NexPoint Residential Trust, Inc.
$28.60
+0.14%NexPoint Residential Trust is a publicly traded REIT, with its shares listed on the New York Stock Exchange under the symbol NXRT, primarily focused on acquiring, owning and operating well-located middle-income multifamily properties with value-add potential in large cities and suburban submarkets of large cities, primarily in the Southeastern and Southwestern United States. NXRT is externally advised by NexPoint Real Estate Advisors, L.P., an affiliate of NexPoint Advisors, L.P., an SEC-registered investment advisor, which has extensive real estate experience.
At a Glance
Live SnapshotIntrinsic Alpha Methodology
Thesis Lenses
Signal
Medium confidenceValuation multiple is compressed (P/E -22.7).
Valuation inputs: P/E -22.7, earnings yield N/A, momentum +0.1%.
If multiples stay elevated while momentum fades, downside repricing risk rises.
Driver
High confidenceReturn profile is soft (ROE -10.8%, ROIC +1.5%).
Profitability stack: net margin -12.8%, ROE -10.8%, ROIC +1.5%.
Quality deterioration often appears in margins before it shows up in headline EPS.
Risk
High confidenceDownside profile is elevated and scenario stress-testing is essential.
Risk factors: liabilities/assets +84.1%, momentum +0.1%, net margin -12.8%.
Higher leverage with weak momentum and thin margins can amplify drawdown severity.
NexPoint Residential Trust, Inc. Market vs Earnings Trajectory
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NexPoint Residential Trust, Inc. Fair Value Envelope
NexPoint Residential Trust, Inc. Profit Bridge
Profitability Analysis
Gross Margin
Exceptional pricing power and cost management. The company retains over half of revenue after direct costs.
Operating Margin
Acceptable margins but limited operational leverage. Operating expense control is important.
Net Profit Margin
Net losses indicate the company is burning cash. Sustainability depends on path to profitability.
Profitability Insight
High margin compression: Large gap between gross and net margins suggests operational inefficiencies or heavy debt burden. Focus on expense management and deleveraging.
NexPoint Residential Trust, Inc. Cash Conversion Engine
Cash Flow Quality Analysis
FCF Conversion Rate
Negative free cash flow despite positive earnings raises concerns about cash generation ability or heavy capital requirements.
FCF Growth Trend
Steady FCF growth indicates consistent cash generation improvement. On a positive trajectory.
Working Capital Impact
Minimal working capital impact on FCF. Changes in operating assets and liabilities well-managed.
NexPoint Residential Trust, Inc. Funding & Solvency Profile
Financial Health Analysis
Current Ratio
Warning: Liquidity concerns. Current assets may not be sufficient to cover short-term obligations.
Debt-to-Equity Ratio
High financial leverage. Heavy reliance on debt may indicate increased financial risk and potential solvency concerns.
Working Capital
Negative working capital indicates short-term liabilities exceed short-term assets—potential liquidity stress.
Asset Composition
Capital-intensive business with significant long-term investments in property, equipment, or intangibles.
Financial Health Insight
Financial stress indicators: Both liquidity and leverage metrics raise concerns. The company may face challenges meeting obligations and should focus on strengthening its balance sheet.
NexPoint Residential Trust, Inc. Street Expectations Map
Wall Street analysts project that NXRT stock may see slight declines over the coming 12 months. The consensus 1-year price target stands at 27.00, with estimates ranging from a low of 27.00 to a high of 27.00.
The consensus 1-year price target stands at 27.00, with estimates ranging from a low of 27.00 to a high of 27.00.
Analyst Consensus Analysis
Upside Potential
Downside risk. Current price above analyst targets indicates potential overvaluation. Exercise caution and review catalysts.
Analyst Agreement
High analyst agreement. Narrow target range indicates strong consensus on valuation, suggesting clear investment thesis and predictable outlook.
Risk-Reward Profile
Balanced risk-reward. Upside and downside potential relatively symmetric. Suitable for moderate risk tolerance with conviction in thesis.
Analyst Conviction
Bearish or uncertain outlook. Limited upside or poor consensus suggests challenges ahead or fundamental concerns.
Market Sentiment Insight
Monitor and evaluate: Current analyst consensus suggests limited conviction or near-term catalysts. Stay informed on company developments and reassess positioning as new information emerges.
NexPoint Residential Trust, Inc. Insider Positioning
During the last 12 months, insiders have purchased $443K and sold $1.25M worth of NXRT shares, resulting in $802K of net selling activity.
3 Months
9.7K
250.68K
0
0.00
+251K
+$251K
3-6 Months
1.0K
27.79K
32.7K
937.99K
-910K
-$910K
6-9 Months
0
0.00
5.0K
152.60K
-153K
-$153K
9-12 Months
5.0K
164.60K
5.0K
154.60K
+10K
+$10K
Top Buyers
Richards Paul
Officer: See Remarks
$287K
Mcgraner Matt
Officer: See Remarks
$156K
Top Sellers
Mitts Brian
Director
$1.25M
Insider Activity Analysis
Net Insider Sentiment
Negative insider sentiment with $802K net selling. Selling notably exceeds buying, warranting closer scrutiny of company fundamentals.
Buy/Sell Ratio
Weak buy/sell ratio. Selling significantly exceeds buying—monitor for potential fundamental concerns.
Recent Trend (3 Months)
Very strong recent buying momentum. Recent insider purchases significantly outpace sales, suggesting near-term optimism.
Insider Participation
2 insider buyers vs. 1 sellers. More insiders buying than selling indicates positive sentiment.
nxrt Dividend History
Learning Layer
Related Guides
Build conviction on NXRT by pairing this stock hub with focused valuation guides.
Research Paths
Snapshot
Start with context, operating signals, and key market metrics.
Value Model
Stress test fair value across bear, base, and bull assumptions.
Statements
Validate revenue quality, margins, and balance sheet durability.
Earnings Call
Read management commentary and compare it with reported outcomes.
Dividends
Check payout sustainability and long-term distribution behavior.
Analyst Expectations
Review consensus spread and where estimate risk is concentrated.