NexPoint Real Estate Finance, Inc.

NexPoint Real Estate Finance, Inc.

NREF·NYSE

$15.77

-1.6%
Real EstateREIT - Mortgage

NexPoint Real Estate Finance, Inc. operates as a real estate finance company in the United States. It focuses on originating, structuring, and investing in first mortgage loans, mezzanine loans, preferred equity, and preferred stock, as well as multifamily commercial mortgage backed securities securitizations. The company intends to qualify as a real estate investment trust for U.S. federal income tax purposes. It generally would not be subject to federal corporate income taxes if it distributes at least 90% of its taxable income to its stockholders. The company was incorporated in 2019 and is based in Dallas, Texas.

At a Glance

Live Snapshot
Market Cap$297.23M
EPS4.3800
P/E Ratio3.27
Earnings Date07/30/2026
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NexPoint Real Estate Finance, Inc. Street Expectations Map

NREF · NYSE

Wall Street analysts project that NREF stock may see slight declines over the coming 12 months. The consensus 1-year price target stands at 15.00, with estimates ranging from a low of 15.00 to a high of 15.00.

Lowest Target
15.00
-4.88%
Consensus Target
15.00
-4.88%
Highest Target
15.00
-4.88%

The consensus 1-year price target stands at 15.00, with estimates ranging from a low of 15.00 to a high of 15.00.

Analyst Consensus Analysis

Upside Potential

-4.9%

Fair value territory. Stock trading near consensus target suggests limited near-term catalysts. Focus on fundamental developments.

Analyst Agreement

0.0% spread

High analyst agreement. Narrow target range indicates strong consensus on valuation, suggesting clear investment thesis and predictable outlook.

Risk-Reward Profile

1.00x

Balanced risk-reward. Upside and downside potential relatively symmetric. Suitable for moderate risk tolerance with conviction in thesis.

Analyst Conviction

Moderate

Neutral sentiment. Fair value pricing with moderate agreement suggests wait-and-see approach or catalyst-driven opportunity.

Market Sentiment Insight

Efficient pricing: Stock trading at fair value with strong consensus suggests market has priced in expectations. Look for fundamental inflection points or new catalysts to drive meaningful moves.

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NexPoint Real Estate Finance, Inc. Forward Estimates of Revenue

NREF · NYSE
Latest Revenue
126.13M
FY 2025
Avg Estimate
51.15M
FY 2026
Estimate Range
47.10M - 55.19M
Analyst Spread

Forward Growth Analysis

Projected Growth-59.4%

Significant contraction projected—major business challenges or industry disruption likely.

Analyst Coverage2 Analysts

Limited coverage may indicate reduced institutional interest or information availability.

Estimate Spread16%

Reasonable estimate spread indicates general agreement with normal forecast variance.

OutlookCautious

Analyst skepticism evident—carefully evaluate risks before investment decisions.

Key Insight

Limited coverage with volatile estimates: Few analysts covering despite significant projected changes may indicate information gaps or emerging risks.

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NexPoint Real Estate Finance, Inc. Forward Estimates of Net Income

NREF · NYSE
Latest Net Income
105.10M
FY 2025
Avg Estimate
60.19M
FY 2026
Estimate Range
57.97M - 62.41M
Analyst Spread

Forward Growth Analysis

Projected Growth-42.7%

Significant contraction projected—major business challenges or industry disruption likely.

Analyst Coverage2 Analysts

Limited coverage may indicate reduced institutional interest or information availability.

Estimate Spread7%

Narrow estimate range signals strong analyst consensus and predictable business outlook.

OutlookNeutral

Mixed signals—some positive indicators offset by concerns about growth or uncertainty.

Key Insight

Limited coverage with volatile estimates: Few analysts covering despite significant projected changes may indicate information gaps or emerging risks.

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NexPoint Real Estate Finance, Inc. Forward Estimates of EPS

NREF · NYSE
Latest EPS
4.38
FY 2025
Avg Estimate
$1.67
FY 2026
Estimate Range
$1.60 - $1.72
Analyst Spread

Forward Growth Analysis

Projected Growth-61.9%

Significant contraction projected—major business challenges or industry disruption likely.

