Occidental Petroleum Corporation

Occidental Petroleum Corporation

OXYยทNYSE

$59.64

+0.93%
EnergyOil & Gas Exploration & Production

Occidental Petroleum Corporation, together with its subsidiaries, engages in the acquisition, exploration, and development of oil and gas properties in the United States, the Middle East, Africa, and Latin America. It operates through three segments: Oil and Gas, Chemical, and Midstream and Marketing. The company's Oil and Gas segment explores for, develops, and produces oil and condensate, natural gas liquids (NGLs), and natural gas. Its Chemical segment manufactures and markets basic chemicals, including chlorine, caustic soda, chlorinated organics, potassium chemicals, ethylene dichloride, chlorinated isocyanurates, sodium silicates, and calcium chloride; vinyls comprising vinyl chloride monomer, polyvinyl chloride, and ethylene. The Midstream and Marketing segment gathers, processes, transports, stores, purchases, and markets oil, condensate, NGLs, natural gas, carbon dioxide, and power. This segment also trades around its assets consisting of transportation and storage capacity; and invests in entities. Occidental Petroleum Corporation was founded in 1920 and is headquartered in Houston, Texas.

At a Glance

Live Snapshot
Market Cap$59.32B
EPS1.6900
P/E Ratio35.29
Earnings Date08/05/2026

Intrinsic Alpha Methodology

Thesis Lenses

Signal ยท Driver ยท Risk

Signal

High confidence

Valuation multiple is elevated (P/E 35.3).

Valuation inputs: P/E 35.3, earnings yield +2.8%, momentum +0.9%.

If multiples stay elevated while momentum fades, downside repricing risk rises.

Driver

High confidence

Return profile is soft (ROE +6.6%, ROIC +3.1%).

Profitability stack: net margin +11.0%, ROE +6.6%, ROIC +3.1%.

Quality deterioration often appears in margins before it shows up in headline EPS.

Risk

High confidence

Downside profile looks controlled across current risk inputs.

Risk factors: liabilities/assets +57.8%, momentum +0.9%, net margin +11.0%.

Higher leverage with weak momentum and thin margins can amplify drawdown severity.

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Occidental Petroleum Corporation Market vs Earnings Trajectory

OXY ยท NYSE

Loading price and EPS data...

Occidental Petroleum Corporation

Occidental Petroleum Corporation Fair Value Envelope

OXY ยท NYSE

Our analysis suggests that OXY has a fair value of HIDDEN per share in the Base Case projection. With shares currently trading at $59.64, this represents a potential HIDDEN relative to our calculated worth for Occidental Petroleum Corporation.

Intrinsic Value
Current Price: $59.64
3Y-87.0%
5Y-110.0%
10Y-325.0%
3Y-40.0%
5Y+26.0%
10Y+114.0%
3Y-82.0%
5Y-116.0%
10Y-513.0%
3Y-37.0%
5Y+166.0%
10Y+211.0%
3Y-67.0%
5Y+189.0%
10Y+642.0%
3Y+20.0%
5Y+8.0%
10Y+101.0%
Occidental Petroleum Corporation

Occidental Petroleum Corporation Profit Bridge

OXY ยท NYSE
Revenue21.59B
Cost of Goods Sold (14.30B)
Gross Profit7.29B
Operating Expenses (3.57B)
Operating Income3.72B
Interest Expense (900.00M)
Other Income/Expense-594.00M
Pretax Income3.13B
Income Tax (1.02B)
Net Income2.37B
Net Income
2.37B

Profitability Analysis

Gross Margin

33.8%

Moderate margins typical of competitive industries. Monitor for pricing pressure or rising costs.

Operating Margin

17.2%

Healthy operating margins demonstrate effective cost control and strong business fundamentals.

Net Profit Margin

11.0%

Strong net margins indicate efficient operations and favorable tax/interest management.

Effective Tax Rate

32.6%

Higher tax burden may reflect limited tax optimization or operations in high-tax jurisdictions.

Profitability Insight

Room for improvement: Moderate profitability with opportunities to enhance margins through better cost management or pricing strategy.

33.78%
Gross Profit Margin
-5%
3Y-28.0%
5Y+1213.0%
10Y+493.0%
17.24%
Operating Profit Margin
-22%
3Y-53.0%
5Y-253.0%
10Y-269.0%
10.97%
Net Profit Margin
-2%
3Y-70.0%
5Y-113.0%
10Y-293.0%
6.57%
Return on Equity
-26%
3Y-85.0%
5Y-108.0%
10Y-346.0%
2.73%
Return on Assets
-23%
3Y-85.0%
5Y-115.0%
10Y-305.0%
3.15%
Return on Invested Capital
-42%
3Y-84.0%
5Y-238.0%
10Y-287.0%
OXY

Occidental Petroleum Corporation Cash Conversion Engine

OXY ยท NYSE
Net Income2.37B
Depreciation & Amortization7.53B
Stock-Based Compensation0.00
Change in Working Capital-1.07B
Others1.57B
Capital Expenditures-6.43B
Free Cash Flow4.11B

Cash Flow Quality Analysis

FCF Conversion Rate

173.3%

Excellent cash generation. The company converts earnings to cash at or above 100%, indicating high-quality earnings.

