$6.60
-2.1%Orchid Island Capital, Inc., a specialty finance company, invests in residential mortgage-backed securities (RMBS) in the United States. The company's RMBS is backed by single-family residential mortgage loans, referred as Agency RMBS. Its portfolio includes traditional pass-through Agency RMBS, such as mortgage pass through certificates and collateralized mortgage obligations; and structured Agency RMBS comprising interest only securities, inverse interest only securities, and principal only securities. The company qualifies as a real estate investment trust for federal income tax purposes. Orchid Island Capital, Inc. was incorporated in 2010 and is based in Vero Beach, Florida.
Warren Buffett's Owner Earnings DCF analysis for intrinsic value calculation
Base year metrics used for projections
Forecast period and terminal assumptions
Calculation flow from present value to intrinsic value per share
Operating Cash Flow - Maintenance CapEx = Owner Earnings
| Metric | Year 1 | Year 2 | Year 3 | Year 4 | Year 5 | Year 6 | Year 7 | Year 8 | Year 9 | Year 10 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Operating Cash Flow | $216.6M | $389.4M | $700.1M | $1.3B | $2.3B | $4.1B | $7.3B | $13.2B | $23.7B | $42.5B |
| Maintenance CapEx | -$0 | -$0 | -$0 | -$0 | -$0 | -$0 | -$0 | -$0 | -$0 | -$0 |
| Owner Earnings | $216.6M | $389.4M | $700.1M | $1.3B | $2.3B | $4.1B | $7.3B | $13.2B | $23.7B | $42.5B |
| Discount Factor | 0.926 | 0.857 | 0.794 | 0.735 | 0.681 | 0.630 | 0.583 | 0.540 | 0.500 | 0.463 |
| Present Value | $200.5M | $333.8M | $555.8M | $925.3M | $1.5B | $2.6B | $4.3B | $7.1B | $11.8B | $19.7B |
Snapshot
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Value Model
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Statements
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Earnings Call
Read management commentary and compare it with reported outcomes.
Dividends
Check payout sustainability and long-term distribution behavior.
Analyst Expectations
Review consensus spread and where estimate risk is concentrated.