Onto Innovation Inc.

Onto Innovation Inc.

ONTOยทNYSE

$279.98

+9.5%
TechnologySemiconductors

Onto Innovation Inc. engages in the design, development, manufacture, and support of process control tools that performs macro defect inspection and 2D/3D optical metrology, lithography systems, and process control analytical software worldwide. It offers process and yield management solutions, and device packaging and test facilities through standalone systems for macro-defect inspection, packaging lithography, probe card test and analysis, and transparent and opaque thin film measurements; and process control software portfolio that includes solutions for standalone tools, groups of tools, and enterprise-or factory-wide suites. The company also provides spare parts and software licensing services. Its products are used by semiconductor and advanced packaging device manufacturers; silicon wafer; light emitting diode; vertical-cavity surface-emitting laser; micro-electromechanical system; CMOS image sensor; power device; RF filter; data storage; and various industrial and scientific applications. The company was formerly known as Rudolph Technologies, Inc. Onto Innovation Inc. was founded in 1940 and is headquartered in Wilmington, Massachusetts.

At a Glance

Live Snapshot
Market Cap$13.93B
EPS2.7800
P/E Ratio100.71
Earnings Date08/06/2026

Intrinsic Alpha Methodology

Thesis Lenses

Signal ยท Driver ยท Risk

Signal

High confidence

Valuation multiple is elevated (P/E 100.7).

Valuation inputs: P/E 100.7, earnings yield +1.0%, momentum +9.5%.

If multiples stay elevated while momentum fades, downside repricing risk rises.

Driver

High confidence

Return profile is soft (ROE +6.5%, ROIC +5.2%).

Profitability stack: net margin +13.6%, ROE +6.5%, ROIC +5.2%.

Quality deterioration often appears in margins before it shows up in headline EPS.

Risk

High confidence

Downside profile looks controlled across current risk inputs.

Risk factors: liabilities/assets +11.3%, momentum +9.5%, net margin +13.6%.

Higher leverage with weak momentum and thin margins can amplify drawdown severity.

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Onto Innovation Inc. Market vs Earnings Trajectory

ONTO ยท NYSE

Loading price and EPS data...

Onto Innovation Inc.

Onto Innovation Inc. Fair Value Envelope

ONTO ยท NYSE

Our analysis suggests that ONTO has a fair value of HIDDEN per share in the Base Case projection. With shares currently trading at $279.98, this represents a potential HIDDEN relative to our calculated worth for Onto Innovation Inc..

Intrinsic Value
Current Price: $279.98
3Y+13.0%
5Y-4.0%
10Y+96.0%
3Y+23.0%
5Y+27.0%
10Y+267.0%
3Y+13.0%
5Y-4.0%
10Y+203.0%
3Y+91.0%
5Y+87.0%
10Y+836.0%
3Y+101.0%
5Y+84.0%
10Y+988.0%
3Y+24.0%
5Y+44.0%
10Y+466.0%
Onto Innovation Inc.

Onto Innovation Inc. Profit Bridge

ONTO ยท NYSE
Revenue1.01B
Cost of Goods Sold (505.49M)
Gross Profit499.77M
Operating Expenses (366.84M)
Operating Income132.93M
Interest Expense (0.00)
Other Income/Expense29.98M
Pretax Income162.90M
Income Tax (26.14M)
Net Income136.76M
Net Income
136.76M

Profitability Analysis

Gross Margin

49.7%

Strong gross margins indicate healthy pricing and efficient production or service delivery.

Operating Margin

13.2%

Acceptable margins but limited operational leverage. Operating expense control is important.

Net Profit Margin

13.6%

Strong net margins indicate efficient operations and favorable tax/interest management.

Effective Tax Rate

16.0%

Moderate tax rate typical for most corporations. Represents standard tax burden on profits.

Profitability Insight

Room for improvement: Moderate profitability with opportunities to enhance margins through better cost management or pricing strategy.

49.72%
Gross Profit Margin
-5%
3Y-3.0%
5Y-9.0%
10Y-8.0%
13.22%
Operating Profit Margin
-30%
3Y-7.0%
5Y-33.0%
10Y-29.0%
13.60%
Net Profit Margin
-33%
3Y-8.0%
5Y-25.0%
10Y-17.0%
6.51%
Return on Equity
-38%
3Y-7.0%
5Y-35.0%
10Y-48.0%
5.78%
Return on Assets
-39%
3Y-9.0%
5Y-33.0%
10Y-46.0%
5.18%
Return on Invested Capital
-41%
3Y-14.0%
5Y-46.0%
10Y-55.0%
ONTO

Onto Innovation Inc. Cash Conversion Engine

ONTO ยท NYSE
Net Income136.76M
Depreciation & Amortization60.44M
Stock-Based Compensation27.62M
Change in Working Capital52.02M
Others38.61M
Capital Expenditures-28.51M
Free Cash Flow299.80M

Cash Flow Quality Analysis

FCF Conversion Rate

219.2%

Excellent cash generation. The company converts earnings to cash at or above 100%, indicating high-quality earnings.

