Energy Vault Holdings, Inc.
$6.49
+11%Energy Vault Holdings, Inc. develops and sells energy storage solutions. The company offers gravity-based storage systems, including EVx Platform, a scalable, modular product line starting from 40-megawatt hour to multi-gigawatt hours to address grid resiliency needs in shorter durations; Energy Vault Resiliency Center, a scalable, gigawatt hour scale product line designed to address grid resiliency needs to manage energy disruptive climate events; and Energy Vault solutions. Its solutions allow utilities, independent power producers, and large energy users to manage their power portfolios and efficiently dispatch power. Energy Vault Holdings, Inc. is based in Westlake Village, California.
At a Glance
Live SnapshotIntrinsic Alpha Methodology
Thesis Lenses
Signal
Medium confidenceValuation multiple is compressed (P/E -10.0).
Valuation inputs: P/E -10.0, earnings yield N/A, momentum +10.8%.
If multiples stay elevated while momentum fades, downside repricing risk rises.
Driver
High confidenceReturn profile is soft (ROE -1.5%, ROIC -36.4%).
Profitability stack: net margin -50.9%, ROE -1.5%, ROIC -36.4%.
Quality deterioration often appears in margins before it shows up in headline EPS.
Risk
High confidenceRisk profile is balanced but has notable pressure points to monitor.
Risk factors: liabilities/assets +71.7%, momentum +10.8%, net margin -50.9%.
Higher leverage with weak momentum and thin margins can amplify drawdown severity.
Energy Vault Holdings, Inc. Market vs Earnings Trajectory
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Energy Vault Holdings, Inc. Fair Value Envelope
Energy Vault Holdings, Inc. Profit Bridge
Profitability Analysis
Gross Margin
Moderate margins typical of competitive industries. Monitor for pricing pressure or rising costs.
Operating Margin
Operating losses indicate the core business is unprofitable. Requires restructuring or revenue growth.
Net Profit Margin
Net losses indicate the company is burning cash. Sustainability depends on path to profitability.
Profitability Insight
High margin compression: Large gap between gross and net margins suggests operational inefficiencies or heavy debt burden. Focus on expense management and deleveraging.
Energy Vault Holdings, Inc. Cash Conversion Engine
Cash Flow Quality Analysis
FCF Conversion Rate
Weak cash conversion. Significant portion of earnings not converting to cash—review working capital trends and capital intensity.
CapEx Intensity
Asset-light business model. Low capital requirements leave more cash available for shareholders and growth investments.
FCF Growth Trend
Strong FCF growth demonstrates improving cash generation and business momentum. Positive signal for sustainability.
Working Capital Impact
Working capital inflow boosted cash flow. Efficient management of receivables, inventory, and payables contributing positively.
Energy Vault Holdings, Inc. Funding & Solvency Profile
Financial Health Analysis
Current Ratio
Strong liquidity. The company has adequate resources to meet short-term liabilities.
Debt-to-Equity Ratio
High financial leverage. Heavy reliance on debt may indicate increased financial risk and potential solvency concerns.
Working Capital
Strong working capital position provides significant operational flexibility and financial cushion.
Asset Composition
Capital-intensive business with significant long-term investments in property, equipment, or intangibles.
Energy Vault Holdings, Inc. Street Expectations Map
Wall Street analysts project that NRGV stock may experience modest gains over the coming 12 months. The consensus 1-year price target stands at 7.00, with estimates ranging from a low of 7.00 to a high of 7.00.
The consensus 1-year price target stands at 7.00, with estimates ranging from a low of 7.00 to a high of 7.00.
Analyst Consensus Analysis
Upside Potential
Moderate upside. Analysts expect positive returns but with limited margin of safety. Consider entry timing.
Analyst Agreement
High analyst agreement. Narrow target range indicates strong consensus on valuation, suggesting clear investment thesis and predictable outlook.
Analyst Conviction
Positive outlook with reasonable agreement. Analysts generally optimistic about prospects with manageable uncertainty.
Market Sentiment Insight
Monitor and evaluate: Current analyst consensus suggests limited conviction or near-term catalysts. Stay informed on company developments and reassess positioning as new information emerges.
Energy Vault Holdings, Inc. Insider Positioning
During the last 12 months, insiders have purchased $807K and sold $18.53M worth of NRGV shares, resulting in $17.73M of net selling activity.
3 Months
17.5K
58.37K
65.0K
206.70K
-148K
-$148K
3-6 Months
21.9K
70.84K
3.0M
17.20M
-17.1M
-$17.12M
6-9 Months
132.5K
321.75K
359.3K
1.03M
-705K
-$705K
9-12 Months
213.2K
356.01K
115.8K
104.21K
+252K
+$252K
Top Buyers
Piconi Robert
Director, 10 Percent Owner, Officer: Chief Executive Officer
$455K
Paulson Larry
Director
$127K
Hixon Dylan
Director
$98K
Ertel Thomas R
Director
$58K
Mandanas Mary Beth
Director
$39K
Top Sellers
Softbank Vision Fund (Aiv M2) L.P.
10 Percent Owner
$16.95M
Ladwa Akshay
Officer: Chief Operations Officer
$815K
Beer Michael Thomas
Officer: Chief Financial Officer
$634K
Piconi Robert
Director, 10 Percent Owner, Officer: Chief Executive Officer
$84K
Wiese Christopher
Officer: President, Energy Vault Labs
$50K
Insider Activity Analysis
Net Insider Sentiment
Strong bearish signal with $17.73M net selling. Heavy insider selling may indicate concerns about valuation or near-term prospects.
Buy/Sell Ratio
Very poor ratio. Heavy selling with minimal buying suggests insiders may be concerned about valuation or outlook.
Recent Trend (3 Months)
Heavy recent selling activity. Recent insider sales notably exceed purchases—may warrant investigation into company developments.
Insider Participation
5 insider buyers and 5 sellers. Equal participation suggests mixed or neutral insider views.
Insider Activity Insight
Multiple red flags: Heavy selling, numerous sellers, and continued recent selling create a concerning pattern. Investigate fundamental drivers and consider whether company guidance or industry conditions have deteriorated.
No Dividend Yield Data
NRGV has not reported any dividend yield values in the available annual periods.
nrgv Dividend History
Learning Layer
Related Guides
Build conviction on NRGV by pairing this stock hub with focused valuation guides.
Research Paths
Snapshot
Start with context, operating signals, and key market metrics.
Value Model
Stress test fair value across bear, base, and bull assumptions.
Statements
Validate revenue quality, margins, and balance sheet durability.
Earnings Call
Read management commentary and compare it with reported outcomes.
Dividends
Check payout sustainability and long-term distribution behavior.
Analyst Expectations
Review consensus spread and where estimate risk is concentrated.