0%
10Y-100.0%
-3.40%
Return on Assets
75%
3Y-7.0%
5Y+65.0%
10Y-100.0%
-1.87%
Return on Invested Capital
68%
3Y-34.0%
5Y-280.0%
10Y-100.0%
PACK

Ranpak Holdings Corp. Cash Conversion Engine

PACK ยท NYSE
Net Income-38.30M
Depreciation & Amortization66.70M
Stock-Based Compensation7.60M
Change in Working Capital-4.90M
Others-300.00K
Capital Expenditures-30.30M
Free Cash Flow-8.40M

Cash Flow Quality Analysis

FCF Conversion Rate

21.9%

Weak cash conversion. Significant portion of earnings not converting to cashโ€”review working capital trends and capital intensity.

CapEx Intensity

131.2%

Very high capital intensity consumes most operating cash flow. Limited flexibility for dividends or debt reduction.

FCF Growth Trend

-201.2%

Significant FCF decline raises concerns. Urgent review needed of operational performance and capital allocation.

Working Capital Impact

-$4.90M

Significant working capital drain. Growth may be consuming cash through inventory buildup or receivables extensionโ€”monitor closely.

Cash Flow Quality Insight

Deteriorating cash generation: Both declining FCF and weak conversion rate signal fundamental challenges. Investigate margin pressure, rising costs, or working capital issues.

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Ranpak Holdings Corp. Funding & Solvency Profile

PACK ยท NYSE
Cash & Cash Equivalents48.50M
Net Receivables43.60M
Inventory33.70M
Other Current Assets17.90M
Total Current Assets144 M
Property, Plant & Equipment158.00M
Goodwill & Intangible Assets737.40M
Long-Term Investments0.00
Other Non-Current Assets67.60M
Total Non-Current Assets226 M
Total Assets
1.11B

Financial Health Analysis

Current Ratio

1.73x

Strong liquidity. The company has adequate resources to meet short-term liabilities.

Debt-to-Equity Ratio

1.11x

Elevated leverage. Debt exceeds equity, which amplifies both gains and risks. Monitor debt servicing ability.

Working Capital

61 M

Strong working capital position provides significant operational flexibility and financial cushion.

Asset Composition

13% Current

Capital-intensive business with significant long-term investments in property, equipment, or intangibles.

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Ranpak Holdings Corp. Street Expectations Map

PACK ยท NYSE

Wall Street analysts project that PACK stock may rise significantly over the coming 12 months. The consensus 1-year price target stands at 9.38, with estimates ranging from a low of 6.00 to a high of 11.50.

Lowest Target
6.00
-13.67%
Consensus Target
9.38
34.96%
Highest Target
11.50
65.47%

The consensus 1-year price target stands at 9.38, with estimates ranging from a low of 6.00 to a high of 11.50.

Analyst Consensus Analysis

Upside Potential

+35.0%

Substantial upside potential. Analysts see significant value gap, suggesting the stock may be materially undervalued at current levels.

Analyst Agreement

58.6% spread

Mixed analyst views. Wide target range suggests differing opinions on key value drivers, growth prospects, or risk factors.

Risk-Reward Profile

4.79x

Favorable risk-reward. Potential upside significantly exceeds downside risk, offering asymmetric return profile attractive for risk-tolerant investors.

Analyst Conviction

Low

Bearish or uncertain outlook. Limited upside or poor consensus suggests challenges ahead or fundamental concerns.

Market Sentiment Insight

High risk, high reward: Substantial upside potential exists, but wide analyst disagreement signals execution risk or unclear catalysts. Thorough due diligence essential before committing capital.

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Ranpak Holdings Corp. Insider Positioning

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During the last 12 months, insiders have purchased $112K worth of PACK shares, with no selling activity reported.

3 Months

Bought

0

0.00

Sold

0

0.00

Net Activity

+0

+$0

3-6 Months

Bought

0

0.00

Sold

0

0.00

Net Activity

+0

+$0

6-9 Months

Bought

10.1K

56.24K

Sold

0

0.00

Net Activity

+56K

+$56K

9-12 Months

Bought

15.5K

56.24K

Sold

0

0.00

Net Activity

+56K

+$56K

Top Buyers

1
SS

Seshadri Salil

Director

8.6K sharesโ€ข2 transactions

$37K

2
JMA

Jones Michael Anthony

Director

8.6K sharesโ€ข2 transactions

$37K

3
TAM

Tranen Alicia M.

Director

8.6K sharesโ€ข2 transactions

$37K

Top Sellers

No selling activity

Insider Activity Analysis

Net Insider Sentiment

Bullish

Strong bullish signal with $112K net buying. Insiders are aggressively accumulating shares, suggesting significant confidence in future prospects.

Buy/Sell Ratio

โˆž:1

Perfect buy/sell ratio. Only buying activity with zero sellingโ€”the most bullish possible insider signal.

Insider Participation

High Buying

3 insider buyers vs. 0 sellers. Broad-based buying across management team suggests widespread confidence.

Insider Activity Insight

Compelling insider conviction: The combination of strong buy/sell ratio and multiple buyers suggests insiders see attractive risk/reward. Consider this alongside fundamental analysis for confirmation.

No Dividend Yield Data

PACK has not reported any dividend yield values in the available annual periods.

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pack Dividend History

PACK
10Y CAGR +0%
Latest $0
Annual $0
Stable dividend payments
Last Period: +0%