CapEx Intensity

61.0%

Very high capital intensity consumes most operating cash flow. Limited flexibility for dividends or debt reduction.

FCF Growth Trend

-7.1%

Declining FCF warrants attention. Investigate whether due to temporary factors or fundamental deterioration.

Working Capital Impact

-$1.07B

Moderate working capital outflow. Typical for growing businesses, but ensure it's supporting revenue growth, not inefficiency.

Cash Flow Quality Insight

Capital-intensive growth: Heavy reinvestment limits current cash available but may drive future returns. Assess whether CapEx supports compelling growth opportunities with adequate ROI.

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Occidental Petroleum Corporation Funding & Solvency Profile

OXY ยท NYSE
Cash & Cash Equivalents3.81B
Net Receivables4.47B
Inventory1.86B
Other Current Assets933.00M
Total Current Assets11 B
Property, Plant & Equipment139.01B
Goodwill & Intangible Assets0.00
Long-Term Investments2.34B
Other Non-Current Assets-135.08B
Total Non-Current Assets6 B
Total Assets
80.46B

Financial Health Analysis

Debt-to-Equity Ratio

0.00x

Conservative capital structure. The company relies primarily on equity financing, indicating low financial risk.

Working Capital

11 B

Strong working capital position provides significant operational flexibility and financial cushion.

Asset Composition

14% Current

Capital-intensive business with significant long-term investments in property, equipment, or intangibles.

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Occidental Petroleum Corporation Street Expectations Map

OXY ยท NYSE

Wall Street analysts project that OXY stock may experience modest gains over the coming 12 months. The consensus 1-year price target stands at 62.31, with estimates ranging from a low of 45.00 to a high of 75.00.

Lowest Target
45.00
-24.55%
Consensus Target
62.31
4.48%
Highest Target
75.00
25.75%

The consensus 1-year price target stands at 62.31, with estimates ranging from a low of 45.00 to a high of 75.00.

Analyst Consensus Analysis

Upside Potential

+4.5%

Fair value territory. Stock trading near consensus target suggests limited near-term catalysts. Focus on fundamental developments.

Analyst Agreement

48.1% spread

Mixed analyst views. Wide target range suggests differing opinions on key value drivers, growth prospects, or risk factors.

Risk-Reward Profile

1.05x

Balanced risk-reward. Upside and downside potential relatively symmetric. Suitable for moderate risk tolerance with conviction in thesis.

Analyst Conviction

Moderate

Neutral sentiment. Fair value pricing with moderate agreement suggests wait-and-see approach or catalyst-driven opportunity.

Market Sentiment Insight

Monitor and evaluate: Current analyst consensus suggests limited conviction or near-term catalysts. Stay informed on company developments and reassess positioning as new information emerges.

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Occidental Petroleum Corporation Insider Positioning

OXY ยท NYSE

During the last 12 months, insiders have purchased $195K worth of OXY shares, with no selling activity reported.

3 Months

Bought

0

0.00

Sold

0

0.00

Net Activity

+0

+$0

3-6 Months

Bought

5.0K

194.90K

Sold

0

0.00

Net Activity

+195K

+$195K

6-9 Months

Bought

0

0.00

Sold

0

0.00

Net Activity

+0

+$0

9-12 Months

Bought

0

0.00

Sold

0

0.00

Net Activity

+0

+$0

Top Buyers

1
KWR

Klesse William R

Director

5.0K sharesโ€ข1 transactions

$195K

Top Sellers

No selling activity

Insider Activity Analysis

Net Insider Sentiment

Bullish

Strong bullish signal with $195K net buying. Insiders are aggressively accumulating shares, suggesting significant confidence in future prospects.

Buy/Sell Ratio

โˆž:1

Perfect buy/sell ratio. Only buying activity with zero sellingโ€”the most bullish possible insider signal.

Insider Participation

High Buying

1 insider buyers vs. 0 sellers. Broad-based buying across management team suggests widespread confidence.

Insider Activity Insight

Unanimous insider buying: Zero selling combined with active buying is rare and typically very bullish. Insiders appear to see significant upside with limited downside risk.

0.00%
Dividend Yield
-100%
3Y-100.0%
5Y-100.0%
10Y-100.0%
ย 

oxy Dividend History

OXY
10Y CAGR 10%
Latest $0.26
Annual $1.24
Stable dividend payments
Last Period: +0%