Analyst Coverage2 Analysts

Limited coverage may indicate reduced institutional interest or information availability.

Estimate Spread7%

Narrow estimate range signals strong analyst consensus and predictable business outlook.

OutlookNeutral

Mixed signals—some positive indicators offset by concerns about growth or uncertainty.

Key Insight

Limited coverage with volatile estimates: Few analysts covering despite significant projected changes may indicate information gaps or emerging risks.

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NexPoint Real Estate Finance, Inc. Forward Estimates of EBIT

NREF · NYSE
Latest EBIT
165.91M
FY 2025
Avg Estimate
28.32M
FY 2026
Estimate Range
26.08M - 30.56M
Analyst Spread

Forward Growth Analysis

Projected Growth-82.9%

Significant contraction projected—major business challenges or industry disruption likely.

Analyst Coverage2 Analysts

Limited coverage may indicate reduced institutional interest or information availability.

Estimate Spread16%

Reasonable estimate spread indicates general agreement with normal forecast variance.

OutlookCautious

Analyst skepticism evident—carefully evaluate risks before investment decisions.

Key Insight

Limited coverage with volatile estimates: Few analysts covering despite significant projected changes may indicate information gaps or emerging risks.

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NexPoint Real Estate Finance, Inc. Forward Estimates of EBITDA

NREF · NYSE
Latest EBITDA
168.86M
FY 2025
Avg Estimate
28.84M
FY 2026
Estimate Range
26.56M - 31.12M
Analyst Spread

Forward Growth Analysis

Projected Growth-82.9%

Significant contraction projected—major business challenges or industry disruption likely.

Analyst Coverage2 Analysts

Limited coverage may indicate reduced institutional interest or information availability.

Estimate Spread16%

Reasonable estimate spread indicates general agreement with normal forecast variance.

OutlookCautious

Analyst skepticism evident—carefully evaluate risks before investment decisions.

Key Insight

Limited coverage with volatile estimates: Few analysts covering despite significant projected changes may indicate information gaps or emerging risks.

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NexPoint Real Estate Finance, Inc. Forward Estimates of SG&A Expense

NREF · NYSE
Latest SG&A Expense
12.65M
FY 2025
Avg Estimate
8.96M
FY 2026
Estimate Range
8.25M - 9.67M
Analyst Spread

Forward Growth Analysis

Projected Growth-29.2%

Significant contraction projected—major business challenges or industry disruption likely.

Analyst Coverage2 Analysts

Limited coverage may indicate reduced institutional interest or information availability.

Estimate Spread16%

Reasonable estimate spread indicates general agreement with normal forecast variance.

OutlookCautious

Analyst skepticism evident—carefully evaluate risks before investment decisions.

Key Insight

Limited coverage with volatile estimates: Few analysts covering despite significant projected changes may indicate information gaps or emerging risks.

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NexPoint Real Estate Finance, Inc. Insider Positioning

NREF · NYSE

During the last 12 months, insiders have purchased $946K and sold $173K worth of NREF shares, resulting in $773K of net buying activity.

3 Months

Bought

0

0.00

Sold

0

0.00

Net Activity

+0

+$0

3-6 Months

Bought

0

0.00

Sold

11.9K

172.73K

Net Activity

-173K

-$173K

6-9 Months

Bought

66.0K

945.78K

Sold

0

0.00

Net Activity

+946K

+$946K

9-12 Months

Bought

0

0.00

Sold

0

0.00

Net Activity

+0

+$0

Top Buyers

1
DJD

Dondero James D

Director, 10 Percent Owner, Officer: President

66.0K shares1 transactions

$946K

Top Sellers

1
MB

Mitts Brian

Director

11.9K shares1 transactions

$173K

Insider Activity Analysis

Net Insider Sentiment

Bullish

Strong bullish signal with $773K net buying. Insiders are aggressively accumulating shares, suggesting significant confidence in future prospects.

Buy/Sell Ratio

5.48:1

Exceptional buy/sell ratio. Buying dramatically outweighs selling—one of the strongest possible insider signals.

Insider Participation

Balanced

1 insider buyers and 1 sellers. Equal participation suggests mixed or neutral insider views.