Oklo Inc.
$65.39
-11%Oklo Inc. designs and develops fission power plants to provide reliable and commercial-scale energy to customers in the United States. It also provides used nuclear fuel recycling services. The company was founded in 2013 and is based in Santa Clara, California.
At a Glance
Live SnapshotIntrinsic Alpha Methodology
Thesis Lenses
Signal
Medium confidenceValuation multiple is compressed (P/E -90.8).
Valuation inputs: P/E -90.8, earnings yield N/A, momentum -11.0%.
If multiples stay elevated while momentum fades, downside repricing risk rises.
Driver
High confidenceReturn profile is soft (ROE -7.2%, ROIC -8.9%).
Profitability stack: net margin 0.0%, ROE -7.2%, ROIC -8.9%.
Quality deterioration often appears in margins before it shows up in headline EPS.
Risk
High confidenceDownside profile is elevated and scenario stress-testing is essential.
Risk factors: liabilities/assets +3.4%, momentum -11.0%, net margin 0.0%.
Higher leverage with weak momentum and thin margins can amplify drawdown severity.
Oklo Inc. Market vs Earnings Trajectory
Performance Analysis
EPS Growth
Declining earnings warrant investigation into business challenges and competitive position.
Price-EPS Relationship
Price is rising despite declining earnings—caution advised as valuation may be stretched.
Stock Price Change
Over the 1Y period, stock price has increased by 38.3%.
P/E Ratio (TTM)
Relatively low P/E may indicate undervaluation or lower growth expectations.
Key Insight
Despite declining earnings (-106.3%), the stock price has risen (+38.3%). This disconnect suggests investors may be optimistic about future turnaround, but earnings recovery is critical to sustain the valuation.
Oklo Inc. Fair Value Envelope
No Revenue Data
OKLO has not reported any revenue values in the available annual periods.
Oklo Inc. Profit Bridge
Profitability Analysis
No Gross Profit Margin Data
OKLO has not reported any gross profit margin values in the available annual periods.
No Operating Profit Margin Data
OKLO has not reported any operating profit margin values in the available annual periods.
No Net Profit Margin Data
OKLO has not reported any net profit margin values in the available annual periods.
Oklo Inc. Cash Conversion Engine
Cash Flow Quality Analysis
FCF Conversion Rate
Excellent cash generation. The company converts earnings to cash at or above 100%, indicating high-quality earnings.
CapEx Intensity
Asset-light business model. Low capital requirements leave more cash available for shareholders and growth investments.
FCF Growth Trend
Significant FCF decline raises concerns. Urgent review needed of operational performance and capital allocation.
Working Capital Impact
Minimal working capital impact on FCF. Changes in operating assets and liabilities well-managed.
Cash Flow Quality Insight
Working capital strain: Significant cash tied up in operations. Monitor receivables collection, inventory turns, and payment terms to optimize cash conversion cycle.
Oklo Inc. Funding & Solvency Profile
Financial Health Analysis
Current Ratio
Excellent liquidity position. The company can easily cover its short-term obligations with substantial cushion.
Debt-to-Equity Ratio
Conservative capital structure. The company relies primarily on equity financing, indicating low financial risk.
Working Capital
Strong working capital position provides significant operational flexibility and financial cushion.
Asset Composition
Asset-light business model with high liquidity. Majority of assets are easily convertible to cash.
Financial Health Insight
Strong financial foundation: Excellent liquidity combined with conservative leverage suggests the company is well-positioned to weather economic uncertainties and fund growth opportunities.
Oklo Inc. Street Expectations Map
Wall Street analysts project that OKLO stock may rise significantly over the coming 12 months. The consensus 1-year price target stands at 111.29, with estimates ranging from a low of 80.00 to a high of 150.00.
The consensus 1-year price target stands at 111.29, with estimates ranging from a low of 80.00 to a high of 150.00.
Analyst Consensus Analysis
Upside Potential
Substantial upside potential. Analysts see significant value gap, suggesting the stock may be materially undervalued at current levels.
Analyst Agreement
High uncertainty. Very wide target spread indicates significant disagreement among analysts—major valuation uncertainty or transformation underway.
Analyst Conviction
High uncertainty: Wide dispersion indicates analysts struggle to agree on valuation—proceed with caution and independent analysis.
Market Sentiment Insight
High risk, high reward: Substantial upside potential exists, but wide analyst disagreement signals execution risk or unclear catalysts. Thorough due diligence essential before committing capital.
Oklo Inc. Insider Positioning
During the last 12 months, insiders have sold $65.69M worth of OKLO shares, with no buying activity reported.
3 Months
0
0.00
230.0K
14.06M
-14.1M
-$14.06M
3-6 Months
0
0.00
289.9K
23.69M
-23.7M
-$23.69M
6-9 Months
0
0.00
82.0K
8.27M
-8.3M
-$8.27M
9-12 Months
0
0.00
309.6K
19.68M
-19.7M
-$19.68M
Top Buyers
No buying activity
Top Sellers
Klein Michael Stuart
Director, 10 Percent Owner:
$17.83M
Bealmear Richard Craig
Officer: Chief Financial Officer
$15.75M
Dewitte Jacob
Director, 10 Percent Owner, Officer: Co-Founder, Ceo
$13.94M
Cochran Caroline
Director, 10 Percent Owner, Officer: Co-Founder, Coo
$11.09M
Goodwin William Carroll Murphy
Officer: Chief Legal & Strategy Officer
$6.01M
Insider Activity Analysis
Net Insider Sentiment
Strong bearish signal with $65.69M net selling. Heavy insider selling may indicate concerns about valuation or near-term prospects.
Buy/Sell Ratio
Very poor ratio. Heavy selling with minimal buying suggests insiders may be concerned about valuation or outlook.
Recent Trend (3 Months)
Heavy recent selling activity. Recent insider sales notably exceed purchases—may warrant investigation into company developments.
Insider Participation
5 insider sellers vs. 0 buyers. Widespread selling across multiple insiders may signal concerns.
Insider Activity Insight
Multiple red flags: Heavy selling, numerous sellers, and continued recent selling create a concerning pattern. Investigate fundamental drivers and consider whether company guidance or industry conditions have deteriorated.
No Dividend Yield Data
OKLO has not reported any dividend yield values in the available annual periods.
oklo Dividend History
Learning Layer
Related Guides
Build conviction on OKLO by pairing this stock hub with focused valuation guides.
Research Paths
Snapshot
Start with context, operating signals, and key market metrics.
Value Model
Stress test fair value across bear, base, and bull assumptions.
Statements
Validate revenue quality, margins, and balance sheet durability.
Earnings Call
Read management commentary and compare it with reported outcomes.
Dividends
Check payout sustainability and long-term distribution behavior.
Analyst Expectations
Review consensus spread and where estimate risk is concentrated.