CapEx Intensity

8.7%

Asset-light business model. Low capital requirements leave more cash available for shareholders and growth investments.

FCF Growth Trend

+40.2%

Strong FCF growth demonstrates improving cash generation and business momentum. Positive signal for sustainability.

Working Capital Impact

+$52.02M

Working capital inflow boosted cash flow. Efficient management of receivables, inventory, and payables contributing positively.

Cash Flow Quality Insight

Exceptional cash generation: High-quality earnings converting to growing free cash flow. The company demonstrates strong pricing power, efficient operations, and disciplined capital allocation.

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Onto Innovation Inc. Funding & Solvency Profile

ONTO ยท NYSE
Cash & Cash Equivalents252.25M
Net Receivables306.56M
Inventory316.03M
Other Current Assets42.96M
Total Current Assets1 B
Property, Plant & Equipment123.82M
Goodwill & Intangible Assets921.87M
Long-Term Investments0.00
Other Non-Current Assets30.96M
Total Non-Current Assets155 M
Total Assets
2.40B

Financial Health Analysis

Current Ratio

6.15x

Excellent liquidity position. The company can easily cover its short-term obligations with substantial cushion.

Debt-to-Equity Ratio

0.12x

Conservative capital structure. The company relies primarily on equity financing, indicating low financial risk.

Working Capital

1 B

Strong working capital position provides significant operational flexibility and financial cushion.

Asset Composition

55% Current

Balanced asset mix between current and non-current assets, typical of many stable businesses.

Financial Health Insight

Strong financial foundation: Excellent liquidity combined with conservative leverage suggests the company is well-positioned to weather economic uncertainties and fund growth opportunities.

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Onto Innovation Inc. Street Expectations Map

ONTO ยท NYSE

Wall Street analysts project that ONTO stock may rise significantly over the coming 12 months. The consensus 1-year price target stands at 331.67, with estimates ranging from a low of 275.00 to a high of 370.00.

Lowest Target
275.00
-1.78%
Consensus Target
331.67
18.46%
Highest Target
370.00
32.15%

The consensus 1-year price target stands at 331.67, with estimates ranging from a low of 275.00 to a high of 370.00.

Analyst Consensus Analysis

Upside Potential

+18.5%

Strong upside potential. Consensus indicates attractive return opportunity with favorable risk-reward profile.

Analyst Agreement

28.6% spread

Good consensus alignment. Moderate target spread reflects general agreement on value drivers with some variance in assumptions.

Risk-Reward Profile

18.08x

Favorable risk-reward. Potential upside significantly exceeds downside risk, offering asymmetric return profile attractive for risk-tolerant investors.

Analyst Conviction

Very High

Strong buy conviction: High upside with tight consensus suggests compelling investment opportunity backed by analyst confidence.

Market Sentiment Insight

Asymmetric upside: Strong return potential with favorable risk-reward profile. The limited downside relative to upside makes this an attractive risk-adjusted opportunity for growth-oriented portfolios.

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Onto Innovation Inc. Insider Positioning

ONTO ยท NYSE

During the last 12 months, there has been no insider trading activity reported for ONTO.

3 Months

Bought

0

0.00

Sold

0

0.00

Net Activity

+0

+$0

3-6 Months

Bought

0

0.00

Sold

0

0.00

Net Activity

+0

+$0

6-9 Months

Bought

0

0.00

Sold

0

0.00

Net Activity

+0

+$0

9-12 Months

Bought

0

0.00

Sold

0

0.00

Net Activity

+0

+$0

Top Buyers

No buying activity

Top Sellers

No selling activity

Insider Activity Analysis

Net Insider Sentiment

Neutral

No insider trading activity reported. This could indicate blackout periods, lack of conviction, or regulatory restrictions.

Insider Participation

No Activity

No insider trading activity reported from any insiders in the past year.

No Dividend Yield Data

ONTO has not reported any dividend yield values in the available annual periods.

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onto Dividend History

ONTO
10Y CAGR +0%
Latest $0
Annual $0
Stable dividend payments
Last Period: +0%