Orion Properties Inc.

Orion Properties Inc.

ONLยทNYSE

$2.88

-1.2%
Real EstateREIT - Office

Orion Properties Inc. specializes in the ownership, acquisition and management of a diversified portfolio of mission-critical and corporate headquarters office buildings in high-quality suburban markets across the U.S. The portfolio is leased primarily on a single-tenant net lease basis to creditworthy tenants. The company's team of experienced industry leaders employs a proven, cycle-tested investment evaluation framework which serves as the lens through which capital allocation decisions are made for the current portfolio and future acquisitions.

At a Glance

Live Snapshot
Market Cap$163.67M
EPS-2.4800
P/E Ratio-1.16
Earnings Date08/05/2026

Intrinsic Alpha Methodology

Thesis Lenses

Signal ยท Driver ยท Risk

Signal

Medium confidence

Valuation multiple is compressed (P/E -1.2).

Valuation inputs: P/E -1.2, earnings yield N/A, momentum -1.2%.

If multiples stay elevated while momentum fades, downside repricing risk rises.

Driver

High confidence

Return profile is soft (ROE -22.4%, ROIC -72.1%).

Profitability stack: net margin -94.3%, ROE -22.4%, ROIC -72.1%.

Quality deterioration often appears in margins before it shows up in headline EPS.

Risk

High confidence

Risk profile is balanced but has notable pressure points to monitor.

Risk factors: liabilities/assets +46.6%, momentum -1.2%, net margin -94.3%.

Higher leverage with weak momentum and thin margins can amplify drawdown severity.

onl

Orion Properties Inc. Market vs Earnings Trajectory

ONL ยท NYSE
Current Price
$2.88
EPS (TTM)
$-2.56

Performance Analysis

EPS Growth

-84.2%

Declining earnings warrant investigation into business challenges and competitive position.

Price-EPS Relationship

Divergent

Price is rising despite declining earningsโ€”caution advised as valuation may be stretched.

Stock Price Change

+39.1%

Over the 1Y period, stock price has increased by 39.1%.

P/E Ratio (TTM)

-1.2x

Relatively low P/E may indicate undervaluation or lower growth expectations.

Key Insight

Despite declining earnings (-84.2%), the stock price has risen (+39.1%). This disconnect suggests investors may be optimistic about future turnaround, but earnings recovery is critical to sustain the valuation.

Orion Properties Inc.

Orion Properties Inc. Fair Value Envelope

ONL ยท NYSE

Our analysis suggests that ONL has a fair value of HIDDEN per share in the Base Case projection. With shares currently trading at $2.88, this represents a potential HIDDEN relative to our calculated worth for Orion Properties Inc..

Intrinsic Value
Current Price: $2.88
3Y+44.0%
5Y+2680.0%
10Y-1019.0%
3Y-29.0%
5Y+176.0%
10Y+170.0%
3Y+43.0%
5Y+7236.0%
10Y-1044.0%
3Y-79.0%
5Y-44.0%
10Y-44.0%
3Y-127.0%
5Y-167.0%
10Y-171.0%
3Y-25.0%
5Y+114.0%
10Y+98.0%
Orion Properties Inc.

Orion Properties Inc. Profit Bridge

ONL ยท NYSE
Revenue147.65M
Cost of Goods Sold (64.83M)
Gross Profit82.82M
Operating Expenses (179.33M)
Operating Income-96.51M
Interest Expense (31.51M)
Other Income/Expense-43.05M
Pretax Income-139.57M
Income Tax (-259.00K)
Net Income-139.31M
Net Income
-139.31M

Profitability Analysis

Gross Margin

56.1%

Exceptional pricing power and cost management. The company retains over half of revenue after direct costs.

Operating Margin

-65.4%

Operating losses indicate the core business is unprofitable. Requires restructuring or revenue growth.

Net Profit Margin

-94.4%

Net losses indicate the company is burning cash. Sustainability depends on path to profitability.

Profitability Insight

Margin squeeze alert: Healthy gross margins but weak operating margins suggest excessive operating expenses. Cost optimization could unlock significant value.

56.09%
Gross Profit Margin
-7%
3Y-20.0%
5Y-37.0%
10Y-38.0%
-65.37%
Operating Profit Margin
408%
3Y+20026.0%
5Y-277.0%
10Y-297.0%
-94.35%
Net Profit Margin
51%
3Y+101.0%
5Y+2557.0%
10Y-449.0%
-22.35%
Return on Equity
66%
3Y+123.0%
5Y+5752.0%
10Y-
-11.90%
Return on Assets
54%
3Y+92.0%
5Y+3325.0%
10Y-
-72.08%
Return on Invested Capital
4317%
3Y+164101.0%
5Y-2096.0%
10Y-
ONL

Orion Properties Inc. Cash Conversion Engine

ONL ยท NYSE
Net Income-139.29M
Depreciation & Amortization58.75M
Stock-Based Compensation3.90M
Change in Working Capital-787.00K
Others101.01M
Capital Expenditures-51.69M
Free Cash Flow-28.12M

Cash Flow Quality Analysis

FCF Conversion Rate

20.2%

Weak cash conversion. Significant portion of earnings not converting to cashโ€”review working capital trends and capital intensity.

CapEx Intensity

219.3%

Very high capital intensity consumes most operating cash flow. Limited flexibility for dividends or debt reduction.

FCF Growth Trend

-188.7%

Significant FCF decline raises concerns. Urgent review needed of operational performance and capital allocation.

Working Capital Impact

-$787.00K

Minimal working capital impact on FCF. Changes in operating assets and liabilities well-managed.

Cash Flow Quality Insight

Deteriorating cash generation: Both declining FCF and weak conversion rate signal fundamental challenges. Investigate margin pressure, rising costs, or working capital issues.

onl

Orion Properties Inc. Funding & Solvency Profile

ONL ยท NYSE
Cash & Cash Equivalents10.27M
Net Receivables47.64M
Inventory0.00
Other Current Assets0.00
Total Current Assets58 M
Property, Plant & Equipment0.00
Goodwill & Intangible Assets81.69M
Long-Term Investments0.00
Other Non-Current Assets0.00
Total Non-Current Assets0
Total Assets
1.19B

Financial Health Analysis

Debt-to-Equity Ratio

0.95x

Balanced capital structure with moderate leverage. Equity exceeds debt, suggesting healthy financial stability.

Working Capital

58 M

Strong working capital position provides significant operational flexibility and financial cushion.

Asset Composition

5% Current

Capital-intensive business with significant long-term investments in property, equipment, or intangibles.

onl

Orion Properties Inc. Street Expectations Map

ONL ยท NYSE

No Target Data

No analyst price targets available for onl.

onl

Orion Properties Inc. Insider Positioning

ONL ยท NYSE

During the last 12 months, insiders have purchased $160K worth of ONL shares, with no selling activity reported.

3 Months

Bought

0

0.00

Sold

0

0.00

Net Activity

+0

+$0

3-6 Months

Bought

0

0.00

Sold

0

0.00

Net Activity

+0

+$0

6-9 Months

Bought

0

0.00

Sold

0

0.00

Net Activity

+0

+$0

9-12 Months

Bought

55.0K

160.01K

Sold

0

0.00

Net Activity

+160K

+$160K

Top Buyers

1
GRH

Gilyard Reginald Harold

Director

55.0K sharesโ€ข1 transactions

$160K

Top Sellers

No selling activity

Insider Activity Analysis

Net Insider Sentiment

Bullish

Strong bullish signal with $160K net buying. Insiders are aggressively accumulating shares, suggesting significant confidence in future prospects.

Buy/Sell Ratio

โˆž:1

Perfect buy/sell ratio. Only buying activity with zero sellingโ€”the most bullish possible insider signal.

Insider Participation

High Buying

1 insider buyers vs. 0 sellers. Broad-based buying across management team suggests widespread confidence.

Insider Activity Insight

Unanimous insider buying: Zero selling combined with active buying is rare and typically very bullish. Insiders appear to see significant upside with limited downside risk.

0.93%
Dividend Yield
5%
3Y-38.0%
5Y-11.0%
10Y+21.0%
ย 

onl Dividend History

ONL
10Y CAGR 15%
Latest $0.02
Annual $0.1
Stable dividend payments
Last Period: +0%